In short: Millennium Tigers high school football (Goodyear, AZ), 2026 season: 9-0. Last game: W 6-3 vs Canyon View on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Desert Edge, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 9-0 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 6-3 vs CANYON VIEW |
| NEXT GAME | DESERT EDGE (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 84.5 · Rush Off 92.1 · Pass Def 94.5 · Rush Def 87.9 |
| LEAGUE | 5A DESERT WEST |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,051 STUDENTS (2023-24) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILLENNIUM | 84.5 (+76) | 92.1 (+135) | 94.5 (-93) | 87.9 (-90) |
Next: vs Desert Edge, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Desert Edge at Millennium.
The number to watch when Millennium meets Desert Edge is Millennium's scoring defense. Millennium allowed 7.0 points per game over its first 6 games (6-0), #10 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (3-0), the Tigers have allowed 1.0 points per game, an 86% drop, #3 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 24.8 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.4 points per game), Millennium held those offenses 96% below what they usually score. Conversely, Desert Edge's offense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Scorpions have averaged 58.0 points per game over their last 3 games (3-0), #3 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker scoring defenses in section (36.1 points per game on the season, which would rank #212). Against those norms, Desert Edge scored 60% more than those defenses usually allow. Something has to give when Millennium's surging defense meets one of section's better units in Desert Edge's.
The battle on the ground could decide Millennium's next game, against Desert Edge, and the recent returns favor Desert Edge. Millennium allowed 2.6 yards per carry (306 yards on 118 rushes) over its first 4 games (4-0), #8 in section through those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), the Tigers have allowed 3.5 yards per carry (396 yards on 113 rushes), a 35% rise, #19 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 5 opponents have averaged 5.3 yards per carry, a #144 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.2 yards per carry, #187 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.3 yards per carry), Millennium held those rushing attacks 34% below their usual yards per carry. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #100 in section, well above the first 4 (#148), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Desert Edge's ground game has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Scorpions have averaged 7.7 yards per carry (723 yards on 94 rushes) over their last 5 games (4-1), #48 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of run defenses in section (5.3 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #85). Against those norms, Desert Edge ran for 44% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Millennium's run defense has held up better than the raw numbers suggest, which makes this a closer matchup than the recent results imply.
The biggest worry in Millennium's season has been the direction of its pass defense. Millennium allowed 3.6 yards per pass attempt (346 yards on 97 attempts) over its first 5 games (5-0), #8 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Tigers have allowed 4.8 yards per pass attempt (607 yards on 127 attempts), a 34% rise, #33 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.0 yards per attempt, a #141 passing attack in section on the season, against 6.3 yards per attempt, #161 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.0 yards per attempt), Millennium held those passing attacks 32% below their usual yards per attempt. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #97 in section, well above the first 5 (#142), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Millennium ranks #10 in section in pass defense. It won't get any easier against Desert Edge, whose passing game ranks #11 in section (11.9 yards per attempt).
The Tigers allowed 3.2 yards per play (793 yards on 251 snaps) over their first 5 games (5-0), #4 in section during those games. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), Millennium has allowed 4.2 yards per play (862 yards on 204 snaps), a 34% rise, #24 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.2 yards per play, a #143 offense in section on the season, against 5.3 yards per play, #179 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.2 yards per play), Millennium held those offenses 31% below their usual yards per snap. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #97 in section, well above the first 5 (#142), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Tigers rank #6 in section in yards per play allowed. It won't get any easier against Desert Edge, whose offense ranks #18 in section (10.0 yards per play).
Millennium's offense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. Millennium averaged 48.8 points per game over its first 5 games (5-0), #9 in section during that stretch. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Tigers have averaged 40.5 points per game, a 17% drop, #41 in section over that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 30.5 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (31.4 points per game), Millennium scored 29% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #97 in section, well above the first 5 (#142), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Millennium ranks #10 in section in scoring. It won't get any easier against Desert Edge, whose defense ranks #21 in section (12.0 points per game).
Something changed for Millennium's ground game after its first 4 games. The Tigers averaged 11.9 yards per carry (985 yards on 83 rushes) over their first 4 games (4-0), #4 in section over that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), Millennium has averaged 10.6 yards per carry (1,260 yards on 119 rushes), an 11% drop, #13 in section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 5 opponents have averaged 6.2 yards per carry, a #128 run defense in section on the season, against 6.8 yards per carry, #155 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.2 yards per carry), Millennium ran for 71% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #100 in section, well above the first 4 (#148), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Tigers rank #8 in section in rushing. It won't get any easier against Desert Edge, whose run defense ranks #33 in section (4.0 yards per carry).
• Club Millennium has won 9 straight, and a win would make it 10 in a row -- something they have not done in the 6 seasons on record.
• Club Millennium has gone 9 straight games holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt (August 28, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 9-0 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 6 seasons on record.
• Club Millennium has gone 9 straight games holding the opponent under 150 rushing yards (August 28, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 9-0 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 6 seasons on record.
• Club Millennium has gone 9 straight games holding the opponent under 6.0 yards per play (August 28, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 9-0 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 6 seasons on record.
• Club Millennium is 21-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (21 such games).
• Club Millennium is 11-1 all time when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry. Millennium's last loss when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry was September 29, 2023 against Desert Edge (L, 14-41).
• Player Kadin Johnson has gone 6 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Kadin Johnson has 261 receiving yards over his last 3 games (87.0 a game, November 7, 2025 through September 11, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Kasaun Rouzan-franklin has never had a game recording 100+ receiving yards for Millennium, over a 15-game career on record. His career high is 94, set November 7, 2025 against Yuma Catholic (L, 28-35).
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 25; roster and numbers checked Sep 10.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 10 | MYRON LEE | 4 | 24/39 | 61.5% | 530 | 13.6 | 8 | 1 | 238.3 |
| 16 | CASON LANZAROTTO | 4 | 5/13 | 38.5% | 173 | 13.3 | 2 | 0 | 201.0 |
| 9 | ADRIAN GONZALEZ | 3 | 3/4 | 75.0% | 52 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 184.2 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 32/56 | 57.1% | 755 | 13.5 | 10 | 1 | 225.8 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 6 | D'MARI BRYANT | 4 | 43 | 727 | 16.9 | 10 |
| 20 | JEREMIAH CARSON | 4 | 14 | 210 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | MYRON LEE | 4 | 14 | 21 | 1.5 | 0 |
| 34 | KENZO WESTBROOK | 3 | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 0 |
| 9 | ADRIAN GONZALEZ | 3 | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 84 | ZEKE MASSENBURG | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 |
| 16 | CASON LANZAROTTO | 4 | 4 | -14 | -3.5 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 83 | 985 | 11.9 | 15 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| K. JOHNSON | 2 | 4 | 192 | 48.0 | 3 | |
| 0 | KASAUN ROUZAN-FRANKLIN | 4 | 7 | 167 | 23.9 | 2 |
| 6 | D'MARI BRYANT | 4 | 3 | 108 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 15 | COLTON SCHWARTZ | 4 | 6 | 98 | 16.3 | 2 |
| 12 | KADIN JOHNSON | 2 | 5 | 86 | 17.2 | 2 |
| 80 | EUGENE ORTIZ | 2 | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 0 |
| 83 | MICAH BRIGGS | 1 | 2 | 35 | 17.5 | 0 |
| 81 | BRENTON BULLARD | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 32 | 755 | 23.6 | 10 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 14 | JEREMIAH CAMPOS | 4 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | ELIJAH STEPHENS | 4 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | DAYLEN MOORE | 4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KIAUN DAVISON | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | ROWLEN GREER | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 42 | BISHOP MONROE | 4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | AYDEN DE LEON | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | ANGELO ORTIZ | 4 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | PEYTON WASHINGTON | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 | ELIJAH MASSENBURG | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | KING JOHNSON | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | ISAIAH WHITFIELD | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. JOHNSON | 2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 56 | MAX KANNAPEL | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | BRODY GONZALES | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 60 | ETHAN GRANADOS | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 51 | DOMINIC SEWELL | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 66 | NIKO EARLY | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 44 | ELIJAH WALTHO | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | KINGSTON GARDNER | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 62 | LOGAN GOINS | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 85 | NEHEMIAH STEVENS | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | TREY FRANKLIN | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | CHAUNCEY SEELINGER | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | COLTON SCHWARTZ | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | D'MARI BRYANT | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | JACOB SALGADO | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 | KENZO WESTBROOK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 70 | KEVIN MUNANE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | JD HUSBAND | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 38 | JACKSON RODGERS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 64 | LEONIDAS SHANK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 247 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 1 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 22 | 20 | 22.0 |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 303 | 251 | 25.2 |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 319 | 269 | 26.6 |
| 2024 | 3-7 | 231 | 309 | 23.1 |
| 2025 | 7-4 | 504 | 320 | 45.8 |
| 2026 | 9-0 | 406 | 45 | 45.1 |
| 2020-26 | 33-22 | 32.5 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | FAIRFAX | at | W | 42-0 | |
| 09/04 | CACTUS | vs | W | 42-14 | |
| 09/11 | AGUA FRIA | vs | W | 55-0 | |
| 09/18 | APOLLO | at | W | 56-0 | |
| 09/25 | SHADOW RIDGE | vs | W | 49-14 | |
| 10/02 | VERRADO | at | W | 42-14 | |
| 10/08 | TOLLESON | vs | W | 56-0 | |
| 10/16 | KELLIS | at | W | 58-0 | |
| 10/23 | CANYON VIEW | at | W | 6-3 | |
| 10/30 | DESERT EDGE | vs | PROJ | 27-27 | 50.5% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 9-0 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 9-0 so far | 10-0 (50%) | 9.5-0.5 |
| League | 4-0 so far | 4-0 (100%) | 4.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 9 | 45.1 | 5.0 | 427.8 | 183.9 | 37.6 | 50.6 |
| HOME | 4 | 50.5 | 7.0 | 483.0 | 191.2 | 42.0 | 53.5 |
| ROAD | 5 | 40.8 | 3.4 | 383.6 | 178.0 | 34.0 | 48.2 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Fairfax | W 42-0 | 165 | 186 | 351 | 46 | 100 | 146 | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/4 | vs. Cactus | W 42-14 | 220 | 189 | 409 | 206 | 83 | 289 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 9/11 | vs. Agua Fria | W 55-0 | 273 | 257 | 530 | 14 | 78 | 92 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/18 | @ Apollo | W 56-0 | 97 | 353 | 450 | 21 | 45 | 66 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/25 | vs. Shadow Ridge | W 49-14 | 150 | 319 | 469 | 59 | 141 | 200 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +2 |
| 10/2 | @ Verrado | W 42-14 | 148 | 208 | 356 | 194 | 94 | 288 | -- | -- | -- | 4 | +4 |
| 10/8 | vs. Tolleson | W 56-0 | 226 | 298 | 524 | 165 | 19 | 184 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/16 | @ Kellis | W 58-0 | 239 | 355 | 594 | 99 | 53 | 152 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +2 |
| 10/23 | @ Canyon View | W 6-3 | 87 | 80 | 167 | 149 | 89 | 238 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -3 |
| AVERAGES | 178.3 | 249.4 | 427.8 | 105.9 | 78.0 | 183.9 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 | +9 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (sacks/INT 4/9, sacks allowed 3/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 84.5/100 (+76 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 92.1/100 (+135 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 94.5/100 (-93 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 87.9/100 (-90 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
COLLEGE COMMITMENTS
| PLAYER | POS | CLASS | COMMITTED TO | RATING |
| #6 D'MARI BRYANT | RB | Sr. | Idaho | 3-star |
| #77 LAUIFI TOSI | IOL | Sr. | Stanford | 3-star |
2 committed players on the current MIL roster, per 247Sports. Players from earlier recruiting classes who have already graduated are not listed.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2024-08-21 | at | BOULDER CREEK | 2-6 | 15.5 |
| 2026-10-30 | vs | DESERT EDGE | 7-2 | 41.1 |
LAST YEAR
MIL finished 2025 at 7-4. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 38-21 over TOLLESON (TOLLESON finished 60% that season). Toughest loss: 27-28 to CACTUS (1-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | FAIRFAX | W | 1-0 | 62 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | CACTUS | L | 1-1 | 27 | 28 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | AGUA FRIA | W | 2-1 | 66 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | APOLLO | W | 3-1 | 63 | 28 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | SHADOW RIDGE | W | 4-1 | 55 | 34 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | VERRADO | W | 5-1 | 45 | 38 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-09 | TOLLESON | W | 6-1 | 38 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | KELLIS | W | 7-1 | 56 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | CANYON VIEW | L | 7-2 | 37 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | DESERT EDGE | L | 7-3 | 27 | 66 | 316 | 505 |
| 2025-11-07 | YUMA CATHOLIC | L | 7-4 | 28 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 7-4 | 7-4 | 504 | 320 | 316 (1) | 505 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• MIL averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.999), and has won 8 straight when doing so
• MIL averages 6.0+ yards per play (.999), and has won 8 straight when doing so
• MIL holds its opponents under 200 passing yards (.999), and has won 8 straight when doing so
• MIL rushes for 150+ yards (.762), and has won 8 straight when doing so
• MIL's defense has averaged 1.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 22.5 points allowed per game. (-96%)
• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 8.0 YPA in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 150 rush yds in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 6.0 YPP in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 7.0 YPP in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 9-0 over that stretch.
• MIL's defense has forced 1+ turnover in 8 straight games (09/04/2026-10/23/2026), going 8-0 over that stretch.
• MIL holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry
• MIL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards
• MIL holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways
• MIL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play while forcing 2+ takeaways
• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 100 rush yds in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-0 over that stretch.
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
MIL -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 18 scored; vs 350 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | Pass Yds < 200 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 | W8 | 0.900 |
| 2 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 | 0.894 |
| 3 | OFF | YPC 5+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 | 0.890 |
| 4 | OFF | YPP 7+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 | 0.885 |
| 5 | DEF | YPA < 8 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 | 0.871 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- MIL ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MIL rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 8-3 | .727 | 40.3 | W6 |
| MIL holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 8-1 | .889 | 7.9 | W8 |
| MIL averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 8-0 | .999 | 50.0 | W8 |
| MIL averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 8-0 | .999 | 50.0 | W8 |
| MIL holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 8-0 | .999 | 3.9 | W8 |
| MIL holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 8-0 | .999 | 3.9 | W8 |
| MIL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 7-0 | .999 | 4.4 | W7 |
| MIL holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways | 7-0 | .999 | 6.0 | W7 |
| MIL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play while forcing 2+ takeaways | 7-0 | .999 | 6.0 | W7 |
| MIL averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 4-1 | .800 | 47.6 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| MIL | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 8-3 | .727 | 40.3 |
| MIL | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 8-1 | .889 | 7.9 |
| MIL | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | .999 | 50.0 |
| MIL | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | .999 | 50.0 |
| MIL | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 8-0 | .999 | 3.9 |
| MIL | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 8-0 | .999 | 3.9 |
| MIL | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 7-0 | .999 | 4.4 |
| MIL | Rush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+ | 7-0 | .999 | 6.0 |
| MIL | YPP < 6.0 & Turnovers 2+ | 7-0 | .999 | 6.0 |
| MIL | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 4-1 | .800 | 47.6 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 8-1 | .889 | 47.4 | W8 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 8-4 | .667 | 46.0 | W4 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 9-5 | .643 | 34.4 | W7 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 16-7 | .696 | 43.3 | W8 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-2 | .333 | 12.7 | W1 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 16-5 | .762 | 45.5 | W8 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-4 | .200 | 15.6 | W1 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 6-2 | .750 | 38.2 | W6 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 46.7 | W3 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-2 | .500 | 22.0 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.0 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-1 | .500 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-3 | .000 | 14.7 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-5 | .167 | 24.5 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 |
| Scores 40+ | 15-0 | 1.000 | 52.6 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 52.8 | W4 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 39.0 | W5 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 44.3 | W6 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 46.7 | W3 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 53.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-2 | .333 | 40.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 | W8 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 7-1 | .875 | 8.9 | W7 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 66.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 9-1 | .900 | 8.5 | W9 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 40.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 8-1 | .889 | 7.9 | W8 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 53.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 53.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-2 | .800 | 15.1 | W8 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 7-1 | .875 | 13.5 | W7 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 1.1 |
| Allows 10-19 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 15.3 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-3 | .500 | 24.2 |
| Allows 30-39 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.2 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-6 | .000 | 47.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPA < 8.0 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 | W8 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 | W7 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W1 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 | W8 |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP < 6.0 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP < 7.0 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 5.6 | W8 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W7 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 0.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
MILLENNIUM
• MILLENNIUM has won 9 straight (8/28/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 10 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MILLENNIUM has held the opponent under 14 in 3 straight games (10/8/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MILLENNIUM has held the opponent under 100 rushing in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 47.4 | W8 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 12 | 8-4 | .667 | 46.0 | W4 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 14 | 9-5 | .643 | 34.4 | W7 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 23 | 16-7 | .696 | 43.3 | W8 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 12.7 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 21 | 16-5 | .762 | 45.5 | W8 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 15.6 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W8 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 38.2 | W6 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 46.7 | W3 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.0 | W2 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.0 | W2 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 7.0 | W1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 14.7 | L3 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 24.5 | L4 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | L1 |
| MIL | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 15 | 15-0 | 1.000 | 52.6 | W15 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 53.0 | L2 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 40.0 | W1 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 3.9 | W8 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W2 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 8 | 7-1 | .875 | 8.9 | W7 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 66.0 | L1 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 10 | 9-1 | .900 | 8.5 | W9 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 40.0 | W1 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 7.9 | W8 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 53.0 | L2 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 53.0 | L2 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 5.0 | W9 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 10 | 8-2 | .800 | 15.1 | W8 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 8 | 7-1 | .875 | 13.5 | W7 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W4 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 1.1 | W8 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 15.3 | W6 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 24.2 | W3 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.2 | L1 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 47.2 | L6 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-0 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 games | 10/08/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 9-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| MIL | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 games | 10/08/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
MIL OFFENSE
MIL's offense has averaged 1.1 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 1.7 giveaways per game. (-34%)
MIL's offense has averaged 13.5 YPC over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 10.6 YPC. (+27%)
MIL's offense has averaged 267.1 rush yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 26-game average is 217.6 rush yards per game. (+23%)
MIL's offense has averaged 13.2 YPP over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 10.8 YPP. (+22%)
MIL's offense has averaged 46.0 points scored per game over their last 7 games. Their 30-game average is 38.0 points scored per game. (+21%)
MIL DEFENSE
MIL's defense has averaged 1.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 22.5 points allowed per game. (-96%)
MIL's defense has averaged 3.5 YPA over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 5.3 YPA. (-34%)
MIL's defense has averaged 53.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 81.7 rush yards per game. (-34%)
MIL's defense has averaged 100.1 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 151.2 pass yards per game. (-34%)
MIL's defense has averaged 3.5 YPP over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 4.8 YPP. (-26%)
MIL's defense has averaged 174.3 total yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 11-game average is 232.9 total yards per game. (-25%)
MIL's defense has averaged 2.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 3.6 YPC. (-23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 7 | 100.1 | 11 | 151.2 | -33.8% | |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 1.0 | 30 | 22.5 | -95.5% | |
| MIL | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 7 | 46.0 | 30 | 38.0 | +20.9% | |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 53.7 | 11 | 81.7 | -34.3% | |
| MIL | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 7 | 267.1 | 26 | 217.6 | +22.8% | |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 7 | 174.3 | 11 | 232.9 | -25.2% | |
| MIL | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 7 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.7 | -33.8% | |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 7 | 3.5 | 11 | 5.3 | -34.4% | |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 2.8 | 11 | 3.6 | -23.5% | |
| MIL | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 7 | 13.5 | 11 | 10.6 | +27.0% | |
| MIL | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 7 | 3.5 | 11 | 4.8 | -25.8% | |
| MIL | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 7 | 13.2 | 11 | 10.8 | +22.2% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 13.3 in 2022 to 16.0 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
