In short: Burlingame Panthers high school football (Burlingame, CA), 2026 season: 7-2 in the Peninsula - De Anza League. Last game: W 63-35 vs Mountain View on October 30, 2026. Next: vs San Mateo, November 7, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Burlingame meets San Mateo is Burlingame's scoring defense. Burlingame allowed 4.8 points per game over its first 4 games (4-0), #3 in Section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), the Panthers have allowed 27.2 points per game, a 473% rise, #62 in Section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Burlingame's last 5 opponents have averaged 30.6 points per game, a #21 offense in Section on the season, against 24.3 points per game, #38 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.6 points per game), Burlingame held those offenses 11% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #28 in Section, well above the first 4 (#51), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, San Mateo's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Bearcats have averaged 21.8 points per game over their last 5 games (3-2), #52 in Section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in Section (26.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #60). Against those norms, San Mateo scored 17% less than those defenses usually allow. San Mateo offers Burlingame a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Burlingame is 6-0 this season when it holds opponents under 27, and 1-2 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle could decide Burlingame's next game, against San Mateo, and the recent returns favor San Mateo. Burlingame forced 3.2 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (4-0), #2 in Section through those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), the Panthers have forced 0.8 takeaways per game, a 75% drop, #60 in Section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Burlingame's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.1 per game, a #38 offense in Section on the season, against 1.6 per game, #69 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.1 per game), Burlingame forced 24% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #28 in Section, well above the first 4 (#51), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, San Mateo's ball security has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Bearcats have committed 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games (3-2), #31 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in Section (1.2 per game on the season, which would rank #47). Against those norms, San Mateo turned it over 17% less than those defenses usually force. San Mateo offers Burlingame a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
NOTES
The biggest worry in Burlingame's season has been the direction of its offense. Burlingame averaged 48.5 points per game over its first 4 games (4-0), #1 in Section within that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), the Panthers have averaged 32.2 points per game, a 34% drop, #21 in Section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Burlingame's last 5 opponents have averaged 26.8 points per game, a #65 scoring defense in Section on the season, against 35.3 points per game, #91 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (26.8 points per game), Burlingame scored 20% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #28 in Section, well above the first 4 (#51), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Burlingame ranks #2 in Section in scoring. San Mateo's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #54 in Section (24.2 points per game). Burlingame is 6-1 this season when it scores 25 or more, and 1-1 when it doesn't.
TIDBITS (12 found)
• Club Burlingame has won 2 straight, and a win would make it 3 in a row. The last time they won 3 or more in a row was 2026, a run of 5.
• Club Burlingame has gone 14 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (October 17, 2025 through October 30, 2026), going 10-4 over that stretch, matching the program record of 14 straight on record.
• Club Burlingame has gone 9 straight games averaging 6.0+ yards per play (August 28, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 7-2 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Burlingame is 13-2 all time when allowing 10-19 points. Burlingame's last loss when allowing 10-19 points was November 4, 2023 against San Mateo (L, 14-17).
• Club Burlingame has allowed 126 points over its last 4 games (31.5 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- its most in a 4-game stretch since the 130 from September 12, 2025 through October 9, 2025.
• Club Burlingame has scored 119 points over its last 3 games (39.7 a game, October 16, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 149, from September 4, 2026 through September 17, 2026.
• Player Mark O'grady has gone 8 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Mark O'grady has gone 2 straight games running for a touchdown, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Luke Doss has never had a game rushing for 100+ yards for Burlingame, over a 18-game career on record. His career high is 72, set September 4, 2026 against Carlmont (W, 41-13).
• Player Will Armstrong has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Burlingame, over a 23-game career on record. His career high is 8, set October 31, 2025 against Mountain View (W, 44-35).
• Player Danny O'sullivan has never had a game recording 100+ receiving yards for Burlingame, over a 14-game career on record. His career high is 90, set October 16, 2026 against Half Moon Bay (L, 28-35).
• Player Will Armstrong has gone 5 straight games without recording 100+ receiving yards. The last time he had 100+ receiving yards was September 12, 2026 against Arroyo (W, 49-0) — 108 receiving yards.
MILESTONE WATCH
Burlingame
Mark O'Grady needs 2 touchdown passes for 20 (averaging 2.2 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Nov 2; roster and numbers checked Oct 6.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 6/9, sacks/INT 8/9, sacks allowed 6/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 54.8/100 (-4 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 56.3/100 (+3 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 88.5/100 (-70 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 63.3/100 (-30 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
BUR finished 2025 at 6-5. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 50-22 over ARROYO (ARROYO finished 73% that season). Toughest loss: 32-35 to HALF MOON BAY (3-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
BUR HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• BUR rushes for 100+ yards (.808), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• BUR forces 1+ takeaways (.750), and has won 7 straight when doing so
• BUR holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.933), and has won 14 straight when doing so
• BUR holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.833), and has won 9 straight when doing so
• BUR's defense has averaged 291.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 142.4 rush yards per game. (+104%)
• BUR's offense has exceeded 6.0 YPP in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/30/2026), going 7-2 over that stretch.
• BUR's offense has averaged 17.8 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 10.3 YPA. (+73%)
• BUR's defense has averaged 466.0 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 25-game average is 269.8 total yards per game. (+73%)
• BUR's offense has averaged 0.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 1.0 giveaways per game. (-68%)
• BUR's offense has averaged 11.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 6.6 YPP. (+67%)
• BUR's defense has averaged 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 33-game average is 2.0 takeaways per game. (-61%)
• BUR's offense has averaged 8.4 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 5.3 YPC. (+60%)
• BUR's defense has averaged 30.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 19.6 points allowed per game. (+54%)
• BUR's defense has averaged 60.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 127.4 pass yards per game. (-53%)
• BUR is 18-3 (.857) when it wins the turnover battle
BUR's defense has averaged 291.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 142.4 rush yards per game. (+104%)
BUR's defense has averaged 466.0 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 25-game average is 269.8 total yards per game. (+73%)
BUR's defense has averaged 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 33-game average is 2.0 takeaways per game. (-61%)
BUR's defense has averaged 30.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 19.6 points allowed per game. (+54%)
BUR's defense has averaged 60.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 127.4 pass yards per game. (-53%)
BUR's defense has averaged 11.0 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 25-game average is 8.0 YPA. (+37%)
BUR's defense has averaged 7.6 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 25-game average is 6.1 YPP. (+25%)
BUR's defense has averaged 4.2 YPC over their last 10 games. Their 25-game average is 5.3 YPC. (-22%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where BURLINGAME sits among 95 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 51.5, Defense Grade 70.4.
POINTS / GAME: BURLINGAME VS THE SECTION
BURLINGAME ranks #1 of 95 section teams in points per game (45.0) -- a strength worth a look.
BURLINGAME: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 6.7 in 2022 to 14.7 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
