In short: Minarets Mustangs high school football (Oneals, CA), 2026 season: 8-1. Last game: W 77-0 vs Avenal on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Fresno Christian, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The turnover battle could decide Minarets' next game, against Fresno Christian, and the recent returns favor Minarets. Minarets committed 1.6 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (4-1), #68 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Mustangs have committed 0.2 giveaways per game, an 84% drop, #3 in Section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Minarets' last 4 opponents have averaged 1.4 per game, a #56 defense in Section on the season, against 1.0 per game, #80 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.4 per game), Minarets turned it over 82% less than those defenses usually force. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #98 in Section. Conversely, Fresno Christian's defense has been one of Sections's better units in recent weeks. The The Eagle have forced 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #8 in Sections during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in Sections (1.6 per game on the season, which would rank #19). Against those norms, Fresno Christian forced 24% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #29 in Sections, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when Minarets' surging ball security meets one of Sections' better units in Fresno Christian's.
The number to watch when Minarets meets Fresno Christian is Minarets' scoring. Minarets averaged 27.3 points per game over its first 6 games (5-1), #49 in Section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (3-0), the Mustangs have averaged 53.0 points per game, a 94% rise, #2 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 30.2 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.5 points per game), Minarets scored 74% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #99 in Section. Conversely, Fresno Christian's defense has been one of Sections's better units in recent weeks. The The Eagle have allowed 19.0 points per game over their last 3 games (2-1), #12 in Sections over that stretch. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in Sections (19.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #30). Something has to give when Minarets' surging offense meets one of Sections' better units in Fresno Christian's. Minarets is 7-0 this season when it scores 24 or more, and 1-1 when it doesn't.
NOTES
Minarets' ground game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Minarets averaged 8.1 yards per carry (1,756 yards on 217 rushes) on the season, #13 in Section, but that number is boosted by a 391-yard game on 19 rushes against Avenal on 10/23. In all other games, Minarets is at 6.9 yards per carry (1,365 yards on 198 rushes), a figure that would rank #34 in Section. Context matters here: Avenal's run defense ranks among the weakest in Section (8.9 yards per carry, #108 of 113), so that game says more about the opponent than about the unit itself. Against Fresno Christian, Minarets draws a middle-of-the-pack run defense (6.2 yards per carry, #11), so expect something closer to the 6.9 version.
The biggest shift in Minarets' season has come in its defense. The Mustangs allowed 20.8 points per game over their first 4 games (3-1), #46 in Section within that period. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), Minarets has allowed 8.8 points per game, a 58% drop, #9 in Section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Minarets' last 5 opponents have averaged 18.1 points per game, a #88 offense in Section on the season, against 20.3 points per game, #82 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (18.1 points per game), Minarets held those offenses 51% below what they usually score. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #99 in Section. Only Tranquillity broke through in that span, putting up 31 on 10/16. On the season, the Mustangs rank #15 in Section in scoring defense. Fresno Christian's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #13 in Sections (31.8 points per game).
TIDBITS (13 found)
• Club Minarets has won 5 straight, and a win would make it 6 in a row. The last time they won 6 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 7.
• Club Minarets has gone 9 straight games forcing 1+ turnover (August 21, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 8-1 over that stretch, matching the program record of 9 straight on record.
• Club Minarets is 20-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (20 such games).
• Club Minarets is 18-0 all time when throwing for 200+ yards in the games on file (18 such games).
• Club Minarets is 28-2 all time when averaging 7.0+ yards per play. Minarets's last loss when averaging 7.0+ yards per play was November 22, 2024 against Mira Monte (L, 22-24).
• Club Minarets is 21-2 all time when rushing for 150+ yards. Minarets's last loss when rushing for 150+ yards was September 11, 2026 against Liberty (L, 12-41).
• Club Minarets has scored 159 points over its last 3 games (53.0 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Killian Paschall has 436 rushing yards over his last 3 games (145.3 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Killian Paschall has 7 rushing touchdowns over his last 3 games (2.3 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Jack Latta has 33 tackles over his last 3 games (11.0 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Mason Hunter has gone 5 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Jamie Spurgeon has gone 3 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player James Drake has gone 2 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 3 straight games catching a touchdown pass, during the 2026 season.
MILESTONE WATCH
Minarets
Jamie Spurgeon needs 1 receiving yard for 500 (averaging 83.2 a game)
Jack Latta needs 4 tackles for 50 (averaging 9.2 a game)
James Suehiro needs 0 sacks for 5 (averaging 0.9 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Oct 28; roster and numbers checked Sep 6.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 7/9, sacks allowed 7/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 87.8/100 (+90 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 50.7/100 (-9 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 44.7/100 (+4 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 76.2/100 (-57 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
MIN finished 2025 at 13-2. Made the playoffs (5 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 21-14 over OROSI (OROSI finished 71% that season). Toughest loss: 12-26 to WINTERS (14-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
MIN HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• MIN rushes for 100+ yards (.966), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• MIN averages 6.0+ yards per play (.906), and has won 8 straight when doing so
• MIN holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.947), and has won 18 straight when doing so
• MIN holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.941), and has won 16 straight when doing so
• MIN's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 11 straight games (11/28/2025-10/23/2026), going 9-2 over that stretch.
• MIN's offense has averaged 0.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (-100%)
• MIN's defense has forced 1+ turnover in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 8-1 over that stretch.
• MIN's defense has averaged 3.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 1.6 takeaways per game. (+83%)
• MIN's defense has averaged 40.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 142.5 rush yards per game. (-72%)
• MIN's defense has averaged 1.5 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 4.3 YPC. (-64%)
• MIN's offense has averaged 12.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 37-game average is 7.8 YPC. (+58%)
• MIN's offense has averaged 119.3 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 37-game average is 260.8 pass yards per game. (-54%)
• MIN's defense has averaged 4.0 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 27-game average is 8.5 YPA. (-54%)
• MIN's offense has averaged 14.0 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 37-game average is 9.2 YPP. (+53%)
• MIN's offense has averaged 53.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 37-game average is 34.9 points scored per game. (+52%)
MIN — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (37 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-1
.000
0.0
Scores 10-19
0-3
.000
11.3
Scores 20-29
5-3
.625
22.8
Scores 30-39
10-0
1.000
34.5
Scores 40+
15-0
1.000
48.8
MIN — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
5-0
1.000
43.2
W5
YPA < 8.0
3-1
.750
26.8
W1
Pass Yds 200+
--
--
--
--
Pass Yds < 200
8-1
.889
35.9
W5
Rush Yds 100+
7-1
.875
35.6
W4
Rush Yds < 100
1-0
1.000
38.0
W1
Rush Yds 150+
6-1
.857
34.4
W3
Rush Yds < 150
2-0
1.000
41.0
W2
YPC 5.0+
8-0
1.000
38.9
W8
YPC < 5.0
0-1
.000
12.0
L1
YPP 6.0+
8-0
1.000
38.9
W8
YPP < 6.0
0-1
.000
12.0
L1
YPP 7.0+
6-0
1.000
41.7
W6
YPP < 7.0
2-1
.667
24.3
L1
Turnovers 1+
5-1
.833
27.3
W2
Turnovers < 1
3-0
1.000
53.0
W3
Turnovers 2+
2-0
1.000
24.5
W2
Turnovers > 2
1-0
1.000
29.0
W1
MIN — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
--
--
--
Scores 10-19
0-1
.000
12.0
Scores 20-29
3-0
1.000
25.7
Scores 30-39
2-0
1.000
36.0
Scores 40+
3-0
1.000
54.0
MIN — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (37 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
9-3
.750
23.8
W1
YPA < 8.0
11-4
.733
16.5
W8
10 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
6-0
1.000
23.5
W6
Pass Yds < 200
14-7
.667
18.7
W3
10 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
7-7
.500
28.4
L2
Rush Yds < 100
14-0
1.000
9.6
W14
9 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
3-6
.333
29.8
L2
Rush Yds < 150
18-1
.947
13.9
W18
9 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
5-6
.455
28.8
L2
YPC < 5.0
16-1
.941
12.7
W16
9 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
9-6
.600
27.7
W1
YPP < 6.0
12-1
.923
9.0
W12
9 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
5-6
.455
31.4
L1
YPP < 7.0
16-1
.941
11.1
W16
9 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
22-5
.815
18.3
W5
Turnovers < 1
7-2
.778
16.8
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
11-1
.917
16.2
W5
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
8-1
.889
15.6
W5
1 games without this stat on file
MIN — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (37 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
15-0
1.000
4.0
Allows 10-19
7-0
1.000
14.1
Allows 20-29
5-2
.714
24.4
Allows 30-39
2-2
.500
34.5
Allows 40+
1-3
.250
44.2
MIN — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
2-1
.667
33.0
W1
YPA < 8.0
4-0
1.000
1.8
W4
2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
2-0
1.000
29.0
W2
Pass Yds < 200
4-1
.800
9.6
W3
2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
0-1
.000
41.0
L1
Rush Yds < 100
6-0
1.000
10.8
W6
2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
0-1
.000
41.0
L1
Rush Yds < 150
6-0
1.000
10.8
W6
2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
0-1
.000
41.0
L1
YPC < 5.0
6-0
1.000
10.8
W6
2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
2-1
.667
33.0
W1
YPP < 6.0
4-0
1.000
1.8
W4
2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
1-1
.500
34.0
L1
YPP < 7.0
5-0
1.000
7.6
W5
2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
8-1
.889
14.1
W5
Turnovers < 1
--
--
--
--
Turnovers 2+
4-0
1.000
11.5
W4
Turnovers > 2
4-0
1.000
11.5
W4
MIN — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
5-0
1.000
2.6
Allows 10-19
1-0
1.000
15.0
Allows 20-29
1-0
1.000
27.0
Allows 30-39
1-0
1.000
31.0
Allows 40+
0-1
.000
41.0
ON THE BRINK
MINARETS
• MINARETS has had a player score 3+ TDs in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MINARETS has held the opponent under 100 rushing in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). Earlier games have no box score on file, so the run may be longer. It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MINARETS has had a 100-yard rusher in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MINARETS has played turnover-free in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not played turnover-free in 4 straight since 11/14/25–12/6/25 (2025). It has reached 4 straight 2 times in the last 4 years.
MIN's defense has averaged 3.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 1.6 takeaways per game. (+83%)
MIN's defense has averaged 40.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 142.5 rush yards per game. (-72%)
MIN's defense has averaged 1.5 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 4.3 YPC. (-64%)
MIN's defense has averaged 4.0 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 27-game average is 8.5 YPA. (-54%)
MIN's defense has averaged 8.8 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 37-game average is 17.4 points allowed per game. (-50%)
MIN's defense has averaged 160.7 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 271.2 total yards per game. (-41%)
MIN's defense has averaged 3.6 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 28-game average is 5.9 YPP. (-39%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where MINARETS sits among 114 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 72.9, Defense Grade 60.1.
RUSH YARDS ALLOWED / GAME: MINARETS VS THE SECTION
MINARETS ranks #7 of 96 section teams in rushing yards allowed per game (10.3) -- a strength worth a look.
MINARETS: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -20.3 in 2022 to -0.1 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
