Projected by the same share-of-team-projection mechanism as the matchup reports' projected box scores; untracked opponents omitted. Share blend: 8 game(s) of 26-27 weighted 73% against 25-26; returning players held only 6% of 25-26 passing, 46% of 25-26 rushing -- the departed share is left unassigned rather than handed to the returners (capped at 2x their demonstrated share).
PROJECT STATS — VS. ANY OPPONENT
Search any team to project DAYTON HOWARD’s stat line against them (neutral site) — the same share-of-team-projection mechanism as the schedule above.
Red Zone / Final 2 Minutes splits carry a real, disclosed field-position/clock coverage gap — see “Advanced Metrics Explained” below.
ADVANCED METRICS EXPLAINED (2)
Receiving Success Rate
The same down-based success standard, applied to a player's targets (thrown to him, complete or not).
Inputs: Down, distance, yards gained and touchdown on plays where this player was the targeted receiver.
Final 2 Minutes of a Half
How a player performed in the last two minutes of either half -- the clock-management, high-pressure stretch at the end of the 2nd and 4th quarters.
Inputs: Every play on file in the 2nd or 4th quarter with 2:00 or less on the clock this player was involved in. Same field-position/clock coverage caveat as Red Zone Splits above -- roughly a third of plays leaguewide carry a usable clock reading, concentrated in FBS/FCS games.
TREND NOTES