In short: Nixon Mustangs high school football (Laredo, TX), 2026 season: 4-4. Last game: L 30-42 vs Southside on October 23, 2026. Next: at WINN, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 4-4 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 30-42 vs SOUTHSIDE |
| NEXT GAME | WINN (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 98.3 · Rush Off 30.2 · Pass Def 34.5 · Rush Def 33.6 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIXON | 98.3 (+196) | 30.2 (-55) | 34.5 (+18) | 33.6 (+30) |
Next: at WINN, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Nixon at WINN.
The turnover battle could decide Nixon's next game, against WINN, and the recent returns favor Nixon. Nixon committed 1.5 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #717 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (3-1), the Mustangs have committed 0.5 giveaways per game, a 67% drop, #156 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.2 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.1 per game), Nixon turned it over 56% less than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #978 in section, well below the first 4 (#488), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, WINN's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Mavericks have forced 0.5 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #928 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (1.1 per game on the season, which would rank #569). Against those norms, WINN forced 56% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #852 in section, a lower level of competition. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Nixon.
The number to watch when Nixon meets WINN is Nixon's rushing. Nixon averaged 6.8 yards per carry (568 yards on 83 rushes) over its first 4 games (1-3), #294 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (3-1), the Mustangs have averaged 3.4 yards per carry (362 yards on 108 rushes), a 51% drop, #889 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 4 opponents have been softer, averaging 6.4 yards per carry, a #722 run defense in section on the season, against 5.4 yards per carry, #440 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.4 yards per carry), Nixon ran for 47% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #978 in section, well below the first 4 (#488), which makes the dip harder to excuse. Meanwhile, WINN's run defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Mavericks have allowed 8.1 yards per carry (969 yards on 120 rushes) over their last 4 games (3-1), #975 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better rushing attacks in section (7.4 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #219). Against those norms, WINN allowed 9% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #852 in section, a lower level of competition. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
The biggest shift in Nixon's season has come in its offense. Nixon averaged 28.6 points per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #630 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Mustangs have averaged 43.3 points per game, a 52% rise, #263 in section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Nixon's last 3 opponents have averaged 28.5 points per game, a #623 scoring defense in section on the season, against 21.2 points per game, #288 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (28.5 points per game), Nixon scored 52% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #965 in section, well below the first 5 (#602), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Nixon ranks #426 in section in scoring. The trend lines up well against WINN, whose defense ranks just #932 of 1235 (36.9 points per game). Nixon is 3-0 this season when it scores 37 or more, and 1-4 when it doesn't.
The Mustangs allowed 35.2 points per game over their first 4 games (1-3), #893 in section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 4 games since that slow start (3-1), Nixon has allowed 23.2 points per game, a 34% drop, #425 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Nixon's last 4 opponents have averaged 18.7 points per game, a #985 offense in section on the season, against 36.1 points per game, #366 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (18.7 points per game), Nixon allowed 24% more than those offenses usually score. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #978 in section, well below the first 4 (#488), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Only Southside broke through in that span, putting up 42 on 10/23. On the season, the Mustangs rank #658 in section in scoring defense. WINN's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #722 in section (26.8 points per game). Nixon is 4-0 this season when it holds opponents under 27, and 0-4 when it doesn't.
Nixon's passing game has come a long way since the season's early weeks. Nixon averaged 8.3 yards per pass attempt (1,364 yards on 165 attempts) over its first 5 games (2-3), #445 in section during that stretch. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Mustangs have averaged 11.2 yards per pass attempt (1,169 yards on 104 attempts), a 36% rise, #162 in section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Nixon's last 3 opponents have averaged 8.6 yards per attempt, a #726 pass defense in section on the season, against 7.5 yards per attempt, #458 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.6 yards per attempt), Nixon threw for 31% more per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #965 in section, well below the first 5 (#602), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Nixon ranks #274 in section in passing. WINN's pass defense sits in the middle of the pack, #888 in section (9.3 yards per attempt).
Something changed for Nixon's offense after its first 3 games. The Mustangs averaged 8.5 yards per play (1,330 yards on 157 snaps) over their first 3 games (1-2), #174 in section over that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), Nixon has averaged 7.0 yards per play (2,133 yards on 303 snaps), a 17% drop, #468 in section over that span. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.8 yards per play on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.7 yards per play), Nixon gained 5% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #824 in section, well below the first 3 (#587), which makes the dip harder to excuse. On the season, the Mustangs rank #360 in section in yards per play. WINN's defense, #1022 of 1234 (8.5 yards per play), could be the get-right matchup Nixon needs.
• Club Nixon has gone 6 straight games being held under 150 rushing yards (September 10, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-3 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Nixon has gone 6 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 10, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-3 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Nixon has gone 4 straight games being held under 5.0 yards per carry (October 1, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-1 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Nixon has scored 130 points over its last 3 games (43.3 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Club Nixon is 15-2 all time when allowing 10-19 points. Nixon's last loss when allowing 10-19 points was September 4, 2025 against Laredo Lbj (L, 10-14).
From the games on file through Sep 10.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 10 game; last updated Sep 21; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| E. SALINAS | 3 | 47/73 | 64.4% | 731 | 10.0 | 6 | 3 | 167.4 | |
| 15 | MAURICIO LUGO | 1 | 14/21 | 66.7% | 140 | 6.7 | 1 | 2 | 119.3 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 61/94 | 64.9% | 871 | 9.3 | 7 | 5 | 156.7 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 6 | DIEGO HERNANDEZ | 3 | 23 | 194 | 8.4 | 2 |
| E. SALINAS | 3 | 21 | 129 | 6.1 | 2 | |
| 20 | ABRAHAM LIMON | 3 | 11 | 113 | 10.3 | 0 |
| 11 | FRANKO CRUZ | 3 | 7 | 22 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 15 | MAURICIO LUGO | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 63 | 459 | 7.3 | 6 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 11 | FRANKO CRUZ | 3 | 22 | 375 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 1 | DAVREN RAMOS | 3 | 12 | 170 | 14.2 | 2 |
| 6 | DIEGO HERNANDEZ | 3 | 3 | 128 | 42.7 | 1 |
| 2 | MATTHEW CEDILLO | 3 | 12 | 101 | 8.4 | 0 |
| 20 | ABRAHAM LIMON | 3 | 7 | 56 | 8.0 | 0 |
| 9 | RANDY RANKIN | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 12 | MARK SALDIVAR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 |
| 41 | NICK CANTU | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 61 | 866 | 14.2 | 7 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 24 | ANGEL DE LEON | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | JUAN AGUERO | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | JONATHAN RODRIGUEZ | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | FRANCISCO QUIROZ | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | TYLER JUAREZ | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | NATE SOLIZ | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CHRISTIAN RODRIGUEZ | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | LUIS MAGANA | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 61 | EMERICO DE LUNA | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 | JAVIER RAMIREZ | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | DIEGO BLANCO | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FRANKO CRUZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | MATTHEW CEDILLO | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 41 | NICK CANTU | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | AMIR SHREK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | GERARDO VASQUEZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 44 | MIGUEL LIMON | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 125 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 203 | 303 | 20.3 |
| 2023 | 6-4 | 241 | 287 | 24.1 |
| 2024 | 6-4 | 204 | 213 | 20.4 |
| 2025 | 7-4 | 245 | 235 | 22.3 |
| 2026 | 4-4 | 273 | 234 | 34.1 |
| 2022-26 | 26-23 | 23.8 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MEDINA VALLEY | 6-0 | 9-0 | 19 / 192 | 1 (7.0-0.0) | 369-41 | 11/06 vs SOUTH SAN ANTONIO |
| 2 | SOUTHSIDE | 4-2 | 4-4 | 83 / 846 | 2 (4.6-2.4) | 144-149 | 11/06 vs WINN |
| 3 | NIXON | 3-2 | 4-4 | 68 / 692 | 3 (4.6-2.4) | 175-145 | 10/30 vs WINN |
| 4 | WINN | 3-2 | 3-5 | 96 / 960 | 5 (3.6-3.4) | 124-162 | 10/30 vs NIXON |
| 5 | MACARTHUR | 3-3 | 5-4 | 91 / 912 | 4 (3.7-3.3) | 159-197 | 11/05 vs JAY |
| 6 | JAY | 2-4 | 2-7 | 108 / 1030 | 6 (2.3-4.7) | 104-165 | 11/05 vs MACARTHUR |
| 7 | MARTIN | 1-4 | 2-6 | 107 / 1017 | 7 (1.8-5.2) | 130-236 | 10/30 vs SOUTH SAN ANTONIO |
| 8 | SOUTH SAN ANTONIO | 0-5 | 1-5-1 | 114 / 1110 | 8 (0.3-6.7) | 68-178 | 10/30 vs MARTIN |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/27 | LAREDO LBJ | vs | L | 21-40 | |
| 09/04 | CIGARROA | vs | W | 42-7 | |
| 09/10 | CORPUS CHRISTI VETERANS MEMORIAL | vs | L | 35-42 | |
| 09/25 | MEDINA VALLEY | at | L | 24-52 | |
| 10/01 | JAY | vs | W | 21-17 | |
| 10/09 | SOUTH SAN ANTONIO | at | W | 49-14 | |
| 10/16 | MACARTHUR | at | W | 51-20 | |
| 10/23 | SOUTHSIDE | vs | L | 30-42 | |
| 10/30 | WINN | at | PROJ | 30-22 | 65.5% |
| 11/06 | MARTIN | vs | PROJ | 36-16 | 83.8% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 4-4 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 4-4 so far | 6-4 (46%) | 5.4-4.6 |
| League | 3-2 so far | 3-2 (100%) | 3.0-2.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 34.1 | 29.2 | 432.9 | 338.2 | 57.5 | 47.7 |
| HOME | 5 | 29.8 | 29.6 | 391.8 | 349.5 | 56.0 | 49.8 |
| ROAD | 3 | 41.3 | 28.7 | 501.3 | 315.5 | 60.0 | 43.5 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/27 | vs. Laredo LBJ | L 21-40 | 110 | 134 | 244 | 252 | 197 | 449 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/4 | vs. Cigarroa | W 42-7 | 266 | 176 | 442 | 0 | 195 | 195 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 |
| 9/10 | vs. CCVM | L 35-42 | 495 | 149 | 644 | 255 | 218 | 473 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| 9/25 | @ Medina Valley | L 24-52 | 308 | 109 | 417 | 56 | 329 | 385 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/1 | vs. Jay | W 21-17 | 185 | 97 | 282 | 38 | 243 | 281 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | 0 |
| 10/9 | @ South San Antonio | W 49-14 | 436 | 38 | 474 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ MacArthur | W 51-20 | 468 | 145 | 613 | 157 | 89 | 246 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/23 | vs. Southside | L 30-42 | 265 | 82 | 347 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| AVERAGES | 316.6 | 116.2 | 432.9 | 126.3 | 211.8 | 338.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -1 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 6/8, sacks/INT 3/8, sacks allowed 3/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 98.3/100 (+196 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 30.2/100 (-55 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 34.5/100 (+18 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 33.6/100 (+30 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | WINN | 3-5 | 26.8 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | MARTIN | 2-6 | 25.1 |
LAST YEAR
NIX finished 2025 at 7-4. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 34-15 over SOUTHWEST LEGACY (SOUTHWEST LEGACY finished 70% that season). Toughest loss: 10-14 to LAREDO LBJ (4-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | RAY | W | 1-0 | 17 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-04 | LAREDO LBJ | L | 1-1 | 10 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | SOUTHWEST | L | 1-2 | 27 | 41 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | SOUTHSIDE | W | 2-2 | 22 | 18 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-25 | SOUTH SAN ANTONIO | W | 3-2 | 28 | 13 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | SOUTHWEST LEGACY | W | 4-2 | 34 | 15 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | WINN | W | 5-2 | 21 | 13 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-16 | JAY | L | 5-3 | 7 | 38 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | CIGARROA | W | 6-3 | 40 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-08 | MARTIN | W | 7-3 | 25 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | NEW BRAUNFELS | L | 7-4 | 14 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 7-4 | 7-4 | 245 | 235 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• NIX forces 1+ takeaways (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• NIX averages 7.0+ yards per play (.750), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• NIX stays under 5.0 yards per carry (.750), but most recently lost to Southside when doing so
• NIX holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.667), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• NIX's offense has averaged 0.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.0 giveaways per game. (-100%)
• NIX's offense has averaged 43.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 24.9 points scored per game. (+74%)
• NIX holds its opponents under 7.1 yards per carry (NIX's own median) (.999)
• NIX's offense has failed to reach 150 rush yds in 6 straight games (09/10/2026-10/23/2026), going 3-3 over that stretch.
• NIX's defense has averaged 89.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 211.8 rush yards per game. (-58%)
• NIX's defense has averaged 3.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 6.4 YPC. (-39%)
• NIX's offense has averaged 3.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 5.1 YPC. (-35%)
• NIX's defense has averaged 83.7 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 126.3 pass yards per game. (-34%)
• NIX's offense has exceeded 8.0 YPA in 3 straight games (10/09/2026-10/23/2026), going 2-1 over that stretch.
• NIX's offense has exceeded 200 pass yds in 3 straight games (10/09/2026-10/23/2026), going 2-1 over that stretch.
• NIX's offense has committed no turnovers in 3 straight games (10/09/2026-10/23/2026), going 2-1 over that stretch.
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
NIX -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 1 of 1 scored; vs 824 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds < 150 | 3-5 | .375 | 30.6 | L1 | 0.500 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- NIX ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| NIX averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 3-2 | .600 | 41.4 | L1 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| NIX | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 3-2 | .600 | 41.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-2 | .600 | 41.4 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 3-3 | .500 | 38.5 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.7 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 34.6 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-2 | .500 | 28.5 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-5 | .375 | 30.6 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 30.5 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.8 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-3 | .500 | 37.0 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 44.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 24.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.8 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 38.5 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 32.7 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 2-4 | .333 | 13.5 |
| Scores 20-29 | 9-4 | .692 | 23.4 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 44.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-2 | .600 | 41.4 | L1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 3-3 | .500 | 38.5 | L1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-1 | .500 | 21.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 34.6 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-1 | .667 | 33.3 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-4 | .429 | 33.0 | L1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 30.5 | L2 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.8 | L1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-3 | .500 | 37.0 | W2 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 44.2 | W2 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 24.0 | L1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 29.8 | W1 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 38.5 | L1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 32.7 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 32.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 47.3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 38.0 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 21.3 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 41.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 24.0 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 31.6 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-3 | .400 | 31.6 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 37.8 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 34.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.0 | W3 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.7 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-4 | .200 | 38.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.7 | W3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 |
| Allows 10-19 | 11-1 | .917 | 13.9 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.2 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-7 | .000 | 44.3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 38.0 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 21.3 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 41.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 24.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 31.6 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-3 | .400 | 31.6 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 37.8 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 34.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.0 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.7 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-4 | .200 | 38.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.7 | W3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 15.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | 0-4 | .000 | 44.0 |
NIXON
• NIXON has scored 30+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• NIXON has played turnover-free in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• NIXON has passed for 250+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 41.4 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 38.5 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.7 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 34.6 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 28.5 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 8 | 3-5 | .375 | 30.6 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 30.5 | L2 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.8 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 37.0 | W2 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 44.2 | W2 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 24.0 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 29.8 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 38.5 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 32.7 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 7.0 | L2 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 13.5 | L2 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 13 | 9-4 | .692 | 23.4 | W1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 | L2 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 44.8 | W5 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 38.0 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 21.3 | W2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 41.0 | L2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 24.0 | W2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 31.6 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 31.6 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 37.8 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 | W2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 34.2 | W2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.0 | W3 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.7 | W3 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 38.0 | L1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.7 | W3 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 | W3 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 12 | 11-1 | .917 | 13.9 | W6 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.2 | W2 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| NIX | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 44.3 | L7 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 games | 09/10/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-3 |
| OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 games | 10/01/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 games | 09/10/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-3 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 games | 10/01/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| NIX | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
NIX OFFENSE
NIX's offense has averaged 0.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.0 giveaways per game. (-100%)
NIX's offense has averaged 43.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 24.9 points scored per game. (+74%)
NIX's offense has averaged 3.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 5.1 YPC. (-35%)
NIX's offense has averaged 389.7 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 300.6 pass yards per game. (+30%)
NIX's offense has averaged 11.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 9.1 YPA. (+23%)
NIX DEFENSE
NIX's defense has averaged 89.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 211.8 rush yards per game. (-58%)
NIX's defense has averaged 3.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 6.4 YPC. (-39%)
NIX's defense has averaged 83.7 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 126.3 pass yards per game. (-34%)
NIX's defense has averaged 30.3 points allowed per game over their last 10 games. Their 29-game average is 23.5 points allowed per game. (+29%)
NIX's defense has averaged 246.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 338.2 total yards per game. (-27%)
NIX's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.9 takeaways per game. (-24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| NIX | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 83.7 | 6 | 126.3 | -33.8% | |
| NIX | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 389.7 | 9 | 300.6 | +29.6% | |
| NIX | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 10 | 30.3 | 29 | 23.5 | +28.8% | |
| NIX | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 43.3 | 29 | 24.9 | +74.1% | |
| NIX | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 89.0 | 6 | 211.8 | -58.0% | |
| NIX | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 246.0 | 6 | 338.2 | -27.3% | |
| NIX | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 8 | 0.9 | -23.8% | |
| NIX | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.0 | 8 | 1.0 | -100.0% | |
| NIX | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 11.2 | 8 | 9.1 | +22.5% | |
| NIX | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 3.9 | 6 | 6.4 | -39.5% | |
| NIX | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 3.3 | 8 | 5.1 | -35.3% |
