CFBPirate
MENU
HOMESCOREBOARDPROJECTIONSTEAMS
STANDINGSGRAPH
RANKINGS
LEADERSBREAKOUTSSITUATIONAL RANKINGSGARBAGE TIMEQB LEADERBOARDSKILL LEADERBOARDDEFENSE LEADERBOARDHISTORY
PLAYOFFS
CFPFCS PLAYOFFD2 PLAYOFFD3 PLAYOFF
NOTIFICATIONSSTAT FINDER

FBS

Weekly Projections

Oct 27–31, 2026

FBSFCSDivision IIDivision III
← Previous weekDownload PDF

Projected Results 56 games

Opened Sun, Oct 25 · no injury reports yet · tap a game for its full report

Pirate Picks record
Straight up
76%
717–232
Against the spread
57%
538–399 · 12 push
Over/under
52%
498–451
68 pending
About these projections

56 projected FBS game(s) this week (of 312 across all four divisions). Every matchup here has both teams at full box-score detail in the library (704 of 747 teams).

Opening projections for this week were published Sunday, Oct 25. They update as conference availability (injury) reports are released (Big Ten, SEC, Big 12, ACC); a game that has moved shows where it opened. No reports for this week yet.

A game appears under a conference only when both schools play in it; everything else is Non-Conference. A team marked N is ranked N in the FBS Power Rankings (top 25 only). PIRATE PICK columns are CFB Pirate's own against-the-spread and over/under picks (FBS/FCS only), updated with the projection and the line until game day, then locked and graded against the line at that point.

No games match that search.

ACC8 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Sat, Oct 31BOSTON COLLEGE @ DUKEDUKE31–22
opened 34–19 · +5.8 BC
71% -7.548.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31CALIFORNIA @ NC STATENC STATE32–23
opened 31–24 · +2.1 NC STATE
70% -8.557.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31CLEMSON @ FLORIDA ST.FLORIDA ST.28–23
opened 26–25 · +4.6 FLORIDA ST.
62% -6.049.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31GEORGIA TECH @ PITTSBURGHPITTSBURGH34–23
opened 30–25 · +5.4 PITTSBURGH
74% -7.553.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 314MIAMI (FL) @ NORTH CAROLINA4MIAMI (FL)41–12
opened 38–14 · +4.4 MIAMI (FL)
96% -14.552.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 3122SMU @ SYRACUSE22SMU40–17
opened 39–17 · +1.2 SMU
91% -9.558.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31STANFORD @ LOUISVILLELOUISVILLE47–9
opened 48–8 · +1.6 STANFORD
99% -22.561.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31VIRGINIA @ 19WAKE FOREST19WAKE FOREST30–22
opened 30–24 · +2.5 WAKE FOREST
68% -14.049.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
American5 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Thu, Oct 29FLA. ATLANTIC @ NORTH TEXASNORTH TEXAS47–20
opened 42–23 · +7.7 NORTH TEXAS
94% -13.575.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Fri, Oct 30TULANE @ CHARLOTTE SIT EDGE: CHARLOTTETULANE51–2
opened 51–1 · +2.0 CHARLOTTE
100% -10.046.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31ARMY WEST POINT @ MEMPHIS SIT EDGE: ARMY WEST POINTMEMPHIS31–2465% -6.558.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31TEMPLE @ EAST CAROLINA SIT EDGE: TEMPLEEAST CAROLINA35–19
opened 34–20 · +2.2 EC
83% -6.049.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31UAB @ SOUTH FLA.SOUTH FLA.43–1396% -7.542.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Big 127 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Fri, Oct 30BAYLOR @ UCFUCF27–27
opened 28–28 · +0.2 UCF
50% -1.547.5★OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 3118ARIZONA @ 15TEXAS TECH SIT EDGE: ARIZONA15TEXAS TECH32–2369% -3.554.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31ARIZONA ST. @ 9BYU9BYU32–22
opened 30–22 · +1.6 BYU
71% -15.549.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31KANSAS @ TCU SIT EDGE: KANSASTCU30–24
opened 31–23 · +2.4 KANSAS
63% -5.547.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31KANSAS ST. @ COLORADOKANSAS ST.28–26
opened 27–26 · +1.5 KANSAS ST.
56% -2.547.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31OKLAHOMA ST. @ IOWA ST. SIT EDGE: OKLAHOMA ST.IOWA ST.30–24
opened 34–19 · +9.1 OKLAHOMA ST.
64% -10.057.5★UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 3111UTAH @ CINCINNATI11UTAH34–21
opened 36–19 · +4.6 CINCINNATI
77% -6.557.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Big Ten8 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Sat, Oct 31ILLINOIS @ MARYLANDILLINOIS29–25
opened 28–27 · +3.4 ILLINOIS
60% -2.552.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31MICHIGAN @ RUTGERS SIT EDGE: RUTGERSMICHIGAN39–12
opened 37–14 · +4.3 MICHIGAN
95% -14.047.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31MINNESOTA @ 1INDIANA1INDIANA44–5
opened 42–8 · +3.7 INDIANA
99% -19.542.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 3120NORTHWESTERN @ 24OREGON SIT EDGE: NORTHWESTERN24OREGON39–12
opened 41–11 · +3.7 NORTHWESTERN
94% -3.549.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 312OHIO ST. @ 21SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SIT EDGE: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA2OHIO ST.35–19
opened 32–23 · +6.5 OHIO ST.
82% -7.050.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31PURDUE @ PENN ST. SIT EDGE: PURDUEPENN ST.42–1196% -7.553.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31WASHINGTON @ NEBRASKANEBRASKA27–23
opened 26–25 · +2.3 NEBRASKA
59% -8.549.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31WISCONSIN @ 25IOWA25IOWA26–1672% -3.536.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
CUSA5 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Tue, Oct 27DELAWARE @ WESTERN KY. SIT EDGE: DELAWAREWESTERN KY.32–2468% -1.555.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Tue, Oct 27SAM HOUSTON @ MISSOURI ST.MISSOURI ST.32–2272% -6.549.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Wed, Oct 28JACKSONVILLE ST. @ NEW MEXICO ST. SIT EDGE: JACKSONVILLE ST.NEW MEXICO ST.27–2652% -3.049.5★OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Wed, Oct 28KENNESAW ST. @ MIDDLE TENN.MIDDLE TENN.26–24
opened 26–25 · +1.7 MIDDLE TENN.
56% -3.050.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31FIU @ LIBERTYLIBERTY31–19
opened 29–21 · +4.3 LIBERTY
76% -14.045.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
MAC2 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Fri, Oct 30KENT ST. @ SACRAMENTO ST.KENT ST.28–26
opened 27–27 · +1.2 KENT ST.
54% -10.046.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31BOWLING GREEN @ WESTERN MICH.WESTERN MICH.30–18
opened 27–20 · +4.5 WM
76% -14.043.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Mountain West3 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Sat, Oct 31NEW MEXICO @ SAN JOSE ST.NEW MEXICO28–24
opened 27–27 · +4.2 NEW MEXICO
60% -14.541.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31NIU @ UNLVUNLV48–4
opened 40–11 · +14.6 UNLV
99% -24.553.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31UTEP @ NORTH DAKOTA ST.NORTH DAKOTA ST.51–0
opened 48–4 · +7.5 NDS
100% -25.543.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Pac 124 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Sat, Oct 31COLORADO ST. @ UTAH ST. SIT EDGE: COLORADO ST.UTAH ST.34–23
opened 33–23 · +1.7 UTAH ST.
74% -6.563.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31OREGON ST. @ FRESNO ST.OREGON ST.27–26
opened 28–24 · +5.2 OREGON ST.
52% -6.556.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31TEXAS ST. @ 23BOISE ST. SIT EDGE: TEXAS ST.23BOISE ST.35–25
opened 35–26 · +1.4 BOISE ST.
74% -11.563.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31WASHINGTON ST. @ SAN DIEGO ST.WASHINGTON ST.26–2455% -3.048.5★OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
SEC5 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Sat, Oct 31AUBURN @ 10OLE MISS10OLE MISS36–18
opened 33–21 · +6.0 OLE MISS
85% -13.557.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 3117FLORIDA @ 8GEORGIA8GEORGIA38–18
opened 38–17 · +1.2 FLORIDA
88% -10.556.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31MISSISSIPPI ST. @ 6TEXAS SIT EDGE: MISSISSIPPI ST.6TEXAS44–10
opened 42–14 · +5.6 TEXAS
98% -21.050.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31MISSOURI @ ARKANSAS SIT EDGE: ARKANSASMISSOURI27–2651% -10.049.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31SOUTH CAROLINA @ OKLAHOMA SIT EDGE: SOUTH CAROLINAOKLAHOMA28–21
opened 29–20 · +2.0 SC
65% -5.544.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sun Belt6 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Thu, Oct 29TROY @ JAMES MADISONJAMES MADISON43–9
opened 39–14 · +8.3 JM
98% -21.052.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31APP STATE @ GA. SOUTHERN SIT EDGE: APP STATEGA. SOUTHERN32–23
opened 30–24 · +2.4 GA. SOUTHERN
69% -5.554.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31COASTAL CAROLINA @ GEORGIA ST.GEORGIA ST.30–27
opened 29–27 · +1.7 GEORGIA ST.
59% -6.559.5UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31LOUISIANA TECH @ SOUTH ALABAMASOUTH ALABAMA28–28
opened 31–27 · +3.7 LT
51% -5.557.5★UNDERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31MARSHALL @ OLD DOMINION SIT EDGE: MARSHALLOLD DOMINION26–25
opened 29–24 · +4.5 MARSHALL
52% -3.045.5★OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31SOUTHERN MISS. @ ULMSOUTHERN MISS.28–27
opened 29–27 · +2.1 SM
52% -3.053.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Non-Conference3 games
DateMatchupProjected winnerScoreWin%LineO/UPick ATSPick O/UReport
Sat, Oct 31NEVADA @ 12UCLA12UCLA46–4
opened 45–6 · +2.9 UCLA
99% -22.544.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 317NOTRE DAME @ NAVY SIT EDGE: NAVY7NOTRE DAME55–0100% -29.553.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?
Sat, Oct 31UCONN @ AIR FORCE SIT EDGE: UCONNAIR FORCE30–25
opened 29–25 · +1.6 AIR FORCE
62% -3.053.5OVERREPORT
WHAT IF?

Top 10 Projected Player Yardage

Passing Yards

#PlayerTeamOpponentProj. yds
1CJ CARRNOTRE DAMENAVY268.9
2ARCH MANNINGTEXASMISSISSIPPI ST.267.8
3CADEN VELTKAMPFLA. ATLANTICNORTH TEXAS257.0
4ROMAN GAGLIANOMIDDLE TENN.KENNESAW ST.241.3
5MADDUX MADSENBOISE ST.TEXAS ST.232.2
6BRAD JACKSONTEXAS ST.BOISE ST.230.3
7KEVIN JENNINGSSMUSYRACUSE221.8
8CADEN CREELJACKSONVILLE ST.NEW MEXICO ST.219.6
9MALIK WASHINGTONMARYLANDILLINOIS217.0
10DEVON DAMPIERUTAHCINCINNATI217.0

Rushing Yards

#PlayerTeamOpponentProj. yds
1TELLY JOHNSON JR.NIUUNLV127.0
2JAVEN JACOBSUTAH ST.COLORADO ST.125.4
3NATE SHEPPARDDUKEBOSTON COLLEGE116.3
4JAMAL ROBERTSMISSOURIARKANSAS98.5
5JORDAN MARSHALLMICHIGANRUTGERS94.6
6CADEN CREELJACKSONVILLE ST.NEW MEXICO ST.94.5
7JAHIEM WHITENORTH TEXASFLA. ATLANTIC92.3
8JAI'DEN THOMASUNLVNIU91.7
9DYLAN RILEYBOISE ST.TEXAS ST.88.4
10JALEN BUCKLEYWESTERN MICH.BOWLING GREEN88.1

Receiving Yards

#PlayerTeamOpponentProj. yds
1JEREMIAH SMITHOHIO ST.SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA114.7
2EASTON MESSERFLA. ATLANTICNORTH TEXAS110.2
3MALACHI TONEYMIAMI (FL)NORTH CAROLINA107.3
4BEAU SPARKSTEXAS ST.BOISE ST.95.3
5RYAN WINGOTEXASMISSISSIPPI ST.89.2
6CAM'RON LACYMIDDLE TENN.KENNESAW ST.87.2
7COLLIN DIXONILLINOISMARYLAND85.4
8DEAREE ROGERSNIUUNLV85.3
9DEONDRE JOHNSONJACKSONVILLE ST.NEW MEXICO ST.83.3
10ISAIAH SATEGNA IIIOKLAHOMASOUTH CAROLINA80.9

Passer efficiency (NCAA) — season to date (min. 15 att per game)

#PlayerTeamSeason lineQBR
1DARIAN MENSAHMIAMI (FL)166-204, 2151 yds, 22 TD, 1 INT204.6
2GUNNER STOCKTONGEORGIA117-158, 1570 yds, 16 TD, 4 INT185.9
3JULIAN SAYINOHIO ST.131-192, 2007 yds, 19 TD, 4 INT184.5
4KEVIN JENNINGSSMU156-215, 2062 yds, 19 TD, 5 INT177.6
5AIDAN CHILESNORTHWESTERN117-164, 1617 yds, 12 TD, 1 INT177.1
6BRADEN ATKINSONOREGON ST.189-273, 2604 yds, 24 TD, 2 INT176.9
7NOAH FIFITAARIZONA167-225, 2064 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT174.1
8MARCUS STOKESMEMPHIS150-224, 2161 yds, 21 TD, 6 INT173.6
9KAMARIO TAYLORMISSISSIPPI ST.104-159, 1460 yds, 17 TD, 4 INT172.8
10GIO LOPEZWAKE FOREST140-207, 1947 yds, 17 TD, 1 INT172.8

Top 10 Projected Team Offense

Passing Yards

#TeamProj. yards
1NORTH TEXAS316.3
2TULANE310.4
3WESTERN KY.309.2
4NOTRE DAME291.6
5LOUISVILLE287.0
6UTAH ST.286.8
7CALIFORNIA281.3
8MIDDLE TENN.271.5
9FLA. ATLANTIC268.2
10TEXAS267.8

Rushing Yards

#TeamProj. yards
1UTAH ST.264.0
2MICHIGAN262.5
3NORTH DAKOTA ST.231.2
4NORTH TEXAS227.9
5AIR FORCE227.8
6UCLA216.9
7EAST CAROLINA206.3
8UNLV204.8
9ULM202.4
10COASTAL CAROLINA197.5

Total Yards

#TeamProj. yards
1UTAH ST.550.9
2NORTH TEXAS544.2
3TULANE495.0
4LOUISVILLE472.1
5EAST CAROLINA467.9
6MICHIGAN460.4
7GEORGIA ST.450.8
8NORTH DAKOTA ST.446.6
9SOUTHERN MISS.446.3
10SACRAMENTO ST.439.5

Teams with no player-level data stored, and therefore absent from the player rankings: DICKINSON (7 game(s) of 26-27 weighted 70% against 25-26)