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In short: La Mirada (9-3) at Paramount (11-1), November 20, 2026, Gateway League. The full report has the projection, unit grades, storylines, pregame notes, Big Game Watch, series history, season stats and both rosters.

SCOREPIRATE MATCHUP REPORT ·
LA MIRADA (AWAY) AT PARAMOUNT (HOME)
LA MIRADA 23.1  —  28.6 PARAMOUNT
PARAMOUNT 60.9% FAVORITES

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⚠ LA MIRADA OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 11/13/2026 GAME VS. DESERT CHRISTIAN ACADEMY** MISSING
⚠ LA MIRADA OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 11/06/2026 GAME VS. PALOMA VALLEY** MISSING
⚠ PARAMOUNT OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 11/13/2026 GAME VS. ST. MONICA** MISSING
Figures are subject to change when the box score posts.
UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)
TEAMPASS ORUSH OPASS DRUSH D
LA MIRADA42.0 (-32.0)54.3 (-1.1)38.9 (+11.5)66.4 (-35.1)
PARAMOUNT87.2 (+87.5)75.3 (+51.3)70.4 (-32.2)73.0 (-50.1)
LA MIRADA AT PARAMOUNT
ADVANCED STATS PREVIEW · 2026 SEASON
RANKS VS CIF Southern Section · 432 teams DOWNLOAD CARD AS PDFDOWNLOAD AS JPEG
WIN PROB
39.1%
PROJ PTS
23.1
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SP STRENGTH INDEX··
UNIT INDEX··
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DEF··
POINTS / GAME··
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YARDS / GAME··
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YARDS ALLOWED / G··
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YARDS / PLAY··
OFF··
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TURNOVER MARGIN··
TAKEAWAYS··
GIVEAWAYS··
SACKS / GAME··
DEF MADE··
OFF ALLOWED··
PLAY CALLS (OFF)·
RUSH·
PLAYS FACED (DEF)·
RUSH·
LM OFF VS PARA DEF
··RUSH YDS / G··
··YDS / CARRY··
··PASS YDS / G··
··YDS / ATTEMPT··
··POINTS / G··
··RUSH O / RUSH D INDEX··
··PASS O / PASS D INDEX··
··TURNOVERS LOST / FORCED··
··SACKS ALLOWED / MADE··
PARA OFF VS LM DEF
··RUSH YDS / G··
··YDS / CARRY··
··PASS YDS / G··
··YDS / ATTEMPT··
··POINTS / G··
··RUSH O / RUSH D INDEX··
··PASS O / PASS D INDEX··
··TURNOVERS LOST / FORCED··
··SACKS ALLOWED / MADE··
WIN PROB
60.9%
PROJ PTS
28.6
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··SP STRENGTH INDEX
··UNIT INDEX
··OFF
··DEF
··POINTS / GAME
··OFF
··DEF
··YARDS / GAME
··PASS
··RUSH
··YARDS ALLOWED / G
··PASS
··RUSH
··YARDS / PLAY
··OFF
··DEF
··TURNOVER MARGIN
··TAKEAWAYS
··GIVEAWAYS
··SACKS / GAME
··DEF MADE
··OFF ALLOWED
·PLAY CALLS (OFF)
·RUSH
·PLAYS FACED (DEF)
·RUSH

Rank chips: 1 = best in the pool; blue strong, red weak. Yardage and efficiency use games with a full box score on file; points and turnovers use every played game. Unit Index = opponent-adjusted 0-100 league percentile.

PROJECTION COMPONENTS
COMPONENTPOINTSWEIGHTCONTRIBUTION
Common Opponents+5.6830%+1.73
Strength-0.4625%-0.11
Efficiency-23.7721%-5.05
Own Margin-9.4520%-1.93
Head To Head+22.583%+0.76
Garbage Time Margin--0%+0.00
EPA Efficiency--0%+0.00
What if he’s out?

Mark players out to re-project this game. Each value is how much of the margin that player is worth, from this season's data (his share of his team's win shares). Estimates — your selections change only your view.

PROJECTED TEAM YARDAGE
CATEGORYTEAMPROJECTED
PassingLA MIRADA115.7
PassingPARAMOUNT213.2
RushingLA MIRADA135.1
RushingPARAMOUNT141.0
TotalLA MIRADA250.7
TotalPARAMOUNT354.2
PROJECTED BOX SCORE
LA MIRADA — PASSING
PLAYERC/ATTCOMP %YDSYPATDINTQBR
ISAAC CUEVAS8.7/17.150.8%102.26.00.90.5112.7
SAM CAMERON0.8/1.077.0%13.513.80.00.0184.5
TOTALS9.4/18.152.2%115.76.40.90.5116.8
LA MIRADA — RUSHING
PLAYERCARYDSYPCTD
JOSIAH FREGOSO13.596.17.10.8
ISMAEL GARCIA6.339.06.20.4
TOTALS19.9135.16.81.2
LA MIRADA — RECEIVING
PLAYERRECYDSYPCTD
KAIDEN WARDLOW5.150.29.90.6
ADAN TEDRICK2.545.318.00.3
JOSIAH FREGOSO2.520.28.20.1
TOTALS10.0115.711.50.9
PARAMOUNT — PASSING
PLAYERC/ATTCOMP %YDSYPATDINTQBR
OCHO ELIJAH QUINONEZ11.6/16.072.7%189.311.82.20.3213.2
NATHANIEL HERNANDEZ1.6/3.248.5%23.97.40.30.1137.4
TOTALS13.2/19.268.6%213.211.12.50.4200.5
PARAMOUNT — RUSHING
PLAYERCARYDSYPCTD
DERRICK JACKSON13.172.05.50.6
JONAH GRAY5.836.96.40.2
NASIR BOYETTE4.932.16.50.5
TOTALS23.8141.05.91.3
PARAMOUNT — RECEIVING
PLAYERRECYDSYPCTD
JERIMIAH BOYETTE3.969.918.00.8
MYLAN WILLIAM3.656.716.00.6
DAVION LANCASTER3.254.917.20.6
DEON ANTHONY2.131.715.30.5
TOTALS12.7213.216.82.5
PREGAME NOTES

Paramount allowed 7.3 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #24 in CIF-SS during that period. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. In the 9 games since that hot start (9-0), the Pirates have allowed 17.4 points per game, a 138% rise, #77 in CIF-SS during that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Paramount's last 9 opponents have averaged 25.3 points per game, a #192 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 19.0 points per game, #297 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.3 points per game), Paramount held those offenses 31% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, Paramount ranks #47 in CIF-SS in scoring defense. La Mirada's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #113 in CIF-SS (30.7 points per game).

Something changed for Paramount's offense after its first 3 games. The Pirates averaged 20.3 points per game over their first 3 games (2-1), #245 in CIF-SS over that period. In the 9 games since that slow start (9-0), Paramount has averaged 47.3 points per game, a 133% rise, #5 in CIF-SS over that timeframe. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 26.4 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (26.0 points per game), Paramount scored 82% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #245 in CIF-SS. On the season, the Pirates rank #20 in CIF-SS in scoring. La Mirada's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #176 in CIF-SS (22.9 points per game).

One of La Mirada's shakiest areas lately has been its pass defense. La Mirada allowed 5.8 yards per pass attempt (808 yards on 140 attempts) over its first 5 games (4-1), #61 in CIF-SS over that span. In the 7 games since that hot start (5-2), the Matadores have allowed 10.5 yards per pass attempt (1,413 yards on 135 attempts), an 81% rise, #342 in CIF-SS in that timeframe. The schedule has a lot to do with it: La Mirada's last 7 opponents have averaged 9.9 yards per attempt, a #64 passing attack in CIF-SS on the season, against 8.0 yards per attempt, #167 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.9 yards per attempt), La Mirada allowed 6% more per attempt than those passing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 7 opponents average a rating that would rank #106 in CIF-SS, well above the first 5 (#202), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, La Mirada ranks #230 in CIF-SS in pass defense. It won't get any easier against Paramount, whose passing game ranks #9 in CIF-SS (13.0 yards per attempt).

Paramount's defense has forced more turnovers as the season has progressed. Paramount forced 1.1 takeaways per game over its first 8 games (7-1), #228 in CIF-SS in that window. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Pirates have forced 2.0 takeaways per game, a 78% rise, #57 in CIF-SS during that time. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Paramount's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.3 per game, a #233 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 1.5 per game, #260 for the first 8. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.3 per game), Paramount forced 51% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #203 in CIF-SS, well above the first 8 (#278), which makes the improvement more impressive. On the season, Paramount ranks #186 in CIF-SS in takeaways. The trend lines up well against La Mirada, whose ball security ranks just #334 of 404 (1.8 per game).

La Mirada's ball security has turned it over less as the weeks have passed. The Matadores committed 2.2 giveaways per game over their first 8 games (5-3), #377 in CIF-SS through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), La Mirada has committed 0.7 giveaways per game, a 70% drop, #67 in CIF-SS through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: La Mirada's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.5 per game, a #141 defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 1.3 per game, #197 for the first 8. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.5 per game), La Mirada turned it over 56% less than those defenses usually force. On the season, the Matadores rank #334 in CIF-SS in giveaways. Paramount's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #191 in CIF-SS (1.4 per game).

La Mirada's defense has been gashed as the year has continued. La Mirada allowed 5.1 yards per play (1,297 yards on 253 snaps) over its first 5 games (4-1), #62 in CIF-SS over that stretch. In the 7 games since that hot start (5-2), the Matadores have allowed 8.1 yards per play (1,923 yards on 236 snaps), a 59% rise, #309 in CIF-SS within that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: La Mirada's last 7 opponents have averaged 7.6 yards per play, a #101 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 6.5 yards per play, #192 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.6 yards per play), La Mirada allowed 7% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 7 opponents average a rating that would rank #106 in CIF-SS, well above the first 5 (#202), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, La Mirada ranks #201 in CIF-SS in yards per play allowed. It won't get any easier against Paramount, whose offense ranks #9 in CIF-SS (10.6 yards per play).

BIG GAME WATCH

Players positioned for an outsized game because of this opponent: a player's share of his team's win shares, weighted by the tendencies of the team across from him. Only matchup-driven picks are shown.

La Mirada

Ryan GonzalesDL5 sacks and 13 TFLParamount averages 13.0 yards per pass attempt, #8 of 363 in CIF-SS; getting home early may decide it
Jaylen ScottDB3 INT, 40 tacklesParamount averages 13.0 yards per pass attempt, #8 of 363 in CIF-SS; taking one away may decide it

Paramount

Nothing about this opponent moves one player ahead of the rest.

MILESTONE WATCH

La Mirada

  • Matt Ybarra needs 2 tackles for 75 (averaging 8.1 a game)
  • Adan Tedrick needs 46 receiving yards for 500 (averaging 64.9 a game)
  • Fernando Orozco needs 6 tackles for 75 (averaging 6.9 a game)

Paramount

  • Jerimiah Boyette needs 36 receiving yards for 1,000 (averaging 160.7 a game)
  • Ocho Elijah Quinonez needs 208 passing yards for 3,000 (averaging 253.8 a game)
  • Jonah Gray needs 5 tackles for 50 (averaging 5.0 a game)
  • Omari Leopold needs 2 sacks for 10 (averaging 1.6 a game)
STORYLINES

If there's one number to watch in this matchup, it's La Mirada's scoring defense. La Mirada allowed 7.0 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #19 in CIF-SS in that timeframe. In the 9 games since that hot start (6-3), the Matadores have allowed 28.2 points per game, a 303% rise, #268 in CIF-SS in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: La Mirada's last 9 opponents have averaged 29.7 points per game, a #130 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 23.5 points per game, #226 for the first 3. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 9 opponents average a rating that would rank #104 in CIF-SS, well above the first 3 (#277), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Paramount's offense has been one of CIF-SS's better units in recent weeks. The Pirates have averaged 47.3 points per game over their last 9 games (9-0), #5 in CIF-SS during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in CIF-SS (26.0 points per game on the season, which would rank #245). Against those norms, Paramount scored 82% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #245 in CIF-SS, a lower level of competition. Unless La Mirada's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Paramount. La Mirada is 9-0 this season when it holds opponents under 41, and 0-3 when it doesn't.

The battle on the air has the potential to swing this matchup, with the recent returns favoring Paramount. Paramount averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt (521 yards on 75 attempts) over its first 4 games (3-1), #226 in CIF-SS through those games. In the 8 games since that slow start (8-0), the Pirates have averaged 16.3 yards per pass attempt (2,271 yards on 139 attempts), a 135% rise, #1 in CIF-SS through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 9.1 yards per attempt on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.0 yards per attempt), Paramount threw for 82% more per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #247 in CIF-SS. Meanwhile, La Mirada's pass defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Matadores have allowed 9.4 yards per pass attempt (1,601 yards on 171 attempts) over their last 8 games (6-2), #296 in CIF-SS over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better passing attacks in CIF-SS (9.5 yards per attempt on the season, which would rank #77). On paper, that is a matchup that favors Paramount.

The Paramount offense of late is barely reminiscent of the one that began the season. Paramount averaged 6.8 yards per play (1,308 yards on 191 snaps) over its first 4 games (3-1), #150 in CIF-SS within that period. In the 8 games since that slow start (8-0), the Pirates have averaged 13.1 yards per play (3,853 yards on 295 snaps), a 91% rise, #5 in CIF-SS across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Paramount's last 8 opponents have averaged 7.7 yards per play, a #293 defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 8.5 yards per play, #346 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.7 yards per play), Paramount gained 70% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #247 in CIF-SS. Meanwhile, La Mirada's defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Matadores have allowed 7.4 yards per play (2,207 yards on 299 snaps) over their last 8 games (6-2), #258 in CIF-SS during those games. Those games came against some of the better offenses in CIF-SS (7.5 yards per play on the season, which would rank #117). La Mirada offers Paramount a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.

SERIES HISTORY — LM vs PAR
Prep this game in Stat BoothLA MIRADA team sheetPARAMOUNT team sheet
TIDBITS (24 found)

• Club La Mirada is 64-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (64 such games).

• Club The last time Paramount went a game being held under 5.0 yards per carry was September 13, 2024 against Carson (L, 0-36). Since then Paramount has gone 28 straight games averaging 5.0+ yards per carry, a school-record 28 straight in the 22 seasons on record.

• Club La Mirada is 62-2 all time when averaging 7.0+ yards per play. La Mirada's last loss when averaging 7.0+ yards per play was November 7, 2025 against Beckman (L, 21-41).

• Club La Mirada has won 4 straight, and a win would make it 5 in a row. The last time they won 5 or more in a row was 2017, a run of 5.

• Club The last time Paramount went a game committing 3+ turnovers was October 31, 2025 against Warren (L, 6-31). Since then Paramount has gone 12 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers, a school-record 12 straight in the 22 seasons on record.

• Club La Mirada is 26-2 all time when forcing 3+ turnovers. La Mirada's last loss when forcing 3+ turnovers was October 7, 2022 against Mayfair (L, 14-16).

• Club Paramount is 18-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (18 such games).

• Club La Mirada is 9-3 entering play against Paramount, a start the program has had 1 time before in 23 seasons on record -- most recently 2015, which finished 13-3.

• Player Isaac Cuevas has gone 7 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.

• Club Paramount is 22-1 all time when averaging 7.0+ yards per play. Paramount's last loss when averaging 7.0+ yards per play was October 9, 2015 against Warren (L, 27-30).

• Player Josiah Fregoso has 503 rushing yards over his last 3 games (167.7 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• Series La Mirada leads the all-time series with Paramount 4-0, across 4 meetings dating to 2006, and has won 4 straight in the series -- most recently 37-16 on October 24, 2025.

• Club Paramount is 19-2 all time when averaging 8.0+ yards per attempt. Paramount's last loss when averaging 8.0+ yards per attempt was September 16, 2022 against Redondo Union (L, 13-42).

• Player Josiah Fregoso has 5 rushing touchdowns over his last 3 games (1.7 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• Club Paramount has scored 187 points over its last 4 games (46.8 a game, October 23, 2026 through November 13, 2026) -- its 3rd-highest 4-game total on record; the most is 209, from September 11, 2026 through October 9, 2026.

• Player Matt Ybarra has 50 tackles over his last 6 games (8.3 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 6-game stretch on record.

• Player Ocho Elijah Quinonez has gone 9 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.

• Player Kaiden Wardlow has gone 2 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.

• Player Jonah Gray has 336 rushing yards over his last 3 games (112.0 a game, October 23, 2026 through November 6, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• Player Riley Gonzales has 33 tackles over his last 4 games (8.2 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch since the 37 he had from November 1, 2024 through September 5, 2025.

• Player Ocho Elijah Quinonez has gone 6 straight games throwing for 200+ yards, the longest such streak of his career.

• Player Mylan William has 393 receiving yards over his last 4 games (98.2 a game, October 16, 2026 through November 6, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch on record.

• Player Mylan William has 4 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.3 a game, October 23, 2026 through November 6, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• Player Davion Lancaster has 260 receiving yards over his last 3 games (86.7 a game, October 23, 2026 through November 6, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

LM — STAT LEADERS
FULL ROSTER ↓
OFFENSE
PASSING LEADER
1047PASS YDS
C-ATT85-149
COMP%57.0%
YPA7.0
TD11
INT5
QBR133.7
RUSHING LEADER
671RUSH YDS
CAR74
YPC9.1
RUSH TD5
REC15
REC YDS148
YPR9.9
REC TD1
RUSHING LEADER
199RUSH YDS
CAR27
YPC7.4
RUSH TD3
REC0
REC YDS0
YPR--
REC TD0
RECEIVING LEADER
454REC YDS
REC20
YPR22.7
REC TD3
RECEIVING LEADER
372REC YDS
REC34
YPR10.9
REC TD5
DEFENSE
TACKLES LEADER
78TCKL
TFL13
SACKS5
INT4
PD0
FF2
TACKLES LEADER
73TCKL
TFL3
SACKS0
INT0
PD0
FF0
TACKLES LEADER
69TCKL
TFL0
SACKS0
INT1
PD0
FF0
TFL LEADER
11TFL
TCKL54
SACKS2
INT0
PD0
FF1
TFL LEADER
10TFL
TCKL36
SACKS5
INT0
PD0
FF1
SACKS LEADER
4SACKS
TCKL54
TFL4
INT0
PD0
FF0
SACKS LEADER
4SACKS
TCKL30
TFL8
INT0
PD0
FF1
INTERCEPTIONS LEADER
4INT
TCKL32
TFL0
SACKS0
PD0
FF0
PAR — STAT LEADERS
FULL ROSTER ↓
OFFENSE
PASSING LEADER
2792PASS YDS
C-ATT153-213
COMP%71.8%
YPA13.1
TD32
INT2
QBR229.6
RUSHING LEADER
787RUSH YDS
CAR91
YPC8.6
RUSH TD7
REC1
REC YDS3
YPR3.0
REC TD0
RUSHING LEADER
663RUSH YDS
CAR66
YPC10.0
RUSH TD3
REC6
REC YDS109
YPR18.2
REC TD1
RECEIVING LEADER
964REC YDS
REC41
YPR23.5
REC TD11
RECEIVING LEADER
750REC YDS
REC47
YPR16.0
REC TD8
DEFENSE
TACKLES LEADER
45TCKL
TFL3
SACKS1
INT0
PD0
FF0
TACKLES LEADER
40TCKL
TFL16
SACKS8
INT0
PD0
FF2
TACKLES LEADER
40TCKL
TFL17
SACKS2
INT0
PD0
FF1
TFL LEADER
15TFL
TCKL26
SACKS10
INT0
PD1
FF2
TFL LEADER
12TFL
TCKL28
SACKS3
INT0
PD0
FF0
SACKS LEADER
8SACKS
TCKL22
TFL11
INT0
PD0
FF3
SACKS LEADER
4SACKS
TCKL17
TFL5
INT0
PD0
FF2
INTERCEPTIONS LEADER
4INT
TCKL17
TFL3
SACKS0
PD3
FF1
SEASON OUTLOOK

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

--- LA MIRADA ---

RECORD TO DATEMOST LIKELY FINALPROJECTED RECORD
Overall7-3 so far7-4 (61%)7.4-3.6
League3-2 so far3-2 (100%)3.0-2.0

--- PARAMOUNT ---

RECORD TO DATEMOST LIKELY FINALPROJECTED RECORD
Overall9-1 so far10-1 (61%)9.6-1.4
League5-0 so far5-0 (100%)5.0-0.0
TALKING POINTS (14 storylines)
LM IS LIKELIEST TO BEAT PAR IF...

• LM holds PAR under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 6 straight when doing so

• LM holds PAR under 7.0 yards per play (.999), and has won 6 straight when doing so

• LM holds PAR under 100 rushing yards (.999), and has won 6 straight when doing so

PAR IS LIKELIEST TO BEAT LM IF...

• PAR averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 8 straight when doing so

• PAR throws for 200+ yards (.999), and has won 7 straight when doing so

• PAR commits zero giveaways (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so

• LM's offense has averaged 0.5 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 1.8 giveaways per game. (-72%)

• LM's defense has averaged 35.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 99.9 rush yards per game. (-65%)

• LM's offense has averaged 13.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 8.3 YPA. (+64%)

• LM's defense has averaged 1.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 4.1 YPC. (-55%)

• LM's offense has averaged 11.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 7.3 YPP. (+52%)

• LM's offense has averaged 8.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.0 YPC. (+49%)

• PAR's offense has averaged 318.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 215.4 rush yards per game. (+48%)

• PAR's defense has averaged 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 1.4 takeaways per game. (+47%)

• PAR's offense has averaged 366.0 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 253.8 pass yards per game. (+44%)

MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

LM -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 4 of 4 scored; vs 3264 cached team(s))

#SIDECONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRKSCORE
1DEFTurnovers 1+7-1.87516.1W20.737
2DEFRush Yds < 1507-1.87518.2W20.504
3OFFTurnovers < 36-2.75036.4W30.470
4OFFTurnovers 1+6-2.75028.4W20.230

PAR -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 5 of 14 scored; vs 3264 cached team(s))

#SIDECONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRKSCORE
1OFFYPA 8+8-01.00049.2W80.862
2OFFTurnovers < 29-01.00044.6W90.755
3OFFYPP 7+9-01.00046.3W90.755
4DEFTurnovers 1+9-01.00013.2W90.738
5OFFTurnovers < 310-1.90941.4W90.467
WIN %: TWO-CONDITION COMBINATIONS (12 found, min 4 Gms each)

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- LM ---

CONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRK
LM holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways5-1.83319.2W1
LM holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards5-0.9999.0W5
LM holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards5-0.99910.6W5
LM averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards2-2.50032.2W2
LM holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards4-0.99913.8W4
LM holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry4-0.9999.8W4
LM holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play while forcing 2+ takeaways4-0.99911.2W4

--- PAR ---

CONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRK
PAR averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards9-1.90039.0W8
PAR averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards8-1.88939.9W8
PAR averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards7-0.99947.0W7
PAR holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards5-1.8339.5W5
PAR averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways4-0.99950.0W4
WIN % -- TAB-SEPARATED
TeamConditionRecordWin%PPG
LMRush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+5-1.83319.2
LMYPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 1005-0.9999.0
LMYPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 1505-0.99910.6
LMYPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+2-2.50032.2
LMRush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 2004-0.99913.8
LMYPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.04-0.9999.8
LMYPP < 6.0 & Turnovers 2+4-0.99911.2
PARYPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+9-1.90039.0
PARYPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+8-1.88939.9
PARYPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+7-0.99947.0
PARRush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 2005-1.8339.5
PARYPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 14-0.99950.0
PREGAME NOTES

The next meeting brings together La Mirada (9-3 this season) and Paramount (11-1). The SP Strength Index has La Mirada at #104 and Paramount at #127 of 431 in the CIF-Southern Section. La Mirada leads the recent series 4-0 over the last 4 meetings. In the most recent meeting, on October 24, 2025, La Mirada pulled away 37-16.

In the process of winning 5 of its last 7 entering play, La Mirada's takeaway production has been the team's calling card (forced 2+ takeaways in 6 of its last 10, 7-3 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Matadores handling Desert Christian Academy 34-21. Unbeaten in its last 7 entering play, Paramount's ball security has been the team's calling card (committed no more than one giveaway in 7 straight games, 7-0 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Pirates handling St. Monica 32-28.

The matchup within the matchup pairs La Mirada's takeaway production with Paramount's ball security. La Mirada has taken the ball away 20 times in the Matadores' last 10 games — the Matadores have gone 7-3 in that stretch. They'll face a stiff test when the two meet. Paramount has turned the ball over only 3 times in the Pirates' last 7 games, never committing more than one giveaway in a game — the Pirates have gone 7-0 in that stretch. La Mirada has historically had its way in this matchup: 2.0 takeaways per game across its last 2 meetings with Paramount, against 1.1 versus everyone else in the same span.

STORYLINES

WEAKNESS VS. STRENGTH — La Mirada has an uncomfortable assignment when the two meet. La Mirada's pass defense has been a real vulnerability over the Matadores' last 5 games. The defense has conceded 200+ passing yards in 4 of the 5 games while averaging 282.6 passing yards allowed per game (including a high of 411 in that span vs. Cerritos). That is 48% above the Matadores' baseline of 191.3 yards per game over the 22 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Matadores have gone 3-2 in that stretch. Across the line, Paramount's passing attack has been playing at a high level over the Pirates' last 5 games. The offense has threw for 200+ yards in 5 straight games, averaging 366.2 passing yards per game (including a high of 534 in that span vs. California). That is 227% above the Pirates' baseline of 112.0 yards per game over the 20 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Pirates have gone 5-0 in that stretch.

STRENGTH VS. STRENGTH — La Mirada's rush defense has been playing at a high level over the Matadores' last 10 games. The defense has held its opponents under 100 rushing yards in 6 of the 10 games while averaging 99.9 rushing yards allowed per game (including a low of -5 in that span vs. Norwalk). That is 46% below the Matadores' baseline of 185.3 yards per game over the 17 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Matadores have gone 7-3 in that stretch. They'll face a stiff test when the two meet. Paramount's rushing offense has been playing at a high level over the Pirates' last 5 games. The ground game has eclipsed 200 rushing yards in 4 of the 5 games while averaging 267.6 rushing yards per game (including a high of 354 in that span vs. Norwalk). That is 42% above the Pirates' baseline of 188.0 yards per game over the 20 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Pirates have gone 5-0 in that stretch.

STRENGTH VS. STRENGTH — La Mirada's pass protection has been playing at a high level over the Matadores' last 10 games. The offensive line has kept the quarterback clean in 6 of the 10 games while averaging 0.6 sacks allowed per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. South Gate). That is 74% below the Matadores' baseline of 2.3 per game over the 18 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Matadores have gone 7-3 in that stretch. They'll face a stiff test when the two meet. Paramount's pass rush has been playing at a high level over the Pirates' last 10 games. The defense has recorded 3+ sacks in 6 of the 10 games while averaging 3.7 sacks per game (including a high of 8 in that span vs. Dymally). That is 32% above the Pirates' baseline of 2.8 per game over the 16 games prior — a clear jump; the Pirates have gone 9-1 in that stretch.

LM — OFFENSE (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+3-01.00042.3W3
YPA < 8.02-2.50028.2W1 5 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+2-01.00039.0W2
Pass Yds < 2003-2.60032.4W1 5 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+2-2.50032.2W2
Rush Yds < 1003-01.00037.0W3 5 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+2-2.50032.2W2
Rush Yds < 1503-01.00037.0W3 5 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+3-2.60035.6W2
YPC < 5.02-01.00031.0W2 5 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+4-01.00042.2W4
YPP < 6.01-2.33323.7L2 5 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+3-01.00042.3W3
YPP < 7.02-2.50028.2W1 5 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+6-2.75028.4W2
Turnovers < 12-1.66735.7W1 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+4-2.66726.3L1 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 22-1.66714.3L1 1 games without this stat on file
PAR — OFFENSE (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+8-01.00049.2W8
YPA < 8.02-1.66720.3W1 1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+7-01.00047.0W7
Pass Yds < 2003-1.75031.5W2 1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+9-1.90039.0W8
Rush Yds < 1001-01.00065.0W1 1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+9-1.90039.0W8
Rush Yds < 1501-01.00065.0W1 1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+10-1.90941.4W9
YPC < 5.0-------- 1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+9-1.90042.4W9
YPP < 6.01-01.00031.0W1 1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+9-01.00046.3W9
YPP < 7.01-1.50019.0L1 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+5-1.83337.3W5
Turnovers < 15-01.00046.2W5 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+1-1.50027.0W1 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2-------- 1 games without this stat on file
LM — DEFENSE (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+1-3.25041.0L2
YPA < 8.06-01.00012.7W6 2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+3-2.60027.2W1
Pass Yds < 2004-1.80020.8W2 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+1-3.25045.2W1
Rush Yds < 1006-01.0009.8W6 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+0-2.00047.0L2
Rush Yds < 1507-1.87518.2W2 2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+2-3.40037.4W1
YPC < 5.05-01.00010.6W5 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+2-3.40039.0W1
YPP < 6.05-01.0009.0W5 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+1-3.25041.0L2
YPP < 7.06-01.00012.7W6 2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+7-1.87516.1W2
Turnovers < 11-2.33341.7W1 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+6-1.85718.4W2 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 25-01.00011.8W5 1 games without this stat on file
PAR — DEFENSE (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+2-01.00027.5W2
YPA < 8.07-1.87512.0W7 2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+1-01.00028.0W1
Pass Yds < 2008-1.88913.7W8 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+5-1.83319.3W5
Rush Yds < 1004-01.0008.8W4 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+3-01.00022.0W3
Rush Yds < 1506-1.85712.1W6 2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+7-1.87518.9W7
YPC < 5.02-01.0000.0W2 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+4-01.00027.8W4
YPP < 6.05-1.8336.7W5 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+2-01.00027.5W2
YPP < 7.07-1.87512.0W7 2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+9-01.00013.2W9
Turnovers < 11-1.50016.0W1 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+5-01.0009.2W5 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 21-01.0000.0W1 1 games without this stat on file
LM — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-1.0000.0
Scores 10-191-1.50019.0
Scores 20-292-1.66726.3
Scores 30-392-01.00036.0
Scores 40+4-01.00044.8
LM — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <103-01.0004.0
Allows 10-194-01.00015.2
Allows 20-291-01.00021.0
Allows 30-391-01.00031.0
Allows 40+0-3.00050.0
PAR — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-1.0007.0
Scores 10-19------
Scores 20-291-01.00023.0
Scores 30-393-01.00031.0
Scores 40+7-01.00052.0
PAR — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION (12 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <104-01.0000.8
Allows 10-192-1.66712.3
Allows 20-294-01.00026.0
Allows 30-391-01.00035.0
Allows 40+------
ON THE BRINK

LA MIRADA

• LA MIRADA has won 4 straight (10/23/26–11/13/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

PARAMOUNT

• PARAMOUNT has scored 30+ in 9 straight games (9/11/26–11/13/26). It has not reached 10 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• PARAMOUNT has won 10 straight (9/4/26–11/13/26). It has not reached 11 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

TAB-SEPARATED (paste into a spreadsheet)
TeamSideSplitGamesRecordWin%PPGStrk
LMOFFENSEYPA 8.0+33-01.00042.3W3
LMOFFENSEYPA < 8.042-2.50028.2W1
LMOFFENSEPass Yds 200+22-01.00039.0W2
LMOFFENSEPass Yds < 20053-2.60032.4W1
LMOFFENSERush Yds 100+42-2.50032.2W2
LMOFFENSERush Yds < 10033-01.00037.0W3
LMOFFENSERush Yds 150+42-2.50032.2W2
LMOFFENSERush Yds < 15033-01.00037.0W3
LMOFFENSEYPC 5.0+53-2.60035.6W2
LMOFFENSEYPC < 5.022-01.00031.0W2
LMOFFENSEYPP 6.0+44-01.00042.2W4
LMOFFENSEYPP < 6.031-2.33323.7L2
LMOFFENSEYPP 7.0+33-01.00042.3W3
LMOFFENSEYPP < 7.042-2.50028.2W1
LMOFFENSETurnovers 1+86-2.75028.4W2
LMOFFENSETurnovers < 132-1.66735.7W1
LMOFFENSETurnovers 2+64-2.66726.3L1
LMOFFENSETurnovers > 232-1.66714.3L1
LMOFFENSEScores <1010-1.0000.0L1
LMOFFENSEScores 10-1921-1.50019.0L1
LMOFFENSEScores 20-2932-1.66726.3W1
LMOFFENSEScores 30-3922-01.00036.0W2
LMOFFENSEScores 40+44-01.00044.8W4
LMDEFENSEYPA 8.0+41-3.25041.0L2
LMDEFENSEYPA < 8.066-01.00012.7W6
LMDEFENSEPass Yds 200+53-2.60027.2W1
LMDEFENSEPass Yds < 20054-1.80020.8W2
LMDEFENSERush Yds 100+41-3.25045.2W1
LMDEFENSERush Yds < 10066-01.0009.8W6
LMDEFENSERush Yds 150+20-2.00047.0L2
LMDEFENSERush Yds < 15087-1.87518.2W2
LMDEFENSEYPC 5.0+52-3.40037.4W1
LMDEFENSEYPC < 5.055-01.00010.6W5
LMDEFENSEYPP 6.0+52-3.40039.0W1
LMDEFENSEYPP < 6.055-01.0009.0W5
LMDEFENSEYPP 7.0+41-3.25041.0L2
LMDEFENSEYPP < 7.066-01.00012.7W6
LMDEFENSETurnovers 1+87-1.87516.1W2
LMDEFENSETurnovers < 131-2.33341.7W1
LMDEFENSETurnovers 2+76-1.85718.4W2
LMDEFENSETurnovers > 255-01.00011.8W5
LMDEFENSEAllows <1033-01.0004.0W3
LMDEFENSEAllows 10-1944-01.00015.2W4
LMDEFENSEAllows 20-2911-01.00021.0W1
LMDEFENSEAllows 30-3911-01.00031.0W1
LMDEFENSEAllows 40+30-3.00050.0L3
PAROFFENSEYPA 8.0+88-01.00049.2W8
PAROFFENSEYPA < 8.032-1.66720.3W1
PAROFFENSEPass Yds 200+77-01.00047.0W7
PAROFFENSEPass Yds < 20043-1.75031.5W2
PAROFFENSERush Yds 100+109-1.90039.0W8
PAROFFENSERush Yds < 10011-01.00065.0W1
PAROFFENSERush Yds 150+109-1.90039.0W8
PAROFFENSERush Yds < 15011-01.00065.0W1
PAROFFENSEYPC 5.0+1110-1.90941.4W9
PAROFFENSEYPP 6.0+109-1.90042.4W9
PAROFFENSEYPP < 6.011-01.00031.0W1
PAROFFENSEYPP 7.0+99-01.00046.3W9
PAROFFENSEYPP < 7.021-1.50019.0L1
PAROFFENSETurnovers 1+65-1.83337.3W5
PAROFFENSETurnovers < 155-01.00046.2W5
PAROFFENSETurnovers 2+21-1.50027.0W1
PAROFFENSEScores <1010-1.0007.0L1
PAROFFENSEScores 20-2911-01.00023.0W1
PAROFFENSEScores 30-3933-01.00031.0W3
PAROFFENSEScores 40+77-01.00052.0W7
PARDEFENSEYPA 8.0+22-01.00027.5W2
PARDEFENSEYPA < 8.087-1.87512.0W7
PARDEFENSEPass Yds 200+11-01.00028.0W1
PARDEFENSEPass Yds < 20098-1.88913.7W8
PARDEFENSERush Yds 100+65-1.83319.3W5
PARDEFENSERush Yds < 10044-01.0008.8W4
PARDEFENSERush Yds 150+33-01.00022.0W3
PARDEFENSERush Yds < 15076-1.85712.1W6
PARDEFENSEYPC 5.0+87-1.87518.9W7
PARDEFENSEYPC < 5.022-01.0000.0W2
PARDEFENSEYPP 6.0+44-01.00027.8W4
PARDEFENSEYPP < 6.065-1.8336.7W5
PARDEFENSEYPP 7.0+22-01.00027.5W2
PARDEFENSEYPP < 7.087-1.87512.0W7
PARDEFENSETurnovers 1+99-01.00013.2W9
PARDEFENSETurnovers < 121-1.50016.0W1
PARDEFENSETurnovers 2+55-01.0009.2W5
PARDEFENSETurnovers > 211-01.0000.0W1
PARDEFENSEAllows <1044-01.0000.8W4
PARDEFENSEAllows 10-1932-1.66712.3W2
PARDEFENSEAllows 20-2944-01.00026.0W4
PARDEFENSEAllows 30-3911-01.00035.0W1
STREAKS — ALL TEAMS
TeamSideSplitStreakDatesRecord
MATCHUP CONFLICT POINTS: LM vs PAR

Each pair of rows above is tinted by the gap between the two teams' win% in that scenario, judged for the HOME team (the bottom row):

GRAY = negligible gap (.000-.050)

PURPLE = solid gap (.051-.150)

GREEN = big gap (.151+), favoring the home team

RED = big gap (.151+), against the home team

LM OFFENSE vs PAR DEFENSE

100 RUSH YDS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER42-2.50032.2W2
PARDEFOVER65-1.83319.3W5
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER33-01.00037.0W3
PARDEFUNDER44-01.0008.8W4
150 RUSH YDS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER42-2.50032.2W2
PARDEFOVER33-01.00022.0W3
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER33-01.00037.0W3
PARDEFUNDER76-1.85712.1W6
YPC 5.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER53-2.60035.6W2
PARDEFOVER87-1.87518.9W7
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER22-01.00031.0W2
PARDEFUNDER22-01.0000.0W2
YPA 8.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER33-01.00042.3W3
PARDEFOVER22-01.00027.5W2
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER42-2.50028.2W1
PARDEFUNDER87-1.87512.0W7
200 PASS YDS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER22-01.00039.0W2
PARDEFOVER11-01.00028.0W1
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER53-2.60032.4W1
PARDEFUNDER98-1.88913.7W8
0 TURNOVERS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFZERO32-1.66735.7W1
PARDEFZERO21-1.50016.0W1
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER86-2.75028.4W2
PARDEFOVER99-01.00013.2W9
2+ TURNOVERS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER64-2.66726.3L1
PARDEFOVER55-01.0009.2W5
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER54-1.80035.2W3
PARDEFUNDER65-1.83317.5W5
>2 TURNOVERS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER32-1.66714.3L1
PARDEFOVER11-01.0000.0W1
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER86-2.75036.4W3
PARDEFUNDER109-1.90015.1W8
YPP 6.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER44-01.00042.2W4
PARDEFOVER44-01.00027.8W4
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER31-2.33323.7L2
PARDEFUNDER65-1.8336.7W5
YPP 7.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFOVER33-01.00042.3W3
PARDEFOVER22-01.00027.5W2
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMOFFUNDER42-2.50028.2W1
PARDEFUNDER87-1.87512.0W7

PAR OFFENSE vs LM DEFENSE

100 RUSH YDS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER41-3.25045.2W1
PAROFFOVER109-1.90039.0W8
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER66-01.0009.8W6
PAROFFUNDER11-01.00065.0W1
150 RUSH YDS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER20-2.00047.0L2
PAROFFOVER109-1.90039.0W8
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER87-1.87518.2W2
PAROFFUNDER11-01.00065.0W1
YPC 5.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER52-3.40037.4W1
PAROFFOVER1110-1.90941.4W9
YPA 8.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER41-3.25041.0L2
PAROFFOVER88-01.00049.2W8
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER66-01.00012.7W6
PAROFFUNDER32-1.66720.3W1
200 PASS YDS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER53-2.60027.2W1
PAROFFOVER77-01.00047.0W7
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER54-1.80020.8W2
PAROFFUNDER43-1.75031.5W2
0 TURNOVERS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFZERO31-2.33341.7W1
PAROFFZERO55-01.00046.2W5
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER87-1.87516.1W2
PAROFFOVER65-1.83337.3W5
2+ TURNOVERS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER76-1.85718.4W2
PAROFFOVER21-1.50027.0W1
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER42-2.50031.2W1
PAROFFUNDER99-01.00044.6W9
>2 TURNOVERS
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER63-3.50032.5W2
PAROFFUNDER1110-1.90941.4W9
YPP 6.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER52-3.40039.0W1
PAROFFOVER109-1.90042.4W9
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER55-01.0009.0W5
PAROFFUNDER11-01.00031.0W1
YPP 7.0
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFOVER41-3.25041.0L2
PAROFFOVER99-01.00046.3W9
TMSIDESPLITGMREC.WIN%PPGSTRK
LMDEFUNDER66-01.00012.7W6
PAROFFUNDER21-1.50019.0L1

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

NOTABLE TRENDS (20 of 20 found, team |deviation| >= 20%, matchup |deviation| >= 20%)

LM OFFENSE

LM's offense has averaged 0.5 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 1.8 giveaways per game. (-72%)

LM's offense has averaged 13.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 8.3 YPA. (+64%)

LM's offense has averaged 11.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 7.3 YPP. (+52%)

LM's offense has averaged 8.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.0 YPC. (+49%)

LM's offense has averaged 162.5 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 7-game average is 128.1 rush yards per game. (+27%)

PAR OFFENSE

PAR's offense has averaged 318.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 215.4 rush yards per game. (+48%)

PAR's offense has averaged 366.0 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 253.8 pass yards per game. (+44%)

PAR's offense has averaged 11.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 19.3 YPA. (-40%)

PAR's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+37%)

PAR's offense has averaged 615.2 total yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 469.2 total yards per game. (+31%)

PAR's offense has averaged 11.7 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 15.2 YPP. (-23%)

LM DEFENSE

LM's defense has averaged 35.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 99.9 rush yards per game. (-65%)

LM's defense has averaged 1.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 4.1 YPC. (-55%)

LM's defense has averaged 13.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 12-game average is 22.9 points allowed per game. (-40%)

LM's defense has averaged 1.2 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 11-game average is 2.1 takeaways per game. (-40%)

LM's defense has averaged 282.6 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 10-game average is 222.1 pass yards per game. (+27%)

LM's defense has averaged 8.2 YPP over their last 7 games. Their 10-game average is 6.6 YPP. (+24%)

PAR DEFENSE

PAR's defense has averaged 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 1.4 takeaways per game. (+47%)

PAR's defense has averaged 21.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 12-game average is 14.9 points allowed per game. (+41%)

PAR's defense has averaged 158.8 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 128.0 rush yards per game. (+24%)

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 2, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

APPENDIX

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- GAME PROJECTION -- FULL DETAIL (report pages 1-2)

Library-native projection: computed directly from the game library (slate_projection.SlateEngine), not the Excel workbook engine. This section does not yet include: an outside Strength Index cross-check (computer/CCCAA rankings -- workbook-only).

Note 2 -- SEASON OUTLOOK

Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).

Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- MATCHUP CONFLICTS — TAB-SEPARATED (13 columns)

Team1Side1Split1Record1Win%1PPG1Team2Side2Split2Record2Win%2PPG2Relevance
PAROFFENSEYPP 7.0+9-01.00046.3LMDEFENSEYPP < 7.06-01.00012.71.000
PAROFFENSEYPA 8.0+8-01.00049.2LMDEFENSEYPA < 8.06-01.00012.71.000
LMOFFENSERush Yds < 1503-01.00037.0PARDEFENSERush Yds 150+3-01.00022.01.000
PAROFFENSERush Yds < 1501-01.00065.0LMDEFENSERush Yds 150+0-2.00047.01.000
PAROFFENSEYPC 5.0+10-1.90941.4LMDEFENSEYPC < 5.05-01.00010.60.909
PAROFFENSERush Yds 100+9-1.90039.0LMDEFENSERush Yds < 1006-01.0009.80.900
PAROFFENSEYPP 6.0+9-1.90042.4LMDEFENSEYPP < 6.05-01.0009.00.900
LMOFFENSEPass Yds 200+2-01.00039.0PARDEFENSEPass Yds < 2008-1.88913.70.889
PAROFFENSETurnovers < 15-01.00046.2LMDEFENSETurnovers 1+7-1.87516.10.875
LMOFFENSEYPA 8.0+3-01.00042.3PARDEFENSEYPA < 8.07-1.87512.00.875
LMOFFENSEYPP 7.0+3-01.00042.3PARDEFENSEYPP < 7.07-1.87512.00.875
LMOFFENSEYPC < 5.02-01.00031.0PARDEFENSEYPC 5.0+7-1.87518.90.875
LMOFFENSEYPP 6.0+4-01.00042.2PARDEFENSEYPP < 6.05-1.8336.70.833
LMOFFENSERush Yds < 1003-01.00037.0PARDEFENSERush Yds 100+5-1.83319.30.833
PAROFFENSEPass Yds 200+7-01.00047.0LMDEFENSEPass Yds < 2004-1.80020.80.800
PAROFFENSERush Yds 150+9-1.90039.0LMDEFENSERush Yds < 1507-1.87518.20.775
PAROFFENSERush Yds < 1001-01.00065.0LMDEFENSERush Yds 100+1-3.25045.20.750
LMOFFENSEYPP < 6.01-2.33323.7PARDEFENSEYPP 6.0+4-01.00027.80.667
LMOFFENSETurnovers < 12-1.66735.7PARDEFENSETurnovers 1+9-01.00013.20.667
LMOFFENSEYPC 5.0+3-2.60035.6PARDEFENSEYPC < 5.02-01.0000.00.600
LMOFFENSEPass Yds < 2003-2.60032.4PARDEFENSEPass Yds 200+1-01.00028.00.600
PAROFFENSEYPP < 6.01-01.00031.0LMDEFENSEYPP 6.0+2-3.40039.00.600
PAROFFENSETurnovers 1+5-1.83337.3LMDEFENSETurnovers < 11-2.33341.70.500
LMOFFENSERush Yds 100+2-2.50032.2PARDEFENSERush Yds < 1004-01.0008.80.500
LMOFFENSEYPA < 8.02-2.50028.2PARDEFENSEYPA 8.0+2-01.00027.50.500
LMOFFENSEYPP < 7.02-2.50028.2PARDEFENSEYPP 7.0+2-01.00027.50.500
PAROFFENSEYPA < 8.02-1.66720.3LMDEFENSEYPA 8.0+1-3.25041.00.417
LMOFFENSERush Yds 150+2-2.50032.2PARDEFENSERush Yds < 1506-1.85712.10.357
PAROFFENSEPass Yds < 2003-1.75031.5LMDEFENSEPass Yds 200+3-2.60027.20.350
LMOFFENSETurnovers 1+6-2.75028.4PARDEFENSETurnovers < 11-1.50016.00.250
PAROFFENSEYPP < 7.01-1.50019.0LMDEFENSEYPP 7.0+1-3.25041.00.250

Data Export 2 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)

TeamSideTypeStatOpponentWindow/MeetingsValueBaselineGamesBaselineAvgDeviation
LMDEFENSEteamPass Yardslast 7282.610222.1+27.2%
LMDEFENSEteamPointslast 313.71222.9-40.4%
LMDEFENSEteamRush Yardslast 335.01099.9-65.0%
LMOFFENSEteamRush Yardslast 5162.57128.1+26.8%
LMDEFENSEteamTurnoverslast 51.2112.1-40.2%
LMOFFENSEteamTurnoverslast 30.5111.8-72.5%
LMOFFENSEteamYPAlast 313.678.3+63.7%
LMDEFENSEteamYPClast 31.8104.1-55.2%
LMOFFENSEteamYPClast 38.976.0+48.8%
LMDEFENSEteamYPPlast 78.2106.6+23.8%
LMOFFENSEteamYPPlast 311.177.3+52.1%
PAROFFENSEteamPass Yardslast 7366.011253.8+44.2%
PARDEFENSEteamPointslast 321.01214.9+40.8%
PARDEFENSEteamRush Yardslast 5158.810128.0+24.0%
PAROFFENSEteamRush Yardslast 3318.511215.4+47.9%
PAROFFENSEteamTotal Yardslast 7615.211469.2+31.1%
PARDEFENSEteamTurnoverslast 32.0111.4+46.7%
PAROFFENSEteamTurnoverslast 31.0110.7+37.5%
PAROFFENSEteamYPAlast 311.61119.3-40.0%
PAROFFENSEteamYPPlast 311.71115.2-22.9%
LM — ROSTER (79) 26-27
#NAMEPOSCLASS
QUARTERBACKS
9SAM CAMERON
PASS 12/15 · 80.0% · 192 YDS · 12.8 YPA · 0 TD · 0 INT · 48.0/G
RUSH 9 CAR · 13 YDS · 1.4 YPC · 0 TD · 3.2/G
REC 1 REC · 5 YDS · 5.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.2/G
QBSo.
12ISAAC CUEVAS
PASS 85/149 · 57.0% · 1,047 YDS · 7.0 YPA · 11 TD · 5 INT · 149.6/G
RUSH 15 CAR · -51 YDS · -3.4 YPC · 0 TD · -7.3/G
QBSr.
13BRANDON WILLIG
PASS 0/1 · 0.0% · 0 YDS · 0.0 YPA · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0.0/G
QBSo.
RUNNING BACKS
1JOSIAH FREGOSO
RUSH 74 CAR · 671 YDS · 9.1 YPC · 5 TD · 111.8/G
REC 15 REC · 148 YDS · 9.9 YPC · 1 TD · 24.7/G
RBSr.
22ISMAEL GARCIA
RUSH 27 CAR · 199 YDS · 7.4 YPC · 3 TD · 66.3/G
RBSr.
25EVAN HERRERA
RUSH 2 CAR · 19 YDS · 9.5 YPC · 0 TD · 19.0/G
RBSr.
26LEON WON
RUSH 11 CAR · 24 YDS · 2.2 YPC · 0 TD · 12.0/G
RBSr.
RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS
2WYATT GORHAM
REC 5 REC · 26 YDS · 5.2 YPC · 1 TD · 3.2/G
DEF 32 TKL · 4.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 4 INT
WRSr.
3KAIDEN WARDLOW
RUSH 10 CAR · 45 YDS · 4.5 YPC · 0 TD · 6.4/G
REC 34 REC · 372 YDS · 10.9 YPC · 5 TD · 53.1/G
WRSo.
8MATTHEW SOLORIO
REC 1 REC · 19 YDS · 19.0 YPC · 0 TD · 19.0/G
TESr.
11BRODY PALMER
REC 4 REC · 65 YDS · 16.2 YPC · 0 TD · 32.5/G
WRSo.
14ADAN TEDRICK
PASS 1/1 · 100.0% · 27 YDS · 27.0 YPA · 1 TD · 0 INT · 3.9/G
REC 20 REC · 454 YDS · 22.7 YPC · 3 TD · 64.9/G
WRJr.
80CHASE GROSE
REC 1 REC · 3 YDS · 3.0 YPC · 0 TD · 3.0/G
WRSo.
85JOSH ANGULO
REC 2 REC · 25 YDS · 12.5 YPC · 0 TD · 12.5/G
TESr.
OFFENSIVE LINE
60DEANGELO GARCIA
RUSH 1 CAR · 1 YDS · 1.0 YPC · 1 TD · 1.0/G
TSr.
DEFENSIVE LINE
35CHRISTIAN PRADO
DEF 54 TKL · 6.0 TKL/G · 11 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DEJr.
42RILEY GONZALES
DEF 30 TKL · 3.8 TKL/G · 8 TFL · 4.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DTSo.
44AMIR MCCALOPE
DEF 54 TKL · 5.4 TKL/G · 4 TFL · 4.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DESr.
58CHRISTOPHER SOWELL
DEF 36 TKL · 4.5 TKL/G · 10 TFL · 5.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DESr.
75VITO CONSOLE
DEF 12 TKL · 2.4 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DTJr.
LINEBACKERS
18MATT YBARRA
DEF 73 TKL · 8.1 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
MLBJr.
21ANTHONY FRANCO
DEF 43 TKL · 5.4 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT
OLBJr.
54DOMINIC FELIZ
DEF 3 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT
LBSo.
DEFENSIVE BACKS
0FERNANDO OROZCO
RUSH 2 CAR · -24 YDS · -12.0 YPC · 0 TD · -2.4/G
REC 1 REC · 2 YDS · 2.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.2/G
DEF 69 TKL · 6.9 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT
FSSr.
5MARCUS SOWELL
DEF 33 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
CBSr.
6JAYLEN SCOTT
DEF 40 TKL · 4.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 3 INT
CBSr.
7BOBBY LAGMAY
DEF 10 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
CBSr.
20ZACHARY BECERRIL
DEF 15 TKL · 2.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
SSSr.
23LEEROY GIBSON
DEF 7 TKL · 3.5 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT
CBJr.
PAR — ROSTER (82) 26-27
#NAMEPOSCLASS
QUARTERBACKS
8OCHO ELIJAH QUINONEZ
PASS 153/213 · 71.8% · 2,792 YDS · 13.1 YPA · 32 TD · 2 INT · 253.8/G
RUSH 15 CAR · 100 YDS · 6.7 YPC · 0 TD · 9.1/G
REC 1 REC · 40 YDS · 40.0 YPC · 0 TD · 3.6/G
QBJr.
RUNNING BACKS
11DERRICK JACKSON
RUSH 91 CAR · 787 YDS · 8.6 YPC · 7 TD · 98.4/G
REC 1 REC · 3 YDS · 3.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.4/G
DEF 15 TKL · 1.9 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 3.0 SACKS · 0 INT
RBJr.
RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS
1MYLAN WILLIAM
REC 47 REC · 750 YDS · 16.0 YPC · 8 TD · 93.8/G
DEF 4 TKL · 0.5 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
WRJr.
5DAVION LANCASTER
RUSH 3 CAR · 32 YDS · 10.7 YPC · 0 TD · 3.2/G
REC 42 REC · 721 YDS · 17.2 YPC · 8 TD · 72.1/G
DEF 12 TKL · 1.2 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
WRSr.
OFFENSIVE LINE
13NATHAN NEWELL
DEF 3 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
CSo.
28ANGEL HERNANDEZ
DEF 1 TKL · 0.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
TJr.
54NEYSEN SEU
DEF 23 TKL · 4.6 TKL/G · 12 TFL · 3.0 SACKS · 0 INT
OTSr.
DEFENSIVE LINE
17OMARI LEOPOLD
DEF 22 TKL · 4.4 TKL/G · 11 TFL · 8.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DESr.
LINEBACKERS
21AYDEN FERMON
RUSH 22 CAR · 172 YDS · 7.8 YPC · 1 TD · 17.2/G
DEF 34 TKL · 3.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
MLBJr.
DEFENSIVE BACKS
4KAREEM BLUE
DEF 22 TKL · 3.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT
FSJr.
18DEVIN WATSON
DEF 11 TKL · 5.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT
SJr.
ATHLETES
2DEON ANTHONY
DEF 17 TKL · 2.1 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 4 INT
ATHJr.
OTHER / UNLISTED POSITION
3JONAH GRAY
RUSH 66 CAR · 663 YDS · 10.0 YPC · 3 TD · 73.7/G
REC 6 REC · 109 YDS · 18.2 YPC · 1 TD · 12.1/G
DEF 45 TKL · 5.0 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Sr.
6JERIMIAH BOYETTE
REC 41 REC · 964 YDS · 23.5 YPC · 11 TD · 160.7/G
--Sr.
9SAMMY SPENCER
DEF 14 TKL · 2.8 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Jr.
12ANDREW REYES
DEF 11 TKL · 2.8 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--So.
23GERALD SYKES
DEF 18 TKL · 3.6 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--So.
26DYLAN MILLAN
DEF 40 TKL · 4.0 TKL/G · 16 TFL · 8.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Sr.
30HECTOR BUENOS
RUSH 17 CAR · 39 YDS · 2.3 YPC · 1 TD · 19.5/G
REC 1 REC · 1 YDS · 1.0 YPC · 1 TD · 0.5/G
--Sr.
31NASIR BOYETTE
RUSH 55 CAR · 560 YDS · 10.2 YPC · 8 TD · 56.0/G
REC 15 REC · 127 YDS · 8.5 YPC · 2 TD · 12.7/G
--Fr.
32ANGEL HARO
DEF 4 TKL · 1.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 1 INT
--Jr.
34MATTHEW GARCIA
DEF 3 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--So.
42TYQWAN THIRSTY
DEF 10 TKL · 2.5 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Sr.
44NESTUH NATAPA
DEF 26 TKL · 3.7 TKL/G · 15 TFL · 10.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Sr.
50PEDRO DIAZ
DEF 3 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--So.
51JOHNATHAN MARTINEZ
DEF 28 TKL · 2.8 TKL/G · 12 TFL · 3.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Jr.
52ROGELIO CHAVEZ
DEF 8 TKL · 1.6 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Jr.
53KEVIN FLORES
DEF 2 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--So.
55ROBERT TORRESS
DEF 40 TKL · 4.4 TKL/G · 17 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Sr.
77MOISES SANCHEZ
DEF 5 TKL · 2.5 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Sr.
78ALEXANDER NAVARRO
DEF 3 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Jr.
95JOSHUA REYES
DEF 17 TKL · 1.9 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 4.0 SACKS · 0 INT
--Jr.
Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED 11/14/2026 13:59