In short: Muenster Hornets high school football (Muenster, TX), 2026 season: 7-1. Last game: W 56-31 vs Nocona on October 23, 2026. Next: at Chico, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 7-1 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 56-31 vs NOCONA |
| NEXT GAME | CHICO (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 81.4 · Rush Off 95.3 · Pass Def 43.9 · Rush Def 55.4 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUENSTER | 81.4 (+64) | 95.3 (+171) | 43.9 (+5) | 55.4 (-14) |
Next: at Chico, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Muenster at Chico.
The number to watch when Muenster meets Chico is Muenster's scoring defense. Muenster allowed 16.3 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #204 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (4-1), the Hornets have allowed 31.4 points per game, a 92% rise, #706 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 38.6 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (37.5 points per game), Muenster held those offenses 16% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. Meanwhile, Chico's offense has struggled in recent weeks. The Dragons have averaged 13.0 points per game over their last 5 games (0-5), #1077 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (32.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #790). Against those norms, Chico scored 60% less than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #933 in section, a lower level of competition. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Muenster is 2-0 this season when it holds opponents under 10, and 5-1 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle could decide Muenster's next game, against Chico, and the recent returns favor Chico. Muenster forced 3.0 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #27 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (4-0), the Hornets have forced 1.8 takeaways per game, a 42% drop, #266 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.6 per game on the season. Meanwhile, Chico's ball security has struggled in recent weeks. The Dragons have committed 2.2 giveaways per game over their last 4 games (0-4), #1048 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in section (1.4 per game on the season, which would rank #469). Against those norms, Chico turned it over 57% more than those defenses usually force. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #824 in section, a lower level of competition. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
Muenster's passing game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Muenster averaged 9.7 yards per pass attempt (1,073 yards on 111 attempts) on the season, #251 in section, but that number is boosted by a 291-yard game on 16 attempts against Alvord on 10/16. In all other games, Muenster is at 8.2 yards per pass attempt (782 yards on 95 attempts), a figure that would rank #477 in section. Alvord's pass defense sits near the middle of the pack (8.4 yards per attempt, #698 of 1232). Chico's pass defense (9.9 yards per attempt, #982 of 1232) gives Muenster a real chance to look like the season line again.
The biggest shift in Muenster's season has come in its offense. The Hornets averaged 45.4 points per game over their first 5 games (4-1), #114 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (3-0), Muenster has averaged 55.0 points per game, a 21% rise, #80 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Muenster's last 3 opponents have averaged 21.1 points per game, a #285 scoring defense in section on the season, against 29.3 points per game, #660 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (21.1 points per game), Muenster scored 160% more than those defenses usually allow. On the season, the Hornets rank #66 in section in scoring. The trend lines up well against Chico, whose defense ranks just #1007 of 1235 (39.2 points per game). Muenster is 5-1 this season when it scores 40 or more, and 2-0 when it doesn't.
Muenster averaged 8.9 yards per carry (1,379 yards on 155 rushes) over its first 4 games (3-1), #68 in section during those games. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. In the 4 games since that hot start (4-0), the Hornets have averaged 7.8 yards per carry (1,095 yards on 140 rushes), a 12% drop, #206 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Muenster's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.2 yards per carry, a #365 run defense in section on the season, against 6.1 yards per carry, #642 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.2 yards per carry), Muenster ran for 51% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, Muenster ranks #96 in section in rushing. Chico's run defense sits in the middle of the pack, #713 in section (6.3 yards per carry).
• Club Muenster has won 4 straight, and a win would make it 5 in a row. The last time they won 5 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 15.
• Club Muenster has gone 40 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (August 30, 2024 through October 23, 2026), going 35-5 over that stretch, a school-record 40 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Muenster has gone 5 straight games committing fewer than 2 turnovers (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-1 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Muenster is 32-2 all time when scoring 40+ points. Muenster's last loss when scoring 40+ points was September 18, 2026 against Collinsville (L, 47-50).
• Club Muenster is 14-0 all time when holding the opponent under 7.0 yards per play in the games on file (14 such games).
• Club Muenster is 12-2 all time when throwing for 200+ yards. Muenster's last loss when throwing for 200+ yards was September 19, 2025 against Pottsboro (L, 33-42).
• Club Muenster is 11-1 all time when holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt. Muenster's last loss when holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt was September 2, 2022 against Paradise (L, 13-34).
• Club Muenster has allowed 157 points over its last 5 games (31.4 a game, September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 5th-highest 5-game total on record; the most is 178, from August 30, 2024 through September 27, 2024.
• Player Carter Heller has 517 rushing yards over his last 5 games (103.4 a game, August 28, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Carter Heller has 8 rushing touchdowns over his last 5 games (1.6 a game, August 28, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Titan Binder has 24 tackles over his last 3 games (8.0 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Brady Klement has 25 tackles over his last 3 games (8.3 a game, September 4, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Brody Baggs has 24 tackles over his last 3 games (8.0 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Jeremiah Franklin has 4 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.3 a game, September 4, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
From the games on file through Oct 16.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 16 game; last updated Oct 28; roster and numbers checked Sep 13.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 0 | ASHER HILLIS | 5 | 18/24 | 75.0% | 442 | 18.4 | 7 | 0 | 325.9 |
| 3 | CARTER HELLER | 5 | 25/45 | 55.6% | 320 | 7.1 | 5 | 2 | 143.1 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 43/69 | 62.3% | 762 | 11.0 | 12 | 2 | 206.7 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 3 | CARTER HELLER | 5 | 60 | 517 | 8.6 | 8 |
| 0 | ASHER HILLIS | 5 | 39 | 396 | 10.2 | 4 |
| 21 | MAVERICK BAYER | 5 | 46 | 388 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 22 | TITAN BINDER | 5 | 20 | 222 | 11.1 | 5 |
| 2 | DUSTYN CROFT | 1 | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 |
| 74 | ZADOK SCHILLING | 4 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 |
| 1 | CLAYTON CUNNINGHAM | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 6 | COLLIN OTTO | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 7 | JOSH BAIRD | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 176 | 1,564 | 8.9 | 22 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 1 | CLAYTON CUNNINGHAM | 5 | 12 | 239 | 19.9 | 6 |
| 4 | JEREMIAH FRANKLIN | 4 | 9 | 226 | 25.1 | 5 |
| 21 | MAVERICK BAYER | 5 | 15 | 199 | 13.3 | 2 |
| 22 | TITAN BINDER | 5 | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 |
| 6 | COLLIN OTTO | 4 | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 0 |
| 32 | BRODY BAGGS | 5 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 |
| 10 | JAMES FLEITMAN | 5 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 44 | 762 | 17.3 | 13 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 32 | BRODY BAGGS | 5 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | TITAN BINDER | 5 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 51 | STOCKTON BRYSON | 5 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | MAVERICK BAYER | 5 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 54 | BRADY KLEMENT | 4 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | CARSON BINDEL | 5 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | JAMES FLEITMAN | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 0 | ASHER HILLIS | 5 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CLAYTON CUNNINGHAM | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | CARSON KLEMENT | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 74 | ZADOK SCHILLING | 4 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | JOSH BAIRD | 5 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | COLLIN OTTO | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 62 | COLT WALTERSCHEID | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 71 | COLTON LEE | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 78 | CHRISTOPHER HERNANDEZ | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | JEREMIAH FRANKLIN | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | RYAN KREBS | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 44 | ZEC SCHILLING | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 72 | MASON BAYER | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | DALTON MILLER | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 52 | JOSEPH READ | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | BRAXTON BEREND | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | DAX BINDER | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 58 | VYSON GOMEZ | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 400 | 39 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 4 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 336 | 281 | 28.0 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 373 | 219 | 28.7 |
| 2024 | 14-2 | 812 | 309 | 50.8 |
| 2025 | 14-2 | 722 | 264 | 45.1 |
| 2026 | 7-1 | 392 | 206 | 49.0 |
| 2022-26 | 49-16 | 40.5 |
3 UIL state titles · 5 title-game MVPs
| YEAR | HONOR |
| 2025 | UIL STATE 2A D2 CHAMPION (def. Shiner 28-0) |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME DEFENSIVE MVP (2A D2): RHETT WALTERSCHEID (DL) | |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME OFFENSIVE MVP (2A D2): CASEN CARNEY (QB) | |
| 2024 | UIL STATE 2A D2 CHAMPION (def. Shiner 36-29) |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME OFFENSIVE MVP (2A D2): CASEN CARNEY (QB) | |
| 2017 | UIL STATE 2A D2 CHAMPION (def. Tenaha 27-20) |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME DEFENSIVE MVP (2A D2): DANNY LUTTMER (DB) | |
| UIL STATE TITLE GAME OFFENSIVE MVP (2A D2): PARKER MCGREW (QB) |
State championship games and title-game MVPs: UIL Fall Almanac 2025-26. League finishes: no league schedule on file yet, so none is claimed.
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUENSTER | 3-0 | 7-1 | 3 / 53 | 1 (5.0-0.0) | 165-86 | 10/30 vs CHICO |
| 2 | NOCONA | 2-1 | 6-2 | 44 / 587 | 4 (2.5-2.5) | 122-70 | 10/30 vs ALVORD |
| 3 | TIOGA | 2-1 | 5-3 | 16 / 286 | 2 (3.8-1.2) | 170-60 | 10/30 vs OLNEY |
| 4 | ALVORD | 1-2 | 5-3 | 26 / 434 | 3 (2.7-2.3) | 73-106 | 10/30 vs NOCONA |
| 5 | OLNEY | 1-2 | 2-6 | 98 / 1134 | 5 (1.0-4.0) | 44-125 | 10/30 vs TIOGA |
| 6 | CHICO | 0-3 | 1-7 | 102 / 1217 | 6 (0.0-5.0) | 31-158 | 10/30 vs MUENSTER |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | LINDSAY | at | W | 55-0 | |
| 09/04 | HOLLIDAY | vs | W | 54-21 | |
| 09/11 | WINDTHORST | at | W | 33-28 | |
| 09/18 | COLLINSVILLE | vs | L | 47-50 | |
| 09/25 | FORT WORTH CHRISTIAN | vs | W | 38-21 | |
| 10/09 | TIOGA | at | W | 53-48 | |
| 10/16 | ALVORD | at | W | 56-7 | |
| 10/23 | NOCONA | vs | W | 56-31 | |
| 10/30 | CHICO | at | PROJ | 51-8 | 98.4% |
| 11/06 | OLNEY | vs | PROJ | 55-9 | 98.9% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 7-1 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 7-1 so far | 9-1 (97%) | 9.0-1.0 |
| League | 3-0 so far | 3-0 (100%) | 3.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 49.0 | 25.8 | 443.4 | 398.2 | 50.8 | 53.6 |
| HOME | 4 | 48.8 | 30.8 | 418.0 | 321.0 | 51.8 | 47.3 |
| ROAD | 4 | 49.2 | 20.8 | 468.8 | 514.0 | 49.8 | 63.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Lindsay | W 55-0 | 96 | 413 | 509 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
| 9/4 | vs. Holliday | W 54-21 | 188 | 267 | 455 | 156 | 125 | 281 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 |
| 9/11 | @ Windthorst | W 33-28 | 130 | 341 | 471 | 158 | 268 | 426 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 9/18 | vs. Collinsville | L 47-50 | 57 | 358 | 415 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2 |
| 9/25 | vs. Fort Worth Christian | W 38-21 | 125 | 251 | 376 | 210 | 84 | 294 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| 10/9 | @ Tioga | W 53-48 | 45 | 374 | 419 | 253 | 349 | 602 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ Alvord | W 56-7 | 291 | 185 | 476 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 2 | 5 | +5 |
| 10/23 | vs. Nocona | W 56-31 | 141 | 285 | 426 | 250 | 138 | 388 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| AVERAGES | 134.1 | 309.2 | 443.4 | 205.4 | 192.8 | 398.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | +12 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 5/8, sacks/INT 5/8, sacks allowed 2/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 81.4/100 (+64 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 95.3/100 (+171 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 43.9/100 (+5 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 55.4/100 (-14 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | CHICO | 1-7 | 10.0 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | OLNEY | 2-6 | 18.2 |
LAST YEAR
MUE finished 2025 at 14-2. Made the playoffs (6 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 28-0 over SHINER (SHINER finished 94% that season). Toughest loss: 44-48 to HOLLIDAY (4-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | LAKE COUNTRY CHRISTIAN | W | 1-0 | 61 | 7 | 508 | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | HOLLIDAY | L | 1-1 | 44 | 48 | 622 | 481 |
| 2025-09-12 | WINDTHORST | W | 2-1 | 53 | 13 | 587 | 409 |
| 2025-09-19 | POTTSBORO | L | 2-2 | 33 | 42 | 437 | 460 |
| 2025-09-26 | DE LEON | W | 3-2 | 47 | 16 | 588 | 353 |
| 2025-10-10 | LINDSAY | W | 4-2 | 49 | 28 | 455 | 389 |
| 2025-10-17 | ERA | W | 5-2 | 54 | 16 | 512 | N/A |
| 2025-10-23 | SANTO | W | 6-2 | 28 | 0 | 270 | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | COLLINSVILLE | W | 7-2 | 49 | 28 | 402 | 363 |
| 2025-11-07 | CHICO | W | 8-2 | 59 | 0 | 316 | N/A |
| 2025-11-13 | CROSS PLAINS | W | 9-2 | 77 | 6 | 544 | N/A |
| 2025-11-21 | WELLINGTON | W | 10-2 | 63 | 21 | 473 | N/A |
| 2025-11-28 | ALBANY | W | 11-2 | 28 | 7 | 348 | 196 |
| 2025-12-05 | LINDSAY | W | 12-2 | 28 | 14 | 373 | 303 |
| 2025-12-11 | GRUVER | W | 13-2 | 21 | 18 | 429 | 383 |
| 2025-12-18 | SHINER | W | 14-2 | 28 | 0 | 314 | N/A |
| TOTALS | 16 GMS | 14-2 | 14-2 | 722 | 264 | 7178 | 3337 (9) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• MUE holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.999), and has won 14 straight when doing so
• MUE holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 11 straight when doing so
• MUE commits 1+ giveaways (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• MUE forces 3+ takeaways (.999), and has won 8 straight when doing so
• MUE's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 40 straight games (08/30/2024-10/23/2026), going 35-5 over that stretch.
• MUE's offense has exceeded 150 rush yds in 16 straight games (10/31/2025-10/23/2026), going 15-1 over that stretch.
• MUE's offense has exceeded 6.0 YPP in 9 straight games (12/18/2025-10/23/2026), going 8-1 over that stretch.
• MUE's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 8 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 7-1 over that stretch.
• MUE's defense has averaged 31.4 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 40-game average is 19.5 points allowed per game. (+61%)
• MUE's defense has averaged 243.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 156.7 rush yards per game. (+55%)
• MUE's offense has averaged 0.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 0.9 giveaways per game. (-54%)
• MUE rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards
• MUE holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards
• MUE's defense has averaged 495.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 361.4 total yards per game. (+37%)
• MUE averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
MUE -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 26 scored; vs 246 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | YPP < 6 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 12.9 | W8 | 0.883 |
| 2 | DEF | YPP < 7 | 14-0 | 1.000 | 17.4 | W14 | 0.842 |
| 3 | DEF | YPA < 8 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W11 | 0.840 |
| 4 | DEF | Turnovers 3+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 14.9 | W8 | 0.834 |
| 5 | DEF | Turnovers 2+ | 12-1 | .923 | 15.9 | W1 | 0.774 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- MUE ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MUE averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 29-5 | .853 | 50.7 | W4 |
| MUE averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 29-5 | .853 | 50.7 | W4 |
| MUE rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 23-3 | .885 | 47.5 | W3 |
| MUE averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 11-2 | .846 | 51.6 | W4 |
| MUE holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 7-1 | .875 | 17.4 | W6 |
| MUE rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt | 5-2 | .714 | 36.7 | W5 |
| MUE holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 5-0 | .999 | 12.4 | W5 |
| MUE holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 15.2 | W5 |
| MUE holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways | 4-0 | .999 | 18.0 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| MUE | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 29-5 | .853 | 50.7 |
| MUE | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 29-5 | .853 | 50.7 |
| MUE | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 23-3 | .885 | 47.5 |
| MUE | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 11-2 | .846 | 51.6 |
| MUE | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 7-1 | .875 | 17.4 |
| MUE | Rush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 36.7 |
| MUE | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | .999 | 12.4 |
| MUE | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | .999 | 15.2 |
| MUE | Rush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+ | 4-0 | .999 | 18.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 30-3 | .909 | 50.6 | W2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 36.7 | W5 | |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 12-2 | .857 | 49.4 | W5 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 23-3 | .885 | 47.5 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 35-5 | .875 | 48.1 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 32-5 | .865 | 48.9 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.7 | W3 | |
| YPC 5.0+ | 31-5 | .861 | 50.2 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 29.8 | W4 | |
| YPP 6.0+ | 32-5 | .865 | 49.8 | W4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 28.3 | W3 | |
| YPP 7.0+ | 30-3 | .909 | 51.7 | W3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 31.3 | W5 | |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.2 | W5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 47.0 | W2 | 32 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 33.0 | W1 | 32 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 33.0 | W1 | 32 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 5-1 | .833 | 26.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | 4-2 | .667 | 34.8 |
| Scores 40+ | 26-2 | .929 | 55.6 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 49.2 | W2 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 48.7 | W3 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 56.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 48.0 | W3 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 7-1 | .875 | 49.0 | W4 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 7-1 | .875 | 49.0 | W4 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPC 5.0+ | 7-1 | .875 | 49.0 | W4 |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 6.0+ | 7-1 | .875 | 49.0 | W4 |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 7.0+ | 6-1 | .857 | 50.6 | W3 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 38.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.2 | W5 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 47.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 33.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 33.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 35.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 5-1 | .833 | 53.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 7-4 | .636 | 31.4 | W6 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W11 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 10-3 | .769 | 26.8 | W5 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 8-1 | .889 | 21.1 | W6 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 12-3 | .800 | 26.2 | W9 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 6-1 | .857 | 20.9 | W6 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 7-2 | .778 | 29.4 | W5 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 11-2 | .846 | 21.1 | W10 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 9-2 | .818 | 29.6 | W8 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 9-2 | .818 | 19.4 | W4 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 10-4 | .714 | 31.1 | W9 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 12.9 | W8 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-4 | .500 | 37.0 | W4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 14-0 | 1.000 | 17.4 | W14 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 15-3 | .833 | 21.1 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W4 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 12-1 | .923 | 15.9 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 14.9 | W8 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 13-0 | 1.000 | 3.1 |
| Allows 10-19 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 2-4 | .333 | 48.7 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.3 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.3 | W3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 32.0 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 38.0 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 24.3 | W3 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 29.5 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 29.8 | W5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 32.3 | W3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 26.0 | W2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 6-1 | .857 | 25.0 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 4-1 | .800 | 21.2 | W1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 23.3 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-1 | .500 | 49.0 |
MUENSTER
• MUENSTER has scored 30+ in 8 straight games (8/28/26–10/23/26). It has not scored 30+ in 9 straight since 9/27/24–10/17/25 (2025).
• MUENSTER has scored 40+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not scored 40+ in 4 straight since 10/31/25–11/21/25 (2025). It has reached 4 straight 3 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 6 straight (2024) in that span.
• MUENSTER has gained 400+ total yards in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not gained 400+ total yards in 4 straight since 8/28/26–9/18/26 (2026). It has reached 4 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 7 straight (2025) in that span.
• MUENSTER has won by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not won by 20+ in 3 straight since 12/18/25–9/4/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 5 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 9 straight (2025) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 33 | 30-3 | .909 | 50.6 | W2 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 36.7 | W5 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 14 | 12-2 | .857 | 49.4 | W5 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 26 | 23-3 | .885 | 47.5 | W3 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 40 | 35-5 | .875 | 48.1 | W4 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 37 | 32-5 | .865 | 48.9 | W4 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 38.7 | W3 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 36 | 31-5 | .861 | 50.2 | W4 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 29.8 | W4 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 37 | 32-5 | .865 | 49.8 | W4 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 28.3 | W3 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 33 | 30-3 | .909 | 51.7 | W3 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 31.3 | W5 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.2 | W5 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 47.0 | W2 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 33.0 | W1 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 33.0 | W1 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 26.7 | W5 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 34.8 | W2 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 28 | 26-2 | .929 | 55.6 | W3 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 11 | 7-4 | .636 | 31.4 | W6 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 11 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W11 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 13 | 10-3 | .769 | 26.8 | W5 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 21.1 | W6 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 15 | 12-3 | .800 | 26.2 | W9 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 20.9 | W6 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 29.4 | W5 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 13 | 11-2 | .846 | 21.1 | W10 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 11 | 9-2 | .818 | 29.6 | W8 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 11 | 9-2 | .818 | 19.4 | W4 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 14 | 10-4 | .714 | 31.1 | W9 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 12.9 | W8 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 37.0 | W4 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 14 | 14-0 | 1.000 | 17.4 | W14 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 18 | 15-3 | .833 | 21.1 | W3 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W4 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 13 | 12-1 | .923 | 15.9 | W1 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 14.9 | W8 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 13 | 13-0 | 1.000 | 3.1 | W13 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W8 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 11 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W11 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 |
| MUE | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 48.7 | W1 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 40 games | 08/30/2024 - 10/23/2026 | 35-5 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 16 games | 10/31/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 15-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 games | 12/18/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 8-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 40 games | 08/30/2024 - 10/23/2026 | 35-5 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 16 games | 10/31/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 15-1 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 games | 12/18/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 8-1 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-1 |
| MUE | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
MUE OFFENSE
MUE's offense has averaged 0.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 0.9 giveaways per game. (-54%)
MUE's offense has averaged 9.8 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 40-game average is 13.7 YPA. (-29%)
MUE's offense has averaged 131.8 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 40-game average is 179.8 pass yards per game. (-27%)
MUE DEFENSE
MUE's defense has averaged 31.4 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 40-game average is 19.5 points allowed per game. (+61%)
MUE's defense has averaged 243.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 156.7 rush yards per game. (+55%)
MUE's defense has averaged 495.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 361.4 total yards per game. (+37%)
MUE's defense has averaged 6.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 5.0 YPC. (+32%)
MUE's defense has averaged 251.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 204.6 pass yards per game. (+23%)
MUE's defense has averaged 7.8 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 22-game average is 6.5 YPP. (+21%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| MUE | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 251.5 | 22 | 204.6 | +22.9% | |
| MUE | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 131.8 | 40 | 179.8 | -26.7% | |
| MUE | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 31.4 | 40 | 19.5 | +61.2% | |
| MUE | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 243.5 | 22 | 156.7 | +55.4% | |
| MUE | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 495.0 | 22 | 361.4 | +37.0% | |
| MUE | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 0.4 | 8 | 0.9 | -54.3% | |
| MUE | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 5 | 9.8 | 40 | 13.7 | -28.8% | |
| MUE | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 6.6 | 22 | 5.0 | +32.3% | |
| MUE | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 7.8 | 22 | 6.5 | +20.7% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 1.1 in 2022 to 21.1 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
