26-27 season · FBS
What the scoreboard says a game was, versus what it actually looked like before either team let off the gas. This is an informational second lens built alongside CFB Pirate's live model — it doesn't change any ranking or projection elsewhere on the site. Real play-by-play is required, so this only ever has data for FBS and FCS — D2/D3 will show empty tables below until that changes.
FBS/FCS games only (real play-by-play required). The “real” margin is the score at the last moment the game was still genuinely competitive by CFB Pirate's own four-rule garbage-time definition (21+ points inside 10:00, 14+ inside 5:00, 9+ inside 2:00, or 35+ any time after halftime).
| Date | Game | Final Margin | “Real” Margin | Swing | Trigger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | James Madison beat Wagner | 84 | 39 | 45 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Kansas St. beat Nicholls | 68 | 33 | 35 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-12 | Tcu beat Grambling | 56 | 21 | 35 | 28+ point lead, 25:00 or less remaining |
| 2026-09-18 | Oregon beat Portland St. | 84 | 49 | 35 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-11 | Virginia beat Norfolk St. | 56 | 25 | 31 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-03 | Ucf beat Bethune-Cookman | 67 | 38 | 29 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Georgia beat Tennessee St. | 60 | 32 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | South Carolina beat Kent St. | 57 | 29 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-19 | Oklahoma St. beat Murray St. | 59 | 31 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Maryland beat Hampton | 62 | 34 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Ohio St. beat Ball St. | 53 | 25 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-19 | Ohio St. beat Kent St. | 56 | 28 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Army West Point beat Bryant | 56 | 28 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-19 | Sam Houston beat Nicholls | 59 | 31 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-03 | Utah beat Idaho | 52 | 24 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-10-03 | Kansas beat Middle Tenn. | 55 | 27 | 28 | 24+ point lead, 20:00 or less remaining |
| 2026-10-03 | Wake Forest beat Stanford | 54 | 26 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-10-03 | Memphis beat Charlotte | 51 | 23 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-12 | Cincinnati beat Western Caro. | 52 | 25 | 27 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-26 | Ucla beat Maryland | 51 | 24 | 27 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Virginia Tech beat Vmi | 70 | 45 | 25 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-11 | Louisville beat Villanova | 46 | 21 | 25 | 28+ point lead, 25:00 or less remaining |
| 2026-09-04 | Oklahoma beat Utep | 51 | 27 | 24 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas beat Texas St. | 52 | 28 | 24 | 28+ point lead, 25:00 or less remaining |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas A&M beat Missouri St. | 50 | 26 | 24 | 24+ point lead, 20:00 or less remaining |
Teams whose average final margin runs widest compared to their average competitive margin this season (minimum 2 qualifying games).
| Team | Raw Avg Margin | Adjusted Avg Margin | Padding | Games Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio St. | +25.9 | +15.9 | +10.0 | 4/7 |
| Miami (FL) | +33.7 | +24.1 | +9.6 | 5/7 |
| James Madison | +23.1 | +15.2 | +7.9 | 4/8 |
| Arizona | +22.2 | +14.7 | +7.5 | 5/6 |
| Georgia | +27.1 | +19.7 | +7.4 | 5/7 |
| Alabama | +17.0 | +9.6 | +7.4 | 5/8 |
| Indiana | +21.6 | +14.4 | +7.2 | 4/8 |
| Notre Dame | +30.5 | +23.5 | +7.0 | 4/6 |
| Utah | +22.9 | +15.9 | +7.0 | 4/7 |
| Lsu | +24.1 | +17.2 | +6.9 | 6/8 |
Teams whose scoreboard record already tracks their competitive margin most closely.
| Team | Raw Avg Margin | Adjusted Avg Margin | Padding | Games Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | -3.6 | -3.6 | +0.0 | 3/7 |
| Michigan St. | -5.9 | -5.9 | +0.0 | 2/8 |
| Sam Houston | -5.1 | -5.1 | +0.0 | 3/7 |
| South Alabama | +2.7 | +2.7 | +0.0 | 3/7 |
| Troy | -2.0 | -2.0 | +0.0 | 2/7 |
| Rice | -10.8 | -10.6 | -0.1 | 4/8 |
| Arizona St. | +1.0 | +0.9 | +0.1 | 5/7 |
| Fla. Atlantic | +3.3 | +3.4 | -0.1 | 4/7 |
| Hawaii | -2.7 | -2.9 | +0.1 | 3/7 |
| Tulane | -4.3 | -4.4 | +0.1 | 2/7 |
