In short: Sudan Hornets high school football (Sudan, TX), 2026 season: 5-3. Last game: W 33-27 vs Plains on October 23, 2026. Next: at Ropes, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 5-3 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 33-27 vs PLAINS |
| NEXT GAME | MORTON (11/06/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 24.1 · Rush Off 83.5 · Pass Def 50.6 · Rush Def 64.9 |
| ENROLLMENT | 180 STUDENTS (2024-25) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUDAN | 24.1 (-69) | 83.5 (+83) | 50.6 (-4) | 64.9 (-33) |
Next: at Ropes, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Sudan at Ropes.
The number to watch when Sudan meets Ropes is Sudan's scoring. Sudan averaged 12.0 points per game over its first 3 games (1-2), #1104 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (4-1), the Hornets have averaged 34.0 points per game, a 183% rise, #462 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Sudan's last 5 opponents have averaged 33.3 points per game, a #820 scoring defense in section on the season, against 21.5 points per game, #297 for the first 3. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #898 in section. Conversely, Ropes' defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Eagles have allowed 5.6 points per game over their last 5 games (5-0), #18 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (29.7 points per game on the season, which would rank #606). Against those norms, Ropes held those offenses 81% below what they usually score. Something has to give when Sudan's surging offense meets one of section's better units in Ropes'. Sudan is 5-1 this season when it scores 11 or more, and 0-2 when it doesn't.
Sudan averaged 4.1 yards per play (673 yards on 166 snaps) over its first 3 games (1-2), #937 in section through those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 5 games since that slow start (4-1), the Hornets have averaged 7.9 yards per play (1,271 yards on 161 snaps), a 95% rise, #312 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Sudan's last 5 opponents have averaged 9.5 yards per play, a #1122 defense in section on the season, against 5.6 yards per play, #222 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.5 yards per play), Sudan gained 17% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #898 in section. Conversely, Ropes' defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Eagles have allowed 3.7 yards per play (581 yards on 156 snaps) over their last 5 games (5-0), #43 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (7.6 yards per play on the season, which would rank #343). Against those norms, Ropes held those offenses 51% below their usual yards per snap. Something has to give when Sudan's surging offense meets one of section's better units in Ropes'.
Sudan's ground game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Sudan averaged 5.8 yards per carry (1,559 yards on 268 rushes) on the season, #532 in section, but that number is boosted by a 399-yard game on 28 rushes against Smyer on 10/9. In all other games, Sudan is at 4.8 yards per carry (1,160 yards on 240 rushes), a figure that would rank #786 in section. Context matters here: Smyer's run defense ranks among the weakest in section (16.1 yards per carry, #1229 of 1234), so that game says more about the opponent than about the unit itself. Against Ropes, Sudan draws one of the better run defenses (4.0 yards per carry, #111), so expect something closer to the 4.8 version.
The biggest shift in Sudan's season has come in its ball security. The Hornets committed 1.2 giveaways per game over their first 4 games (1-3), #568 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), Sudan has committed 0.3 giveaways per game, a 73% drop, #130 in section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Sudan's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.3 per game, a #561 defense in section on the season, against 1.6 per game, #320 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.3 per game), Sudan turned it over 74% less than those defenses usually force. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #943 in section. On the season, the Hornets rank #281 in section in giveaways. That form gets a real test against Ropes, whose defense ranks #230 in section (1.9 per game).
Sudan's defense has come a long way since the season's early weeks. Sudan allowed 30.8 points per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #711 in section during those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Hornets have allowed 14.0 points per game, a 54% drop, #150 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sudan's last 4 opponents have averaged 28.5 points per game, a #655 offense in section on the season, against 26.3 points per game, #732 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (28.5 points per game), Sudan held those offenses 51% below what they usually score. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #943 in section. Only Plains broke through in that span, putting up 27 on 10/23. On the season, Sudan ranks #343 in section in scoring defense. That form gets a real test against Ropes, whose offense ranks #8 in section (57.0 points per game).
• Club Sudan has won 4 straight, and a win would make it 5 in a row. The last time they won 5 or more in a row was 2022, a run of 8.
• Club The last time Sudan went a game throwing for 200+ yards was October 11, 2024 against Crosbyton (W, 48-8). Since then Sudan has gone 24 straight games being held under 200 passing yards, a school-record 24 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Sudan went a game forcing 3+ turnovers was October 10, 2025 against Crosbyton (W, 50-6). Since then Sudan has gone 13 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers, a school-record 13 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Sudan is 13-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (13 such games).
• Club Sudan is 11-2 all time when rushing for 100+ yards. Sudan's last loss when rushing for 100+ yards was September 18, 2026 against Vega (L, 32-35).
• Player Haden Provence has gone 3 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Haden Provence has gone 3 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Kyler Edwards has gone 2 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, the longest such streak of his career.
DATA WARNING: SUDAN OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. PLAINS* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SUDAN OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/16/2026 GAME @ SEAGRAVES* MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Oct 9.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 9 game; last updated Oct 30; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 17 | HADEN PROVENCE | 6 | 18/58 | 31.0% | 353 | 6.1 | 5 | 4 | 96.8 |
| 9 | RENO SMITH | 6 | 1/1 | 100.0% | 32 | 32.0 | 1 | 0 | 698.8 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 19/59 | 32.2% | 385 | 6.5 | 6 | 4 | 107.0 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 17 | HADEN PROVENCE | 6 | 101 | 670 | 6.6 | 6 |
| 23 | KYLER EDWARDS | 5 | 84 | 487 | 5.8 | 8 |
| 25 | BRIAN DELGADO | 5 | 34 | 147 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 0 | ANGEL MARTINEZ | 6 | 33 | 125 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 3 | SANTIAGO AVILA | 5 | 6 | 62 | 10.3 | 0 |
| PLAYER #8 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 10.2 | 0 | |
| 9 | RENO SMITH | 6 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 |
| 2 | CHRISTIAN DELGADO | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 7 | KAINE CARROLL | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 54 | LUIS VARGAS | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 268 | 1,559 | 5.8 | 16 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 6 | MILES LEDBETTER | 6 | 6 | 149 | 24.8 | 1 |
| 1 | DUSTIN GRAY | 4 | 5 | 96 | 19.2 | 2 |
| 10 | WILL ARMSTRONG | 5 | 5 | 82 | 16.4 | 2 |
| 23 | KYLER EDWARDS | 5 | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | TOMAS CHACON | 3 | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 19 | 385 | 20.3 | 6 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 9 | RENO SMITH | 6 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 25 | BRIAN DELGADO | 5 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 57 | AIDEN FLORES | 6 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 78 | BRYAN JASSO | 6 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | MILES LEDBETTER | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 65 | DYLAN PROVENCE | 5 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | SANTIAGO AVILA | 5 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | ANGEL MARTINEZ | 6 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | HADEN PROVENCE | 6 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 54 | LUIS VARGAS | 6 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 88 | JACOB BAKER | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | KYLER EDWARDS | 5 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 73 | ANDREW GODWIN | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | WILL ARMSTRONG | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | EDWYN ARREDONDO | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 80 | IZAIAH MONTOYA | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | DUSTIN GRAY | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SAMUEL BRISENO | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PLAYER #8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | TOMAS CHACON | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CHRISTIAN DELGADO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 431 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 4 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 9-3 | 377 | 237 | 31.4 |
| 2023 | 7-4 | 323 | 272 | 29.4 |
| 2024 | 6-5 | 374 | 338 | 34.0 |
| 2025 | 8-3 | 440 | 222 | 40.0 |
| 2026 | 5-3 | 206 | 179 | 25.8 |
| 2022-26 | 35-18 | 32.5 |
1 UIL state title · 2 state final losses
| YEAR | HONOR |
| 1993 | UIL STATE 1A CHAMPION (def. Bremond 54-0) |
| 1992 | UIL STATE 1A RUNNER-UP (lost to Bartlett 33-26) |
| 1989 | UIL STATE 1A RUNNER-UP (lost to Thorndale 42-24) |
State championship games and title-game MVPs: UIL Fall Almanac 2025-26. League finishes: no league schedule on file yet, so none is claimed.
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROPES | 3-0 | 8-0 | 2 / 75 | 1 (5.0-0.0) | 190-21 | 10/30 vs SUDAN |
| 2 | SUDAN | 3-0 | 5-3 | 42 / 770 | 2 (3.9-1.1) | 106-34 | 10/30 vs ROPES |
| 3 | SEAGRAVES | 1-2 | 5-3 | 25 / 579 | 3 (2.8-2.2) | 58-101 | |
| 4 | PLAINS | 1-2 | 4-4 | 53 / 902 | 4 (1.9-3.1) | 102-117 | 10/30 vs MORTON |
| 5 | MORTON | 1-2 | 1-7 | 74 / 1092 | 5 (1.4-3.6) | 66-133 | 10/30 vs PLAINS |
| 6 | SMYER | 0-3 | 0-8 | 101 / 1245 | 6 (0.0-5.0) | 40-156 | 10/30 vs SEAGRAVES |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | VS. TEXICO | vs | L | 0-27 | |
| 09/04 | SUNDOWN | at | W | 36-20 | |
| 09/11 | OLTON | at | L | 0-41 | |
| 09/18 | VEGA | vs | L | 32-35 | |
| 09/25 | TULIA | at | W | 32-22 | |
| 10/09 | SMYER | vs | W | 47-0 | |
| 10/16 | SEAGRAVES | at | W | 26-7 | |
| 10/23 | PLAINS | vs | W | 33-27 | |
| 10/30 | ROPES | at | PROJ | 7-54 | 1.1% |
| 11/06 | MORTON | vs | PROJ | 38-17 | 84.7% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 5-3 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 5-3 so far | 6-4 (80%) | 5.8-4.2 |
| League | 3-0 so far | 3-0 (100%) | 3.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 25.8 | 22.4 | 324.0 | 282.0 | 54.5 | 41.4 |
| HOME | 4 | 28.0 | 22.2 | 371.0 | 256.0 | 52.3 | 40.3 |
| ROAD | 4 | 23.5 | 22.5 | 277.0 | 321.0 | 56.7 | 43.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 6/8 game(s), Home 3/4 game(s), Road 3/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | vs. Texico | L 0-27 | 45 | 222 | 267 | 185 | 195 | 380 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/4 | @ Sundown | W 36-20 | 60 | 235 | 295 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 7 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| 9/11 | @ Olton | L 0-41 | 37 | 74 | 111 | 195 | 185 | 380 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/18 | vs. Vega | L 32-35 | 113 | 285 | 398 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
| 9/25 | @ Tulia | W 32-22 | 81 | 344 | 425 | 118 | 144 | 262 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10/9 | vs. Smyer | W 47-0 | 49 | 399 | 448 | 52 | 37 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ Seagraves | W 26-7 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/23 | vs. Plains | W 33-27 | -- | -- | -- | 39 | 260 | 299 | 0 | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| AVERAGES | 64.2 | 259.8 | 324.0 | 117.8 | 164.2 | 282.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 6/8, defense 5/8, sacks/INT 6/8, sacks allowed 5/8, turnovers 7/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 24.1/100 (-69 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 83.5/100 (+83 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 50.6/100 (-4 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 64.9/100 (-33 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | ROPES | 8-0 | 57.0 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | MORTON | 1-7 | 16.9 |
LAST YEAR
SUD finished 2025 at 8-3. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 35-6 over VEGA (VEGA finished 100% that season). Toughest loss: 28-34 to HALE CENTER (6-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | OLTON | W | 1-0 | 19 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | TAHOKA | W | 2-0 | 40 | 12 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | ROPES | L | 2-1 | 13 | 55 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | VEGA | W | 3-1 | 35 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | PLAINS | W | 4-1 | 41 | 12 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | CROSBYTON | W | 5-1 | 50 | 6 | 422 | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | LOCKNEY | W | 6-1 | 56 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | HALE CENTER | L | 6-2 | 28 | 34 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | MORTON | W | 7-2 | 56 | 28 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-07 | RALLS | W | 8-2 | 60 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | FARWELL | L | 8-3 | 42 | 56 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 8-3 | 8-3 | 440 | 222 | 422 (1) | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• SUD averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• SUD averages 7.0+ yards per play (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• SUD commits zero giveaways (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• SUD's offense has averaged 14.2 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.6 YPC. (+117%)
• SUD's offense has averaged 14.0 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 7.1 YPP. (+97%)
• SUD's defense has averaged 45.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 117.8 pass yards per game. (-61%)
• SUD's defense has averaged 11.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 24.6 points allowed per game. (-54%)
• SUD's defense has averaged 4.1 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 8.7 YPA. (-53%)
• SUD's offense has averaged 49.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 101.4 pass yards per game. (-52%)
• SUD averages 10.6+ yards per attempt (SUD's own median) (.999)
• SUD's offense has averaged 0.5 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 0.9 giveaways per game. (-44%)
• SUD's offense has averaged 399.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 286.1 rush yards per game. (+39%)
• SUD's offense has averaged 13.3 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 10.1 YPA. (+33%)
• SUD's defense has averaged 194.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 282.0 total yards per game. (-31%)
• SUD's defense has averaged 4.9 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 7.0 YPP. (-30%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
SUD -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 6 scored; vs 6 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 7-2 | .778 | 36.2 | W2 | 0.822 |
| 2 | OFF | Rush Yds 150+ | 7-2 | .778 | 36.2 | W2 | 0.770 |
| 3 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 6-2 | .750 | 30.8 | W3 | 0.479 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 6-2 | .750 | 30.8 | W3 | 0.427 |
| 5 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 5-3 | .625 | 22.5 | W3 | 0.365 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- SUD ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| SUD rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 6-2 | .750 | 34.8 | W2 |
| SUD averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 | W2 |
| SUD averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 | W2 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| SUD | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 6-2 | .750 | 34.8 |
| SUD | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 |
| SUD | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 42.6 | W5 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.7 | L3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 48.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-3 | .667 | 30.9 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 7-2 | .778 | 36.2 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 7-2 | .778 | 36.2 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 48.3 | W3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 20.0 | W1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-3 | .500 | 29.5 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.7 | W3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-3 | .000 | 0.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.7 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-3 | .250 | 25.8 |
| Scores 30-39 | 6-1 | .857 | 34.3 |
| Scores 40+ | 11-2 | .846 | 48.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.3 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.7 | L3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-3 | .500 | 24.5 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-2 | .600 | 29.4 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-2 | .600 | 29.4 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 36.8 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 36.8 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 20.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 19.8 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.7 | W3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 26.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 3-1 | .750 | 33.2 |
| Scores 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 24.5 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.7 | W2 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.4 | W3 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-2 | .333 | 31.7 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W2 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 25.3 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 | W1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-2 | .714 | 17.6 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 |
| Allows 10-19 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 12.7 |
| Allows 20-29 | 6-2 | .750 | 23.8 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 34.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-7 | .125 | 50.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 24.5 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.7 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.4 | W3 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-2 | .333 | 31.7 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 25.3 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-2 | .600 | 21.8 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-1 | .750 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 41.0 |
SUDAN
• SUDAN has won 4 straight (9/25/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 42.6 | W5 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.7 | L3 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 48.0 | W1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 | 6-3 | .667 | 30.9 | W2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 36.2 | W2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 36.2 | W2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 | W2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 40.8 | W2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 48.3 | W3 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 20.0 | W1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 29.5 | W1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.7 | W3 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 0.0 | L3 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.7 | L1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 25.8 | W1 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 34.3 | W2 |
| SUD | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 13 | 11-2 | .846 | 48.5 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 24.5 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.7 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.4 | W3 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 31.7 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 29.2 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.3 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 17.6 | W2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 | W9 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 12.7 | W3 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 23.8 | W3 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 34.5 | L2 |
| SUD | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 50.2 | L7 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
SUD OFFENSE
SUD's offense has averaged 14.2 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.6 YPC. (+117%)
SUD's offense has averaged 14.0 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 7.1 YPP. (+97%)
SUD's offense has averaged 49.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 101.4 pass yards per game. (-52%)
SUD's offense has averaged 0.5 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 0.9 giveaways per game. (-44%)
SUD's offense has averaged 399.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 286.1 rush yards per game. (+39%)
SUD's offense has averaged 13.3 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 10.1 YPA. (+33%)
SUD DEFENSE
SUD's defense has averaged 45.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 117.8 pass yards per game. (-61%)
SUD's defense has averaged 11.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 24.6 points allowed per game. (-54%)
SUD's defense has averaged 4.1 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 8.7 YPA. (-53%)
SUD's defense has averaged 194.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 282.0 total yards per game. (-31%)
SUD's defense has averaged 4.9 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 7.0 YPP. (-30%)
SUD's defense has averaged 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 9-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (-25%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| SUD | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 45.5 | 5 | 117.8 | -61.4% | |
| SUD | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 49.0 | 10 | 101.4 | -51.7% | |
| SUD | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 11.3 | 30 | 24.6 | -54.0% | |
| SUD | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 399.0 | 10 | 286.1 | +39.5% | |
| SUD | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 194.0 | 5 | 282.0 | -31.2% | |
| SUD | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 7 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.1 | -25.0% | |
| SUD | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.5 | 9 | 0.9 | -43.7% | |
| SUD | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 4.1 | 5 | 8.7 | -53.3% | |
| SUD | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 5 | 13.3 | 8 | 10.1 | +32.6% | |
| SUD | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 14.2 | 8 | 6.6 | +116.9% | |
| SUD | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 4.9 | 5 | 7.0 | -30.2% | |
| SUD | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 14.0 | 8 | 7.1 | +97.1% |