In short: Capuchino Mustangs high school football (San Bruno, CA), 2026 season: 3-6. Last game: L 13-28 vs Sequoia on October 30, 2026. Next: at Milpitas, November 5, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The turnover battle could decide Capuchino's next game, against Milpitas, and the recent returns favor Milpitas. Capuchino committed 1.4 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #52 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), the Mustangs have committed 2.5 giveaways per game, a 79% rise, #86 in Section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.3 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.3 per game), Capuchino turned it over 99% more than those defenses usually force. Conversely, Milpitas' defense has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Trojans have forced 2.3 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #11 in Section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in Section (1.5 per game on the season, which would rank #65). Against those norms, Milpitas forced 58% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Unless Capuchino's ball security rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Milpitas.
The number to watch when Capuchino meets Milpitas is Capuchino's scoring. Capuchino averaged 16.5 points per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #63 in Section through those games. In the 5 games since that slow start (2-3), the Mustangs have averaged 25.6 points per game, a 55% rise, #39 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 28.4 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (28.9 points per game), Capuchino scored 11% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Meanwhile, Milpitas' defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Trojans have allowed 25.0 points per game over their last 5 games (4-1), #51 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in Section (25.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #36). Milpitas offers Capuchino a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Capuchino is 2-1 this season when it scores 25 or more, and 1-5 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest worry in Capuchino's season has been the direction of its defense. Capuchino allowed 28.2 points per game over its first 6 games (3-3), #65 in Section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Mustangs have allowed 43.7 points per game, a 55% rise, #92 in Section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 29.6 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.5 points per game), Capuchino allowed 43% more than those offenses usually score. On the season, Capuchino ranks #86 in Section in scoring defense. It won't get any easier against Milpitas, whose offense ranks #3 in Section (39.4 points per game). Capuchino is 2-3 this season when it holds opponents under 40, and 1-3 when it doesn't.
Capuchino's run defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Mustangs allowed 6.6 yards per carry (1,076 yards on 163 rushes) over their first 6 games (3-3), #76 in Section during those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), Capuchino has allowed 8.2 yards per carry (663 yards on 81 rushes), a 24% rise, #73 in Section during that period. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 3 opponents have been softer, averaging 5.9 yards per carry, a #31 rushing attack in Section on the season, against 6.8 yards per carry, #18 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.9 yards per carry), Capuchino allowed 40% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. On the season, the Mustangs rank #82 in Section in run defense. It won't get any easier against Milpitas, whose ground game ranks #8 in Section (7.2 yards per carry).
Something changed for Capuchino's defense after its first 4 games. Capuchino allowed 7.1 yards per play (1,211 yards on 171 snaps) over its first 4 games (1-3), #68 in Section during that stretch. In the 5 games since that hot start (2-3), the Mustangs have allowed 8.1 yards per play (1,906 yards on 234 snaps), a 15% rise, #79 in Section over that period. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 5 opponents have been softer, averaging 7.1 yards per play, a #25 offense in Section on the season, against 8.1 yards per play, #12 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.1 yards per play), Capuchino allowed 15% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. On the season, Capuchino ranks #81 in Section in yards per play allowed. It won't get any easier against Milpitas, whose offense ranks #11 in Section (8.2 yards per play).
Capuchino's pass defense has allowed more yards per attempt as the season has worn on. The Mustangs allowed 7.9 yards per pass attempt (586 yards on 74 attempts) over their first 5 games (2-3), #55 in Section over that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), Capuchino has allowed 9.1 yards per pass attempt (792 yards on 87 attempts), a 15% rise, #58 in Section over that span. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 4 opponents have been softer, averaging 8.3 yards per attempt, a #30 passing attack in Section on the season, against 9.2 yards per attempt, #22 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.3 yards per attempt), Capuchino allowed 10% more per attempt than those passing attacks usually gain. On the season, the Mustangs rank #64 in Section in pass defense. It won't get any easier against Milpitas, whose passing game ranks #20 in Section (9.2 yards per attempt).
TIDBITS (4 found)
• Club Capuchino has lost 3 straight, and a loss would make it 4 in a row. The last time they lost 4 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 5.
• Club The last time Capuchino went a game committing no turnovers was October 24, 2024 against Mountain View (W, 45-17). Since then Capuchino has gone 22 straight games committing 1+ turnover, a school-record 22 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Capuchino is 12-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (12 such games).
• Club Capuchino has allowed 131 points over its last 3 games (43.7 a game, October 16, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- its most in a 3-game stretch on record.
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 9 game; last updated Oct 23; roster and numbers checked Sep 10.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 4/9, defense 8/9, sacks/INT 3/9, sacks allowed 8/9, turnovers 8/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 63.6/100 (+15 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 14.3/100 (-100 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 39.3/100 (+11 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 41.4/100 (+14 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
CAP finished 2025 at 2-8. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 14-9 over JEFFERSON (JEFFERSON finished 75% that season). Toughest loss: 7-10 to SEQUOIA (3-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
CAP HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• CAP commits fewer than 3 giveaways (.538), but most recently lost to Hillsdale when doing so
• CAP holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.500), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• CAP holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.500), but most recently lost to Carlmont when doing so
• CAP holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.444), but most recently lost to Carlmont when doing so
• CAP's offense has averaged 292.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 146.0 pass yards per game. (+100%)
• CAP's offense has averaged 14.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 7.3 YPA. (+99%)
• CAP's offense has averaged 470.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 246.2 total yards per game. (+91%)
• CAP's offense has averaged 9.2 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 5.1 YPP. (+79%)
• CAP's offense has averaged 178.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 100.2 rush yards per game. (+78%)
• CAP's defense has averaged 43.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 26.2 points allowed per game. (+67%)
• CAP's defense has averaged 1.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 0.6 takeaways per game. (+67%)
• CAP's offense has averaged 5.7 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 3.6 YPC. (+61%)
• CAP's defense has averaged 220.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 21-game average is 145.8 pass yards per game. (+51%)
• CAP's defense has averaged 419.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 299.0 total yards per game. (+40%)
• CAP's defense has averaged 7.7 YPA over their last 7 games. Their 21-game average is 11.5 YPA. (-33%)
CAP — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (30 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-6
.000
4.2
Scores 10-19
2-6
.250
14.8
Scores 20-29
4-4
.500
25.4
Scores 30-39
2-0
1.000
32.5
Scores 40+
5-1
.833
45.7
CAP — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
YPA < 8.0
2-1
.667
23.0
W2
5 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
Pass Yds < 200
2-1
.667
23.0
W2
5 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
1-2
.333
25.7
L1
Rush Yds < 100
1-0
1.000
20.0
W1
5 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
Rush Yds < 150
2-1
.667
23.0
W2
5 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
YPC < 5.0
2-1
.667
23.0
W2
5 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
YPP < 6.0
2-1
.667
23.0
W2
5 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
YPP < 7.0
2-1
.667
23.0
W2
5 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
3-5
.375
22.6
L2
Turnovers < 1
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
1-3
.250
21.0
L2
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
0-2
.000
20.5
L2
1 games without this stat on file
CAP — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
--
--
--
Scores 10-19
0-5
.000
14.4
Scores 20-29
1-1
.500
24.0
Scores 30-39
1-0
1.000
30.0
Scores 40+
1-0
1.000
44.0
CAP — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (30 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
3-8
.273
33.3
L1
YPA < 8.0
3-7
.300
27.8
L1
9 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
1-4
.200
35.2
L2
Pass Yds < 200
5-11
.312
29.2
L1
9 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
3-12
.200
30.9
L1
Rush Yds < 100
4-3
.571
28.1
L1
8 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
1-9
.100
33.9
L1
Rush Yds < 150
6-6
.500
26.8
L1
8 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
3-10
.231
31.7
L1
YPC < 5.0
4-5
.444
27.7
L1
8 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
4-12
.250
34.7
L2
YPP < 6.0
3-3
.500
17.7
W1
8 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
1-9
.100
41.8
L2
YPP < 7.0
6-6
.500
20.2
W2
8 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
4-6
.400
27.5
L2
Turnovers < 1
3-7
.300
34.9
W1
10 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
0-1
.000
48.0
L1
10 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
0-1
.000
48.0
L1
10 games without this stat on file
CAP — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (30 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
6-0
1.000
5.2
Allows 10-19
4-2
.667
13.8
Allows 20-29
2-4
.333
24.8
Allows 30-39
0-4
.000
35.2
Allows 40+
1-7
.125
47.6
CAP — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
1-2
.333
42.3
L1
YPA < 8.0
2-3
.400
29.0
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
0-1
.000
61.0
L1
Pass Yds < 200
3-4
.429
30.1
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
1-4
.200
36.6
L1
Rush Yds < 100
2-1
.667
29.7
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
1-4
.200
36.6
L1
Rush Yds < 150
2-1
.667
29.7
L1
1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
1-4
.200
36.6
L1
YPC < 5.0
2-1
.667
29.7
L1
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
2-5
.286
36.9
L2
YPP < 6.0
1-0
1.000
14.0
W1
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
1-5
.167
40.7
L2
YPP < 7.0
2-0
1.000
14.0
W2
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
2-3
.400
30.2
L2
Turnovers < 1
1-2
.333
40.3
W1
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
--
--
--
--
1 games without this stat on file
CAP — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
--
--
--
Allows 10-19
2-0
1.000
14.0
Allows 20-29
0-3
.000
24.7
Allows 30-39
--
--
--
Allows 40+
1-3
.250
49.5
ON THE BRINK
CAPUCHINO
• CAPUCHINO has been held under 14 in 2 straight games (10/23/26–10/30/26). It has not been held under 14 in 3 straight since 10/24/25–8/28/26 (2026).
• CAPUCHINO has lost 3 straight (10/16/26–10/30/26). It has not lost 4 straight since 10/24/25–9/3/26 (2026). It has reached 4 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has lost a high of 5 straight (2026) in that span.
CAP's defense has averaged 43.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 26.2 points allowed per game. (+67%)
CAP's defense has averaged 1.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 0.6 takeaways per game. (+67%)
CAP's defense has averaged 220.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 21-game average is 145.8 pass yards per game. (+51%)
CAP's defense has averaged 419.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 299.0 total yards per game. (+40%)
CAP's defense has averaged 7.7 YPA over their last 7 games. Their 21-game average is 11.5 YPA. (-33%)
CAP's defense has averaged 9.4 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 7.2 YPP. (+31%)
CAP's defense has averaged 199.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 159.8 rush yards per game. (+25%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where CAPUCHINO sits among 95 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 33.0, Defense Grade 51.8.
POINTS ALLOWED / GAME: CAPUCHINO VS THE SECTION
CAPUCHINO ranks #82 of 95 section teams in points allowed per game (28.7) -- a weakness worth a look.
CAPUCHINO: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -1.8 in 2022 to -7.0 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
