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26-27 season · Division III

Garbage Time Reality Check

What the scoreboard says a game was, versus what it actually looked like before either team let off the gas. This is an informational second lens built alongside CFB Pirate's live model — it doesn't change any ranking or projection elsewhere on the site. Real play-by-play is required, so this only ever has data for FBS and FCS — D2/D3 will show empty tables below until that changes.

FBSFCSDivision IIDivision III
BIGGEST GARBAGE-TIME SWINGS

FBS/FCS games only (real play-by-play required). The “real” margin is the score at the last moment the game was still genuinely competitive by CFB Pirate's own four-rule garbage-time definition (21+ points inside 10:00, 14+ inside 5:00, 9+ inside 2:00, or 35+ any time after halftime).

DateGameFinal Margin“Real” MarginSwingTrigger
2026-09-19Lake Forest beat Grinnell63283530+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Hope beat Albion63283530+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-17Wartburg beat Loras61263530+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-24Endicott beat Nichols86513530+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-24Wis.-Whitewater beat Wis.-Stevens Point63283530+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-17North Central (IL) beat Elmhurst72383430+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Washu beat Oberlin79483130+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-03Lewis & Clark beat Puget Sound60293130+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Bethel (MN) beat Hamline77492830+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Ithaca beat St. Lawrence66382830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-03Rensselaer beat Hilbert83552830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-03Wis. Lutheran beat Eureka70422830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-03Hardin-Simmons beat Fort Lauderdale58302830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-10Saint John'S (MN) beat Macalester56282830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-10Rensselaer beat Buffalo St.56282830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-10St. Lawrence beat Hilbert56282830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-17Wash. & Jeff. beat Allegheny53252830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-17Lake Forest beat Luther54262830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-24Randolph-Macon beat Guilford59312830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-24North Central (IL) beat Carroll (WI)55272830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-24Dickinson beat Mcdaniel52242830+ point lead after halftime
2026-10-03Concordia-M'Head beat St. Scholastica60332730+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Uchicago beat Knox48242430+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Brevard beat Guilford59352430+ point lead after halftime
2026-09-26Saint John'S (MN) beat Augsburg72492330+ point lead after halftime
BIGGEST PADDERS

Teams whose average final margin runs widest compared to their average competitive margin this season (minimum 2 qualifying games).

TeamRaw Avg MarginAdjusted Avg MarginPaddingGames Adjusted
North Central (IL)+51.7+31.0+20.72/3
Lake Forest+46.8+30.8+16.04/5
Rensselaer+49.8+34.0+15.83/4
Bethel (MN)+46.6+31.4+15.24/5
Hardin-Simmons+41.7+27.7+14.03/3
Wash. & Jeff.+50.0+36.4+13.64/5
Saint John'S (MN)+40.6+27.6+13.03/5
Washu+41.0+28.0+13.02/4
Randolph-Macon+32.8+21.0+11.83/4
Wartburg+32.8+21.4+11.43/5
CLOSEST TO REALITY

Teams whose scoreboard record already tracks their competitive margin most closely.

TeamRaw Avg MarginAdjusted Avg MarginPaddingGames Adjusted
East Tex. Baptist-2.2-2.2+0.02/4
Muhlenberg+8.8+8.8+0.01/4
Rochester (NY)-4.2-4.2+0.03/4
Manchester-17.5-17.2-0.21/4
Lakeland-11.0-11.4+0.42/5
Southern Va.-9.8-9.4-0.42/5
Suny Maritime-23.8-24.5+0.72/6
Rose-Hulman+4.2+3.5+0.81/4
Williams+1.6+2.4-0.82/5
Westminster (PA)+0.2-1.0+1.21/6