In short: Beaver Bobcats high school football (Beaver, PA), 2026 season: 4-6. Last game: W 56-26 vs Ellwood City on October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 3-6 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 21-7 vs OLSH |
| NEXT GAME | -- |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 78.0 · Rush Off 27.0 · Pass Def 45.6 · Rush Def 6.5 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEAVER | 78.0 (+52) | 27.0 (-63) | 45.6 (+2) | 6.5 (+127) |
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 20.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| J. PEEL | 4 | 78/130 | 60.0% | 1,147 | 8.8 | 8 | 4 | 148.3 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| J. PEEL | 4 | 78 | 401 | 5.1 | 6 | |
| B. MAYO | 4 | 22 | 86 | 3.9 | 1 | |
| B. MABIN | 4 | 14 | 43 | 3.1 | 0 | |
| T. COSKY | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 0 | |
| J. WEISS | 1 | 6 | 13 | 2.2 | 0 | |
| A. SCALES | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | |
| R. CARR | 4 | 2 | -8 | -4.0 | 0 | |
| PLAYER #99 | 3 | 3 | -31 | -10.3 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 127 | 526 | 4.1 | 7 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| R. CARR | 4 | 17 | 297 | 17.5 | 1 | |
| A. SCALES | 4 | 15 | 293 | 19.5 | 4 | |
| B. MAYO | 4 | 13 | 190 | 14.6 | 0 | |
| B. KOSTYAK | 4 | 15 | 88 | 5.9 | 2 | |
| Z. LUTTON | 4 | 5 | 88 | 17.6 | 1 | |
| A. JACKSON | 3 | 1 | 73 | 73.0 | 0 | |
| K. HEWITT | 2 | 5 | 59 | 11.8 | 0 | |
| R. SINGLETON | 4 | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 0 | |
| B. MABIN | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | |
| T. TRENT | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | |
| J. WEISS | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | |
| PLAYER #99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 78 | 1,145 | 14.7 | 8 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| B. MABIN | 4 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| T. KOSTYAK | 4 | 20 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Z. LUTTON | 4 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| PLAYER #99 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| A. JACKSON | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| R. CARR | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. SCALES | 4 | 14 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| B. DENNIS | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B. KOSTYAK | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. LINDSEY | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B. MAYO | 4 | 9 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| R. SINGLETON | 4 | 8 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. SUTTER | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. CUDDY | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| A. DUDEK | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. BETZ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. WEISS | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| E. BLINN | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. TINDELL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L. WILKINS | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. LUTTON | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| V. FURGIUELE | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Z. VAUGHN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| K. HEWITT | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Q. HULLIHEN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| R. PARISH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. TRENT | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. PEEL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 215 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2026 | 3-6 | 196 | 297 | 21.8 |
| 2026 | 3-6 | 21.8 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | CENTRAL VALLEY | at | L | 18-28 | |
| 09/04 | BLACKHAWK | at | L | 40-55 | |
| 09/11 | HIGHLANDS | vs | W | 35-31 | |
| 09/18 | BEAVER FALLS | at | L | 27-28 | |
| 09/25 | AVONWORTH | vs | L | 6-49 | |
| 10/02 | HOPEWELL | vs | L | 14-62 | |
| 10/09 | AMBRIDGE | at | W | 35-6 | |
| 10/16 | ALIQUIPPA | vs | L | 0-31 | |
| 10/22 | OLSH | vs | W | 21-7 | |
| 10/30 | ELLWOOD CITY | at | PROJ | 33-20 | 73.1% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 3-6 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 3-6 so far | 4-6 (73%) | 3.7-6.3 |
| League | 2-3 so far | 2-3 (100%) | 2.0-3.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 9 | 21.8 | 33.0 | 300.0 | 413.4 | 61.2 | 36.8 |
| HOME | 5 | 15.2 | 36.0 | 231.4 | 340.7 | 63.4 | 26.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 30.0 | 29.2 | 385.8 | 522.5 | 58.5 | 52.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Central Valley | L 18-28 | 178 | 139 | 317 | 173 | 187 | 360 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| 9/4 | @ Blackhawk | L 40-55 | 495 | 42 | 537 | 102 | 583 | 685 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/11 | vs. Highlands | W 35-31 | 285 | 197 | 482 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/18 | @ Beaver Falls | L 27-28 | 189 | 148 | 337 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9/25 | vs. Avonworth | L 6-49 | 40 | 25 | 65 | 97 | 252 | 349 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/2 | vs. Hopewell | L 14-62 | 124 | 96 | 220 | 195 | 326 | 521 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/9 | @ Ambridge | W 35-6 | 168 | 184 | 352 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/16 | vs. Aliquippa | L 0-31 | 71 | 16 | 87 | 0 | 152 | 152 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/22 | vs. OLSH | W 21-7 | 68 | 235 | 303 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 | +4 |
| AVERAGES | 179.8 | 120.2 | 300.0 | 113.4 | 300.0 | 413.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | +2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 5/9, sacks/INT 4/9, sacks allowed 2/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 78.0/100 (+52 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 27.0/100 (-63 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 45.6/100 (+2 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 6.5/100 (+127 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | ELLWOOD CITY | 0-9 | 8.2 |
• BEA rushes for 150+ yards (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• BEA forces 2+ takeaways (.667), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• BEA commits fewer than 2 giveaways (.500)
• BEA averages 6.0+ yards per play (.667), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• BEA's defense has averaged 0.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 113.4 pass yards per game. (-100%)
• BEA's defense has averaged 2.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.3 takeaways per game. (+75%)
• BEA's offense has averaged 0.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (-70%)
• BEA's defense has averaged 152.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 413.4 total yards per game. (-63%)
• BEA's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 6 straight games (09/18/2026-10/22/2026), going 2-4 over that stretch.
• BEA's defense has averaged 14.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 33.0 points allowed per game. (-56%)
• BEA's offense has failed to reach 5.0 YPC in 5 straight games (09/25/2026-10/22/2026), going 2-3 over that stretch.
• BEA's defense has averaged 152.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 300.0 rush yards per game. (-49%)
• BEA's offense has averaged 94.2 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 179.8 pass yards per game. (-48%)
• BEA rushes for 139.0+ yards (BEA's own median) (.600)
• BEA averages 4.2+ yards per carry (BEA's own median) (.600)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
BEA -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 4 of 4 scored; vs 492 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPC < 5 | 3-5 | .375 | 21.1 | W1 | 0.823 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 3-6 | .333 | 21.8 | W1 | 0.637 |
| 3 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 3-5 | .375 | 19.5 | W1 | 0.621 |
| 4 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 2-6 | .250 | 36.2 | L1 | 0.256 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- BEA ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| BEA rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 2-2 | .500 | 25.2 | W2 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| BEA | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 2-2 | .500 | 25.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 31.0 | W1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 14.4 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-1 | .500 | 37.5 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-5 | .286 | 17.3 | W1 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-2 | .600 | 27.2 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-4 | .000 | 15.0 | L4 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 30.3 | W3 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-6 | .000 | 17.5 | L6 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 27.0 | L1 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-5 | .375 | 21.1 | W1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 36.7 | W2 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 14.3 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 | L1 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-5 | .375 | 19.5 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-6 | .143 | 20.0 | L4 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 19.7 | L3 |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 16.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 24.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 48.3 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 49.0 | L1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-5 | .286 | 29.1 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 46.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 13.7 | W2 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 28.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-3 | .000 | 55.3 |
BEAVER
• BEAVER has been held under 100 passing in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/22/26). It has never reached 3 straight in the games on file, back to 2026.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 31.0 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 14.4 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 37.5 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 17.3 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 27.2 | W2 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 15.0 | L4 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 30.3 | W3 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 17.5 | L6 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 27.0 | L1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 8 | 3-5 | .375 | 21.1 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 36.7 | W2 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 14.3 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 | L1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 | 3-5 | .375 | 19.5 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 20.0 | L4 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 19.7 | L3 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 | L2 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 16.0 | L2 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 24.0 | W1 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W2 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 | L1 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 48.3 | L3 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 49.0 | L1 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 29.1 | W1 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 46.5 | L1 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 13.7 | W2 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W2 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 28.0 | L2 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.0 | L1 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 55.3 | L3 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 7 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 3-4 |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-4 |
| OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-3 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-1 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 7 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 3-4 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-4 |
| BEA | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-3 |
| BEA | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-1 |
BEA OFFENSE
BEA's offense has averaged 0.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (-70%)
BEA's offense has averaged 94.2 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 179.8 pass yards per game. (-48%)
BEA's offense has averaged 205.4 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 300.0 total yards per game. (-32%)
BEA's offense has averaged 15.2 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 21.8 points scored per game. (-30%)
BEA's offense has averaged 3.5 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 4.8 YPP. (-28%)
BEA's offense has averaged 2.5 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 3.2 YPC. (-23%)
BEA's offense has averaged 145.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 120.2 rush yards per game. (+21%)
BEA DEFENSE
BEA's defense has averaged 0.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 113.4 pass yards per game. (-100%)
BEA's defense has averaged 2.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.3 takeaways per game. (+75%)
BEA's defense has averaged 152.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 413.4 total yards per game. (-63%)
BEA's defense has averaged 14.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 33.0 points allowed per game. (-56%)
BEA's defense has averaged 152.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 300.0 rush yards per game. (-49%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| BEA | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 0.0 | 5 | 113.4 | -100.0% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 94.2 | 9 | 179.8 | -47.6% | |
| BEA | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 14.7 | 9 | 33.0 | -55.6% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 15.2 | 9 | 21.8 | -30.2% | |
| BEA | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 152.0 | 5 | 300.0 | -49.3% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 145.0 | 9 | 120.2 | +20.6% | |
| BEA | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 152.0 | 5 | 413.4 | -63.2% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 5 | 205.4 | 9 | 300.0 | -31.5% | |
| BEA | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 2.3 | 9 | 1.3 | +75.0% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.3 | 9 | 1.1 | -70.0% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 5 | 2.5 | 9 | 3.2 | -23.3% | |
| BEA | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 5 | 3.5 | 9 | 4.8 | -27.9% |