In short: Mcgregor Bulldogs high school football (Mcgregor, TX), 2026 season: 0-8. Last game: L 26-49 vs Rockdale on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Troy, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 0-8 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 26-49 vs ROCKDALE |
| NEXT GAME | TROY (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 34.6 · Rush Off 45.4 · Pass Def 10.4 · Rush Def 35.0 |
| ENROLLMENT | 427 STUDENTS (2023-24) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCGREGOR | 34.6 (-46) | 45.4 (-21) | 10.4 (+71) | 35.0 (+27) |
Next: vs Troy, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Troy at Mcgregor.
The number to watch when Mcgregor meets Troy is Mcgregor's scoring. Mcgregor averaged 10.6 points per game over its first 5 games (0-5), #1163 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Bulldogs have averaged 22.0 points per game, a 108% rise, #811 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Mcgregor's last 3 opponents have averaged 43.1 points per game, a #1103 scoring defense in section on the season, against 21.4 points per game, #296 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (43.1 points per game), Mcgregor scored 49% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #731 in section, well below the first 5 (#348), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, Troy's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Trojans have allowed 41.7 points per game over their last 3 games (0-3), #960 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (44.8 points per game on the season, which would rank #133). Against those norms, Troy held those offenses 7% below what they usually score. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #261 in section, a strong slate. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Mcgregor.
The battle on the air could decide Mcgregor's next game, against Troy, and the recent returns favor Mcgregor. Mcgregor averaged 4.0 yards per pass attempt (324 yards on 80 attempts) over its first 4 games (0-4), #925 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (0-4), the Bulldogs have averaged 7.7 yards per pass attempt (600 yards on 78 attempts), a 90% rise, #530 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Mcgregor's last 4 opponents have averaged 8.5 yards per attempt, a #704 pass defense in section on the season, against 5.5 yards per attempt, #94 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.5 yards per attempt), Mcgregor threw for 9% less per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Meanwhile, Troy's pass defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Trojans have allowed 8.8 yards per pass attempt (870 yards on 99 attempts) over their last 4 games (1-3), #699 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better passing attacks in section (9.8 yards per attempt on the season, which would rank #227). Against those norms, Troy held those passing attacks 11% below their usual yards per attempt. Troy offers Mcgregor a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The biggest worry in Mcgregor's season has been the direction of its defense. Mcgregor allowed 30.0 points per game over its first 3 games (0-3), #687 in section within that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), the Bulldogs have allowed 51.0 points per game, a 70% rise, #1151 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 35.9 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (36.5 points per game), Mcgregor allowed 40% more than those offenses usually score. On the season, Mcgregor ranks #1103 in section in scoring defense. It won't get any easier against Troy, whose offense ranks #260 in section (39.1 points per game). Mcgregor is 0-2 this season when it holds opponents under 40, and 0-6 when it doesn't.
The Bulldogs averaged 4.2 yards per play (1,247 yards on 297 snaps) over their first 5 games (0-5), #954 in section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), Mcgregor has averaged 5.9 yards per play (1,051 yards on 179 snaps), a 40% rise, #632 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Mcgregor's last 3 opponents have averaged 7.9 yards per play, a #910 defense in section on the season, against 4.6 yards per play, #73 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.9 yards per play), Mcgregor gained 26% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #731 in section, well below the first 5 (#348), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Bulldogs rank #931 in section in yards per play. The trend lines up well against Troy, whose defense ranks just #988 of 1232 (8.3 yards per play).
Mcgregor's ground game from the opening weeks has gone missing since. Mcgregor averaged 4.8 yards per carry (682 yards on 142 rushes) over its first 3 games (0-3), #691 in section during that stretch. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), the Bulldogs have averaged 3.9 yards per carry (692 yards on 176 rushes), an 18% drop, #856 in section over that period. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 5 opponents have been softer, averaging 5.4 yards per carry, a #422 run defense in section on the season, against 4.2 yards per carry, #144 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.4 yards per carry), Mcgregor ran for 27% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. On the season, Mcgregor ranks #870 in section in rushing. Troy's run defense sits in the middle of the pack, #651 in section (6.1 yards per carry).
• Club Mcgregor has lost 9 straight, and a loss would make it 10 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Mcgregor went a game averaging 7.0+ yards per play was September 8, 2023 against Gatesville (W, 21-17). Since then Mcgregor has gone 36 straight games being held under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 36 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Mcgregor has gone 6 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-6 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Mcgregor has gone 5 straight games being held under 5.0 yards per carry (September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-5 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Mcgregor has gone 4 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-4 over that stretch, matching the program record of 4 straight on record.
• Player Q. Glasson has gone 2 straight games making 10 or more tackles, the longest such streak of his career.
Mcgregor has played a tougher-than-average schedule in the pool so far (#397 of 1236), and what is left is a tougher-than-average slate (#368 of 1145).
From the games on file through Sep 11.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 11 game; last updated Sep 17.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| B. JIMENEZ | 3 | 15/47 | 31.9% | 192 | 4.1 | 1 | 1 | 69.0 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| I. JONES | 3 | 48 | 261 | 5.4 | 1 | |
| B. JIMENEZ | 3 | 60 | 247 | 4.1 | 4 | |
| A. THOMAS | 3 | 17 | 106 | 6.2 | 0 | |
| Q. GLASSON | 3 | 16 | 68 | 4.2 | 1 | |
| D. GRIPP | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 142 | 682 | 4.8 | 6 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| T. COLEMAN | 3 | 4 | 122 | 30.5 | 1 | |
| J. OLGUIN | 3 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | |
| W. WENDELBOE | 3 | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 0 | |
| H. COWARD | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | |
| R. CURRY | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 15 | 192 | 12.8 | 1 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| Q. GLASSON | 3 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| C. CHANDLER | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. GRIPP | 3 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. ZUNIGA | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| E. SIMMONS | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| E. SANCHEZ | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| G. MAHAN | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| B. JOHNS | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| R. TORRES | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L. PAVELKA | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| J. BENITEZ | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| A. THOMAS | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. COLEMAN | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. SOTO | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. OLGUIN | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 165 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 1-9 | 250 | 405 | 25.0 |
| 2023 | 3-7 | 223 | 375 | 22.3 |
| 2024 | 1-9 | 282 | 546 | 28.2 |
| 2025 | 2-9 | 294 | 515 | 26.7 |
| 2026 | 0-8 | 119 | 345 | 14.9 |
| 2022-26 | 7-42 | 23.8 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | CRAWFORD | vs | L | 0-14 | |
| 09/04 | GROESBECK | at | L | 19-28 | |
| 09/11 | MILLSAP | at | L | 25-48 | |
| 09/25 | C.H. YOE | vs | L | 9-46 | |
| 10/02 | LORENA | at | L | 0-62 | |
| 10/09 | CALDWELL | vs | L | 40-42 | |
| 10/16 | FRANKLIN | vs | L | 0-56 | |
| 10/23 | ROCKDALE | at | L | 26-49 | |
| 10/30 | TROY | vs | PROJ | 16-52 | 3.9% |
| 11/06 | LITTLE RIVER ACADEMY | at | PROJ | 11-56 | 1.4% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 0-8 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 0-8 so far | 0-10 (80%) | 0.2-9.8 |
| League | 0-5 so far | 0-5 (100%) | 0.0-5.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 14.9 | 43.1 | 287.2 | 429.8 | 59.5 | 46.2 |
| HOME | 4 | 12.2 | 39.5 | 255.0 | 408.5 | 57.8 | 47.5 |
| ROAD | 4 | 17.5 | 46.8 | 319.5 | 451.0 | 61.2 | 45.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | vs. Crawford | L 0-14 | 13 | 123 | 136 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/4 | @ Groesbeck | L 19-28 | 131 | 171 | 302 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 |
| 9/11 | @ Millsap | L 25-48 | 48 | 388 | 436 | 139 | 274 | 413 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/25 | vs. C.H. Yoe | L 9-46 | 132 | 78 | 210 | 352 | 73 | 425 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/2 | @ Lorena | L 0-62 | 43 | 120 | 163 | 351 | 138 | 489 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/9 | vs. Caldwell | L 40-42 | 216 | 206 | 422 | 9 | 383 | 392 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/16 | vs. Franklin | L 0-56 | 97 | 155 | 252 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/23 | @ Rockdale | L 26-49 | 244 | 133 | 377 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | -2 |
| AVERAGES | 115.5 | 171.8 | 287.2 | 212.8 | 217.0 | 429.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 4/8, sacks/INT 3/8, sacks allowed 1/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 34.6/100 (-46 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 45.4/100 (-21 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 10.4/100 (+71 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 35.0/100 (+27 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | vs | TROY | 5-3 | 39.1 |
| 2026-11-06 | at | LITTLE RIVER ACADEMY | 5-3 | 38.1 |
LAST YEAR
MCG finished 2025 at 2-9. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 25-22 over TROY (TROY finished 44% that season). Toughest loss: 35-36 to ROCKDALE (1-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | HILLSBORO | L | 0-1 | 56 | 58 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | GROESBECK | L | 0-2 | 27 | 45 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | WEST | L | 0-3 | 21 | 45 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | GATESVILLE | L | 0-4 | 12 | 55 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | FAIRFIELD | L | 0-5 | 14 | 61 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | C.H. YOE | W | 1-5 | 20 | 17 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | ROCKDALE | L | 1-6 | 35 | 36 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | FRANKLIN | L | 1-7 | 13 | 54 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | LITTLE RIVER ACADEMY | L | 1-8 | 49 | 56 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-07 | TROY | W | 2-8 | 25 | 22 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | YOAKUM | L | 2-9 | 22 | 66 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 2-9 | 2-9 | 294 | 515 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• MCG is held under 200 passing yards (.000), but most recently lost to Franklin when doing so
• MCG is held under 150 rushing yards (.000), but most recently lost to Rockdale when doing so
• MCG stays under 6.0 yards per play (.000), but most recently lost to Franklin when doing so
• MCG commits zero giveaways (.000), but most recently lost to Caldwell when doing so
• MCG's defense has averaged 9.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 212.8 pass yards per game. (-96%)
• MCG's defense has averaged 383.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 217.0 rush yards per game. (+76%)
• MCG's defense has averaged 2.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 9.0 YPA. (-75%)
• MCG's offense has failed to reach 5.0 YPC in 5 straight games (09/25/2026-10/23/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• MCG's offense has averaged 7.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 5.3 YPA. (+49%)
• MCG's offense has averaged 1.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (+48%)
• MCG's defense has averaged 1.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (+48%)
• MCG's defense has forced 1+ turnover in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 0-4 over that stretch.
• MCG's offense has averaged 15.0 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 29-game average is 24.0 points scored per game. (-37%)
• MCG's offense has averaged 185.7 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 145.6 pass yards per game. (+27%)
• MCG's offense has averaged 5.8 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 4.7 YPP. (+23%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
MCG -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 2 of 2 scored; vs 181 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 0-9 | .000 | 16.0 | L9 | 0.570 |
| 2 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 0-8 | .000 | 14.9 | L8 | 0.430 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- MCG ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MCG rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 0-5 | .000 | 8.8 | L5 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| MCG | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 0-5 | .000 | 8.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 33.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.8 | L6 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-4 | .000 | 25.0 | L4 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-7 | .000 | 9.4 | L7 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-9 | .000 | 16.0 | L9 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-2 | .000 | 11.0 | L2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-4 | .000 | 21.0 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-7 | .000 | 11.7 | L7 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 25.0 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-7 | .000 | 13.4 | L7 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 30.3 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.6 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-8 | .000 | 14.9 | L8 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-5 | .000 | 12.0 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 19.7 | L3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 17.5 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 26.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-4 | .000 | 2.2 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-8 | .000 | 13.4 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-7 | .222 | 24.4 |
| Scores 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 36.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 1-5 | .167 | 47.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 33.0 | L2 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.8 | L6 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 33.0 | L2 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.8 | L6 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-7 | .000 | 15.7 | L7 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 9.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-4 | .000 | 21.0 | L4 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-4 | .000 | 8.8 | L4 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 25.0 | L1 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-7 | .000 | 13.4 | L7 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 30.3 | L3 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.6 | L5 |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-8 | .000 | 14.9 | L8 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-5 | .000 | 12.0 | L5 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 19.7 | L3 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 17.5 | L2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 26.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-4 | .000 | 2.2 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 19.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 25.5 |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-3 | .000 | 50.7 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 46.0 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 50.7 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 46.0 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 49.5 | L4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 49.5 | L4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-5 | .000 | 47.4 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 36.0 | L3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 39.7 | L3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 34.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-22 | .000 | 55.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-3 | .000 | 50.7 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 46.0 | L1 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 50.7 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 46.0 | L1 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 49.5 | L4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 49.5 | L4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-5 | .000 | 47.4 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 36.0 | L3 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 39.7 | L3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | 0-6 | .000 | 50.5 |
MCGREGOR
• MCGREGOR has lost 9 straight (11/14/25–10/23/26). It has not reached 10 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MCGREGOR has allowed 30+ in 6 straight games (9/11/26–10/23/26). It has not allowed 30+ in 7 straight since 10/25/24–9/26/25 (2025).
• MCGREGOR has lost by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not lost by 20+ in 3 straight since 9/11/26–10/2/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 5 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 4 straight (2024) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 33.0 | L2 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.8 | L6 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 25.0 | L4 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 9.4 | L7 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 0-9 | .000 | 16.0 | L9 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 11.0 | L2 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 21.0 | L4 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 11.7 | L7 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 25.0 | L1 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 13.4 | L7 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 30.3 | L3 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.6 | L5 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 14.9 | L8 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 12.0 | L5 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 19.7 | L3 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 17.5 | L2 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 26.0 | L1 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 2.2 | L4 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 13.4 | L8 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 9 | 2-7 | .222 | 24.4 | L3 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 36.0 | L2 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 47.8 | L3 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 50.7 | L3 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 46.0 | L1 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 45.0 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 54.0 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 50.7 | L3 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 46.0 | L1 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 49.5 | L4 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 49.5 | L4 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 47.4 | L5 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 36.0 | L3 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 39.7 | L3 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.5 | L1 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.0 | L1 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 34.5 | L2 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 22 | 0-22 | .000 | 55.8 | L22 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-8 |
| OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-5 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-4 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-4 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-8 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-5 |
| MCG | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-4 |
| MCG | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 0-4 |
MCG OFFENSE
MCG's offense has averaged 7.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 5.3 YPA. (+49%)
MCG's offense has averaged 1.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (+48%)
MCG's offense has averaged 15.0 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 29-game average is 24.0 points scored per game. (-37%)
MCG's offense has averaged 185.7 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 145.6 pass yards per game. (+27%)
MCG's offense has averaged 5.8 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 4.7 YPP. (+23%)
MCG DEFENSE
MCG's defense has averaged 9.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 212.8 pass yards per game. (-96%)
MCG's defense has averaged 383.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 217.0 rush yards per game. (+76%)
MCG's defense has averaged 2.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 4-game average is 9.0 YPA. (-75%)
MCG's defense has averaged 1.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (+48%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| MCG | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 9.0 | 4 | 212.8 | -95.8% | |
| MCG | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 185.7 | 11 | 145.6 | +27.5% | |
| MCG | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 15.0 | 29 | 24.0 | -37.4% | |
| MCG | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 383.0 | 4 | 217.0 | +76.5% | |
| MCG | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.7 | 8 | 1.1 | +48.1% | |
| MCG | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.7 | 8 | 1.1 | +48.1% | |
| MCG | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 2.2 | 4 | 9.0 | -75.0% | |
| MCG | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 7.9 | 8 | 5.3 | +48.8% | |
| MCG | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 5.8 | 8 | 4.7 | +23.3% |
