In short: Lake Dallas Falcons high school football (Corinth, TX), 2026 season: 5-3. Last game: L 21-28 vs Aubrey on October 23, 2026. Next: at Godley, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 5-3 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 21-28 vs AUBREY |
| NEXT GAME | GODLEY (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 74.1 · Rush Off 25.8 · Pass Def 90.9 · Rush Def 71.4 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAKE DALLAS | 74.1 (+40) | 25.8 (-66) | 90.9 (-77) | 71.4 (-46) |
Next: at Godley, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Lake Dallas at Godley.
The number to watch when Lake Dallas meets Godley is Lake Dallas' scoring. Lake Dallas averaged 23.2 points per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #824 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), the Falcons have averaged 44.0 points per game, an 89% rise, #227 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Lake Dallas' last 4 opponents have averaged 33.5 points per game, a #825 scoring defense in section on the season, against 24.8 points per game, #449 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (33.5 points per game), Lake Dallas scored 31% more than those defenses usually allow. Meanwhile, Godley's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Wildcats have allowed 41.0 points per game over their last 4 games (1-3), #975 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (36.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #359). Against those norms, Godley allowed 13% more than those offenses usually score. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Lake Dallas. Lake Dallas is 2-0 this season when it scores 38 or more, and 3-3 when it doesn't.
The battle on the ground could decide Lake Dallas' next game, against Godley, and the recent returns favor Lake Dallas. Lake Dallas averaged 2.9 yards per carry (327 yards on 113 rushes) over its first 4 games (3-1), #974 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), the Falcons have averaged 5.0 yards per carry (671 yards on 135 rushes), a 72% rise, #646 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Lake Dallas' last 4 opponents have averaged 5.8 yards per carry, a #547 run defense in section on the season, against 4.8 yards per carry, #270 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.8 yards per carry), Lake Dallas ran for 14% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Meanwhile, Godley's run defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Wildcats have allowed 5.8 yards per carry (540 yards on 93 rushes) over their last 4 games (1-3), #567 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of rushing attacks in section (6.6 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #385). Against those norms, Godley held those rushing attacks 11% below their usual yards per carry. Godley offers Lake Dallas a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The biggest worry in Lake Dallas' season has been the direction of its defense. Lake Dallas allowed 17.5 points per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #193 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Falcons have allowed 32.5 points per game, an 86% rise, #741 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 38.2 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (38.8 points per game), Lake Dallas held those offenses 16% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, Lake Dallas ranks #456 in section in scoring defense. Godley's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #694 in section (27.8 points per game). Lake Dallas is 4-0 this season when it holds opponents under 28, and 1-3 when it doesn't.
The Falcons committed 2.8 giveaways per game over their first 4 games (3-1), #1143 in section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), Lake Dallas has committed 1.5 giveaways per game, a 45% drop, #725 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Lake Dallas' last 4 opponents have averaged 1.2 per game, a #631 defense in section on the season, against 1.5 per game, #396 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.2 per game), Lake Dallas turned it over 24% more than those defenses usually force. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, the Falcons rank #1083 in section in giveaways. The trend lines up well against Godley, whose defense ranks just #1149 of 1233 (0.4 per game).
Lake Dallas' offense has come a long way since the season's early weeks. Lake Dallas averaged 4.6 yards per play (1,123 yards on 242 snaps) over its first 4 games (3-1), #904 in section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), the Falcons have averaged 6.0 yards per play (1,594 yards on 265 snaps), a 30% rise, #643 in section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Lake Dallas' last 4 opponents have averaged 6.6 yards per play, a #528 defense in section on the season, against 5.9 yards per play, #296 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.6 yards per play), Lake Dallas gained 9% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, Lake Dallas ranks #856 in section in yards per play. Godley's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #791 in section (7.3 yards per play).
Something changed for Lake Dallas' run defense after its first 3 games. The Falcons allowed 4.5 yards per carry (593 yards on 132 rushes) over their first 3 games (2-1), #304 in section over that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), Lake Dallas has allowed 5.6 yards per carry (633 yards on 113 rushes), a 25% rise, #517 in section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Lake Dallas' last 5 opponents have averaged 7.6 yards per carry, a #201 rushing attack in section on the season, against 6.6 yards per carry, #372 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.6 yards per carry), Lake Dallas held those rushing attacks 26% below their usual yards per carry. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, the Falcons rank #312 in section in run defense. Godley's ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #720 in section (5.1 yards per carry).
Lake Dallas' defense has given up chunk yardage as the season has progressed. Lake Dallas allowed 4.8 yards per play (866 yards on 180 snaps) over its first 3 games (2-1), #182 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), the Falcons have allowed 5.9 yards per play (1,342 yards on 228 snaps), a 22% rise, #319 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Lake Dallas' last 5 opponents have averaged 8.3 yards per play, a #209 offense in section on the season, against 7.5 yards per play, #368 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.3 yards per play), Lake Dallas held those offenses 29% below their usual yards per snap. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, Lake Dallas ranks #180 in section in yards per play allowed. Godley's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #643 in section (6.3 yards per play).
• Club The last time Lake Dallas went a game averaging 7.0+ yards per play was September 8, 2023 against Princeton (W, 38-0). Since then Lake Dallas has gone 37 straight games being held under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 37 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Lake Dallas has gone 7 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 4, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 5-2 over that stretch, a school-record 7 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Lake Dallas is 18-2 all time when rushing for 150+ yards. Lake Dallas's last loss when rushing for 150+ yards was October 18, 2024 against Panther Creek (L, 44-46).
• Club Lake Dallas is 15-1 all time when scoring 40+ points. Lake Dallas's last loss when scoring 40+ points was October 18, 2024 against Panther Creek (L, 44-46).
• Club Lake Dallas has scored 141 points over its last 3 games (47.0 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 3rd-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 170, from September 16, 2022 through September 30, 2022.
• Player Ryan Young has 51 tackles over his last 5 games (10.2 a game, November 6, 2025 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
From the games on file through Oct 23.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Oct 28; roster and numbers checked Sep 13.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 16 | BODE MCDANIEL | 4 | 59/111 | 53.2% | 812 | 7.3 | 8 | 6 | 127.6 |
| 1 | LUKE MALES | 4 | 4/11 | 36.4% | 89 | 8.1 | 2 | 2 | 128.0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 63/122 | 51.6% | 901 | 7.4 | 10 | 8 | 127.6 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 1 | LUKE MALES | 4 | 47 | 219 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 9 | REAGAN REYES | 2 | 27 | 129 | 4.8 | 0 |
| 5 | RYAN YOUNG | 4 | 5 | 35 | 7.0 | 0 |
| 26 | JADAVIAN EANES-EMBERS | 2 | 8 | 16 | 2.0 | 0 |
| 19 | BEN CORNIST | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 13 | MYKAH LOVE | 2 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 |
| 16 | BODE MCDANIEL | 4 | 16 | -50 | -3.1 | 1 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 105 | 350 | 3.3 | 3 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 19 | BEN CORNIST | 4 | 14 | 277 | 19.8 | 5 |
| 1 | LUKE MALES | 4 | 20 | 230 | 11.5 | 0 |
| 5 | RYAN YOUNG | 4 | 9 | 127 | 14.1 | 2 |
| A. REYNOLDS | 1 | 5 | 102 | 20.4 | 1 | |
| 13 | MYKAH LOVE | 2 | 4 | 71 | 17.8 | 1 |
| 9 | REAGAN REYES | 2 | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | 0 |
| 11 | PRESTON HARDING | 1 | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 |
| 26 | JADAVIAN EANES-EMBERS | 2 | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 4 | ISAIAH BETANCOURT | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 1 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 64 | 887 | 13.9 | 10 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 5 | RYAN YOUNG | 4 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | JACOB CARLSON | 4 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 40 | TYRUS STARKS | 4 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | JOSIAH GRINNAGE | 4 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 28 | ELIJAH RICHARD | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 33 | LANE HEDGES | 2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | CAMERON FOOTE | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NATHAN SEDORE | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | KEENAN FORT | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 | NOEL PEREZ III | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | MALIK MACK | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 44 | TRYSTIN WILLIAMS | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AIDYN CESSNA | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | BEN CORNIST | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | REED VANZURA | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | NOAH NICHOLS | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | URIAH VIGIL | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | DYLAN COLVIN | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | EMARI RICHARD | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | KELIL BESHEARS | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 54 | DAVID MEIJA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PRESTON HARDING | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | WYATT SHEPARD | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | JAYLON DAVIS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 258 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 7-4 | 374 | 247 | 34.0 |
| 2023 | 10-2 | 462 | 233 | 38.5 |
| 2024 | 5-5 | 314 | 277 | 31.4 |
| 2025 | 4-6 | 228 | 236 | 22.8 |
| 2026 | 5-3 | 269 | 200 | 33.6 |
| 2022-26 | 31-20 | 32.3 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AUBREY | 5-0 | 5-3 | 19 / 241 | 1 (6.7-0.3) | 203-70 | 10/30 vs ALVARADO |
| 2 | DECATUR | 4-1 | 7-1 | 5 / 143 | 2 (5.5-1.5) | 257-92 | 10/30 vs SPRINGTOWN |
| 3 | LAKE DALLAS | 3-2 | 5-3 | 9 / 167 | 3 (4.9-2.1) | 198-151 | 10/30 vs GODLEY |
| 4 | SPRINGTOWN | 3-2 | 4-4 | 7 / 160 | 4 (4.4-2.6) | 194-124 | 10/30 vs DECATUR |
| 5 | ALVARADO | 3-2 | 3-5 | 51 / 593 | 5 (3.2-3.8) | 191-182 | 10/30 vs AUBREY |
| 6 | RANCHVIEW | 1-4 | 3-5 | 61 / 707 | 6 (1.8-5.2) | 132-284 | 10/30 vs CASTLEBERRY |
| 7 | GODLEY | 1-4 | 1-7 | 45 / 563 | 7 (1.3-5.7) | 174-188 | 10/30 vs LAKE DALLAS |
| 8 | CASTLEBERRY | 0-5 | 2-6 | 83 / 929 | 8 (0.3-6.7) | 65-323 | 10/30 vs RANCHVIEW |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | SANGER | at | L | 28-35 | |
| 09/04 | PEASTER | vs | W | 7-0 | |
| 09/11 | KRUM | vs | W | 36-14 | |
| 09/25 | SPRINGTOWN | at | W | 22-21 | |
| 10/02 | DECATUR | vs | L | 35-47 | |
| 10/09 | RANCHVIEW | at | W | 69-27 | |
| 10/16 | ALVARADO | at | W | 51-28 | |
| 10/23 | AUBREY | vs | L | 21-28 | |
| 10/30 | GODLEY | at | PROJ | 43-16 | 90.5% |
| 11/06 | CASTLEBERRY | vs | PROJ | 55-8 | 98.9% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 5-3 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 5-3 so far | 7-3 (78%) | 6.8-3.2 |
| League | 3-2 so far | 3-2 (100%) | 3.0-2.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 33.6 | 25.0 | 339.6 | 315.4 | 63.4 | 58.3 |
| HOME | 4 | 24.8 | 22.2 | 306.5 | 272.3 | 55.2 | 60.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 42.5 | 27.8 | 372.8 | 347.8 | 71.5 | 56.5 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Sanger | L 28-35 | 224 | 135 | 359 | 55 | 379 | 434 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
| 9/4 | vs. Peaster | W 7-0 | 198 | 23 | 221 | 65 | 163 | 228 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/11 | vs. Krum | W 36-14 | 197 | 126 | 323 | 153 | 51 | 204 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 9/25 | @ Springtown | W 22-21 | 177 | 43 | 220 | 163 | 162 | 325 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 10/2 | vs. Decatur | L 35-47 | 274 | 60 | 334 | 145 | 240 | 385 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/9 | @ Ranchview | W 69-27 | 184 | 320 | 504 | 194 | 83 | 277 | -- | -- | -- | 5 | +3 |
| 10/16 | @ Alvarado | W 51-28 | 183 | 225 | 408 | 207 | 148 | 355 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +3 |
| 10/23 | vs. Aubrey | L 21-28 | 282 | 66 | 348 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| AVERAGES | 214.9 | 124.8 | 339.6 | 140.3 | 175.1 | 315.4 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | -2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 7/8, sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 3/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 74.1/100 (+40 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 25.8/100 (-66 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 90.9/100 (-77 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 71.4/100 (-46 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2025-08-15 | vs | KRUM | 5-3 | 38.4 |
| 2026-10-30 | at | GODLEY | 1-7 | 27.8 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | CASTLEBERRY | 2-6 | 22.1 |
LAST YEAR
LD finished 2025 at 4-6. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 35-14 over DENTON (DENTON finished 40% that season). Toughest loss: 11-14 to AUBREY (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | DENTON | W | 1-0 | 35 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | BREWER | L | 1-1 | 10 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | KAUFMAN | W | 2-1 | 38 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | LAKE WORTH | W | 3-1 | 28 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | PARIS | L | 3-2 | 16 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | COMMUNITY | W | 4-2 | 56 | 8 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-16 | PANTHER CREEK | L | 4-3 | 13 | 31 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-23 | AUBREY | L | 4-4 | 11 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | SULPHUR SPRINGS | L | 4-5 | 14 | 38 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | CELINA | L | 4-6 | 7 | 48 | 72 | 152 |
| TOTALS | 10 GMS | 4-6 | 4-6 | 228 | 236 | 72 (1) | 152 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• LD rushes for 150+ yards (.857), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• LD commits fewer than 2 giveaways (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• LD is held under 200 passing yards (.571), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• LD forces 2+ takeaways (.750), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• LD's offense has failed to reach 7.0 YPP in 9 straight games (11/06/2025-10/23/2026), going 5-4 over that stretch.
• LD's offense has averaged 203.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 123.6 rush yards per game. (+65%)
• LD's offense has averaged 47.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 29.0 points scored per game. (+62%)
• LD's offense has averaged 4.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 3.0 YPC. (+61%)
• LD's defense has averaged 3.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.9 takeaways per game. (+60%)
• LD wins even while allowing its opponents 150.0+ passing yards (LD's own median) (.999)
• LD's defense has averaged 200.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 141.1 pass yards per game. (+42%)
• LD's offense has averaged 420.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 301.6 total yards per game. (+39%)
• LD's offense has averaged 1.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 2.1 giveaways per game. (-37%)
• LD's defense has averaged 6.4 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 4.8 YPC. (+35%)
• LD is 3-0 (.999) when it wins the turnover battle
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
LD -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 7 scored; vs 678 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 7-2 | .778 | 41.0 | W3 | 0.825 |
| 2 | OFF | YPA < 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 32.8 | W2 | 0.561 |
| 3 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 5-5 | .500 | 29.0 | L1 | 0.539 |
| 4 | OFF | YPC < 5 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.1 | L1 | 0.491 |
| 5 | OFF | Pass Yds < 200 | 8-6 | .571 | 26.0 | W5 | 0.473 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- LD ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| LD rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 6-0 | .999 | 43.7 | W6 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| LD | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 6-0 | .999 | 43.7 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 14.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-4 | .500 | 32.8 | W2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-4 | .333 | 31.8 | L3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 8-6 | .571 | 26.0 | W5 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 7-2 | .778 | 41.0 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-8 | .273 | 16.9 | L2 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 6-1 | .857 | 43.6 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-9 | .308 | 19.2 | L2 | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 48.5 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.1 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 32.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-4 | .429 | 27.6 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-5 | .500 | 29.0 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 51.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-3 | .400 | 37.8 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-2 | .333 | 7.3 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-7 | .000 | 13.1 |
| Scores 20-29 | 3-3 | .500 | 24.8 |
| Scores 30-39 | 4-1 | .800 | 35.8 |
| Scores 40+ | 6-1 | .857 | 52.7 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 14.0 | L1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 40.2 | W2 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-3 | .000 | 28.0 | L3 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 37.0 | W5 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-1 | .750 | 46.0 | W3 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-2 | .500 | 21.2 | L2 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 60.0 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-3 | .500 | 24.8 | L2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 48.5 | W1 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 28.7 | L1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 32.3 | L1 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 34.4 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-3 | .625 | 33.6 | L1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | L1 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 51.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-3 | .400 | 37.8 | L1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 23.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 35.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 60.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 48.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 24.6 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-2 | .600 | 26.2 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-1 | .667 | 29.7 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-2 | .500 | 25.8 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 29.2 | W3 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.2 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 34.3 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.4 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 48.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 24.6 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-2 | .667 | 25.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 23.5 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W3 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-1 | .667 | 30.0 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 3.8 |
| Allows 10-19 | 4-2 | .667 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 5-3 | .625 | 25.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-4 | .200 | 35.4 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-5 | .000 | 47.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 24.6 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 24.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-2 | .600 | 26.2 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.5 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-2 | .500 | 25.8 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 23.0 | W3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 20.3 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 27.5 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.4 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 24.6 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-2 | .667 | 25.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 23.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-1 | .667 | 30.0 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 14.0 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 32.8 | W2 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 31.8 | L3 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 14 | 8-6 | .571 | 26.0 | W5 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 41.0 | W3 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 11 | 3-8 | .273 | 16.9 | L2 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 43.6 | W3 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 13 | 4-9 | .308 | 19.2 | L2 |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 48.5 | W1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.1 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 32.3 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 27.6 | W1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 10 | 5-5 | .500 | 29.0 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 51.0 | W1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 37.8 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 7.3 | W1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 13.1 | L7 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 24.8 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 35.8 | L1 |
| LD | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 52.7 | W3 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 48.0 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 24.6 | W2 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 26.2 | W1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 29.7 | W2 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 25.8 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 29.2 | W3 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W3 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.2 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 34.3 | W2 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.4 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 48.0 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 24.6 | W2 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 25.5 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 23.5 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W3 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 30.0 | W2 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 3.8 | W4 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 14.0 | W1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 25.0 | L1 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 35.4 | L3 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 47.4 | L5 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 games | 11/06/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 5-4 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| LD | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 games | 11/06/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 5-4 |
| LD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
LD OFFENSE
LD's offense has averaged 203.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 123.6 rush yards per game. (+65%)
LD's offense has averaged 47.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 29.0 points scored per game. (+62%)
LD's offense has averaged 4.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 3.0 YPC. (+61%)
LD's offense has averaged 420.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 301.6 total yards per game. (+39%)
LD's offense has averaged 1.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 2.1 giveaways per game. (-37%)
LD's offense has averaged 6.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 4.9 YPP. (+25%)
LD's offense has averaged 220.0 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 20-game average is 178.0 pass yards per game. (+24%)
LD DEFENSE
LD's defense has averaged 3.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.9 takeaways per game. (+60%)
LD's defense has averaged 200.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 141.1 pass yards per game. (+42%)
LD's defense has averaged 6.4 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 4.8 YPC. (+35%)
LD's defense has averaged 115.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 153.9 rush yards per game. (-25%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| LD | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 200.5 | 8 | 141.1 | +42.1% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 220.0 | 20 | 178.0 | +23.6% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 47.0 | 28 | 29.0 | +62.3% | |
| LD | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 115.5 | 8 | 153.9 | -24.9% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 203.7 | 20 | 123.6 | +64.8% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 420.0 | 20 | 301.6 | +39.3% | |
| LD | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 3.0 | 8 | 1.9 | +60.0% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.3 | 8 | 2.1 | -37.3% | |
| LD | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 6.4 | 8 | 4.8 | +34.9% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 4.8 | 10 | 3.0 | +61.0% | |
| LD | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 6.1 | 10 | 4.9 | +24.7% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 3.8 in 2022 to 10.5 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
