In short: Cypress Lakes Spartans high school football (Katy, TX), 2026 season: 6-2. Last game: W 32-12 vs Cypress Creek on October 22, 2026. Next: at Cypress Woods, October 31, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 6-2 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 32-12 vs CYPRESS CREEK |
| NEXT GAME | CYPRESS WOODS (10/31/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 63.8 · Rush Off 62.3 · Pass Def 66.5 · Rush Def 70.9 |
| ENROLLMENT | 3,256 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CYPRESS LAKES | 63.8 (+15) | 62.3 (+17) | 66.5 (-28) | 70.9 (-45) |
Next: at Cypress Woods, Sat 31 Oct. Matchup report: Cypress Lakes at Cypress Woods.
The battle on the ground could decide Cypress Lakes' next game, against Cypress Woods, and the recent returns favor Cypress Lakes. Cypress Lakes averaged 4.8 yards per carry (547 yards on 115 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #740 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Spartans have averaged 7.9 yards per carry (1,007 yards on 127 rushes), a 67% rise, #191 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cypress Lakes' last 4 opponents have averaged 6.1 yards per carry, a #659 run defense in section on the season, against 5.5 yards per carry, #466 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.1 yards per carry), Cypress Lakes ran for 29% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Conversely, Cypress Woods' run defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Wildcats have allowed 3.3 yards per carry (395 yards on 120 rushes) over their last 4 games (3-1), #112 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker rushing attacks in section (4.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #846). Against those norms, Cypress Woods held those rushing attacks 27% below their usual yards per carry. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #752 in section, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when Cypress Lakes' surging ground game meets one of section's better units in Cypress Woods'.
The number to watch when Cypress Lakes meets Cypress Woods is Cypress Lakes' giveaways. Cypress Lakes committed 1.8 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #872 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Spartans have committed 0.8 giveaways per game, a 57% drop, #299 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Cypress Lakes' last 4 opponents have averaged 1.2 per game, a #638 defense in section on the season, against 0.9 per game, #844 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.2 per game), Cypress Lakes turned it over 37% less than those defenses usually force. Meanwhile, Cypress Woods' defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Wildcats have forced 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #787 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (1.3 per game on the season, which would rank #668). Against those norms, Cypress Woods forced 41% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #752 in section, a lower level of competition. Cypress Woods offers Cypress Lakes a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The biggest shift in Cypress Lakes' season has come in its offense. Cypress Lakes averaged 5.4 yards per play (1,162 yards on 217 snaps) over its first 4 games (2-2), #807 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Spartans have averaged 7.7 yards per play (1,673 yards on 217 snaps), a 44% rise, #333 in section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cypress Lakes' last 4 opponents have averaged 7.0 yards per play, a #684 defense in section on the season, against 6.1 yards per play, #349 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.0 yards per play), Cypress Lakes gained 10% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. On the season, Cypress Lakes ranks #595 in section in yards per play. That form gets a real test against Cypress Woods, whose defense ranks #147 in section (5.3 yards per play).
Cypress Lakes' run defense has come a long way since the season's early weeks. The Spartans allowed 4.9 yards per carry (589 yards on 121 rushes) over their first 4 games (2-2), #329 in section during those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), Cypress Lakes has allowed 3.0 yards per carry (261 yards on 88 rushes), a 39% drop, #79 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cypress Lakes' last 4 opponents have averaged 5.1 yards per carry, a #726 rushing attack in section on the season, against 5.7 yards per carry, #559 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.1 yards per carry), Cypress Lakes held those rushing attacks 42% below their usual yards per carry. On the season, the Spartans rank #120 in section in run defense. Cypress Woods' ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #487 in section (6.0 yards per carry).
Something changed for Cypress Lakes' offense after its first 4 games. Cypress Lakes averaged 26.5 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #692 in section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Spartans have averaged 36.2 points per game, a 37% rise, #400 in section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cypress Lakes' last 4 opponents have averaged 30.8 points per game, a #725 scoring defense in section on the season, against 26.2 points per game, #511 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.8 points per game), Cypress Lakes scored 18% more than those defenses usually allow. On the season, Cypress Lakes ranks #531 in section in scoring. That form gets a real test against Cypress Woods, whose defense ranks #141 in section (16.7 points per game).
Cypress Lakes' defense has allowed fewer points as the season has worn on. The Spartans allowed 29.0 points per game over their first 4 games (2-2), #637 in section over that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), Cypress Lakes has allowed 19.5 points per game, a 33% drop, #312 in section over that span. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 28.5 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (28.6 points per game), Cypress Lakes held those offenses 32% below what they usually score. On the season, the Spartans rank #416 in section in scoring defense. Cypress Woods' offense sits in the middle of the pack, #352 in section (36.4 points per game).
Cypress Lakes averaged 6.0 yards per pass attempt (615 yards on 102 attempts) over its first 4 games (2-2), #756 in section in that timeframe. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Spartans have averaged 7.4 yards per pass attempt (666 yards on 90 attempts), a 23% rise, #581 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cypress Lakes' last 4 opponents have averaged 8.8 yards per attempt, a #797 pass defense in section on the season, against 6.9 yards per attempt, #310 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.8 yards per attempt), Cypress Lakes threw for 16% less per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, Cypress Lakes ranks #725 in section in passing. Cypress Woods' pass defense sits in the middle of the pack, #513 in section (7.6 yards per attempt).
• Club Cypress Lakes has won 4 straight, and a win would make it 5 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Cypress Lakes has gone 8 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 27, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 6-2 over that stretch, a school-record 8 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Cypress Lakes has gone 5 straight games holding the opponent under 7.0 yards per play (September 18, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 4-1 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Cypress Lakes has gone 4 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (October 2, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 4-0 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Cypress Lakes has scored 145 points over its last 4 games (36.2 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 22, 2026) -- its most in a 4-game stretch on record.
• Player Jamerce Johnson has 24 tackles over his last 3 games (8.0 a game, September 3, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
Cypress Lakes has played a middle-of-the-road schedule in the pool so far (#658 of 1236), and what is left is a middle-of-the-road slate (#555 of 1145).
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 29; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 6 | DARIUS WATSON | 4 | 44/93 | 47.3% | 605 | 6.5 | 6 | 4 | 114.6 |
| 12 | MARCUS SMITH | 3 | 2/9 | 22.2% | 10 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 31.6 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 46/102 | 45.1% | 615 | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 107.3 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 4 | BRAYLEN DUGAR | 4 | 37 | 226 | 6.1 | 0 |
| 7 | BRYCE ARRINGTON | 4 | 12 | 84 | 7.0 | 1 |
| 6 | DARIUS WATSON | 4 | 24 | 74 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 20 | MARQUEZ RIMMER | 2 | 11 | 65 | 5.9 | 0 |
| 5 | ARQUARIS CROWDER | 4 | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | 0 |
| 8 | GABE SAMPSON | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 |
| 0 | JAMERCE JOHNSON | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 3 |
| 12 | MARCUS SMITH | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| 16 | JOSE CAMPOS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 3 | JOSIAH STEWART | 3 | 2 | -6 | -3.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 105 | 484 | 4.6 | 6 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 3 | JOSIAH STEWART | 3 | 14 | 206 | 14.7 | 0 |
| 13 | ERIC LIBERTY | 4 | 8 | 148 | 18.5 | 2 |
| 5 | ARQUARIS CROWDER | 4 | 8 | 125 | 15.6 | 2 |
| 15 | JAMIYAN CROWDER | 1 | 4 | 94 | 23.5 | 1 |
| 16 | JOSE CAMPOS | 1 | 1 | 43 | 43.0 | 0 |
| 7 | BRYCE ARRINGTON | 4 | 4 | 25 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 8 | GABE SAMPSON | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 |
| 9 | DAVION GRIFFIN | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 |
| 12 | MARCUS SMITH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 |
| 4 | BRAYLEN DUGAR | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 6 | DARIUS WATSON | 4 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 |
| PLAYER #75 | 4 | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 47 | 648 | 13.8 | 6 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 32 | ISAIAH ANDERSON | 4 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | JAMERCE JOHNSON | 4 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | DAVION GRIFFIN | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | XAVIER BOUDREAUX | 4 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | ERIC LIBERTY | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | AMIRE MOORE | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | LORNE MARTIN | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CAMERON DUMES | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | ISIDRO JIMENEZ | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PLAYER #75 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | CAMRON BEARD | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ANTHONY BRADLEY | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | AUGUSTUS WEBB | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55 | DARYLL SHELTON | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 45 | JOSHUA RODRIGUEZ | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | JOSIAH STEWART | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 99 | ANTONIO WILLIAMS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 54 | DRAYTON CARTER | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 62 | FRANCISCO GUERRA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | JADEN SOLE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | KYMANI WALKER | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. MELTON | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | DARIUS WATSON | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 200 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 1 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 2-8 | 122 | 356 | 12.2 |
| 2023 | 3-7 | 207 | 353 | 20.7 |
| 2024 | 4-6 | 267 | 312 | 26.7 |
| 2025 | 6-6 | 332 | 287 | 27.7 |
| 2026 | 6-2 | 251 | 194 | 31.4 |
| 2022-26 | 21-29 | 23.6 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CYPRESS FALLS | 4-1 | 7-1 | 52 / 156 | 1 (5.8-1.2) | 218-87 | 10/29 vs CYPRESS RIDGE |
| 2 | CYPRESS WOODS | 4-1 | 6-1 | 110 / 383 | 4 (4.8-2.2) | 168-78 | 10/31 vs CYPRESS LAKES |
| 3 | LANGHAM CREEK | 4-1 | 6-2 | 112 / 390 | 2 (5.4-1.6) | 160-109 | 10/30 vs CY-FAIR |
| 4 | CYPRESS LAKES | 4-1 | 6-2 | 125 / 474 | 3 (5.2-1.8) | 159-114 | 10/31 vs CYPRESS WOODS |
| 5 | CY-FAIR | 2-3 | 5-3 | 94 / 300 | 5 (3.6-3.4) | 190-162 | 10/30 vs LANGHAM CREEK |
| 6 | CYPRESS RIDGE | 1-4 | 3-5 | 243 / 1137 | 7 (1.0-6.0) | 72-252 | 10/29 vs CYPRESS FALLS |
| 7 | JERSEY VILLAGE | 1-4 | 1-7 | 196 / 792 | 6 (2.0-5.0) | 133-177 | 10/30 vs CYPRESS CREEK |
| 8 | CYPRESS CREEK | 0-5 | 0-8 | 237 / 1054 | 8 (0.2-6.8) | 91-212 | 10/30 vs JERSEY VILLAGE |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/27 | FREEMAN | vs | W | 19-14 | |
| 09/03 | BENJAMIN DAVIS | vs | L | 29-42 | |
| 09/12 | SPRING | at | W | 44-24 | |
| 09/18 | LANGHAM CREEK | at | L | 14-36 | |
| 10/02 | CYPRESS RIDGE | vs | W | 54-17 | |
| 10/10 | CYPRESS FALLS | at | W | 21-18 | |
| 10/16 | CY-FAIR | vs | W | 38-31 | |
| 10/22 | CYPRESS CREEK | at | W | 32-12 | |
| 10/31 | CYPRESS WOODS | at | PROJ | 25-29 | 41.4% |
| 11/06 | JERSEY VILLAGE | vs | PROJ | 39-15 | 88.1% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 6-2 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 6-2 so far | 7-3 (54%) | 7.2-2.8 |
| League | 4-1 so far | 4-1 (100%) | 4.0-1.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 31.4 | 24.2 | 354.4 | 295.6 | 54.2 | 53.6 |
| HOME | 4 | 35.0 | 26.0 | 445.8 | 301.8 | 62.2 | 50.5 |
| ROAD | 4 | 27.8 | 22.5 | 263.0 | 287.3 | 46.2 | 57.7 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/27 | vs. Freeman | W 19-14 | 186 | 141 | 327 | 106 | 58 | 164 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/3 | vs. Benjamin Davis | L 29-42 | 163 | 107 | 270 | 187 | 314 | 501 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/12 | @ Spring | W 44-24 | 254 | 249 | 503 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9/18 | @ Langham Creek | L 14-36 | 12 | 50 | 62 | 97 | 217 | 314 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
| 10/2 | vs. Cypress Ridge | W 54-17 | 195 | 446 | 641 | 183 | 58 | 241 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 10/10 | @ Cypress Falls | W 21-18 | 101 | 133 | 234 | 225 | 62 | 287 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/16 | vs. Cy-Fair | W 38-31 | 226 | 319 | 545 | 318 | -17 | 301 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/22 | @ Cypress Creek | W 32-12 | 144 | 109 | 253 | 103 | 158 | 261 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| AVERAGES | 160.1 | 194.2 | 354.4 | 174.1 | 121.4 | 295.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | +2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 7/8, sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 3/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 63.8/100 (+15 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 62.3/100 (+17 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 66.5/100 (-28 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 70.9/100 (-45 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-31 | at | CYPRESS WOODS | 6-1 | 36.4 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | JERSEY VILLAGE | 1-7 | 20.5 |
LAST YEAR
CL finished 2025 at 6-6. Made the playoffs (2 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 21-12 over MAGNOLIA (MAGNOLIA finished 82% that season). Toughest loss: 14-21 to CYPRESS RANCH (7-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | CYPRESS FALLS | L | 0-1 | 27 | 41 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-04 | SPRING | W | 1-1 | 36 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-13 | BENJAMIN DAVIS | L | 1-2 | 22 | 31 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | CYPRESS PARK | W | 2-2 | 57 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-02 | WALLER | L | 2-3 | 21 | 54 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-11 | CYPRESS WOODS | W | 3-3 | 36 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-18 | CYPRESS RANCH | L | 3-4 | 14 | 21 | 263 | 325 |
| 2025-10-24 | BRIDGELAND | L | 3-5 | 16 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | LANGHAM CREEK | W | 4-5 | 33 | 23 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-07 | CYPRESS SPRINGS | W | 5-5 | 38 | 17 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | MAGNOLIA | W | 6-5 | 21 | 12 | 322 | 158 |
| 2025-11-21 | COLLEGE PARK | L | 6-6 | 11 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 12 GMS | 6-6 | 6-6 | 332 | 287 | 585 (2) | 483 (2) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• CL holds its opponents under 100 rushing yards (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• CL rushes for 100+ yards (.700), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• CL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.833), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• CL averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• CL's defense has forced 1+ turnover in 7 straight games (09/03/2026-10/22/2026), going 5-2 over that stretch.
• CL holds its opponents under 98.5 rushing yards (CL's own median) (.999)
• CL holds its opponents under 3.5 yards per carry (CL's own median) (.999)
• CL's offense has averaged 0.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.4 giveaways per game. (-52%)
• CL's defense has averaged 67.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 127.5 rush yards per game. (-47%)
• CL's defense has averaged 215.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 168.4 pass yards per game. (+28%)
• CL's defense has averaged 20.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 26.4 points allowed per game. (-23%)
• CL's defense has averaged 3.0 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 3.9 YPC. (-23%)
• CL averages 7.2+ yards per attempt (CL's own median) (.833)
• CL's offense has averaged 211.4 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 13-game average is 173.9 rush yards per game. (+22%)
• CL rushes for 141.0+ yards (CL's own median) (.714)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
CL -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 10 scored; vs 328 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 6-2 | .750 | 31.4 | W5 | 0.853 |
| 2 | DEF | YPP < 7 | 6-2 | .750 | 20.1 | W4 | 0.785 |
| 3 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 7-3 | .700 | 30.5 | W5 | 0.667 |
| 4 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 6-3 | .667 | 26.6 | W4 | 0.550 |
| 5 | OFF | Turnovers 1+ | 4-4 | .500 | 32.2 | W3 | 0.455 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- CL ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CL rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 5-2 | .714 | 27.1 | W3 |
| CL holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 5-1 | .833 | 18.8 | W5 |
| CL averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 3-2 | .600 | 36.6 | W3 |
| CL averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 3-1 | .750 | 42.2 | W3 |
| CL holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 3-1 | .750 | 16.0 | W3 |
| CL holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 3-1 | .750 | 20.0 | W1 |
| CL holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 18.8 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| CL | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 5-2 | .714 | 27.1 |
| CL | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 5-1 | .833 | 18.8 |
| CL | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 3-2 | .600 | 36.6 |
| CL | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 3-1 | .750 | 42.2 |
| CL | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 16.0 |
| CL | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 20.0 |
| CL | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | .999 | 18.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 34.3 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-4 | .500 | 27.0 | W3 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-1 | .667 | 38.3 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-5 | .500 | 23.4 | W3 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 7-3 | .700 | 30.5 | W5 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-3 | .000 | 14.7 | L3 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-2 | .600 | 36.6 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-4 | .500 | 20.8 | W2 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 34.9 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 18.8 | W1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 42.2 | W3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.4 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 42.2 | W3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.4 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-4 | .500 | 32.2 | W3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 30.3 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 23.5 | L2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 |
| Scores 20-29 | 3-4 | .429 | 23.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | 7-2 | .778 | 35.3 |
| Scores 40+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 47.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 | W2 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 28.2 | W3 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 | W2 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 28.2 | W3 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 6-1 | .857 | 33.9 | W5 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 45.3 | W3 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.0 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.4 | W4 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 18.0 | W1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 45.3 | W3 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.0 | W2 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 45.3 | W3 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-2 | .667 | 35.2 | W3 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-1 | .500 | 29.0 | L1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 16.5 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 49.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | W2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 22.8 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.9 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-4 | .200 | 31.2 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 18.4 | W5 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 5-1 | .833 | 18.8 | W5 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 21.3 | W3 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 31.2 | W1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 5-1 | .833 | 20.5 | W3 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 43.5 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 6-2 | .750 | 20.1 | W4 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-3 | .625 | 28.1 | W4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 4-1 | .800 | 22.6 | W4 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 14.9 |
| Allows 20-29 | 4-3 | .571 | 22.3 |
| Allows 30-39 | 2-3 | .400 | 32.6 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-8 | .000 | 46.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 30.0 | W2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 20.0 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-2 | .600 | 24.2 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-2 | .333 | 30.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-2 | .333 | 30.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 27.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 4-1 | .800 | 23.2 | W3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 29.5 | W1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 4-1 | .800 | 22.2 | W3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 42.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-1 | .833 | 21.3 | W4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-2 | .714 | 25.7 | W4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 4-1 | .800 | 22.6 | W4 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 15.2 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 42.0 |
CYPRESS LAKES
• CYPRESS LAKES has won 4 straight (10/2/26–10/22/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CYPRESS LAKES has scored 30+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/22/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 34.3 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 27.0 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 38.3 | W2 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 | 5-5 | .500 | 23.4 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 10 | 7-3 | .700 | 30.5 | W5 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 14.7 | L3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 36.6 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 20.8 | W2 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 34.9 | W4 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 18.8 | W1 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 42.2 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.4 | W2 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 42.2 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.4 | W2 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 32.2 | W3 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 30.3 | L1 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 23.5 | L2 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 | L1 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L1 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 23.7 | W1 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 35.3 | W6 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 47.8 | W5 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | W2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 22.8 | W2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.9 | W2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 31.2 | W1 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 18.4 | W5 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | W1 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 18.8 | W5 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 | W1 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 21.3 | W3 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 31.2 | W1 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 20.5 | W3 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 43.5 | L2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 20.1 | W4 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 28.1 | W4 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W1 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 22.6 | W4 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W3 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 14.9 | W7 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 22.3 | W2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 32.6 | W1 |
| CL | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 46.2 | L8 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 games | 09/03/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 5-2 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 4-1 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 games | 10/10/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 3-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| CL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 games | 09/03/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 5-2 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 4-1 |
| CL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 4-0 |
| CL | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 games | 10/10/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 3-0 |
CL OFFENSE
CL's offense has averaged 0.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.4 giveaways per game. (-52%)
CL's offense has averaged 211.4 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 13-game average is 173.9 rush yards per game. (+22%)
CL DEFENSE
CL's defense has averaged 67.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 127.5 rush yards per game. (-47%)
CL's defense has averaged 215.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 168.4 pass yards per game. (+28%)
CL's defense has averaged 20.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 26.4 points allowed per game. (-23%)
CL's defense has averaged 3.0 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 3.9 YPC. (-23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| CL | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 215.3 | 10 | 168.4 | +27.9% | |
| CL | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 20.3 | 30 | 26.4 | -23.1% | |
| CL | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 67.7 | 10 | 127.5 | -46.9% | |
| CL | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 211.4 | 13 | 173.9 | +21.5% | |
| CL | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 10 | 1.4 | -52.4% | |
| CL | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 3.0 | 10 | 3.9 | -22.7% |
