In short: Mayfair Monsoons high school football (Lakewood, CA), 2026 season: 2-7 in the Gateway League. Last game: L 14-42 vs La Serna on October 23, 2026. Next: vs La Mirada, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The turnover battle could decide Mayfair's next game, against La Mirada, and the recent returns favor Mayfair. Mayfair committed 1.8 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #297 in CIF-SS in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), the Monsoons have committed 1.0 giveaways per game, a 44% drop, #119 in CIF-SS in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.6 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.7 per game), Mayfair turned it over 39% less than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #90 in CIF-SS, well above the first 5 (#151), which makes the improvement more impressive. Conversely, La Mirada's defense has been one of CIF-SS's better units in recent weeks. The Matadores have forced 1.5 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #125 in CIF-SS during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in CIF-SS (1.3 per game on the season, which would rank #219). Against those norms, La Mirada forced 14% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #90 in CIF-SS, a strong slate. Something has to give when Mayfair's surging ball security meets one of CIF-SS's better units in La Mirada's.
The number to watch when Mayfair meets La Mirada is Mayfair's scoring. Mayfair averaged 31.0 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #125 in CIF-SS through those games. In the 6 games since that hot start (0-6), the Monsoons have averaged 17.0 points per game, a 45% drop, #314 in CIF-SS through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mayfair's last 6 opponents have averaged 23.8 points per game, a #208 scoring defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 31.2 points per game, #319 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (23.8 points per game), Mayfair scored 29% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in CIF-SS, well above the first 3 (#219), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Mayfair was held to 14 points or fewer 3 times in those games, including 7 against ScorePirate CIF-SS #23 Dana Hills on 9/18. Meanwhile, La Mirada's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Matadores have allowed 35.5 points per game over their last 6 games (3-3), #337 in CIF-SS over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better offenses in CIF-SS (30.2 points per game on the season, which would rank #124). Against those norms, La Mirada allowed 17% more than those offenses usually score. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #91 in CIF-SS, a strong slate. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Mayfair is 2-1 this season when it scores 26 or more, and 0-6 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest worry in Mayfair's season has been the direction of its defense. Mayfair allowed 38.5 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #365 in CIF-SS within that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), the Monsoons have allowed 47.4 points per game, a 23% rise, #394 in CIF-SS across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mayfair's last 5 opponents have averaged 35.2 points per game, a #68 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 20.9 points per game, #268 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (35.2 points per game), Mayfair allowed 35% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #76 in CIF-SS, well above the first 4 (#205), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Mayfair ranks #391 in CIF-SS in scoring defense. La Mirada's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #128 in CIF-SS (29.7 points per game).
TIDBITS (6 found)
• Club Mayfair has lost 6 straight, and a loss would make it 7 in a row. The last time they lost 7 or more in a row was 2024, a run of 7.
• Club Mayfair has gone 17 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 12, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 6-11 over that stretch, a school-record 17 straight in the 22 seasons on record.
• Club Mayfair has gone 5 straight games allowing 8.0+ yards per attempt (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-5 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 22 seasons on record.
• Club Mayfair has gone 5 straight games allowing 7.0+ yards per play (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-5 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 22 seasons on record.
• Club Mayfair is 13-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (13 such games).
• Club Mayfair has allowed 167 points over its last 4 games (41.8 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 3rd-highest 4-game total on record; the most is 184, from August 28, 2026 through September 18, 2026.
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Oct 26; roster and numbers checked Oct 6.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
3 CIF-SS titles · 1 CIF-SS runner-up finish · 1 CIF State runner-up finish · 6 CIF-SS Players of the Year
YEAR
HONOR
2023
CIF STATE RUNNER-UP (lost to Marin Catholic 38-18)
CIF-SS Division 7 CHAMPION (def. El Dorado 31-28)
CIF-SS Offensive Player of the Year (Division 7): CHAZ GILBREATH
CIF-SS Offensive Player of the Year (Division 7): JEREMIAH CALVIN
2018
CIF-SS Defensive Player of the Year (Division 6): CHRIS ADIMORA
2008
CIF-SS Southern RUNNER-UP (lost to Laguna Hills 28-21)
CIF-SS Defensive Player of the Year (Southern): RONALD KENNEDY
2001
CIF-SS Div. VI CHAMPION (def. La Mirada 22-9)
CIF-SS Offensive Player of the Year (VI): JIMMY MANLEY
1998
CIF-SS Div. IX CHAMPION (def. La Mirada 28-14)
CIF-SS Offensive Player of the Year (IX): MIKE HARRISON
Section and state results and Players of the Year: CIF-SS Record Book. League finishes judged from league schedules on file (2022-2025 seasons); earlier league titles are not on file.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 4/9, sacks/INT 4/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 76.7/100 (+48 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 59.1/100 (+9 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 12.6/100 (+63 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 50.4/100 (-4 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
MAY finished 2025 at 4-7. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 42-18 over DOMINGUEZ (DOMINGUEZ finished 55% that season). Toughest loss: 29-34 to LAS VEGAS (5-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
MAY HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• MAY averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.909), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• MAY averages 6.0+ yards per play (.909), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• MAY averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.900), and has won 6 straight when doing so
• MAY rushes for 100+ yards (.769), but most recently lost to Dana Hills when doing so
• MAY's offense has averaged 0.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 1.2 giveaways per game. (-100%)
• MAY's defense has averaged 342.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 197.9 pass yards per game. (+73%)
• MAY averages 9.4+ yards per attempt (MAY's own median) (.999)
• MAY's defense has conceded 8.0+ YPA in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• MAY's defense has conceded 100+ rush yds in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• MAY's defense has conceded 6.0+ YPP in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• MAY's defense has conceded 7.0+ YPP in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• MAY's defense has averaged 47.4 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 32-game average is 32.4 points allowed per game. (+46%)
• MAY's offense has averaged 100.0 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 16-game average is 179.8 rush yards per game. (-44%)
• MAY's defense has averaged 0.4 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 31-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-44%)
• MAY's offense has averaged 3.3 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 16-game average is 5.8 YPC. (-43%)
MAY — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (32 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-5
.000
4.6
Scores 10-19
0-6
.000
13.7
Scores 20-29
3-5
.375
24.6
Scores 30-39
5-1
.833
36.0
Scores 40+
6-1
.857
45.6
MAY — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
2-0
1.000
46.5
W2
YPA < 8.0
0-2
.000
3.5
L2
5 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
1-0
1.000
41.0
W1
Pass Yds < 200
1-2
.333
19.7
L1
5 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
2-1
.667
33.3
L1
Rush Yds < 100
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
5 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
2-0
1.000
46.5
W2
Rush Yds < 150
0-2
.000
3.5
L2
5 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
2-0
1.000
46.5
W2
YPC < 5.0
0-2
.000
3.5
L2
5 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
2-0
1.000
46.5
W2
YPP < 6.0
0-2
.000
3.5
L2
5 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
2-0
1.000
46.5
W2
YPP < 7.0
0-2
.000
3.5
L2
5 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
2-4
.333
21.5
L3
Turnovers < 1
0-3
.000
22.0
L3
Turnovers 2+
1-3
.250
17.8
L2
Turnovers > 2
0-2
.000
9.5
L2
MAY — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-2
.000
3.5
Scores 10-19
0-3
.000
14.3
Scores 20-29
0-1
.000
21.0
Scores 30-39
0-1
.000
31.0
Scores 40+
2-0
1.000
46.5
MAY — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (32 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
5-16
.238
39.1
L5
YPA < 8.0
8-1
.889
21.2
W3
2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
4-8
.333
39.9
L4
Pass Yds < 200
9-10
.474
29.4
L4
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
8-16
.333
37.8
L5
Rush Yds < 100
4-1
.800
17.2
W3
3 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
3-9
.250
40.7
L7
Rush Yds < 150
9-8
.529
29.7
L3
3 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
8-13
.381
38.0
L5
YPC < 5.0
4-4
.500
24.5
L1
3 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
7-16
.304
38.1
L5
YPP < 6.0
6-1
.857
19.6
W4
2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
6-14
.300
40.3
L5
YPP < 7.0
7-3
.700
20.7
W3
2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
9-8
.529
28.1
L2
Turnovers < 1
5-9
.357
37.5
L4
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
1-4
.200
33.6
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
MAY — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (32 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
2-0
1.000
3.5
Allows 10-19
3-1
.750
15.8
Allows 20-29
5-2
.714
23.9
Allows 30-39
2-5
.286
32.4
Allows 40+
2-10
.167
47.8
MAY — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
2-6
.250
45.9
L5
YPA < 8.0
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
2-4
.333
47.2
L4
Pass Yds < 200
0-3
.000
36.0
L3
Rush Yds 100+
2-6
.250
45.9
L5
Rush Yds < 100
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
0-3
.000
51.3
L3
Rush Yds < 150
2-3
.400
42.6
L3
1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
1-5
.167
47.7
L5
YPC < 5.0
1-1
.500
40.5
L1
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
2-6
.250
45.9
L5
YPP < 6.0
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
2-6
.250
45.9
L5
YPP < 7.0
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
1-3
.250
43.2
L2
Turnovers < 1
1-4
.200
43.6
L4
Turnovers 2+
0-1
.000
42.0
L1
Turnovers > 2
--
--
--
--
MAY — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
--
--
--
Allows 10-19
--
--
--
Allows 20-29
0-1
.000
24.0
Allows 30-39
0-1
.000
33.0
Allows 40+
2-5
.286
47.7
ON THE BRINK
MAYFAIR
• MAYFAIR has allowed 250+ passing in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MAYFAIR has played turnover-free in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MAYFAIR has allowed 30+ in 5 straight games (9/18/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MAYFAIR has allowed a 100-yard receiver in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
MAY's defense has averaged 342.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 197.9 pass yards per game. (+73%)
MAY's defense has averaged 47.4 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 32-game average is 32.4 points allowed per game. (+46%)
MAY's defense has averaged 0.4 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 31-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-44%)
MAY's defense has averaged 13.1 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 30-game average is 9.8 YPA. (+34%)
MAY's defense has averaged 452.3 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 339.6 total yards per game. (+33%)
MAY's defense has averaged 10.4 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 30-game average is 8.1 YPP. (+28%)
MAY's defense has averaged 110.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 151.5 rush yards per game. (-27%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where MAYFAIR sits among 399 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 72.1, Defense Grade 40.4.
PASS YARDS ALLOWED / GAME: MAYFAIR VS THE SECTION
MAYFAIR ranks #342 of 356 section teams in passing yards allowed per game (230.7) -- a weakness worth a look.
MAYFAIR: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 18.0 in 2022 to 6.6 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
