In short: Bradshaw Mountain Bears high school football (Prescott Valley, AZ), 2026 season: 8-3. Last game: W 35-21 vs Maryvale on November 13, 2026. Next: at Northwest Christian, November 20, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 8-3 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 35-21 vs MARYVALE |
| NEXT GAME | NORTHWEST CHRISTIAN (11/20/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 68.8 · Rush Off 78.1 · Pass Def 54.1 · Rush Def 91.6 |
| LEAGUE | 4A GRAND CANYON |
| ENROLLMENT | 1,616 STUDENTS (2024-25) · PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRADSHAW MOUNTAIN | 68.8 (+28) | 78.1 (+61) | 54.1 (-8) | 91.6 (-105) |
Next: at Northwest Christian, Fri 20 Nov. Matchup report: Bradshaw Mountain at Northwest Christian.
The number to watch when Bradshaw Mountain meets Northwest Christian is Bradshaw Mountain's scoring defense. Bradshaw Mountain allowed 6.2 points per game over its first 6 games (5-1), #8 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 5 games that followed (3-2), the Bears have allowed 21.4 points per game, a 247% rise, #88 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 5 opponents have averaged 36.7 points per game, a #44 offense in section on the season, against 21.2 points per game, #164 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (36.7 points per game), Bradshaw Mountain held those offenses 42% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in section, well above the first 6 (#138), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Northwest Christian's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Crusaders have averaged 27.8 points per game over their last 5 games (4-1), #106 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better scoring defenses in section (20.6 points per game on the season, which would rank #84). Against those norms, Northwest Christian scored 35% more than those defenses usually allow. Northwest Christian offers Bradshaw Mountain a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The battle on the ground could decide Bradshaw Mountain's next game, against Northwest Christian, and the recent returns favor Northwest Christian. Bradshaw Mountain allowed 2.1 yards per carry (204 yards on 98 rushes) over its first 6 games (5-1), #2 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 5 games that followed (3-2), the Bears have allowed 5.7 yards per carry (674 yards on 119 rushes), a 172% rise, #95 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 5 opponents have averaged 8.4 yards per carry, a #29 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.1 yards per carry, #199 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.4 yards per carry), Bradshaw Mountain held those rushing attacks 33% below their usual yards per carry. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in section, well above the first 6 (#138), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Northwest Christian's ground game has struggled in recent weeks. The Crusaders have averaged 4.0 yards per carry (636 yards on 160 rushes) over their last 5 games (4-1), #192 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better run defenses in section (4.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #42). Against those norms, Northwest Christian ran for 11% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
The biggest worry in Bradshaw Mountain's season has been the direction of its defense. Bradshaw Mountain allowed 3.5 yards per play (713 yards on 201 snaps) over its first 6 games (5-1), #6 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 5 games that followed (3-2), the Bears have allowed 7.5 yards per play (1,416 yards on 188 snaps), a 112% rise, #143 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 5 opponents have averaged 8.7 yards per play, a #32 offense in section on the season, against 5.0 yards per play, #196 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.7 yards per play), Bradshaw Mountain held those offenses 14% below their usual yards per snap. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in section, well above the first 6 (#138), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Bradshaw Mountain ranks #39 in section in yards per play allowed. Northwest Christian's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #141 in section (6.3 yards per play).
Bradshaw Mountain's pass defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Bears allowed 5.7 yards per pass attempt (442 yards on 77 attempts) over their first 5 games (4-1), #40 in section during those games. In the 6 games since that hot start (4-2), Bradshaw Mountain has allowed 8.5 yards per pass attempt (809 yards on 95 attempts), a 48% rise, #139 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 6 opponents have averaged 8.7 yards per attempt, a #82 passing attack in section on the season, against 7.1 yards per attempt, #144 for the first 5. On the season, the Bears rank #97 in section in pass defense. Northwest Christian's passing game sits in the middle of the pack, #100 in section (8.1 yards per attempt).
As the schedule has stiffened, Bradshaw Mountain has run the ball less effectively. Bradshaw Mountain averaged 8.0 yards per carry (1,283 yards on 160 rushes) over its first 6 games (5-1), #39 in section during that stretch. Over the stretch of 5 games that followed (3-2), the Bears have averaged 4.3 yards per carry (628 yards on 145 rushes), a 46% drop, #180 in section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 5 opponents have averaged 4.5 yards per carry, a #41 run defense in section on the season, against 7.4 yards per carry, #175 for the first 6. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in section, well above the first 6 (#138), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Bradshaw Mountain ranks #97 in section in rushing. It won't get any easier against Northwest Christian, whose run defense ranks #26 in section (4.0 yards per carry).
The Bears averaged 43.3 points per game over their first 6 games (5-1), #23 in section over that timeframe. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. Over the stretch of 5 games that followed (3-2), Bradshaw Mountain has averaged 24.8 points per game, a 43% drop, #130 in section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 5 opponents have averaged 18.3 points per game, a #56 scoring defense in section on the season, against 31.6 points per game, #180 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (18.3 points per game), Bradshaw Mountain scored 35% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in section, well above the first 6 (#138), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Bears rank #51 in section in scoring. It won't get any easier against Northwest Christian, whose defense ranks #17 in section (12.1 points per game).
Something changed for Bradshaw Mountain's offense after the first 6 games of the season. Bradshaw Mountain averaged 8.5 yards per play (2,269 yards on 268 snaps) over its first 6 games (5-1), #44 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 5 games that followed (3-2), the Bears have averaged 5.9 yards per play (1,341 yards on 227 snaps), a 30% drop, #143 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Bradshaw Mountain's last 5 opponents have averaged 5.4 yards per play, a #39 defense in section on the season, against 7.8 yards per play, #166 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.4 yards per play), Bradshaw Mountain gained 9% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #86 in section, well above the first 6 (#138), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Bradshaw Mountain ranks #93 in section in yards per play. It won't get any easier against Northwest Christian, whose defense ranks #24 in section (4.8 yards per play).
• Club The last time Bradshaw Mountain went a game committing 3+ turnovers was September 30, 2022 against Snowflake (L, 3-19). Since then Bradshaw Mountain has gone 52 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers, a school-record 52 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Bradshaw Mountain is 16-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (16 such games).
• Club Bradshaw Mountain is 11-1 all time when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry. Bradshaw Mountain's last loss when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry was September 23, 2022 against Combs (L, 34-36).
• Player Jon'te Jones has 519 rushing yards over his last 3 games (173.0 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Jon'te Jones has 7 rushing touchdowns over his last 3 games (2.3 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Andrew Van Dell has 3 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.0 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Christian Kelley has 24 tackles over his last 3 games (8.0 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Taye Evans has gone 3 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Caden Dabney has gone 2 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 4 straight games catching a touchdown pass, during the 2025 season.
Bradshaw Mountain has played a middle-of-the-road schedule in the pool so far (#108 of 260), and what is left is a softer-than-average slate (#16 of 20): the hard part is still ahead.
DATA WARNING: BRADSHAW MOUNTAIN OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 11/13/2026 GAME VS. MARYVALE** MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 24; roster and numbers checked Oct 6.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 2 | TAYE EVANS | 4 | 39/75 | 52.0% | 566 | 7.5 | 8 | 2 | 145.3 |
| 20 | LUKE RICHARDS | 2 | 1/2 | 50.0% | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 92.0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 40/77 | 51.9% | 576 | 7.5 | 8 | 2 | 143.9 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 33 | JON'TE JONES | 4 | 72 | 692 | 9.6 | 8 |
| 2 | TAYE EVANS | 4 | 13 | 72 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | JAMIR JACKSON | 2 | 9 | 45 | 5.0 | 0 |
| 42 | PORTER HACKER | 2 | 10 | 31 | 3.1 | 0 |
| 1 | ANDREW VAN DELL | 4 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 |
| 13 | SEBASTIAN WITKOWSKI | 4 | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 |
| 46 | LUKE BOYD | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 |
| 3 | TREYTON RUDOLPH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 20 | LUKE RICHARDS | 2 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 118 | 877 | 7.4 | 10 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 12 | CADEN DABNEY | 4 | 12 | 190 | 15.8 | 2 |
| 17 | KYLER ROSS-CENTERS | 4 | 7 | 106 | 15.1 | 1 |
| 3 | TREYTON RUDOLPH | 4 | 5 | 103 | 20.6 | 1 |
| 1 | ANDREW VAN DELL | 4 | 8 | 99 | 12.4 | 3 |
| 4 | JAX PORTREY | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 |
| 33 | JON'TE JONES | 4 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 |
| 48 | TY YOUNG | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 |
| 10 | LEVI BAKER | 2 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 13 | SEBASTIAN WITKOWSKI | 4 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 40 | 576 | 14.4 | 8 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 31 | CHRISTIAN KELLEY | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | SEBASTIAN WITKOWSKI | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 56 | ALEXZANDER MENDIBLES | 4 | 25 | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | NICHOLAS PILGRIM | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | KADEN RICKETTS | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 0 | BRODY BRYANT | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | KYLE SILVA | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 35 | RICKY KUHL | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 63 | DIEGO GALAZ | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 48 | TY YOUNG | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 77 | JULIAN ESTRADA | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ANDREW VAN DELL | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 34 | MALACAI SOLANO | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | JAMIR JACKSON | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 68 | GRAYSON PIERCE | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 72 | WILLIAM HACKER | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55 | FRANCISCO CORONADO | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 40 | CARTER WRIGHT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | COLTON DEFILIPPS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | JAX PORTREY | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 | JON'TE JONES | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 76 | OWEN WASIELEWSKI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | TAYE EVANS | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 242 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 45 | 25 | 4 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 8-4 | 352 | 223 | 29.3 |
| 2023 | 7-4 | 299 | 258 | 27.2 |
| 2024 | 7-4 | 310 | 295 | 28.2 |
| 2025 | 8-3 | 360 | 184 | 32.7 |
| 2026 | 8-3 | 384 | 144 | 34.9 |
| 2022-26 | 38-18 | 30.4 |
Bradshaw Mountain beat Maryvale 35-21 at home on Friday, November 13.
Bradshaw Mountain is 8-3, #59 AZ section. Up next: at Northwest Christian, Fri Nov 20.
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Final + team statsFinal + top performersScoreboard + takeaways| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | ARCADIA | at | W | 24-7 | |
| 09/04 | INDEPENDENCE | vs | W | 44-7 | |
| 09/11 | SNOWFLAKE | at | L | 10-17 | |
| 09/18 | MINGUS | at | W | 63-0 | |
| 09/24 | MOHAVE | vs | W | 68-6 | |
| 10/02 | FLAGSTAFF | at | W | 51-0 | |
| 10/08 | LEE WILLIAMS | vs | W | 30-27 | |
| 10/16 | BUCKEYE | at | L | 17-28 | |
| 10/23 | COCONINO | vs | W | 14-0 | |
| 10/29 | PRESCOTT | vs | L | 28-31 | |
| 11/13 | MARYVALE | vs | W | 35-21 | |
| 11/20 | NORTHWEST CHRISTIAN | at | PROJ | 24-26 | 45.8% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 8-3 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 7-3 so far | 7-4 (54%) | 7.5-3.5 |
| League | 5-1 so far | 5-1 (100%) | 5.0-1.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 11 | 34.9 | 13.1 | 361.0 | 236.6 | 49.5 | 43.2 |
| HOME | 6 | 36.5 | 15.3 | 348.8 | 257.0 | 43.6 | 43.5 |
| ROAD | 5 | 33.0 | 10.4 | 373.2 | 220.2 | 55.4 | 43.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 10/11 game(s), Home 5/6 game(s), Road 5/5 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Arcadia | W 24-7 | 90 | 228 | 318 | 243 | 31 | 274 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/4 | vs. Independence | W 44-7 | 110 | 264 | 374 | 30 | 62 | 92 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/11 | @ Snowflake | L 10-17 | 138 | 104 | 242 | 102 | 148 | 250 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| 9/18 | @ Mingus | W 63-0 | 238 | 281 | 519 | 67 | -3 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/24 | vs. Mohave | W 68-6 | 115 | 257 | 372 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/2 | @ Flagstaff | W 51-0 | 295 | 149 | 444 | 67 | -34 | 33 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 10/8 | vs. Lee Williams | W 30-27 | 119 | 232 | 351 | 33 | 308 | 341 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ Buckeye | L 17-28 | 189 | 154 | 343 | 355 | 125 | 480 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | 0 |
| 10/23 | vs. Coconino | W 14-0 | 183 | 104 | 287 | 66 | 127 | 193 | -- | -- | -- | 4 | +3 |
| 10/29 | vs. Prescott | L 28-31 | 222 | 138 | 360 | 288 | 114 | 402 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 11/13 | vs. Maryvale | W 35-21 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| AVERAGES | 169.9 | 191.1 | 361.0 | 139.0 | 97.6 | 236.6 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | +3 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 10/11, defense 9/11, sacks/INT 4/11, sacks allowed 4/11, turnovers 10/11 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 68.8/100 (+28 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 78.1/100 (+61 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 54.1/100 (-8 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 91.6/100 (-105 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-11-20 | at | NORTHWEST CHRISTIAN | 9-2 | 30.4 |
LAST YEAR
BM finished 2025 at 8-3. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 31-21 over MOHAVE (MOHAVE finished 75% that season). Toughest loss: 13-16 to SNOWFLAKE (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | ARCADIA | L | 0-1 | 8 | 37 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | INDEPENDENCE | W | 1-1 | 54 | 8 | 486 | 154 |
| 2025-09-12 | SNOWFLAKE | L | 1-2 | 13 | 16 | 288 | 253 |
| 2025-09-19 | MINGUS | W | 2-2 | 59 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | MOHAVE | W | 3-2 | 31 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | FLAGSTAFF | W | 4-2 | 49 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | LEE WILLIAMS | W | 5-2 | 13 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | BUCKEYE | W | 6-2 | 56 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | COCONINO | W | 7-2 | 28 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | PRESCOTT | W | 8-2 | 35 | 17 | 406 | 303 |
| 2025-11-14 | COCONINO | L | 8-3 | 14 | 31 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 8-3 | 8-3 | 360 | 184 | 1180 (3) | 710 (3) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• BM averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.999), and has won 9 straight when doing so
• BM commits fewer than 2 giveaways (.833), but most recently lost to Prescott when doing so
• BM holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 7 straight when doing so
• BM rushes for 150+ yards (.826), but most recently lost to Buckeye when doing so
• BM's offense has averaged 202.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 113.9 pass yards per game. (+78%)
• BM's defense has averaged 168.5 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 102.6 rush yards per game. (+64%)
• BM holds its opponents under 7.5 yards per attempt (BM's own median) (.999)
• BM averages 6.0+ yards per carry (BM's own median) (.999)
• BM's defense has averaged 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 15-game average is 1.3 takeaways per game. (+50%)
• BM's offense has averaged 3.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 15-game average is 7.1 YPC. (-47%)
• BM's offense has averaged 121.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 224.8 rush yards per game. (-46%)
• BM's defense has averaged 5.6 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 3.9 YPC. (+45%)
• BM is 6-0 (.999) when it wins the turnover battle
• BM's defense has averaged 354.0 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 259.4 total yards per game. (+36%)
• BM rushes for 230.0+ yards (BM's own median) (.933)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
BM -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 17 scored; vs 3426 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPC 5+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 46.2 | W9 | 0.871 |
| 2 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 7-1 | .875 | 48.8 | L1 | 0.747 |
| 3 | OFF | YPP 7+ | 7-1 | .875 | 48.8 | L1 | 0.718 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 10-2 | .833 | 39.2 | L1 | 0.621 |
| 5 | DEF | Pass Yds < 200 | 6-3 | .667 | 13.6 | W4 | 0.579 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- BM ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| BM rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 19-7 | .731 | 30.8 | W1 |
| BM holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 7-4 | .636 | 13.8 | L1 |
| BM averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 8-0 | .999 | 45.6 | W8 |
| BM holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 5-2 | .714 | 6.9 | W3 |
| BM rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt | 4-2 | .667 | 27.7 | L1 |
| BM averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 6-0 | .999 | 51.8 | W6 |
| BM holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways | 5-1 | .833 | 10.7 | W1 |
| BM holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 5-0 | .999 | 4.8 | W5 |
| BM holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 4-1 | .800 | 6.2 | W3 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| BM | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 19-7 | .731 | 30.8 |
| BM | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 7-4 | .636 | 13.8 |
| BM | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | .999 | 45.6 |
| BM | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 5-2 | .714 | 6.9 |
| BM | Rush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 27.7 |
| BM | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 6-0 | .999 | 51.8 |
| BM | Rush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+ | 5-1 | .833 | 10.7 |
| BM | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | .999 | 4.8 |
| BM | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 4-1 | .800 | 6.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 6-1 | .857 | 46.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-4 | .500 | 25.4 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-1 | .667 | 47.3 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 19-8 | .704 | 30.1 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 21-8 | .724 | 32.5 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 19-4 | .826 | 35.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-5 | .286 | 21.7 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 46.2 | W9 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 18.2 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 7-1 | .875 | 48.8 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-4 | .429 | 19.3 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 7-1 | .875 | 48.8 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-4 | .429 | 19.3 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 9-5 | .643 | 33.6 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 54.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 18.0 | L3 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 7.5 |
| Scores 10-19 | 2-5 | .286 | 14.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 5-3 | .625 | 24.9 |
| Scores 30-39 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 34.7 |
| Scores 40+ | 10-0 | 1.000 | 53.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 44.7 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 20.2 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-1 | .667 | 47.3 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-2 | .714 | 29.6 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 7-3 | .700 | 34.9 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 5-1 | .833 | 41.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-2 | .500 | 25.8 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 46.7 | W6 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 17.2 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 50.8 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 50.8 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 7-3 | .700 | 34.9 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 13.5 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-2 | .333 | 13.7 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 56.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-5 | .286 | 25.0 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W7 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 3-2 | .600 | 22.4 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-3 | .667 | 13.6 | W4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-4 | .429 | 23.9 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 6-1 | .857 | 9.6 | W4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-1 | .500 | 37.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 8-4 | .667 | 13.3 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 27.3 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 7-4 | .636 | 13.8 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-4 | .429 | 26.6 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 6-1 | .857 | 6.9 | W5 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 28.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 7-4 | .636 | 13.6 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-4 | .667 | 15.4 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 18.3 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 5-1 | .833 | 10.7 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 3.7 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-2 | .500 | 16.2 |
| Allows 20-29 | 10-2 | .833 | 23.7 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-4 | .000 | 34.2 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-2 | .000 | 48.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 20.8 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 6.8 | W5 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-1 | .833 | 8.5 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 20.6 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 5-3 | .625 | 11.2 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 5-3 | .625 | 11.2 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 22.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 1.8 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 27.5 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 8.9 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 6-2 | .750 | 10.6 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 19.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 4-1 | .800 | 7.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 3.3 |
| Allows 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 17.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.3 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 31.0 |
| Allows 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 46.0 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 25.4 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 47.3 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 27 | 19-8 | .704 | 30.1 | W1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 29 | 21-8 | .724 | 32.5 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 23 | 19-4 | .826 | 35.0 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 21.7 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 46.2 | W9 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 18.2 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 8 | 7-1 | .875 | 48.8 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 19.3 | W1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 8 | 7-1 | .875 | 48.8 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 19.3 | W1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 14 | 9-5 | .643 | 33.6 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 54.0 | W1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 18.0 | L3 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 7.5 | L2 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 14.0 | W1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 24.9 | L1 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 34.7 | W6 |
| BM | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 10 | 10-0 | 1.000 | 53.4 | W10 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 25.0 | L3 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W7 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 22.4 | L2 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 | 6-3 | .667 | 13.6 | W4 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 23.9 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 9.6 | W4 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 37.0 | W1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 12 | 8-4 | .667 | 13.3 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.3 | W2 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 11 | 7-4 | .636 | 13.8 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 26.6 | L2 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 6.9 | W5 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 28.0 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 11 | 7-4 | .636 | 13.6 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 12 | 8-4 | .667 | 15.4 | W1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 18.3 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 10.7 | W1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 11 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 3.7 | W11 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 16.2 | L1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 12 | 10-2 | .833 | 23.7 | W1 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 34.2 | L4 |
| BM | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 48.0 | L2 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
BM OFFENSE
BM's offense has averaged 202.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 113.9 pass yards per game. (+78%)
BM's offense has averaged 3.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 15-game average is 7.1 YPC. (-47%)
BM's offense has averaged 121.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 224.8 rush yards per game. (-46%)
BM's offense has averaged 11.3 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 15-game average is 8.8 YPA. (+29%)
BM's offense has averaged 6.0 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 15-game average is 7.9 YPP. (-24%)
BM's offense has averaged 24.8 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 33-game average is 31.9 points scored per game. (-22%)
BM DEFENSE
BM's defense has averaged 168.5 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 102.6 rush yards per game. (+64%)
BM's defense has averaged 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 15-game average is 1.3 takeaways per game. (+50%)
BM's defense has averaged 5.6 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 3.9 YPC. (+45%)
BM's defense has averaged 354.0 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 259.4 total yards per game. (+36%)
BM's defense has averaged 7.5 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 5.6 YPP. (+34%)
BM's defense has averaged 9.2 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 14-game average is 7.2 YPA. (+28%)
BM's defense has averaged 13.7 points allowed per game over their last 10 games. Their 33-game average is 18.9 points allowed per game. (-27%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| BM | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 202.5 | 30 | 113.9 | +77.7% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 10 | 13.7 | 33 | 18.9 | -27.4% | |
| BM | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 24.8 | 33 | 31.9 | -22.4% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 168.5 | 14 | 102.6 | +64.3% | |
| BM | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 121.0 | 30 | 224.8 | -46.2% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 5 | 354.0 | 14 | 259.4 | +36.5% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 2.0 | 15 | 1.3 | +50.0% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 5 | 9.2 | 14 | 7.2 | +28.0% | |
| BM | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 11.3 | 15 | 8.8 | +28.9% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 5 | 5.6 | 14 | 3.9 | +45.2% | |
| BM | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 3.8 | 15 | 7.1 | -47.3% | |
| BM | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 5 | 7.5 | 14 | 5.6 | +34.2% | |
| BM | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 5 | 6.0 | 15 | 7.9 | -24.5% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 20.2 in 2022 to 13.8 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
