ScorePirate
MENU
AT A GLANCE

In short: Mabank Panthers high school football (Mabank, TX), 2026 season: 0-8. Last game: L 33-51 vs Kaufman on October 22, 2026. Next: at Ferris, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.

ScorePirate Individual Team Report
MABANK
MABANK 0-8
2026 SEASON
MABANK
AT A GLANCE — AS OF 10/26/2026
RECORD0-8 this season
LAST GAMEL 33-51 vs KAUFMAN
NEXT GAMEFERRIS (10/30/2026)
UNIT GRADESPass Off 46.3 · Rush Off 34.1 · Pass Def 7.6 · Rush Def 19.5
NUMBERS TO NOTE
#1152
SP Strength Index (of 1252)
0-8
2026 record
-32.2
avg scoring margin, pts/gm
UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)
TEAMPASS ORUSH OPASS DRUSH D
MABANK46.3 (-22)34.1 (-44)7.6 (+85)19.5 (+66)
HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME LOG

STORYLINES

Next: at Ferris, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Mabank at Ferris.

The number to watch when Mabank meets Ferris is Mabank's scoring. Mabank averaged 17.2 points per game over its first 5 games (0-5), #1016 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Panthers have averaged 27.0 points per game, a 57% rise, #662 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mabank's last 3 opponents have averaged 29.7 points per game, a #684 scoring defense in section on the season, against 36.9 points per game, #937 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.7 points per game), Mabank scored 9% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Meanwhile, Ferris' defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Yellowjackets have allowed 39.7 points per game over their last 3 games (1-2), #924 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (36.2 points per game on the season, which would rank #359). Against those norms, Ferris allowed 10% more than those offenses usually score. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Mabank.

The battle on the ground could decide Mabank's next game, against Ferris, and the recent returns favor Mabank. Mabank allowed 8.6 yards per carry (717 yards on 83 rushes) over its first 4 games (0-4), #1083 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (0-4), the Panthers have allowed 5.5 yards per carry (455 yards on 83 rushes), a 37% drop, #500 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Mabank's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.3 yards per carry, a #662 rushing attack in section on the season, against 6.1 yards per carry, #463 for the first 4. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #543 in section, well above the first 4 (#755), which makes the improvement more impressive. Meanwhile, Ferris' ground game has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Yellowjackets have averaged 6.3 yards per carry (811 yards on 128 rushes) over their last 4 games (1-3), #411 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of run defenses in section (5.8 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #563). Against those norms, Ferris ran for 9% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Ferris offers Mabank a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.

NOTES

The biggest worry in Mabank's season has been the direction of its ground game. Mabank averaged 5.1 yards per carry (799 yards on 158 rushes) over its first 4 games (0-4), #679 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Panthers have averaged 4.1 yards per carry (343 yards on 84 rushes), a 19% drop, #784 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mabank's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.7 yards per carry, a #528 run defense in section on the season, against 6.7 yards per carry, #818 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.7 yards per carry), Mabank ran for 28% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #543 in section, well above the first 4 (#755), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Mabank ranks #814 in section in rushing. Ferris' run defense sits in the middle of the pack, #421 in section (5.4 yards per carry).

Mabank's offense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Panthers averaged 5.7 yards per play (1,416 yards on 250 snaps) over their first 4 games (0-4), #734 in section during those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), Mabank has averaged 5.0 yards per play (835 yards on 166 snaps), an 11% drop, #798 in section during that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.9 yards per play on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.7 yards per play), Mabank gained 25% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #543 in section, well above the first 4 (#755), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Panthers rank #842 in section in yards per play. Ferris' defense sits in the middle of the pack, #784 in section (7.3 yards per play).

Mabank allowed 55.8 points per game over its first 5 games (0-5), #1222 in section during that stretch. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Panthers have allowed 48.7 points per game, a 13% drop, #1079 in section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mabank's last 3 opponents have averaged 36.1 points per game, a #359 offense in section on the season, against 27.8 points per game, #690 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (36.1 points per game), Mabank allowed 35% more than those offenses usually score. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, Mabank ranks #1208 in section in scoring defense. Ferris' offense sits in the middle of the pack, #459 in section (33.0 points per game).

TIDBITS (1 found)

• Club Mabank has lost 15 straight, and a loss would make it 16 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.

DATA WARNING: MABANK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/22/2026 GAME VS. KAUFMAN* MISSING

All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.

PROGRAM SNAPSHOT: MAB

PROGRAM RECORD

SEASONRECORDPFPAPPG
20223-718228518.2
20231-9823018.2
20241-9792757.9
20252-819344519.3
20260-816742520.9
2022-267-4114.6
MAB — 2026 SEASON SCHEDULE
DATEOPPONENTSITERESULTSCOREWIN%
08/28BULLARDatL21-63
09/04NORTH LAMARvsL24-47
09/11SPRING HILLatL14-57
09/18BROWNSBOROatL27-56
09/25PARISatL0-56
10/02LIFE WAXAHACHIEvsL28-41
10/09CADDO MILLSatL20-54
10/22KAUFMANvsL33-51
10/30FERRISatPROJ19-459.8%
11/06SULPHUR SPRINGSvsPROJ10-541.6%
SEASON TO DATE0-82 REMAINING

SEASON OUTLOOK

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)

RECORD TO DATEMOST LIKELY FINALPROJECTED RECORD
Overall0-8 so far0-10 (84%)0.2-9.8
League0-4 so far0-4 (100%)0.0-4.0
MAB — 2026 OVERALL AVERAGES
SPLITGPPPGOPP PPGYPGOPP YPGPLAYS/GOPP PLAYS/G
OVERALL820.953.1321.6402.559.448.5
HOME328.346.3479.0308.080.060.0
ROAD516.457.2258.6421.451.246.2

PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.

Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 7/8 game(s), Home 2/3 game(s), Road 5/5 game(s).

MAB — 2026 TEAM GAME LOG
DATEOPPONENTRESULTPASS YDSRUSH YDSTOTAL YDSPASS ALWRUSH ALWTOTAL ALWSACKS ALWSACKSDEF INTTO FORCEDTO MAR
8/28@ BullardL 21-63782182963352155502----0-5
9/4vs. North LamarL 24-47296256552------------0-3
9/11@ Spring HillL 14-571231442671002173172----0-3
9/18@ BrownsboroL 27-561201813011382854232----0-1
9/25@ ParisL 0-5691-1972235150385------0-3
10/2vs. Life WaxahachieL 28-41244162406130178308------0-3
10/9@ Caddo MillsL 20-54157200357305127432------1-1
10/22vs. KaufmanL 33-51----------------------
AVERAGES158.4163.1321.6207.2195.3402.52.0----0.1-19 (season)

Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 7/8, defense 6/8, sacks/INT 0/8, sacks allowed 3/8, turnovers 7/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.

UNIT INDEX

Pass Offense: grade 46.3/100 (-22 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Offense: grade 34.1/100 (-44 yds/gm vs average)

Pass Defense: grade 7.6/100 (+85 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Defense: grade 19.5/100 (+66 yds/gm vs average)

Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.

OPPONENT TRACKER

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

DATESITEOPPONENTTHEIR RECORDTHEIR PPG
2026-10-30atFERRIS3-533.0
2026-11-06vsSULPHUR SPRINGS5-343.6

LAST YEAR

MAB finished 2025 at 2-8. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 36-33 over WILLS POINT (WILLS POINT finished 30% that season). Toughest loss: 28-29 to BULLARD (1-point margin).

LAST SEASON: MAB — 2025 GAME LOG
DATEOPPONENTRESULTRECORDPFPATOT YDSYDS ALLOWED
2025-08-29BULLARDL0-12829N/AN/A
2025-09-05KEMPW1-1570N/AN/A
2025-09-12WILLS POINTW2-13633N/AN/A
2025-09-19CANTONL2-2047N/AN/A
2025-10-03PINE TREEL2-3864251357
2025-10-10HENDERSONL2-42061N/AN/A
2025-10-17CHAPEL HILLL2-51675N/AN/A
2025-10-23LINDALEL2-6049N/AN/A
2025-10-31PALESTINEL2-72231N/AN/A
2025-11-06KILGOREL2-8656N/AN/A
TOTALS10 GMS2-82-8193445251 (1)357 (1)

"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.

TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
MAB HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...

• MAB is held under 100 rushing yards (.000), but most recently lost to Paris when doing so

• MAB stays under 5.0 yards per carry (.000), but most recently lost to Life Waxahachie when doing so

• MAB holds its opponents under 200 passing yards (.000), but most recently lost to Life Waxahachie when doing so

• MAB's defense has averaged 0.5 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 0.1 takeaways per game. (+250%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 200.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 103.1 pass yards per game. (+95%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 27.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 15.7 points scored per game. (+72%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 381.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 233.5 total yards per game. (+63%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 181.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 130.4 rush yards per game. (+39%)

• MAB's defense has averaged 5.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 7.9 YPC. (-35%)

• MAB's defense has averaged 6.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 10.2 YPA. (-32%)

• MAB's defense has averaged 53.9 points allowed per game over their last 15 games. Their 28-game average is 40.9 points allowed per game. (+32%)

• MAB's defense has averaged 6.2 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 8.9 YPP. (-30%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 7.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 5.7 YPA. (+27%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 6.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 4.9 YPP. (+24%)

• MAB's offense has averaged 5.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 4.1 YPC. (+23%)

MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

MAB -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 5 of 5 scored; vs 332 cached team(s))

#SIDECONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRKSCORE
1OFFYPP < 70-8.00015.1L80.658
2OFFYPA < 80-8.00015.1L80.652
3OFFRush Yds 100+0-10.00015.4L100.570
4OFFRush Yds < 1500-8.0003.2L80.430
5OFFPass Yds < 2000-12.0008.5L120.424
WIN %: TWO-CONDITION COMBINATIONS (4 found, min 4 Gms each)

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- MAB ---

CONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRK
MAB rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards0-8.00012.8L8
MAB rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt0-5.00020.2L5
MAB averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards0-4.00019.0L4
MAB rushes for 150+ yards but commits 2+ giveaways0-4.00023.2L4
WIN % -- TAB-SEPARATED
TeamConditionRecordWin%PPG
MABRush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 2000-8.00012.8
MABRush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.00-5.00020.2
MABYPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+0-4.00019.0
MABRush Yds 150+ & Turnovers 2+0-4.00023.2
MAB — OFFENSE — 2024-26 (28 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+0-1.00027.0L1
YPA < 8.00-8.00015.1L8 19 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+0-2.00026.0L2
Pass Yds < 2000-12.0008.5L12 14 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+0-10.00015.4L10
Rush Yds < 1000-4.0000.0L4 14 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+0-6.00021.3L6
Rush Yds < 1500-8.0003.2L8 14 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+0-4.00019.0L4
YPC < 5.00-5.00014.4L5 19 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+0-2.00027.5L2
YPP < 6.00-7.00013.3L7 19 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+0-1.00027.0L1
YPP < 7.00-8.00015.1L8 19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+0-7.00019.1L7
Turnovers < 1-------- 21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+0-6.00017.8L6 21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 20-5.00017.4L5 21 games without this stat on file
MAB — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (28 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-11.0002.4
Scores 10-190-4.00012.5
Scores 20-291-9.10023.7
Scores 30-391-1.50034.5
Scores 40+1-01.00057.0
MAB — OFFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+0-1.00027.0L1
YPA < 8.00-6.00017.8L6 1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+0-2.00026.0L2
Pass Yds < 2000-5.00016.4L5 1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+0-6.00022.3L6
Rush Yds < 1000-1.0000.0L1 1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+0-5.00024.0L5
Rush Yds < 1500-2.0007.0L2 1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+0-3.00022.7L3
YPC < 5.00-4.00016.5L4 1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+0-2.00027.5L2
YPP < 6.00-5.00015.8L5 1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+0-1.00027.0L1
YPP < 7.00-6.00017.8L6 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+0-7.00019.1L7
Turnovers < 1-------- 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+0-6.00017.8L6 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 20-5.00017.4L5 1 games without this stat on file
MAB — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-1.0000.0
Scores 10-190-1.00014.0
Scores 20-290-5.00024.0
Scores 30-390-1.00033.0
Scores 40+------
MAB — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (28 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+0-5.00058.8L5
YPA < 8.00-2.00048.5L2 21 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+0-3.00057.7L3
Pass Yds < 2000-4.00054.5L4 21 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+0-7.00055.9L7
Rush Yds < 100-------- 21 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+0-6.00056.2L6
Rush Yds < 1500-1.00054.0L1 21 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+0-6.00058.3L6
YPC < 5.00-1.00041.0L1 21 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+0-6.00058.3L6
YPP < 6.00-1.00041.0L1 21 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+0-6.00058.3L6
YPP < 7.00-1.00041.0L1 21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+0-1.00054.0L1
Turnovers < 10-6.00053.3L6 21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+-------- 21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2-------- 21 games without this stat on file
MAB — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (28 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <102-1.6674.7
Allows 10-190-1.00014.0
Allows 20-290-3.00023.7
Allows 30-391-4.20035.2
Allows 40+0-16.00054.4
MAB — DEFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+0-4.00057.5L4
YPA < 8.00-2.00048.5L2 2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+0-3.00057.7L3
Pass Yds < 2000-3.00051.3L3 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+0-6.00054.5L6
Rush Yds < 100-------- 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+0-5.00054.6L5
Rush Yds < 1500-1.00054.0L1 2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+0-5.00057.2L5
YPC < 5.00-1.00041.0L1 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+0-5.00057.2L5
YPP < 6.00-1.00041.0L1 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+0-5.00057.2L5
YPP < 7.00-1.00041.0L1 2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+0-1.00054.0L1
Turnovers < 10-6.00053.3L6 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+-------- 1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2-------- 1 games without this stat on file
MAB — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <10------
Allows 10-19------
Allows 20-29------
Allows 30-39------
Allows 40+0-8.00053.1
ON THE BRINK

MABANK

• MABANK has allowed 30+ in 16 straight games (9/12/25–10/22/26). It has not reached 17 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• MABANK has lost 15 straight (9/19/25–10/22/26). It has not reached 16 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

TAB-SEPARATED (paste into a spreadsheet)
TeamSideSplitGamesRecordWin%PPGStrk
MABOFFENSEYPA 8.0+10-1.00027.0L1
MABOFFENSEYPA < 8.080-8.00015.1L8
MABOFFENSEPass Yds 200+20-2.00026.0L2
MABOFFENSEPass Yds < 200120-12.0008.5L12
MABOFFENSERush Yds 100+100-10.00015.4L10
MABOFFENSERush Yds < 10040-4.0000.0L4
MABOFFENSERush Yds 150+60-6.00021.3L6
MABOFFENSERush Yds < 15080-8.0003.2L8
MABOFFENSEYPC 5.0+40-4.00019.0L4
MABOFFENSEYPC < 5.050-5.00014.4L5
MABOFFENSEYPP 6.0+20-2.00027.5L2
MABOFFENSEYPP < 6.070-7.00013.3L7
MABOFFENSEYPP 7.0+10-1.00027.0L1
MABOFFENSEYPP < 7.080-8.00015.1L8
MABOFFENSETurnovers 1+70-7.00019.1L7
MABOFFENSETurnovers 2+60-6.00017.8L6
MABOFFENSETurnovers > 250-5.00017.4L5
MABOFFENSEScores <10110-11.0002.4L11
MABOFFENSEScores 10-1940-4.00012.5L4
MABOFFENSEScores 20-29101-9.10023.7L9
MABOFFENSEScores 30-3921-1.50034.5L1
MABOFFENSEScores 40+11-01.00057.0W1
MABDEFENSEYPA 8.0+50-5.00058.8L5
MABDEFENSEYPA < 8.020-2.00048.5L2
MABDEFENSEPass Yds 200+30-3.00057.7L3
MABDEFENSEPass Yds < 20040-4.00054.5L4
MABDEFENSERush Yds 100+70-7.00055.9L7
MABDEFENSERush Yds 150+60-6.00056.2L6
MABDEFENSERush Yds < 15010-1.00054.0L1
MABDEFENSEYPC 5.0+60-6.00058.3L6
MABDEFENSEYPC < 5.010-1.00041.0L1
MABDEFENSEYPP 6.0+60-6.00058.3L6
MABDEFENSEYPP < 6.010-1.00041.0L1
MABDEFENSEYPP 7.0+60-6.00058.3L6
MABDEFENSEYPP < 7.010-1.00041.0L1
MABDEFENSETurnovers 1+10-1.00054.0L1
MABDEFENSETurnovers < 160-6.00053.3L6
MABDEFENSEAllows <1032-1.6674.7W2
MABDEFENSEAllows 10-1910-1.00014.0L1
MABDEFENSEAllows 20-2930-3.00023.7L3
MABDEFENSEAllows 30-3951-4.20035.2L1
MABDEFENSEAllows 40+160-16.00054.4L16
STREAKS — ALL TEAMS
TeamSideSplitStreakDatesRecord
NOTABLE TRENDS (14 of 14 found, team |deviation| >= 20%, matchup |deviation| >= 20%)

MAB OFFENSE

MAB's offense has averaged 200.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 103.1 pass yards per game. (+95%)

MAB's offense has averaged 27.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 15.7 points scored per game. (+72%)

MAB's offense has averaged 381.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 233.5 total yards per game. (+63%)

MAB's offense has averaged 181.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 130.4 rush yards per game. (+39%)

MAB's offense has averaged 7.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 5.7 YPA. (+27%)

MAB's offense has averaged 6.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 4.9 YPP. (+24%)

MAB's offense has averaged 5.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 4.1 YPC. (+23%)

MAB's offense has averaged 2.2 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 7-game average is 2.9 giveaways per game. (-21%)

MAB DEFENSE

MAB's defense has averaged 0.5 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 0.1 takeaways per game. (+250%)

MAB's defense has averaged 5.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 7.9 YPC. (-35%)

MAB's defense has averaged 6.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 10.2 YPA. (-32%)

MAB's defense has averaged 53.9 points allowed per game over their last 15 games. Their 28-game average is 40.9 points allowed per game. (+32%)

MAB's defense has averaged 6.2 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 8.9 YPP. (-30%)

MAB's defense has averaged 152.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 193.4 rush yards per game. (-21%)

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

APPENDIX

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK

Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).

Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown

Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.

Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)

TeamSideTypeStatOpponentWindow/MeetingsValueBaselineGamesBaselineAvgDeviation
MABOFFENSEteamPass Yardslast 3200.514103.1+94.5%
MABDEFENSEteamPointslast 1553.92840.9+31.7%
MABOFFENSEteamPointslast 327.02815.7+72.2%
MABDEFENSEteamRush Yardslast 3152.57193.4-21.2%
MABOFFENSEteamRush Yardslast 3181.014130.4+38.8%
MABOFFENSEteamTotal Yardslast 3381.514233.5+63.4%
MABDEFENSEteamTurnoverslast 30.570.1+250.0%
MABOFFENSEteamTurnoverslast 52.272.9-21.3%
MABDEFENSEteamYPAlast 36.9710.2-31.9%
MABOFFENSEteamYPAlast 37.295.7+26.9%
MABDEFENSEteamYPClast 35.177.9-35.2%
MABOFFENSEteamYPClast 35.194.1+23.4%
MABDEFENSEteamYPPlast 36.278.9-30.4%
MABOFFENSEteamYPPlast 36.194.9+24.1%
WHAT CHANGED THIS WEEK

From the games on file through Oct 22.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

Most likely finish 0-10 · realistic range 0-10 to 1-9

Remaining schedule: 406th hardest of 1146 in the TX section (average opponent strength 6.3).

DateOpponentSP rankWin chance
10/30at Ferris#741 of 125210%
11/06vs Sulphur Springs#218 of 12522%

Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).

Printable team sheetProgram historyOpen in Stat BoothWidget for your site
Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED 10/26/2026 19:34