In short: Smithson Valley Rangers high school football (Spring Branch, TX), 2026 season: 8-0. Last game: W 35-24 vs Boerne-Champion on October 23, 2026. Next: at Seguin, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 8-0 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 35-24 vs BOERNE-CHAMPION |
| NEXT GAME | SEGUIN (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 59.9 · Rush Off 48.0 · Pass Def 69.0 · Rush Def 92.0 |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,118 STUDENTS (2025-26) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMITHSON VALLEY | 59.9 (+6) | 48.0 (-15) | 69.0 (-31) | 92.0 (-105) |
Next: at Seguin, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Smithson Valley at Seguin.
The number to watch when Smithson Valley meets Seguin is Smithson Valley's scoring. Smithson Valley averaged 70.0 points per game over its first 5 games (5-0), #1 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (3-0), the Rangers have averaged 55.3 points per game, a 21% drop, #77 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Smithson Valley's last 3 opponents have averaged 25.7 points per game, a #492 scoring defense in section on the season, against 28.7 points per game, #631 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.7 points per game), Smithson Valley scored 116% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #402 in section, well above the first 5 (#730), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Seguin's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Matadors have allowed 47.3 points per game over their last 3 games (1-2), #1059 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (36.7 points per game on the season, which would rank #341). Against those norms, Seguin allowed 29% more than those offenses usually score. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
The battle on the ground could decide Smithson Valley's next game, against Seguin, and the recent returns favor Smithson Valley. Smithson Valley allowed 3.9 yards per carry (375 yards on 96 rushes) over its first 4 games (4-0), #144 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Rangers have allowed 3.2 yards per carry (348 yards on 108 rushes), an 18% drop, #106 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.0 yards per carry on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.9 yards per carry), Smithson Valley held those rushing attacks 45% below their usual yards per carry. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #502 in section, well above the first 4 (#715), which makes the improvement more impressive. Meanwhile, Seguin's ground game has struggled in recent weeks. The Matadors have averaged 3.7 yards per carry (453 yards on 123 rushes) over their last 4 games (1-3), #845 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better run defenses in section (4.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #202). Against those norms, Seguin ran for 19% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Smithson Valley.
• Club Smithson Valley has won 22 straight, and a win would make it 23 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Smithson Valley went a game allowing 7.0+ yards per play was September 27, 2024 against Pieper (L, 36-39). Since then Smithson Valley has gone 35 straight games holding the opponent under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 35 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Smithson Valley went a game averaging 8.0+ yards per attempt was November 14, 2025 against Southside (W, 49-0). Since then Smithson Valley has gone 13 straight games being held under 8.0 yards per attempt, a school-record 13 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Smithson Valley went a game being held under 100 rushing yards was November 14, 2025 against Southside (W, 49-0). Since then Smithson Valley has gone 13 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, a school-record 13 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Smithson Valley is 42-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (42 such games).
• Club Smithson Valley has gone 6 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 6-0 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Smithson Valley has scored 243 points over its last 4 games (60.8 a game, October 1, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 4-game total on record; the most is 273, from September 3, 2026 through September 24, 2026.
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. BOERNE-CHAMPION* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/16/2026 GAME @ LOCKHART* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/09/2026 GAME VS. ANDERSON* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/01/2026 GAME @ LEHMAN* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/24/2026 GAME VS. CEDAR CREEK* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/18/2026 GAME @ MANOR* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/11/2026 GAME VS. MCCALLUM* MISSING
DATA WARNING: SMITHSON VALLEY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/03/2026 GAME @ SOTOMAYOR MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 12-2 | 506 | 167 | 36.1 |
| 2023 | 15-1 | 670 | 256 | 41.9 |
| 2024 | 15-1 | 757 | 260 | 47.3 |
| 2025 | 15-1 | 635 | 163 | 39.7 |
| 2026 | 8-0 | 516 | 79 | 64.5 |
| 2022-26 | 65-5 | 44.1 |
2 UIL state titles · 4 state final losses · 4 title-game MVPs
| YEAR | HONOR |
| 2025 | UIL STATE 5A D1 CHAMPION (def. Frisco Lone Star 28-6) |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME DEFENSIVE MVP (5A D1): COLTON HORNSBY (LB) | |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME OFFENSIVE MVP (5A D1): HUNTER HAUG (WR) | |
| 2024 | UIL STATE 5A D1 CHAMPION (def. Dallas Highland Park 32-20) |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME DEFENSIVE MVP (5A D1): JULIAN COLUNGA (DB) | |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME OFFENSIVE MVP (5A D1): CADE SPRADLING (QB) | |
| 2023 | UIL STATE 5A D1 RUNNER-UP (lost to Aledo 51-8) |
| 2004 | UIL STATE 5A D2 RUNNER-UP (lost to Southlake Carroll 27-24) |
| 2002 | UIL STATE 5A D2 RUNNER-UP (lost to Southlake Carroll 45-14) |
| 2001 | UIL STATE 4A D1 RUNNER-UP (lost to Denton Ryan 42-35) |
State championship games and title-game MVPs: UIL Fall Almanac 2025-26. League finishes: no league schedule on file yet, so none is claimed.
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMITHSON VALLEY | 7-0 | 8-0 | 3 / 68 | 1 (8.0-0.0) | 469-65 | 10/30 vs SEGUIN |
| 2 | BOERNE-CHAMPION | 5-1 | 7-1 | 15 / 145 | 2 (6.9-1.1) | 312-77 | 10/30 vs MCCALLUM |
| 3 | ANDERSON | 4-2 | 6-2 | 33 / 337 | 3 (5.9-2.1) | 243-188 | 10/29 vs CEDAR CREEK |
| 4 | MANOR | 3-3 | 4-4 | 69 / 706 | 5 (3.6-4.4) | 213-221 | 10/30 vs LOCKHART |
| 5 | MCCALLUM | 3-3 | 4-4 | 62 / 662 | 4 (3.9-4.1) | 139-158 | 10/30 vs BOERNE-CHAMPION |
| 6 | LEHMAN | 3-4 | 4-5 | 76 / 789 | 6 (3.1-4.9) | 142-205 | 11/06 vs ANDERSON |
| 7 | SEGUIN | 2-4 | 2-6 | 100 / 974 | 8 (2.2-5.8) | 103-233 | 10/30 vs SMITHSON VALLEY |
| 8 | LOCKHART | 1-5 | 3-5 | 73 / 770 | 7 (2.3-5.7) | 54-251 | 10/30 vs MANOR |
| 9 | CEDAR CREEK | 0-6 | 2-6 | 113 / 1101 | 9 (0.2-7.8) | 74-351 | 10/29 vs ANDERSON |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 09/03 | SOTOMAYOR | at | W | 47-14 | |
| 09/11 | MCCALLUM | vs | W | 63-7 | |
| 09/18 | MANOR | at | W | 79-14 | |
| 09/24 | CEDAR CREEK | vs | W | 84-7 | |
| 10/01 | LEHMAN | at | W | 77-3 | |
| 10/09 | ANDERSON | vs | W | 42-7 | |
| 10/16 | LOCKHART | at | W | 89-3 | |
| 10/23 | BOERNE-CHAMPION | vs | W | 35-24 | |
| 10/30 | SEGUIN | at | PROJ | 54-10 | 98.4% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 8-0 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 8-0 so far | 9-0 (98%) | 9.0-0.0 |
| League | 7-0 so far | 7-0 (100%) | 7.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 64.5 | 9.9 | -- | 215.0 | -- | 52.8 |
| HOME | 4 | 56.0 | 11.2 | -- | 263.0 | -- | 56.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 73.0 | 8.5 | -- | 167.0 | -- | 49.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 0/8 game(s), Home 0/4 game(s), Road 0/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 9/3 | @ Sotomayor | W 47-14 | -- | -- | -- | 59 | 152 | 211 | 1 | -- | -- | 1 | -1 |
| 9/11 | vs. McCallum | W 63-7 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 9/18 | @ Manor | W 79-14 | -- | -- | -- | 129 | 86 | 215 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +3 |
| 9/24 | vs. Cedar Creek | W 84-7 | -- | -- | -- | 48 | 137 | 185 | -- | -- | -- | 4 | +4 |
| 10/1 | @ Lehman | W 77-3 | -- | -- | -- | 35 | 40 | 75 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/9 | vs. Anderson | W 42-7 | -- | -- | -- | 125 | 82 | 207 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +1 |
| 10/16 | @ Lockhart | W 89-3 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/23 | vs. Boerne-Champion | W 35-24 | -- | -- | -- | 171 | 226 | 397 | -- | -- | -- | 5 | +4 |
| AVERAGES | -- | -- | -- | 94.5 | 120.5 | 215.0 | 1.0 | -- | -- | 2.6 | +13 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 0/8, defense 6/8, sacks/INT 0/8, sacks allowed 1/8, turnovers 7/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 59.9/100 (+6 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 48.0/100 (-15 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 69.0/100 (-31 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 92.0/100 (-105 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | SEGUIN | 2-6 | 13.8 |
LAST YEAR
SV finished 2025 at 15-1. Made the playoffs (6 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 28-6 over LONE STAR (LONE STAR finished 94% that season). Toughest loss: 21-30 to BRENNAN (9-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | SA ROOSEVELT | W | 1-0 | 62 | 6 | N/A | 74 |
| 2025-09-04 | BRENNAN | L | 1-1 | 21 | 30 | N/A | 329 |
| 2025-09-12 | MADISON | W | 2-1 | 42 | 10 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | BOERNE-CHAMPION | W | 3-1 | 41 | 14 | N/A | 267 |
| 2025-09-26 | PIEPER | W | 4-1 | 27 | 17 | N/A | 332 |
| 2025-10-10 | WAGNER | W | 5-1 | 48 | 7 | N/A | 251 |
| 2025-10-17 | SEGUIN | W | 6-1 | 56 | 10 | N/A | 294 |
| 2025-10-24 | NEW BRAUNFELS | W | 7-1 | 27 | 14 | N/A | 314 |
| 2025-10-30 | MACARTHUR | W | 8-1 | 56 | 7 | N/A | 122 |
| 2025-11-06 | VICTORIA EAST | W | 9-1 | 59 | 0 | N/A | 96 |
| 2025-11-14 | SOUTHSIDE | W | 10-1 | 49 | 0 | 264 | 171 |
| 2025-11-21 | CORPUS CHRISTI VETERANS MEMORIAL | W | 11-1 | 34 | 0 | 225 | 100 |
| 2025-11-28 | PIEPER | W | 12-1 | 30 | 14 | N/A | 244 |
| 2025-12-05 | NEW BRAUNFELS | W | 13-1 | 24 | 0 | 327 | 205 |
| 2025-12-12 | PORT ARTHUR MEMORIAL | W | 14-1 | 31 | 28 | 297 | 359 |
| 2025-12-19 | LONE STAR | W | 15-1 | 28 | 6 | N/A | 225 |
| TOTALS | 16 GMS | 15-1 | 15-1 | 635 | 163 | 1113 (4) | 3383 (15) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• SV holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 23 straight when doing so
• SV holds its opponents under 100 rushing yards (.999), and has won 18 straight when doing so
• SV holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.962), and has won 16 straight when doing so
• SV wins even while allowing its opponents 5.0+ yards per carry (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• SV's defense has averaged 154.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 105.6 rush yards per game. (+46%)
• SV's offense has averaged 67.0 points scored per game over their last 7 games. Their 40-game average is 47.7 points scored per game. (+40%)
• SV's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+40%)
• SV's defense has averaged 94.8 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 31-game average is 142.7 pass yards per game. (-34%)
• SV's defense has averaged 8.5 points allowed per game over their last 15 games. Their 40-game average is 12.6 points allowed per game. (-33%)
• SV's defense has averaged 302.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 32-game average is 240.6 total yards per game. (+26%)
• SV's defense has averaged 4.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 3.3 YPC. (+23%)
• SV is 36-1 (.973) in games decided by more than 8 points
• SV is 24-0 (.999) at home
• SV holds its opponents under 4.5 yards per play (SV's own median) (.999)
• SV holds its opponents under 137.0 passing yards (SV's own median) (.999)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
SV -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 10 scored; vs 1842 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | YPA < 8 | 23-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W23 | 0.813 |
| 2 | DEF | Rush Yds < 100 | 18-0 | 1.000 | 12.2 | W18 | 0.802 |
| 3 | DEF | Pass Yds < 200 | 21-1 | .955 | 12.9 | W14 | 0.771 |
| 4 | DEF | Rush Yds < 150 | 23-1 | .958 | 12.3 | W22 | 0.743 |
| 5 | DEF | YPP < 7 | 30-1 | .968 | 13.4 | W19 | 0.740 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- SV ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| SV holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 23-1 | .958 | 12.3 | W22 |
| SV holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 17-0 | .999 | 11.9 | W17 |
| SV holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 16-0 | .999 | 9.8 | W16 |
| SV holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 16-0 | .999 | 12.0 | W16 |
| SV holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play while forcing 2+ takeaways | 5-0 | .999 | 11.0 | W5 |
| SV holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways | 4-0 | .999 | 7.8 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| SV | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 23-1 | .958 | 12.3 |
| SV | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 17-0 | .999 | 11.9 |
| SV | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 16-0 | .999 | 9.8 |
| SV | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 16-0 | .999 | 12.0 |
| SV | YPP < 6.0 & Turnovers 2+ | 5-0 | .999 | 11.0 |
| SV | Rush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+ | 4-0 | .999 | 7.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 29.7 | W3 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 34.5 | W4 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 29.7 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.0 | W3 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.0 | W3 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 36.5 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 | W2 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 36.5 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 | W2 | 36 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 41.3 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 82.2 | W4 | 33 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 44.5 | W2 | 33 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 33 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 6-1 | .857 | 25.3 |
| Scores 30-39 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.6 |
| Scores 40+ | 26-0 | 1.000 | 57.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 41.3 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 82.2 | W4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 44.5 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 68.7 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 6-2 | .750 | 16.8 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 23-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W23 | 9 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 8-1 | .889 | 18.2 | W8 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 21-1 | .955 | 12.9 | W14 | 9 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 11-2 | .846 | 17.1 | W8 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 18-0 | 1.000 | 12.2 | W18 | 9 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 6-1 | .857 | 20.7 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 23-1 | .958 | 12.3 | W22 | 9 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 19.4 | W5 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 24-2 | .923 | 13.2 | W14 | 9 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 22.0 | W4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 25-1 | .962 | 12.4 | W16 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 39.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 30-1 | .968 | 13.4 | W19 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 9.9 | W7 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 | W1 | 32 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W5 | 32 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W4 | 32 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 19-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 |
| Allows 10-19 | 13-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 23.4 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 34.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 65.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 11.5 | W6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 11.5 | W6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 8.0 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 7.8 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 7.8 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 11.5 | W6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 11.5 | W6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 11.5 | W6 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 5.4 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
SMITHSON VALLEY
• SMITHSON VALLEY has scored 30+ in 8 straight games (9/3/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 9 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• SMITHSON VALLEY has won 22 straight (9/12/25–10/23/26). It has not reached 23 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 29.7 | W3 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 34.5 | W4 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 29.7 | W3 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 | W1 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W1 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.0 | W3 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W1 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.0 | W3 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 36.5 | W2 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 | W2 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 36.5 | W2 |
| SV | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 | W2 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 41.3 | W3 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 82.2 | W4 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 44.5 | W2 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 25.3 | W4 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.6 | W6 |
| SV | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 26 | 26-0 | 1.000 | 57.8 | W26 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 16.8 | W3 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 23 | 23-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W23 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 18.2 | W8 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 22 | 21-1 | .955 | 12.9 | W14 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 13 | 11-2 | .846 | 17.1 | W8 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 18 | 18-0 | 1.000 | 12.2 | W18 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 20.7 | W4 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 24 | 23-1 | .958 | 12.3 | W22 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 19.4 | W5 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 26 | 24-2 | .923 | 13.2 | W14 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 22.0 | W4 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 26 | 25-1 | .962 | 12.4 | W16 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 39.0 | L1 |
| SV | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 31 | 30-1 | .968 | 13.4 | W19 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 9.9 | W7 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 | W1 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W5 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W4 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 19 | 19-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 | W19 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 13 | 13-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 | W13 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 23.4 | W5 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 34.5 | L2 |
| SV | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 65.0 | W1 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
SV OFFENSE
SV's offense has averaged 67.0 points scored per game over their last 7 games. Their 40-game average is 47.7 points scored per game. (+40%)
SV's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+40%)
SV DEFENSE
SV's defense has averaged 154.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 105.6 rush yards per game. (+46%)
SV's defense has averaged 94.8 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 31-game average is 142.7 pass yards per game. (-34%)
SV's defense has averaged 8.5 points allowed per game over their last 15 games. Their 40-game average is 12.6 points allowed per game. (-33%)
SV's defense has averaged 302.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 32-game average is 240.6 total yards per game. (+26%)
SV's defense has averaged 4.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 3.3 YPC. (+23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| SV | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 94.8 | 31 | 142.7 | -33.6% | |
| SV | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 15 | 8.5 | 40 | 12.6 | -32.5% | |
| SV | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 7 | 67.0 | 40 | 47.7 | +40.5% | |
| SV | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 154.0 | 31 | 105.6 | +45.8% | |
| SV | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 302.0 | 32 | 240.6 | +25.5% | |
| SV | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.7 | +40.0% | |
| SV | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 4.1 | 31 | 3.3 | +22.8% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 18.8 in 2022 to 18.9 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
From the games on file through Oct 23.
