In short: University Trojans high school football (Irvine, CA), 2026 season: 6-3 in the Omicron League. Last game: W 34-13 vs Buena Park on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Los Amigos, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The battle on the ground could decide University's next game, against Los Amigos, and the recent returns favor University. University averaged 3.7 yards per carry (473 yards on 127 rushes) over its first 5 games (2-3), #328 in CIF-SS in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Trojans have averaged 6.5 yards per carry (628 yards on 97 rushes), a 74% rise, #118 in CIF-SS in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: University's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.9 yards per carry, a #225 run defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 5.4 yards per carry, #167 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.9 yards per carry), University ran for 9% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #321 in CIF-SS. Conversely, Los Amigos' run defense has been one of CIF-SS's better units in recent weeks. The Lobos have allowed 2.9 yards per carry (262 yards on 91 rushes) over their last 4 games (4-0), #19 in CIF-SS during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker rushing attacks in CIF-SS (4.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #295). Against those norms, Los Amigos held those rushing attacks 36% below their usual yards per carry. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #321 in CIF-SS, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when University's surging ground game meets one of CIF-SS's better units in Los Amigos'.
The number to watch when University meets Los Amigos is University's scoring defense. University allowed 26.0 points per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #245 in CIF-SS through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Trojans have allowed 15.8 points per game, a 39% drop, #88 in CIF-SS through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: University's last 4 opponents have averaged 13.2 points per game, a #354 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 22.6 points per game, #242 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (13.2 points per game), University allowed 19% more than those offenses usually score. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #321 in CIF-SS. Conversely, Los Amigos' offense has been one of CIF-SS's better units in recent weeks. The Lobos have averaged 29.8 points per game over their last 4 games (4-0), #128 in CIF-SS over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in CIF-SS (24.9 points per game on the season, which would rank #232). Against those norms, Los Amigos scored 19% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #321 in CIF-SS, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when University's surging defense meets one of CIF-SS's better units in Los Amigos'. University is 6-0 this season when it holds opponents under 25, and 0-3 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest shift in University's season has come in its run defense. University allowed 6.1 yards per carry (1,097 yards on 181 rushes) over its first 5 games (2-3), #241 in CIF-SS within that period. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Trojans have allowed 4.5 yards per carry (564 yards on 125 rushes), a 26% drop, #100 in CIF-SS across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: University's last 4 opponents have averaged 4.5 yards per carry, a #295 rushing attack in CIF-SS on the season, against 5.4 yards per carry, #215 for the first 5. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #321 in CIF-SS. On the season, University ranks #175 in CIF-SS in run defense. Los Amigos' ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #200 in CIF-SS (5.5 yards per carry).
University's offense has come a long way since the season's early weeks. The Trojans averaged 6.4 yards per play (1,463 yards on 230 snaps) over their first 5 games (2-3), #206 in CIF-SS during those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), University has averaged 7.5 yards per play (1,212 yards on 161 snaps), an 18% rise, #119 in CIF-SS during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: University's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.9 yards per play, a #227 defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 6.3 yards per play, #177 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.9 yards per play), University gained 10% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #321 in CIF-SS. On the season, the Trojans rank #166 in CIF-SS in yards per play. That form gets a real test against Los Amigos, whose defense ranks #28 in CIF-SS (4.8 yards per play).
Something changed for University's defense after the first 5 games of the season. University allowed 6.1 yards per play (1,608 yards on 265 snaps) over its first 5 games (2-3), #156 in CIF-SS during that stretch. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Trojans have allowed 5.1 yards per play (973 yards on 192 snaps), a 16% drop, #69 in CIF-SS over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: University's last 4 opponents have averaged 4.9 yards per play, a #331 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 6.2 yards per play, #235 for the first 5. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #321 in CIF-SS. On the season, University ranks #93 in CIF-SS in yards per play allowed. Los Amigos' offense sits in the middle of the pack, #142 in CIF-SS (7.1 yards per play).
TIDBITS (10 found)
• Club University has won 4 straight, and a win would make it 5 in a row. The last time they won 5 or more in a row was 2015, a run of 7.
• Club University has gone 4 straight games averaging 5.0+ yards per carry (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-0 over that stretch, matching the program record of 4 straight on record.
• Club University has gone 4 straight games averaging 6.0+ yards per play (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-0 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 22 seasons on record.
• Club University has gone 9 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 20, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 6-3 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2022 (14 games).
• Player Dylan Elmer has gone 11 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Moises Keith-chavez has gone 7 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Aidan Guzman has 31 tackles over his last 3 games (10.3 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Malek Abdelazim has 3 sacks over his last 3 games (1.0 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Henry De Assis has never had a game rushing for 100+ yards for University, over a 15-game career on record. His career high is 65, set August 20, 2026 against Godinez Fundamental (W, 41-19).
• Player Deandre Miller has gone 8 straight games without recording two or more tackles for loss. The last time he had two tackles for loss was August 20, 2026 against Godinez Fundamental (W, 41-19) — 2 tackles for loss.
MILESTONE WATCH
University
Charlie Carmichael needs 1 tackle for 50 (averaging 6.1 a game)
Kurtis Nivens needs 3 tackles for 50 (averaging 5.2 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Oct 26; roster and numbers checked Sep 10.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 8/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 52.1/100 (-10 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 13.8/100 (-102 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 74.3/100 (-39 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 26.8/100 (+46 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
UNI finished 2025 at 4-6. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 23-7 over LOS AMIGOS (LOS AMIGOS finished 50% that season). Toughest loss: 36-37 to WOODBRIDGE (1-point margin).
UNI's defense has averaged 71.8 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 26-game average is 121.1 pass yards per game. (-41%)
UNI's defense has averaged 1.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 2.5 takeaways per game. (-33%)
UNI's defense has averaged 16.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 22.3 points allowed per game. (-28%)
UNI's defense has averaged 4.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 26-game average is 6.4 YPC. (-26%)
UNI's defense has averaged 5.1 YPA over their last 7 games. Their 26-game average is 6.9 YPA. (-26%)
UNI's defense has averaged 159.2 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 26-game average is 211.7 rush yards per game. (-25%)
UNI's defense has averaged 254.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 26-game average is 332.8 total yards per game. (-24%)
UNI's defense has averaged 5.3 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 26-game average is 6.8 YPP. (-21%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where UNIVERSITY (IRVINE) sits among 399 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 34.1, Defense Grade 44.0.
YARDS / CARRY: UNIVERSITY (IRVINE) VS THE SECTION
UNIVERSITY (IRVINE) ranks #294 of 356 section teams in yards per carry (3.96) -- a weakness worth a look.
UNIVERSITY (IRVINE): SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -12.4 in 2022 to -8.6 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
