In short: Hilliard Flashes high school football (Hilliard, FL), 2026 season: 9-0. Last game: W 60-55 vs Cornerstone Classical Academy on October 23, 2026. Next: at Taylor, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 9-0 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 60-55 vs CORNERSTONE CLASSICAL ACADEMY |
| NEXT GAME | TAYLOR (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 43.5 · Rush Off 94.7 · Pass Def 41.4 · Rush Def 72.9 |
| ENROLLMENT | 783 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HILLIARD | 43.5 (-28) | 94.7 (+161) | 41.4 (+8) | 72.9 (-50) |
Next: at Taylor, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Hilliard at Taylor.
The biggest worry in Hilliard's season has been the direction of its defense. Hilliard allowed 11.2 points per game over its first 5 games (5-0), #74 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Flashes have allowed 34.0 points per game, a 204% rise, #443 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Hilliard's last 4 opponents have averaged 32.7 points per game, a #113 offense in section on the season, against 11.9 points per game, #482 for the first 5. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #349 in section, well above the first 5 (#526), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Hilliard ranks #255 in section in scoring defense.
Hilliard's defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Flashes allowed 4.7 yards per play (711 yards on 152 snaps) over their first 4 games (4-0), #77 in section during that time. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), Hilliard has allowed 7.2 yards per play (1,432 yards on 200 snaps), a 53% rise, #313 in section through those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Hilliard's last 5 opponents have averaged 8.6 yards per play, a #83 offense in section on the season, against 5.1 yards per play, #437 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.6 yards per play), Hilliard held those offenses 17% below their usual yards per snap. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #423 in section, well above the first 4 (#513), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Flashes rank #189 in section in yards per play allowed.
Something changed for Hilliard's defense after its first 4 games. Hilliard forced 2.2 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (4-0), #86 in section through that stretch. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), the Flashes have forced 1.2 takeaways per game, a 47% drop, #275 in section over that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Hilliard's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.2 per game, a #255 offense in section on the season, against 2.2 per game, #486 for the first 4. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #423 in section, well above the first 4 (#513), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Hilliard ranks #169 in section in takeaways.
The Flashes averaged 11.7 yards per carry (1,390 yards on 119 rushes) over their first 5 games (5-0), #7 in section within that period. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), Hilliard has averaged 8.0 yards per carry (1,226 yards on 154 rushes), a 32% drop, #88 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Hilliard's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.2 yards per carry, a #310 run defense in section on the season, against 9.1 yards per carry, #531 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.2 yards per carry), Hilliard ran for 29% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #349 in section, well above the first 5 (#526), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Flashes rank #14 in section in rushing.
Hilliard's pass defense has been torched through the air as the season has developed. Hilliard allowed 6.2 yards per pass attempt (537 yards on 86 attempts) over its first 4 games (4-0), #156 in section during those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), the Flashes have allowed 7.9 yards per pass attempt (795 yards on 101 attempts), a 26% rise, #257 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Hilliard's last 5 opponents have averaged 8.9 yards per attempt, a #162 passing attack in section on the season, against 6.1 yards per attempt, #396 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.9 yards per attempt), Hilliard held those passing attacks 11% below their usual yards per attempt. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #423 in section, well above the first 4 (#513), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Hilliard ranks #175 in section in pass defense.
• Club Hilliard has won 9 straight, and a win would make it 10 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Hilliard has gone 9 straight games being held under 200 passing yards (August 21, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 9-0 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Hilliard has gone 9 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (August 21, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 9-0 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Hilliard has gone 5 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 5-0 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Hilliard has gone 4 straight games allowing 6.0+ yards per play (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-0 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Hilliard is 14-2 all time when scoring 40+ points. Hilliard's last loss when scoring 40+ points was September 19, 2025 against St. Joseph Academy (L, 48-49).
• Club Hilliard has scored 134 points over its last 3 games (44.7 a game, October 8, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 152, from September 4, 2026 through September 25, 2026.
From the games on file through Sep 4.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 4 game; last updated Sep 20.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| K. KING | 2 | 6/12 | 50.0% | 102 | 8.5 | 3 | 0 | 203.9 | |
| D. ALDERMAN | 2 | 1/1 | 100.0% | 49 | 49.0 | 1 | 0 | 841.6 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 7/13 | 53.8% | 151 | 11.6 | 4 | 0 | 253.0 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| D. ALDERMAN | 2 | 11 | 341 | 31.0 | 6 | |
| L. HARVEY | 2 | 6 | 108 | 18.0 | 1 | |
| Z. LEUNG | 2 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 1 | |
| K. KING | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | |
| A. PAGE | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | |
| C. DIXON | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | |
| A. CREWS | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 30 | 508 | 16.9 | 8 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| K. MCMILLAN | 2 | 1 | 49 | 49.0 | 1 | |
| D. REVELS | 1 | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | |
| C. HALL | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | 1 | |
| D. ALDERMAN | 2 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 1 | |
| J. REEDER | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 7 | 151 | 21.6 | 4 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| B. MCPHERSON | 2 | 9 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. WILLIAMS | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| H. BROCKETT | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Z. LEUNG | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B. WADE | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L. HARVEY | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| P. PATTERSON | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. KING | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. PAGE | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. DIXON | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| I. PERRY | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. HERN | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. HALL | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. FLOYD | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. REEDER | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| N. HENSLEY | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| G. BROWN | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. SHEPARD | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. MCMAHON | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. SPARKMAN | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| G. BYRD | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| G. GRIFFIS | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. BAKER | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. LOUDERMILK | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M. KEENE | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| R. ALLEN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. MCKINNON | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. CREWS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. BRIGHT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. JONES | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. WILLIAMS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| P. HOLMAN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| R. COLEMAN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| W. KIBLER | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| K. MCMILLAN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 100 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 8-3 | 301 | 212 | 27.4 |
| 2023 | 3-8 | 199 | 306 | 18.1 |
| 2024 | 1-9 | 183 | 382 | 18.3 |
| 2025 | 3-6 | 257 | 298 | 28.6 |
| 2026 | 9-0 | 399 | 192 | 44.3 |
| 2022-26 | 24-26 | 26.8 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | ALL SAINTS' ACADEMY | at | W | 37-13 | |
| 08/28 | FIRST COAST CHRISTIAN | vs | W | 41-8 | |
| 09/04 | KEYSTONE HEIGHTS | vs | W | 56-7 | |
| 09/18 | ST. JOSEPH ACADEMY | at | W | 47-20 | |
| 09/25 | SCINTILLA CHARTER ACADEMY | vs | W | 49-8 | |
| 10/02 | OLD PLANK CHRISTIAN ACADEMY | vs | W | 35-32 | |
| 10/08 | AUCILLA CHRISTIAN | vs | W | 46-27 | |
| 10/16 | DIXIE COUNTY | at | W | 28-22 | |
| 10/23 | CORNERSTONE CLASSICAL ACADEMY | at | W | 60-55 | |
| 10/30 | TAYLOR | at | PROJ | 48-3 | 98.7% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 9-0 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 9-0 so far | 10-0 (99%) | 10.0-0.0 |
| League | 1-0 so far | 1-0 (100%) | 1.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 9 | 44.3 | 21.3 | 369.7 | 267.9 | 37.3 | 44.0 |
| HOME | 5 | 45.4 | 16.4 | 345.0 | 272.0 | 31.2 | 45.8 |
| ROAD | 4 | 43.0 | 27.5 | 400.5 | 263.8 | 45.0 | 42.2 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | @ All Saints' Academy | W 37-13 | 64 | 313 | 377 | 183 | -30 | 153 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 8/28 | vs. First Coast Christian | W 41-8 | 54 | 239 | 293 | 162 | 56 | 218 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| 9/4 | vs. Keystone Heights | W 56-7 | 97 | 269 | 366 | 65 | 59 | 124 | -- | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| 9/18 | @ St. Joseph Academy | W 47-20 | 66 | 235 | 301 | 127 | 89 | 216 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +1 |
| 9/25 | vs. Scintilla Charter Academy | W 49-8 | 70 | 334 | 404 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/2 | vs. OPCA | W 35-32 | 62 | 292 | 354 | 156 | 254 | 410 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/8 | vs. Aucilla Christian | W 46-27 | 62 | 246 | 308 | 203 | 133 | 336 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| 10/16 | @ Dixie County | W 28-22 | 96 | 264 | 360 | 119 | 198 | 317 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/23 | @ CCA | W 60-55 | 140 | 424 | 564 | 317 | 52 | 369 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| AVERAGES | 79.0 | 290.7 | 369.7 | 166.5 | 101.4 | 267.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | +12 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 8/9, sacks/INT 2/9, sacks allowed 1/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 43.5/100 (-28 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 94.7/100 (+161 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 41.4/100 (+8 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 72.9/100 (-50 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | TAYLOR | 0-3 | 0.0 |
LAST YEAR
HIL finished 2025 at 3-6. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 54-34 over INTERLACHEN (INTERLACHEN finished 27% that season). Toughest loss: 48-49 to ST. JOSEPH ACADEMY (1-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-22 | FERNANDINA BEACH | L | 0-1 | 6 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-29 | HARVEST COMMUNITY | W | 1-1 | 48 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-04 | CORNERSTONE CLASSICAL ACADEMY | W | 2-1 | 40 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | EAGLE'S VIEW | L | 2-2 | 14 | 22 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | ST. JOSEPH ACADEMY | L | 2-3 | 48 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | BRANFORD (FL) | L | 2-4 | 13 | 37 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | OLD PLANK CHRISTIAN ACADEMY | L | 2-5 | 19 | 32 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | INTERLACHEN | W | 3-5 | 54 | 34 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | ATKINSON COUNTY | L | 3-6 | 15 | 55 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 9 GMS | 3-6 | 3-6 | 257 | 298 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• HIL holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• HIL holds its opponents under 100 rushing yards (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• HIL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.999), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• HIL forces fewer than 2 takeaways (.999), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• HIL's offense has averaged 0.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 0.3 giveaways per game. (-100%)
• HIL's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• HIL's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• HIL's offense has exceeded 150 rush yds in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• HIL's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• HIL's offense has exceeded 6.0 YPP in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• HIL's offense has exceeded 7.0 YPP in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• HIL's defense has averaged 159.2 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 101.4 rush yards per game. (+57%)
• HIL's offense has averaged 45.9 points scored per game over their last 7 games. Their 28-game average is 30.0 points scored per game. (+53%)
• HIL rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards
• HIL averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
HIL -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 9 scored; vs 949 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Pass Yds < 200 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | 0.700 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | 0.680 |
| 3 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | 0.679 |
| 4 | OFF | Rush Yds 150+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | 0.635 |
| 5 | OFF | YPC 5+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | 0.625 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- HIL ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| HIL rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 9-0 | .999 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 9-0 | .999 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 9-0 | .999 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 7-0 | .999 | 43.3 | W7 |
| HIL holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 6-0 | .999 | 21.7 | W6 |
| HIL holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 12.0 | W4 |
| HIL holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 4-0 | .999 | 15.5 | W4 |
| HIL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 12.0 | W4 |
| HIL holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways | 4-0 | .999 | 22.5 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| HIL | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 9-0 | .999 | 44.3 |
| HIL | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 9-0 | .999 | 44.3 |
| HIL | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 9-0 | .999 | 44.3 |
| HIL | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 7-0 | .999 | 43.3 |
| HIL | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 6-0 | .999 | 21.7 |
| HIL | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-0 | .999 | 12.0 |
| HIL | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 4-0 | .999 | 15.5 |
| HIL | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | .999 | 12.0 |
| HIL | Rush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+ | 4-0 | .999 | 22.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 43.8 | W8 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 48.0 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 43.3 | W7 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-5 | .000 | 2.8 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-6 | .000 | 14.3 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 24.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-1 | .667 | 34.7 |
| Scores 40+ | 10-2 | .833 | 48.9 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 43.8 | W8 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPC 5.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 6.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 7.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 48.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 43.3 | W7 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 36.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 49.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.3 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 16.8 | W5 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W6 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 20.6 | W5 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 21.7 | W6 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 21.7 | W6 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W4 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 43.5 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 16.2 | W6 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W7 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 22.4 | W5 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.7 | W3 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 7.2 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-1 | .667 | 15.3 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-2 | .600 | 22.4 |
| Allows 30-39 | 3-3 | .500 | 33.8 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-9 | .100 | 48.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.3 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 16.8 | W5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W6 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 20.6 | W5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 21.7 | W6 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 21.7 | W6 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 43.5 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 16.2 | W6 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W7 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W2 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 22.4 | W5 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.7 | W3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.7 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 23.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 32.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 55.0 |
HILLIARD
• HILLIARD has won 9 straight (8/21/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 10 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• HILLIARD has played turnover-free in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• HILLIARD has forced 2+ turnovers in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not forced 2+ turnovers in 3 straight since 8/28/26–9/18/26 (2026).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 43.8 | W8 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W9 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 48.0 | W2 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 43.3 | W7 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 | W1 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 2.8 | L5 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 14.3 | L6 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 24.0 | W1 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 34.7 | W2 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 12 | 10-2 | .833 | 48.9 | W7 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.3 | W3 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 16.8 | W5 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W6 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W3 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 20.6 | W5 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 21.7 | W6 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 21.7 | W6 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W4 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W4 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 43.5 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 16.2 | W6 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W7 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 22.4 | W5 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.7 | W3 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 7.2 | W4 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 15.3 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 22.4 | W3 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 33.8 | W2 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 10 | 1-9 | .100 | 48.2 | W1 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/08/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| HIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| HIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/08/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
HIL OFFENSE
HIL's offense has averaged 0.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 0.3 giveaways per game. (-100%)
HIL's offense has averaged 45.9 points scored per game over their last 7 games. Their 28-game average is 30.0 points scored per game. (+53%)
HIL's offense has averaged 7.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 11.0 YPC. (-31%)
HIL's offense has averaged 99.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 79.0 pass yards per game. (+26%)
HIL's offense has averaged 8.4 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 10.9 YPP. (-23%)
HIL DEFENSE
HIL's defense has averaged 159.2 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 101.4 rush yards per game. (+57%)
HIL's defense has averaged 6.1 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 4.2 YPC. (+47%)
HIL's defense has averaged 358.0 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 267.9 total yards per game. (+34%)
HIL's defense has averaged 1.2 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 1.7 takeaways per game. (-28%)
HIL's defense has averaged 213.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 166.5 pass yards per game. (+28%)
HIL's defense has averaged 24.4 points allowed per game over their last 7 games. Their 28-game average is 31.1 points allowed per game. (-22%)
HIL's defense has averaged 7.2 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 5.9 YPP. (+21%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 213.0 | 8 | 166.5 | +27.9% | |
| HIL | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 99.3 | 9 | 79.0 | +25.7% | |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 7 | 24.4 | 28 | 31.1 | -21.6% | |
| HIL | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 7 | 45.9 | 28 | 30.0 | +53.0% | |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 159.2 | 8 | 101.4 | +57.1% | |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 5 | 358.0 | 8 | 267.9 | +33.6% | |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.7 | -28.0% | |
| HIL | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.3 | -100.0% | |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 5 | 6.1 | 8 | 4.2 | +47.1% | |
| HIL | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 7.6 | 9 | 11.0 | -31.2% | |
| HIL | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 5 | 7.2 | 8 | 5.9 | +21.1% | |
| HIL | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 8.4 | 9 | 10.9 | -23.0% |
