Biggest upsets and surprises: Oct 18–Oct 24

Every finished game this week against our pregame projection: the winners we gave the smallest chance, and the scorelines our model said were least likely. 2381 games graded.

Biggest upsets

1. Southaven 28, Desoto Central 26box scoreWe gave Southaven 1% against Desoto Central (10/23)
2. Borah 22, Eagle 21box scoreWe gave Borah 1% against Eagle (10/23)
3. Fairview 24, Paris 20box scoreWe gave Fairview 1% against Paris (10/23)
4. Centerville 34, LEON 33box scoreWe gave Centerville 3% against LEON (10/23)
5. BYRD 28, Evangel Christian Academy 24box scoreWe gave BYRD 3% against Evangel Christian Academy (10/23)
6. Westside 28, Thomson 22box scoreWe gave Westside 5% against Thomson (10/23)
7. Mckinleyville 32, Ferndale 29box scoreWe gave Mckinleyville 5% against Ferndale (10/23)
8. Sonoraville 43, Lafayette 32box scoreWe gave Sonoraville 6% against Lafayette (10/23)
9. Ayala 21, Northview 6box scoreWe gave Ayala 7% against Northview (10/23)
10. Northwest 27, Keller 14box scoreWe gave Northwest 7% against Keller (10/22)
11. Oaks Christian 14, Newbury Park 6box scoreWe gave Oaks Christian 8% against Newbury Park (10/23)
12. DREW 22, Eastside 15box scoreWe gave DREW 8% against Eastside (10/22)
13. Western 26, Laguna Beach 13box scoreWe gave Western 8% against Laguna Beach (10/23)
14. Highlands 34, Scott County 13box scoreWe gave Highlands 10% against Scott County (10/23)
15. West Branch 36, Glendale 22box scoreWe gave West Branch 11% against Glendale (10/23)
16. Christian Brothers 50, Ponderosa 49box scoreWe gave Christian Brothers 11% against Ponderosa (10/23)
17. Hatboro-Horsham 35, Springfield Township 21box scoreWe gave Hatboro-Horsham 12% against Springfield Township (10/23)
18. Trinity Catholic 35, Wildwood 7box scoreWe gave Trinity Catholic 12% against Wildwood (10/23)
19. St. Peter's Prep 13, Don Bosco Prep 10box scoreWe gave St. Peter's Prep 12% against Don Bosco Prep (10/23)
20. New Waverly 31, Hardin 14box scoreWe gave New Waverly 13% against Hardin (10/23)
21. Archbishop Carroll 34, Killian 28box scoreWe gave Archbishop Carroll 13% against Killian (10/22)
22. Whitehall 45, Parkland 42box scoreWe gave Whitehall 13% against Parkland (10/23)
23. Wheeling Central Catholic 42, Cincinnati College Prep Academy 36box scoreWe gave Wheeling Central Catholic 13% against Cincinnati College Prep Academy (10/23)
24. Cincinnati 12, Columbus Crusaders 7box scoreWe gave Cincinnati 13% against Columbus Crusaders (10/24)
25. Wakeland 31, Braswell 28box scoreWe gave Wakeland 15% against Braswell (10/23)

Wildest scorelines

1. Belding 92, Dowagiac 56box score148+ total points (we said 56): under 1%
2. Roseland University Prep 64, Potter Valley 46box score110+ total points (we said 50): under 1%
3. Eastern Hancock 77, Christel House 0box scoreWon by 77+: under 1%
4. ZUNI 78, Laguna Acoma 26box score104+ total points (we said 46): under 1%
5. Bloomington 72, San Gorgonio 35box score107+ total points (we said 51): under 1%
6. Rochester 0, Centralia 0box score0 or fewer total points (we said 56): under 1%
7. Hilliard 60, Cornerstone Classical Academy 55box score115+ total points (we said 60): under 1%
8. Pflugerville 2, Lasaa 0box score2 or fewer total points (we said 56): under 1%
9. Northgate 2, MT. Diablo 0box score2 or fewer total points (we said 56): under 1%
10. Hawkins 73, Alba-Golden 40box score113+ total points (we said 60): under 1%
11. Loara 70, Savanna 35box score105+ total points (we said 52): under 1%
12. Anderson 63, Manor 50box score113+ total points (we said 60): under 1%
13. WEST 2, Keene 0box score2 or fewer total points (we said 53): under 1%
14. Dinuba 65, Washington Union 40box score105+ total points (we said 54): under 1%
15. Grape Creek 64, Anthony 0box scoreWon by 64+: under 1%

Odds are from our pregame projection for each game. Follow a team to get these after its games, and our projection before them.