In short: Sterling Rangers high school football (Baytown, TX), 2026 season: 5-4. Last game: L 0-16 vs Port Arthur Memorial on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Beaumont United, November 5, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 5-4 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 0-16 vs PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL |
| NEXT GAME | BEAUMONT UNITED (11/05/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 51.0 · Rush Off 70.8 · Pass Def 12.3 · Rush Def 50.6 |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,130 STUDENTS (2023-24) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STERLING | 51.0 (-12) | 70.8 (+38) | 12.3 (+64) | 50.6 (-4) |
Next: vs Beaumont United, Thu 5 Nov. Matchup report: Beaumont United at Sterling.
The turnover battle could decide Sterling's next game, against Beaumont United, and the recent returns favor Beaumont United. Sterling forced 2.2 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #128 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (2-3), the Rangers have forced 0.3 takeaways per game, an 85% drop, #1086 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sterling's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.1 per game, a #491 offense in section on the season, against 1.7 per game, #921 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.1 per game), Sterling forced 70% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #342 in section, well above the first 4 (#731), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Beaumont United's ball security has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Timberwolves have committed 1.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games (3-2), #689 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in section (1.2 per game on the season, which would rank #565). Against those norms, Beaumont United turned it over 12% more than those defenses usually force. Beaumont United offers Sterling a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The number to watch when Sterling meets Beaumont United is Sterling's scoring. Sterling averaged 30.8 points per game over its first 6 games (5-1), #565 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Rangers have averaged 12.0 points per game, a 61% drop, #1051 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sterling's last 3 opponents have averaged 24.8 points per game, a #442 scoring defense in section on the season, against 32.2 points per game, #787 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.8 points per game), Sterling scored 52% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #169 in section, well above the first 6 (#706), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Sterling was held to 14 points or fewer 2 times in those games, including 0 against Port Arthur Memorial on 10/23. Meanwhile, Beaumont United's defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Timberwolves have allowed 35.0 points per game over their last 3 games (1-2), #791 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (35.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #388). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #253 in section, a strong slate. Beaumont United offers Sterling a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Sterling is 5-0 this season when it scores 27 or more, and 0-4 when it doesn't.
The biggest worry in Sterling's season has been the direction of its defense. Sterling allowed 15.7 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #182 in section within that period. In the 6 games since that hot start (2-4), the Rangers have allowed 33.7 points per game, a 115% rise, #799 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sterling's last 6 opponents have averaged 29.7 points per game, a #609 offense in section on the season, against 18.3 points per game, #998 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.7 points per game), Sterling allowed 13% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #357 in section, well above the first 3 (#820), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Sterling ranks #580 in section in scoring defense. Beaumont United's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #614 in section (29.6 points per game). Sterling is 5-1 this season when it holds opponents under 30, and 0-3 when it doesn't.
• Club Sterling has lost 3 straight, and a loss would make it 4 in a row. The last time they lost 4 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 4.
• Club The last time Sterling went a game being held under 100 rushing yards was September 22, 2022 against Port Arthur Memorial (L, 0-48). Since then Sterling has gone 44 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, a school-record 44 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME @ PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL* MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/16/2026 GAME VS. LA PORTE* MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/08/2026 GAME @ WEST BROOK* MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/02/2026 GAME VS. GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL* MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/25/2026 GAME @ BALL* MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/18/2026 GAME VS. LUFKIN* MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/03/2026 GAME VS. ALVIN MISSING
DATA WARNING: STERLING OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 08/28/2026 GAME @ LEE MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 2-8 | 129 | 448 | 12.9 |
| 2023 | 3-7 | 186 | 283 | 18.6 |
| 2024 | 2-8 | 147 | 354 | 14.7 |
| 2025 | 4-6 | 210 | 285 | 21.0 |
| 2026 | 5-4 | 221 | 249 | 24.6 |
| 2022-26 | 16-33 | 18.2 |
1 state final loss
| YEAR | HONOR |
| 1972 | UIL STATE 4A RUNNER-UP (lost to Odessa Permian 37-7) |
State championship games and title-game MVPs: UIL Fall Almanac 2025-26. League finishes: no league schedule on file yet, so none is claimed.
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA PORTE | 6-0 | 6-2 | 16 / 146 | 1 (7.8-0.2) | 318-173 | 10/30 vs NEW CANEY |
| 2 | PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL | 5-1 | 7-1 | 12 / 131 | 2 (6.8-1.2) | 171-72 | 10/30 vs BEAUMONT UNITED |
| 3 | BEAUMONT UNITED | 3-3 | 5-3 | 45 / 441 | 5 (3.8-4.2) | 184-171 | 10/30 vs PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL |
| 4 | WEST BROOK | 3-3 | 4-4 | 23 / 262 | 3 (4.7-3.3) | 215-145 | 10/30 vs LUFKIN |
| 5 | LUFKIN | 3-3 | 4-4 | 49 / 461 | 6 (3.4-4.6) | 153-133 | 10/30 vs WEST BROOK |
| 6 | GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL | 3-4 | 5-4 | 39 / 388 | 4 (3.9-4.1) | 166-197 | 10/30 vs BALL |
| 7 | STERLING | 3-4 | 5-4 | 59 / 574 | 7 (3.3-4.7) | 149-229 | 11/05 vs BEAUMONT UNITED |
| 8 | NEW CANEY | 2-4 | 2-6 | 58 / 554 | 8 (2.2-5.8) | 111-139 | 10/30 vs LA PORTE |
| 9 | BALL | 0-6 | 1-7 | 89 / 903 | 9 (0.1-7.9) | 75-283 | 10/30 vs GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | LEE | at | W | 31-10 | |
| 09/03 | ALVIN | vs | W | 41-10 | |
| 09/11 | NEW CANEY | at | W | 28-27 | |
| 09/18 | LUFKIN | vs | L | 14-35 | |
| 09/25 | BALL | at | W | 43-20 | |
| 10/02 | GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL | vs | W | 28-21 | |
| 10/08 | WEST BROOK | at | L | 23-55 | |
| 10/16 | LA PORTE | vs | L | 13-55 | |
| 10/23 | PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL | at | L | 0-16 | |
| 11/05 | BEAUMONT UNITED | vs | PROJ | 24-28 | 42.3% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 5-4 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 5-4 so far | 5-5 (58%) | 5.4-4.6 |
| League | 3-4 so far | 3-4 (100%) | 3.0-4.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 9 | 24.6 | 27.7 | 321.0 | 354.2 | 59.0 | 43.8 |
| HOME | 4 | 24.0 | 30.2 | -- | 392.0 | -- | 46.7 |
| ROAD | 5 | 25.0 | 25.6 | 321.0 | 316.3 | 59.0 | 41.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 1/9 game(s), Home 0/4 game(s), Road 1/5 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Lee | W 31-10 | -- | -- | -- | 106 | 145 | 251 | 0 | -- | -- | 3 | +1 |
| 9/3 | vs. Alvin | W 41-10 | -- | -- | -- | 80 | 153 | 233 | 0 | -- | -- | 3 | +3 |
| 9/11 | @ New Caney | W 28-27 | 105 | 216 | 321 | 232 | 81 | 313 | 0 | -- | -- | 3 | +3 |
| 9/18 | vs. Lufkin | L 14-35 | -- | -- | -- | 224 | 190 | 414 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | -3 |
| 9/25 | @ Ball | W 43-20 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/2 | vs. Goose Creek Memorial | W 28-21 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/8 | @ West Brook | L 23-55 | -- | -- | -- | 180 | 205 | 385 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/16 | vs. La Porte | L 13-55 | -- | -- | -- | 275 | 254 | 529 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| 10/23 | @ Port Arthur Memorial | L 0-16 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| AVERAGES | 105.0 | 216.0 | 321.0 | 182.8 | 171.3 | 354.2 | 0.0 | -- | -- | 1.4 | +1 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 1/9, defense 6/9, sacks/INT 0/9, sacks allowed 4/9, turnovers 7/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 51.0/100 (-12 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 70.8/100 (+38 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 12.3/100 (+64 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 50.6/100 (-4 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | BEAUMONT UNITED | 5-3 | 29.6 |
LAST YEAR
STE finished 2025 at 4-6. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 23-14 over BARBERS HILL (BARBERS HILL finished 71% that season). Toughest loss: 21-31 to LUFKIN (10-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL | L | 0-1 | 20 | 42 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-04 | GALENA PARK | L | 0-2 | 7 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | LEE | W | 1-2 | 48 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-20 | CESAR E. CHAVEZ | W | 2-2 | 36 | 12 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | BALL | W | 3-2 | 21 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-02 | BARBERS HILL | W | 4-2 | 23 | 14 | N/A | 265 |
| 2025-10-10 | WEST BROOK | L | 4-3 | 7 | 37 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | LUFKIN | L | 4-4 | 21 | 31 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL | L | 4-5 | 13 | 63 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | BEAUMONT UNITED | L | 4-6 | 14 | 24 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 10 GMS | 4-6 | 4-6 | 210 | 285 | N/A | 265 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• STE holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• STE holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• STE holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• STE holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• STE's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 7-game average is 1.4 takeaways per game. (-77%)
• STE's defense has averaged 18.0 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 10.9 YPA. (+65%)
• STE holds its opponents under 8.6 yards per attempt (STE's own median) (.999)
• STE holds its opponents under 180.0 passing yards (STE's own median) (.999)
• STE holds its opponents under 153.0 rushing yards (STE's own median) (.999)
• STE holds its opponents under 6.4 yards per carry (STE's own median) (.999)
• STE holds its opponents under 7.2 yards per play (STE's own median) (.999)
• STE is 3-0 (.999) in games decided by 8 points or fewer
• STE's defense has averaged 229.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 159.6 rush yards per game. (+44%)
• STE's offense has averaged 12.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 19.9 points scored per game. (-40%)
• STE's defense has averaged 42.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 30.6 points allowed per game. (+37%)
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 28 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 28 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.2 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-10 | .000 | 5.3 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-5 | .000 | 14.2 |
| Scores 20-29 | 4-3 | .571 | 23.4 |
| Scores 30-39 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.3 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.5 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.3 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 43.0 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.3 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-2 | .333 | 39.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 22.2 | L1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 33.0 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.5 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 36.4 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-1 | .750 | 25.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 36.7 | L1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.7 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.7 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 |
| Allows 10-19 | 4-1 | .800 | 12.4 |
| Allows 20-29 | 4-4 | .500 | 23.1 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-4 | .000 | 34.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-9 | .000 | 54.3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 43.0 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-2 | .333 | 39.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 33.0 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 18.5 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 18.5 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 36.4 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 18.5 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-1 | .750 | 25.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 36.7 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.7 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.7 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-1 | .667 | 12.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 22.7 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-2 | .000 | 55.0 |
STERLING
• STERLING has been held under 14 in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not been held under 14 in 3 straight since 9/26/24–11/8/24 (2024). It has reached 3 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 6 straight (2023) in that span.
• STERLING has lost 3 straight (10/8/26–10/23/26). It has not lost 4 straight since 10/10/25–11/6/25 (2025). It has reached 4 straight 3 times in the last 4 years and has lost a high of 8 straight (2025) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| STE | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.2 | L1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 10 | 0-10 | .000 | 5.3 | L10 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 14.2 | L5 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 23.4 | L1 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W3 |
| STE | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 47.0 | W4 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 43.0 | L3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.3 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 39.0 | L2 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 22.2 | L1 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 33.0 | L3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.5 | W2 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 36.4 | L3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W2 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 38.8 | L3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 25.5 | L1 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 36.7 | L1 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.7 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.7 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 12.4 | L1 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 23.1 | W3 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 34.5 | L4 |
| STE | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 9 | 0-9 | .000 | 54.3 | L9 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
STE OFFENSE
STE's offense has averaged 12.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 19.9 points scored per game. (-40%)
STE's offense has averaged 1.4 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (+24%)
STE DEFENSE
STE's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 7-game average is 1.4 takeaways per game. (-77%)
STE's defense has averaged 18.0 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 10.9 YPA. (+65%)
STE's defense has averaged 229.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 159.6 rush yards per game. (+44%)
STE's defense has averaged 42.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 30.6 points allowed per game. (+37%)
STE's defense has averaged 457.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 341.4 total yards per game. (+34%)
STE's defense has averaged 10.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 7.7 YPP. (+32%)
STE's defense has averaged 227.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 181.9 pass yards per game. (+25%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 227.5 | 7 | 181.9 | +25.1% | |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 42.0 | 29 | 30.6 | +37.2% | |
| STE | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 12.0 | 29 | 19.9 | -39.8% | |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 229.5 | 7 | 159.6 | +43.8% | |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 457.0 | 7 | 341.4 | +33.8% | |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 0.3 | 7 | 1.4 | -76.7% | |
| STE | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.1 | +24.4% | |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 18.0 | 7 | 10.9 | +64.7% | |
| STE | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 10.1 | 7 | 7.7 | +31.7% |
From the games on file through Oct 23.
