Projected by the same share-of-team-projection mechanism as the matchup reports' projected box scores; untracked opponents omitted. Share blend: 8 game(s) of 26-27 weighted 73% against 25-26; returning players held only 10% of 25-26 passing, 44% of 25-26 rushing, 26% of 25-26 receiving -- the departed share is left unassigned rather than handed to the returners (capped at 2x their demonstrated share).
PROJECT STATS — VS. ANY OPPONENT
Search any team to project CARSON MORGAN’s stat line against them (neutral site) — the same share-of-team-projection mechanism as the schedule above.
Red Zone / Final 2 Minutes splits carry a real, disclosed field-position/clock coverage gap — see “Advanced Metrics Explained” below.
ADVANCED METRICS EXPLAINED (2)
Rushing Success Rate
The same down-based success standard as passing success rate, applied to a player's carries.
Inputs: Down, distance, yards gained and touchdown on plays where this player was the ball carrier.
Red Zone Splits
How a player performed once his team's offense (or the opponent's, for a defender) reached inside the 20-yard line.
Inputs: Every play on file within 20 yards of the goal line (`distance_to_goal <= 20`) this player was involved in. COVERAGE CAVEAT: true field position is only recorded for about a third of plays leaguewide, concentrated in FBS/FCS games -- a player whose games come from a source without it will show thin or missing red-zone splits even if he played plenty of red-zone snaps. This is a gap in the underlying play-by-play data, not a sign he didn't play there.
TREND NOTES