26-27 season · FCS
What the scoreboard says a game was, versus what it actually looked like before either team let off the gas. This is an informational second lens built alongside CFB Pirate's live model — it doesn't change any ranking or projection elsewhere on the site. Real play-by-play is required, so this only ever has data for FBS and FCS — D2/D3 will show empty tables below until that changes.
FBS/FCS games only (real play-by-play required). The “real” margin is the score at the last moment the game was still genuinely competitive by CFB Pirate's own four-rule garbage-time definition (21+ points inside 10:00, 14+ inside 5:00, 9+ inside 2:00, or 35+ any time after halftime).
| Date | Game | Final Margin | “Real” Margin | Swing | Trigger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | South Carolina St. beat Savannah St. | 87 | 52 | 35 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-12 | South Carolina St. beat Virginia St. | 66 | 31 | 35 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-29 | Illinois St. beat St. Francis (IL) - Naia | 76 | 48 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-29 | Montana St. beat Utah Tech | 54 | 26 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-29 | Norfolk St. beat Winston-Salem | 56 | 28 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-12 | Butler beat Franklin | 52 | 24 | 28 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-19 | Western Ill. beat Morehead St. | 57 | 31 | 26 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-27 | Western Ill. beat Northwestern (IA) | 51 | 27 | 24 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-10-03 | Mercer beat Vmi | 51 | 27 | 24 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-29 | Hampton beat Virginia-Lynchburg | 45 | 24 | 21 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-12 | Idaho St. beat San Diego | 42 | 21 | 21 | 28+ point lead, 25:00 or less remaining |
| 2026-09-12 | Uni beat Drake | 42 | 21 | 21 | 28+ point lead, 25:00 or less remaining |
| 2026-09-05 | Mercer beat Presbyterian | 59 | 38 | 21 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-27 | North Dakota beat Liu | 21 | 42 | 21 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-09-19 | Western Caro. beat Presbyterian | 44 | 23 | 21 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
| 2026-08-29 | South Dakota St. beat Stetson | 63 | 42 | 21 | 30+ point lead after halftime |
Teams whose average final margin runs widest compared to their average competitive margin this season (minimum 2 qualifying games).
| Team | Raw Avg Margin | Adjusted Avg Margin | Padding | Games Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina St. | +23.2 | +14.1 | +9.1 | 3/8 |
| Montana St. | +20.1 | +11.9 | +8.2 | 5/8 |
| Western Ill. | +9.4 | +3.0 | +6.4 | 5/8 |
| South Dakota St. | +21.4 | +15.1 | +6.2 | 6/8 |
| Alabama A&M | +20.1 | +14.0 | +6.1 | 5/8 |
| Sfa | +26.1 | +20.6 | +5.5 | 5/8 |
| Butler | +11.8 | +6.5 | +5.2 | 4/8 |
| Tarleton St. | +19.2 | +14.0 | +5.2 | 5/8 |
| Illinois St. | +20.6 | +15.6 | +5.0 | 5/7 |
| Idaho St. | +12.6 | +7.8 | +4.9 | 3/8 |
Teams whose scoreboard record already tracks their competitive margin most closely.
| Team | Raw Avg Margin | Adjusted Avg Margin | Padding | Games Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian | -2.5 | -2.5 | +0.0 | 2/8 |
| Cal Poly | -3.3 | -3.3 | +0.0 | 1/9 |
| Gardner-Webb | -2.9 | -2.9 | +0.0 | 2/8 |
| Lindenwood | -4.3 | -4.3 | +0.0 | 3/7 |
| Princeton | +6.0 | +6.0 | +0.0 | 2/6 |
| West Florida | +2.1 | +2.1 | +0.0 | 4/7 |
| Central Ark. | -5.6 | -5.8 | +0.1 | 5/8 |
| Southern Utah | -1.6 | -1.8 | +0.1 | 3/8 |
| Stony Brook | +2.5 | +2.6 | -0.1 | 3/8 |
| Uc Davis | +1.0 | +1.1 | -0.1 | 6/8 |
