In short: Kerman Lions high school football (Kerman, CA), 2026 season: 7-2 in the Tri-County - Kings Canyon League. Last game: L 7-22 vs Immanuel on October 23, 2026. Next: at Washington Union, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Kerman meets Washington Union is Kerman's scoring defense. Kerman allowed 2.6 points per game over its first 5 games (5-0), #1 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Lions have allowed 22.8 points per game, a 775% rise, #46 in Section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Kerman's last 4 opponents have averaged 31.2 points per game, a #30 offense in Section on the season, against 23.6 points per game, #67 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (31.2 points per game), Kerman held those offenses 27% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #23 in Section, well above the first 5 (#58), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Washington Union's offense has struggled in recent weeks. The Panthers have averaged 18.5 points per game over their last 4 games (0-4), #80 in Section during that time. Those games came against some of the better scoring defenses in Section (17.8 points per game on the season, which would rank #26). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #23 in Section, a strong slate. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
The battle on the ground could decide Kerman's next game, against Washington Union, and the recent returns favor Washington Union. Kerman allowed 2.1 yards per carry (272 yards on 128 rushes) over its first 5 games (5-0), #2 in Section through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Lions have allowed 5.1 yards per carry (471 yards on 92 rushes), a 141% rise, #36 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 5.9 yards per carry on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.8 yards per carry), Kerman held those rushing attacks 12% below their usual yards per carry. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #23 in Section, well above the first 5 (#58), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Washington Union's ground game has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Panthers have averaged 6.1 yards per carry (497 yards on 81 rushes) over their last 4 games (0-4), #49 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better run defenses in Section (4.3 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #21). Against those norms, Washington Union ran for 42% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #23 in Section, a strong slate. Washington Union offers Kerman a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
NOTES
The biggest worry in Kerman's season has been the direction of its defense. Kerman allowed 3.6 yards per play (891 yards on 245 snaps) over its first 5 games (5-0), #3 in Section within that period. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Lions have allowed 5.9 yards per play (963 yards on 162 snaps), a 63% rise, #28 in Section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Kerman's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.2 yards per play, a #46 offense in Section on the season, against 6.6 yards per play, #63 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.2 yards per play), Kerman held those offenses 17% below their usual yards per snap. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #23 in Section, well above the first 5 (#58), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Kerman ranks #6 in Section in yards per play allowed. Washington Union's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #58 in Section (6.8 yards per play).
The Lions forced 2.4 takeaways per game over their first 5 games (5-0), #7 in Section during those games. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), Kerman has forced 1.2 takeaways per game, a 48% drop, #53 in Section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Kerman's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.2 per game, a #48 offense in Section on the season, against 1.5 per game, #75 for the first 5. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #23 in Section, well above the first 5 (#58), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Lions rank #20 in Section in takeaways. Washington Union's ball security sits in the middle of the pack, #60 in Section (1.3 per game).
Kerman's offense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. Kerman averaged 35.8 points per game over its first 6 games (6-0), #18 in Section during that stretch. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Lions have averaged 16.3 points per game, a 54% drop, #87 in Section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Kerman's last 3 opponents have averaged 20.7 points per game, a #38 scoring defense in Section on the season, against 27.6 points per game, #70 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (20.7 points per game), Kerman scored 21% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #27 in Section, well above the first 6 (#48), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Kerman was held to 14 points or fewer 2 times in those games, including 7 against ScorePirate CIF Central Section #15 Immanuel on 10/23. On the season, Kerman ranks #32 in Section in scoring. Washington Union's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #69 in Section (27.6 points per game). Kerman is 6-0 this season when it scores 28 or more, and 1-2 when it doesn't.
Something changed for Kerman's pass defense after the first 5 games of the season. The Lions allowed 5.3 yards per pass attempt (619 yards on 117 attempts) over their first 5 games (5-0), #11 in Section over that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), Kerman has allowed 7.0 yards per pass attempt (492 yards on 70 attempts), a 33% rise, #29 in Section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Kerman's last 4 opponents have averaged 9.6 yards per attempt, a #27 passing attack in Section on the season, against 7.6 yards per attempt, #63 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.6 yards per attempt), Kerman held those passing attacks 27% below their usual yards per attempt. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #23 in Section, well above the first 5 (#58), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Lions rank #8 in Section in pass defense. Washington Union's passing game, #102 of 110 (5.1 yards per attempt), could be the get-right matchup Kerman needs.
Kerman's passing game has misfired through the air as the season has progressed. Kerman averaged 9.7 yards per pass attempt (1,265 yards on 130 attempts) over its first 6 games (6-0), #26 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Lions have averaged 6.5 yards per pass attempt (602 yards on 92 attempts), a 33% drop, #80 in Section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Kerman's last 3 opponents have averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, a #25 pass defense in Section on the season, against 8.1 yards per attempt, #53 for the first 6. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #27 in Section, well above the first 6 (#48), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Kerman ranks #44 in Section in passing. Washington Union's pass defense, #93 of 113 (9.6 yards per attempt), could be the get-right matchup Kerman needs.
TIDBITS (10 found)
• Club Kerman has lost 2 straight, and a loss would make it 3 in a row. The last time they lost 3 or more in a row was 2023, a run of 4.
• Club Kerman has gone 21 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 22, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 15-6 over that stretch, a school-record 21 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Kerman is 20-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (20 such games).
• Club Kerman is 24-2 all time when rushing for 150+ yards. Kerman's last loss when rushing for 150+ yards was September 8, 2023 against Sunnyside (L, 22-23).
• Player Nate Myers has 29 tackles over his last 3 games (9.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Seth Myers has 6 sacks over his last 6 games (1.1 a game, September 4, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 6-game stretch on record.
• Player Elijah Chalabian has 48 tackles over his last 5 games (9.6 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Seth Myers has gone 3 straight games making 10 or more tackles, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 9 straight games making 10 or more tackles, during the 2026 season.
• Player Justin Molina has never had a game recording 100+ receiving yards for Kerman, over a 39-game career on record. His career high is 78, set August 30, 2024 against Caruthers (W, 42-0).
• Player Elias Ceballos has gone 6 straight games without recording a sack. The last time he recorded a sack was August 28, 2026 against Justin Garza (W, 35-6) — 2 sacks.
MILESTONE WATCH
Kerman
Seth Myers needs 1 tackle for 100 (averaging 12.4 a game)
Peyton Coleman needs 1 rushing touchdown for 10 (averaging 1.1 a game)
Elijah Chalabian needs 9 tackles for 75 (averaging 8.2 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 16 game; last updated Oct 21; roster and numbers checked Sep 3.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 8/9, sacks/INT 8/9, sacks allowed 8/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 88.0/100 (+91 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 41.9/100 (-27 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 91.1/100 (-78 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 89.3/100 (-94 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
KER finished 2025 at 8-4. Made the playoffs (2 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 42-9 over DOS PALOS (DOS PALOS finished 64% that season). Toughest loss: 27-28 to WASCO (1-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
KER HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• KER holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.944), and has won 10 straight when doing so
• KER averages 7.0+ yards per play (.880), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• KER holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.882), and has won 7 straight when doing so
• KER rushes for 150+ yards (.999), and has won 13 straight when doing so
• KER's defense has averaged 1.9 takeaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 36-game average is 0.9 takeaways per game. (+97%)
• KER's defense has averaged 237.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 121.2 rush yards per game. (+96%)
• KER's defense has averaged 6.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 4.1 YPC. (+69%)
• KER's offense has averaged 60.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 132.9 rush yards per game. (-55%)
• KER's offense has averaged 16.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 34.2 points scored per game. (-52%)
• KER is 23-3 (.885) in games decided by more than 8 points
• KER's offense has averaged 6.5 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 10.1 YPA. (-36%)
• KER's defense has averaged 355.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 265.0 total yards per game. (+34%)
• KER's offense has averaged 4.5 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 36-game average is 6.8 YPC. (-34%)
• KER holds its opponents under 102.5 rushing yards (KER's own median) (.929)
• KER holds its opponents under 4.2 yards per carry (KER's own median) (.929)
KER — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (36 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-2
.000
7.0
Scores 10-19
2-3
.400
13.6
Scores 20-29
1-3
.250
27.2
Scores 30-39
10-1
.909
35.2
Scores 40+
14-0
1.000
46.6
KER — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
6-0
1.000
35.3
W6
YPA < 8.0
1-2
.333
17.3
L2
Pass Yds 200+
4-1
.800
30.8
L1
Pass Yds < 200
3-1
.750
27.5
L1
Rush Yds 100+
5-1
.833
31.7
L1
Rush Yds < 100
2-1
.667
24.7
L1
Rush Yds 150+
1-0
1.000
53.0
W1
Rush Yds < 150
6-2
.750
26.4
L2
YPC 5.0+
2-1
.667
33.7
L1
YPC < 5.0
5-1
.833
27.2
L1
YPP 6.0+
7-1
.875
32.1
L1
YPP < 6.0
0-1
.000
7.0
L1
YPP 7.0+
4-0
1.000
41.2
W4
YPP < 7.0
3-2
.600
19.8
L2
Turnovers 1+
3-1
.750
23.0
L1
Turnovers < 1
4-1
.800
34.4
L1
Turnovers 2+
2-1
.667
19.7
L1
Turnovers > 2
--
--
--
--
KER — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-1
.000
7.0
Scores 10-19
1-1
.500
12.0
Scores 20-29
--
--
--
Scores 30-39
4-0
1.000
34.5
Scores 40+
2-0
1.000
47.5
KER — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (36 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
6-4
.600
26.1
L1
YPA < 8.0
14-4
.778
13.9
W7
8 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
4-0
1.000
21.0
W4
Pass Yds < 200
16-8
.667
17.8
L1
8 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
8-7
.533
23.1
L1
Rush Yds < 100
12-1
.923
12.7
W8
8 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
3-7
.300
27.4
L1
Rush Yds < 150
17-1
.944
13.2
W10
8 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
5-6
.455
27.1
L1
YPC < 5.0
15-2
.882
12.6
W7
8 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
7-5
.583
25.6
L1
YPP < 6.0
13-3
.812
12.8
W6
8 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
4-4
.500
27.0
W1
YPP < 7.0
16-4
.800
14.8
L1
8 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
15-3
.833
12.6
W7
Turnovers < 1
12-6
.667
20.9
L2
Turnovers 2+
8-1
.889
11.4
W7
Turnovers > 2
5-0
1.000
10.0
W5
KER — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (36 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
12-0
1.000
3.4
Allows 10-19
5-3
.625
14.5
Allows 20-29
8-3
.727
23.4
Allows 30-39
2-2
.500
31.8
Allows 40+
0-1
.000
63.0
KER — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
0-1
.000
17.0
L1
YPA < 8.0
7-0
1.000
9.3
W7
1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
2-0
1.000
18.5
W2
Pass Yds < 200
5-1
.833
7.5
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
2-1
.667
13.0
L1
Rush Yds < 100
5-0
1.000
8.6
W5
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
1-1
.500
19.5
L1
Rush Yds < 150
6-0
1.000
7.2
W6
1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
1-1
.500
19.5
L1
YPC < 5.0
6-0
1.000
7.2
W6
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
1-1
.500
19.5
L1
YPP < 6.0
6-0
1.000
7.2
W6
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
1-0
1.000
22.0
W1
YPP < 7.0
6-1
.857
8.6
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
6-0
1.000
10.8
W6
Turnovers < 1
1-2
.333
13.0
L2
Turnovers 2+
5-0
1.000
11.8
W5
Turnovers > 2
4-0
1.000
9.2
W4
KER — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
5-0
1.000
2.6
Allows 10-19
0-1
.000
17.0
Allows 20-29
1-1
.500
22.0
Allows 30-39
1-0
1.000
30.0
Allows 40+
--
--
--
ON THE BRINK
KERMAN
• KERMAN has been held under 14 in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
KER's defense has averaged 1.9 takeaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 36-game average is 0.9 takeaways per game. (+97%)
KER's defense has averaged 237.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 121.2 rush yards per game. (+96%)
KER's defense has averaged 6.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 4.1 YPC. (+69%)
KER's defense has averaged 355.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 265.0 total yards per game. (+34%)
KER's defense has averaged 7.2 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 5.5 YPP. (+30%)
KER's defense has averaged 5.3 YPA over their last 7 games. Their 28-game average is 7.4 YPA. (-28%)
KER's defense has averaged 13.0 points allowed per game over their last 7 games. Their 36-game average is 16.8 points allowed per game. (-23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where KERMAN sits among 114 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 66.8, Defense Grade 75.1.
RUSH YARDS ALLOWED / GAME: KERMAN VS THE SECTION
KERMAN ranks #1 of 96 section teams in rushing yards allowed per game (-6.5) -- a strength worth a look.
KERMAN: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 9.6 in 2022 to 17.2 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
