Every completed 2026 game between two teams with full stats on file, graded the honest way: each game is re-projected using only the games that had been played before it, then checked against the final score. Updated weekly.
| Week of | Games | Winners | Winner % | Within 5 | Within 10 | Avg miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 12% | 62% | 10.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | 2273 | 1881-383 | 83% | 44% | 57% | 9.8 |
| 2026-10-04 | 2300 | 1877-421 | 82% | 42% | 57% | 10.2 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2176 | 1750-423 | 81% | 41% | 56% | 10.3 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2276 | 1806-463 | 80% | 37% | 54% | 11.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2233 | 1716-515 | 77% | 33% | 49% | 12.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 2186 | 1614-564 | 74% | 32% | 47% | 12.9 |
| 2026-08-30 | 2170 | 1540-624 | 71% | 29% | 43% | 13.8 |
| 2026-08-23 | 2057 | 1368-688 | 67% | 24% | 38% | 15.1 |
| 2026-08-16 | 911 | 583-321 | 64% | 23% | 37% | 16.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 96 | 67-28 | 71% | 25% | 35% | 16.1 |
| 2026-08-02 | 9 | 5-4 | 56% | 22% | 44% | 17.5 |
Weeks start on Thursday. Margins are capped at 28 points before grading, the same cap the projections use, so a 56-0 rout counts as a 28-point game on both sides. Ties are left out of the winner figures. Through 2026-10-20; 18,695 games graded.
