Nino Hill — Buffalo

AT A GLANCE

NINO HILL

RB · BUFFALO

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2026 SEASON · MAC · PLAYER TREND REPORT

2026 SEASON (6 GMS): RUSHING: 63 CAR, 202 YDS, 2 TD

TREND NOTES

Nino Hill has gone without a rushing TD in 4 consecutive games — last: 9/26/2026 vs. Robert Morris.
Nino Hill has rushed for an average of 26.0 rushing yards per game in his last 3 games after averaging 41.3 in his first 3 games this season.
Nino Hill has averaged 39.5 rushing yards per game at home this season against 22.0 per game on the road.
Nino Hill had 21 carries for 64 yds and 2 TD vs ROBERT MORRIS (2026).
Nino Hill has never had more than 64 rushing yards in a game in his career.

WIN SHARES

His share of his team's actual wins. A team's win shares add up to its win total; see “Advanced Metrics Explained” on the Leaders page for the method.

Season	Win Shares	Offense	Defense	Team wins	Share of wins	Division rank
2026	0.07	0.07	0.00	5	1%	2,549 of 10,090 (FBS)

Season

Win Shares

Offense

Defense

Team wins

Share of wins

Division rank

2026

0.07

0.07

0.00

2,549 of 10,090 (FBS)

2026 GAME LOG

DATE	OPPONENT	CAR	RUSH YDS	YPC	TD
09/03/2026	vs. UALBANY	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
09/12/2026	@ FIU	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
09/19/2026	@ PENN ST.	6	20	3.3	0
09/26/2026	vs. ROBERT MORRIS	21	64	3.0	2
10/03/2026	vs. WESTERN MICH.	14	40	2.9	0
10/10/2026	@ TOLEDO	12	24	2.0	0
10/17/2026	vs. MASSACHUSETTS	6	22	3.7	0
10/24/2026	vs. BOWLING GREEN	4	32	8.0	0
TOTALS	8 GMS	63	202	3.2	2

"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered for this player.

PROJECTED GAME LOG (REMAINING SCHEDULE)

DATE	OPPONENT	CAR	RUSH YDS	YPC	TD
11/11	@ BALL ST.	9.8	33.6	3.4	0.3
11/18	vs. CENTRAL MICH.	8.1	26.6	3.3	0.3
11/27	@ AKRON	9.7	34.5	3.6	0.4
PROJ	SEASON TOTALS (6 real + 3 proj)	90.6	296.7	3.3	3.0

Projected by the same share-of-team-projection mechanism as the matchup reports' projected box scores; untracked opponents omitted. Share blend: 8 game(s) of 26-27 weighted 73% against 25-26; returning players held only 2% of 25-26 passing, 3% of 25-26 rushing, 18% of 25-26 receiving -- the departed share is left unassigned rather than handed to the returners (capped at 2x their demonstrated share).

PROJECT STATS — VS. ANY OPPONENT

Search any team to project NINO HILL’s stat line against them (neutral site) — the same share-of-team-projection mechanism as the schedule above.

HIGHS & LOWS

STAT	HIGH	GAME	LOW	GAME
RUSH YDS	64	09/26/2026 vs Robert Morris	20	09/19/2026 vs Penn St.
CAR	21	09/26/2026 vs Robert Morris	4	10/24/2026 vs Bowling Green
RUSH TD	2	09/26/2026 vs Robert Morris	0	09/19/2026 vs Penn St.

Rushing & Receiving — Season

Rushing	20 yds · 5 car · 4.0 YPC · 0 TD
Rushing Success Rate	40.0% (GT-Adj 36.5%)

Defense — Season

Tackles	1 (GT-Weighted 1.0)
Tackles For Loss	0
Sacks	0 (GT-Weighted 0.0)
Interceptions	0 (0 pick-6s)

Situational Splits

3rd Down (SKILL)	1 touches · 0 yds · 0 TD
4th Down (SKILL)	2 touches · 12 yds · 0 TD
Final 2 Minutes of a Half (SKILL)	3 touches · 12 yds · 0 TD

Red Zone / Final 2 Minutes splits carry a real, disclosed field-position/clock coverage gap — see “Advanced Metrics Explained” below.

ADVANCED METRICS EXPLAINED (5)

Rushing Success Rate

The same down-based success standard as passing success rate, applied to a player's carries.

Inputs: Down, distance, yards gained and touchdown on plays where this player was the ball carrier.

3rd Down Splits

How a player performed specifically on 3rd down plays this season -- success rate, touchdown rate, and the underlying counting stats, isolated from every other down.

Inputs: Every play on file where down = 3 and this player was involved (passer, rusher, receiver, or a tackle/sack/INT/fumble recovery on defense).

4th Down Splits

The same idea as 3rd Down Splits, isolated to 4th down plays -- the highest-leverage down in football.

Inputs: Every play on file where down = 4 and this player was involved.

Final 2 Minutes of a Half

How a player performed in the last two minutes of either half -- the clock-management, high-pressure stretch at the end of the 2nd and 4th quarters.

Inputs: Every play on file in the 2nd or 4th quarter with 2:00 or less on the clock this player was involved in. Same field-position/clock coverage caveat as Red Zone Splits above -- roughly a third of plays leaguewide carry a usable clock reading, concentrated in FBS/FCS games.

What is "garbage time"?

A 7-tier rule (bigger lead required as the clock runs down) that flags plays happening in a game that is no longer competitive -- e.g. a 30+ point lead right after halftime, or a 12+ point lead inside the final 3 minutes.

Inputs: Quarter, game clock, and the score of both teams at the time of the play. Garbage-time plays are not thrown out -- they count for 35% of a normal play in every "garbage-time-adjusted" figure, so a player who pads stats once a game is decided shows up as such rather than being invisible.