In short: Gustine Reds high school football (Gustine, CA), 2026 season: 1-7. Last game: L 0-35 vs Le Grand on October 23, 2026. Next: at Stone Ridge Christian, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Gustine meets Stone Ridge Christian is Gustine's scoring defense. Gustine allowed 33.5 points per game over its first 4 games (0-4), #116 in Section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (1-3), the Reds have allowed 26.8 points per game, a 20% drop, #80 in Section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 26.7 points per game on the season. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #112 in Section. Meanwhile, Stone Ridge Christian's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Knights have averaged 28.5 points per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #70 in Section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in Section (24.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #68). Against those norms, Stone Ridge Christian scored 17% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #116 in Section, a lower level of competition. Stone Ridge Christian offers Gustine a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Gustine is 1-3 this season when it holds opponents under 29, and 0-4 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest shift in Gustine's season has come in its run defense. Gustine allowed 7.2 yards per carry (841 yards on 117 rushes) over its first 4 games (0-4), #114 in Section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (1-3), the Reds have allowed 5.7 yards per carry (600 yards on 105 rushes), a 21% drop, #58 in Section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Gustine's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.2 yards per carry, a #101 rushing attack in Section on the season, against 6.9 yards per carry, #49 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.2 yards per carry), Gustine allowed 9% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #112 in Section. On the season, Gustine ranks #90 in Section in run defense. That form gets a real test against Stone Ridge Christian, whose ground game ranks #33 in Section (7.5 yards per carry).
TIDBITS (3 found)
• Club Gustine has lost 2 straight, and a loss would make it 3 in a row. The last time they lost 3 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 13.
• Club Gustine has gone 8 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 28, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-7 over that stretch, a school-record 8 straight in the 7 seasons on record.
• Club Gustine has gone 6 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-5 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 7 seasons on record.
SCHEDULE STRENGTH
Gustine has played a softer-than-average schedule in the pool so far (#119 of 152), and what is left is one of the softest slates (#130 of 151).
Schedule so far · 1 = hardest
#119 of 152
avg opponent rating -7.2 over 8 games · 0 vs top-25 CIF Sac-Joaquin Section
Schedule ahead · 1 = hardest
#130 of 151
avg opponent rating -13.4 over 2 games · 0 vs top-25
Orestimba L 13-21@Riverbank L 6-7@Big Vall… L 20-56@Mariposa… L 6-50@Denair L 16-23Modesto … W 30-12@Waterford L 20-37Le Grand L 0-35@Stone Ri…Delhi
Each bar is one opponent, placed by where its rating ranks in this pool (tall and red = top 10; short and green = bottom half). Hatched bars are games still to play; the dashed line is today.
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 2 game; last updated Oct 23; roster and numbers checked Sep 7.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 4/8, sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 7/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 16.4/100 (-86 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 45.6/100 (-20 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 32.9/100 (+20 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 44.1/100 (+8 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
GUS finished 2025 at 2-9. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 33-13 over RIVERBANK (RIVERBANK finished 30% that season). Toughest loss: 12-16 to DELHI (4-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
GUS HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• GUS holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.600)
• GUSTINE has allowed 30+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not allowed 30+ in 3 straight since 10/6/23–8/23/24 (2024). It has reached 3 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 6 straight (2024) in that span.
GUS's defense has averaged 5.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 7.0 YPC. (-24%)
GUS's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 0.9 takeaways per game. (-22%)
GUS's defense has averaged 139.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 176.2 rush yards per game. (-21%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where GUSTINE sits among 148 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 56.0, Defense Grade 41.0.
PASS YARDS / GAME: GUSTINE VS THE SECTION
GUSTINE ranks #126 of 130 section teams in passing yards per game (0.0) -- a weakness worth a look.
GUSTINE: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -9.2 in 2022 to -17.6 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
