In short: Cactus (8-2) at Millennium (9-1), September 4, 2026 (high school football). Final: Millennium 42, Cactus 14. The full report has the projection, unit grades, storylines, pregame notes, Big Game Watch, series history, season stats and both rosters.

CACTUS

SCOREPIRATE MATCHUP REPORT ·

CACTUS (AWAY) AT MILLENNIUM (HOME)

CACTUS 22.4  —  32.6 MILLENNIUM

MILLENNIUM 69.4% FAVORITES

MILLENNIUM

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UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)

TEAM	PASS O	RUSH O	PASS D	RUSH D
CACTUS	78.6 (+55.0)	46.8 (-17.4)	94.4 (-92.4)	92.5 (-109.0)
MILLENNIUM	83.0 (+69.9)	91.2 (+126.2)	95.4 (-99.1)	86.3 (-86.0)

CACTUS AT MILLENNIUM

ADVANCED STATS PREVIEW · 2026 SEASON

TIMEFRAME This season (2026)Last 2 years (2025–26)Last 4 years (2023–26)Last 6 years (2021–26)Last 8 years (2019–26)Last 10 years (2017–26)RANKS VS SECTION LEAGUE · 49 teams DOWNLOAD CARD AS PDFDOWNLOAD AS JPEG

WIN PROB

30.6%

PROJ PTS

22.4

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WIN PROB

69.4%

PROJ PTS

32.6

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Averages, ranks and records above cover the selected window; SP STRENGTH INDEX and the UNIT/RUSH/PASS INDEX rows are full-library ratings and do not change with it.

Rank chips: 1 = best in the pool; blue strong, red weak. Yardage and efficiency use games with a full box score on file; points and turnovers use every played game. Unit Index = opponent-adjusted 0-100 league percentile.

SCHEDULE STRENGTH

Cactus has been tested more: its schedule to date ranks #49 in the pool against #86 for Millennium.

Cactus

Schedule so far · 1 = hardest

#49 of 260

avg opponent rating 9.7 over 10 games · 2 vs top-25 AZ section

Schedule ahead

—

no games left on file

Toughest game played

Horizon

#13 in AZ section · Sep 10 · L 3-35

95211349451873911823967

Mountain…
W 37-0@Millenni…
L 14-42@Horizon
L 3-35Peoria
W 56-0Sunnyslo…
W 50-21Apollo
W 56-0@Yuma Cat…
W 25-12@Willow C…
W 56-0West Poi…
W 67-6@Sunrise …
W 30-3

Each bar is one opponent, placed by where its rating ranks in this pool (tall and red = top 10; short and green = bottom half). Hatched bars are games still to play; the dashed line is today.

Millennium

Schedule so far · 1 = hardest

#86 of 260

avg opponent rating 4.8 over 10 games · 1 vs top-25 AZ section

Schedule ahead

—

no games left on file

Toughest game played

Desert Edge

#11 in AZ section · Oct 30 · L 23-30

20830203187116801521472911

@Fairfax
W 42-0Cactus
W 42-14Agua Fria
W 55-0@Apollo
W 56-0Shadow R…
W 49-14@Verrado
W 42-14Tolleson
W 56-0@Kellis
W 58-0@Canyon V…
W 6-3Desert E…
L 23-30

Each bar is one opponent, placed by where its rating ranks in this pool (tall and red = top 10; short and green = bottom half). Hatched bars are games still to play; the dashed line is today.

PROJECTION COMPONENTS

COMPONENT	POINTS	WEIGHT	CONTRIBUTION
Strength	-2.29	23%	-0.52
Common Opponents	+0.31	21%	+0.06
Efficiency	-12.67	20%	-2.59
Own Margin	-5.48	18%	-1.01
Head To Head	-22.87	18%	-4.04
Garbage Time Margin	--	0%	+0.00
EPA Efficiency	--	0%	+0.00

What if he’s out?

Mark players out to re-project this game. Each value is how much of the margin that player is worth, from this season's data (his share of his team's win shares). Estimates — your selections change only your view.

PROJECTED TEAM YARDAGE

CATEGORY	TEAM	PROJECTED
Passing	CACTUS	98.6
Passing	MILLENNIUM	102.6
Rushing	CACTUS	76.6
Rushing	MILLENNIUM	113.8
Total	CACTUS	175.3
Total	MILLENNIUM	216.4

PROJECTED BOX SCORE

CACTUS — PASSING
PLAYER	C/ATT	COMP %	YDS	YPA	TD	INT	QBR
JACOB MARTIN	12.7/24.4	52.1%	98.6	4.0	0.6	1.1	85.8

CACTUS — RUSHING
PLAYER	CAR	YDS	YPC	TD
NATHANIEL LINARES	24.1	62.4	2.6	0.7
JEREMIAH ANGULO	7.2	14.3	2.0	0.3
TOTALS	31.3	76.6	2.4	1.0

CACTUS — RECEIVING
PLAYER	REC	YDS	YPC	TD
NATHANIEL LINARES	2.8	41.0	14.6	0.2
JEREMIAH ANGULO	1.7	31.3	18.0	0.4
CAYVON OZOG	1.5	26.4	18.0	0.1
TOTALS	6.0	98.6	16.4	0.7

MILLENNIUM — PASSING
PLAYER	C/ATT	COMP %	YDS	YPA	TD	INT	QBR
MYRON LEE	8.9/15.8	56.3%	89.2	5.7	1.3	0.5	125.2
CASON LANZAROTTO	0.9/2.4	35.2%	13.4	5.5	0.2	0.1	96.4
TOTALS	9.7/18.2	53.4%	102.6	5.6	1.5	0.6	121.4

MILLENNIUM — RUSHING
PLAYER	CAR	YDS	YPC	TD
D'MARI BRYANT	15.9	51.5	3.2	0.8
D'MARI BRYANT	9.1	48.0	5.2	0.7
JEREMIAH CARSON	2.9	14.3	5.0	0.3
TOTALS	27.9	113.8	4.1	1.7

MILLENNIUM — RECEIVING
PLAYER	REC	YDS	YPC	TD
KADIN JOHNSON	2.1	38.2	18.0	0.6
KASAUN ROUZAN-FRANKLIN	2.3	32.8	14.0	0.3
COLTON SCHWARTZ	1.3	17.9	13.9	0.1
D'MARI BRYANT	1.0	13.7	13.7	0.1
TOTALS	6.8	102.6	15.2	1.2

PREGAME NOTES

The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Cactus' pass defense. The Cobras allowed 11.6 yards per pass attempt (220 yards on 19 attempts) against Millennium on 9/4, well above their 4.2 mark in every other game this season. Cactus lost the game 42-14. A pass defense number closer to Cactus' norm would go a long way toward flipping the result this time.

The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Millennium's pass defense. The Tigers allowed 6.9 yards per pass attempt (206 yards on 30 attempts) against Cactus on 9/4, well above their 4.0 mark in every other game this season. Despite that, Millennium won the game 42-14. Millennium got away with it once; counting on that again would be a risk.

The Cactus offense of late is barely reminiscent of the one that began the season. Cactus averaged 18.0 points per game over its first 3 games (1-2), #176 in section during that period. In the 7 games since that slow start (7-0), the Cobras have averaged 48.6 points per game, a 170% rise, #5 in section during that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cactus' last 7 opponents have averaged 29.9 points per game, a #170 scoring defense in section on the season, against 18.3 points per game, #66 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.9 points per game), Cactus scored 63% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 7 opponents average a rating that would rank #106 in section, well below the first 3 (#36), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Cactus ranks #35 in section in scoring. That form gets a real test against Millennium, whose defense ranks #8 in section (7.5 points per game).

Few teams in section have allowed fewer points over the last 5 games than Cactus. The Cobras allowed 19.6 points per game over their first 5 games (3-2), #83 in section over that period. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), Cactus has allowed 4.2 points per game, a 79% drop, #2 in section over that timeframe. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cactus' last 5 opponents have averaged 24.2 points per game, a #144 offense in section on the season, against 34.3 points per game, #67 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.2 points per game), Cactus held those offenses 83% below what they usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #124 in section, well below the first 5 (#41), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Cobras rank #19 in section in scoring defense. That form gets a real test against Millennium, whose offense ranks #19 in section (42.9 points per game).

Something changed for Millennium's ball security after the first 6 games of the season. Millennium committed 1.2 giveaways per game over its first 6 games (6-0), #64 in section over that span. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (3-1), the Tigers have committed 2.0 giveaways per game, a 71% rise, #158 in section in that timeframe. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.9 per game, a #62 defense in section on the season, against 1.7 per game, #109 for the first 6. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #70 in section, well above the first 6 (#131), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Millennium ranks #116 in section in giveaways. It won't get any easier against Cactus, whose defense ranks #31 in section (2.4 per game).

Millennium's run defense has been gashed on the ground as the season has progressed. The Tigers allowed 2.6 yards per carry (306 yards on 118 rushes) over their first 4 games (4-0), #8 in section in that window. In the 6 games since that hot start (5-1), Millennium has allowed 3.8 yards per carry (549 yards on 145 rushes), a 46% rise, #29 in section during that time. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 6 opponents have averaged 5.4 yards per carry, a #143 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.4 yards per carry, #184 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.4 yards per carry), Millennium held those rushing attacks 30% below their usual yards per carry. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #80 in section, well above the first 4 (#148), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Tigers rank #10 in section in run defense. Cactus' ground game, #179 of 230 (4.5 yards per carry), could be the get-right matchup Millennium needs.

BIG GAME WATCH

Players positioned for an outsized game because of this opponent: a player's share of his team's win shares, weighted by the tendencies of the team across from him. Only matchup-driven picks are shown.

Cactus

Nathaniel LinaresWR21 catches for 313 yardsMillennium allows just 3.3 yards per carry, #11 of 220 in section; more targets should come his way

TJ RuelasDL5.5 sacks and 7 TFLMillennium averages 10.4 yards per pass attempt, #27 of 224 in section; getting home early may decide it

Millennium

Myron LeeQB530 passing yards and 8 TDCactus allows just 3.8 yards per carry, #23 of 220 in section; the game plan likely runs through the air

Kasaun Rouzan-FranklinWR7 catches for 167 yardsCactus allows just 3.8 yards per carry, #23 of 220 in section; more targets should come his way

MILESTONE WATCH

Cactus

• Jacob Martin needs 75 passing yards for 1,000 (averaging 231.2 a game)

Millennium

• Myron Lee needs 2 touchdown passes for 10 (averaging 2.0 a game)

STORYLINES

The battle on the ground has the potential to swing this matchup, with the recent returns favoring Cactus. Cactus averaged 1.7 yards per carry (134 yards on 80 rushes) over its first 3 games (1-2), #216 in section in that timeframe. In the 7 games since that slow start (7-0), the Cobras have averaged 5.6 yards per carry (1,207 yards on 216 rushes), a 234% rise, #132 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cactus' last 7 opponents have averaged 6.1 yards per carry, a #119 run defense in section on the season, against 4.8 yards per carry, #57 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.1 yards per carry), Cactus ran for 9% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 7 opponents average a rating that would rank #106 in section, well below the first 3 (#36), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Conversely, Millennium's run defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Tigers have allowed 3.7 yards per carry (594 yards on 159 rushes) over their last 7 games (6-1), #26 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker rushing attacks in section (5.2 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #155). Against those norms, Millennium held those rushing attacks 28% below their usual yards per carry. Something has to give when Cactus' surging ground game meets one of section's better units in Millennium's.

If there's one number to watch in this matchup, it's Millennium's scoring defense. Millennium allowed 3.5 points per game over its first 4 games (4-0), #5 in section through those games. In the 6 games since that hot start (5-1), the Tigers have allowed 10.2 points per game, a 190% rise, #20 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Millennium's last 6 opponents have averaged 29.7 points per game, a #104 offense in section on the season, against 21.9 points per game, #159 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.7 points per game), Millennium held those offenses 66% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #80 in section, well above the first 4 (#148), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Cactus' offense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Cobras have averaged 47.3 points per game over their last 6 games (6-0), #8 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the weaker scoring defenses in section (31.1 points per game on the season, which would rank #182). Against those norms, Cactus scored 52% more than those defenses usually allow. Millennium's defense has held up better than the raw numbers suggest, which makes this a closer matchup than the recent results imply.

Cactus committed 2.2 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (3-2), #185 in section within that period. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), the Cobras have committed 0.4 giveaways per game, an 82% drop, #10 in section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Cactus' last 5 opponents have averaged 1.4 per game, a #151 defense in section on the season, against 1.8 per game, #78 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.4 per game), Cactus turned it over 71% less than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #124 in section, well below the first 5 (#41), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Conversely, Millennium's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Tigers have forced 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 5 games (4-1), #54 in section during those games. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in section (2.0 per game on the season, which would rank #185). Something has to give when Cactus' surging ball security meets one of section's better units in Millennium's.

• an outside Strength Index cross-check (computer/CCCAA rankings -- workbook-only)

• Club Millennium has gone 10 straight games holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt (August 28, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 9-1 over that stretch, a school-record 10 straight in the 6 seasons on record.

• Club Cactus has gone 8 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 10, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 7-1 over that stretch, a school-record 8 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Millennium has gone 10 straight games holding the opponent under 6.0 yards per play (August 28, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 9-1 over that stretch, a school-record 10 straight in the 6 seasons on record.

• Club Cactus has won 7 straight, and a win would make it 8 in a row. The last time they won 8 or more in a row was 2022, a run of 8.

• Club Cactus has gone 6 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (September 25, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 6-0 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Millennium is 21-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (21 such games).

• Club Cactus is 23-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (23 such games).

• Club Cactus is 8-2 entering play against Millennium, a start the program has had 1 time before in 5 seasons on record -- most recently 2025, which finished 8-3.

• Club Millennium is 11-1 all time when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry. Millennium's last loss when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry was September 29, 2023 against Desert Edge (L, 14-41).

• Club Cactus has scored 153 points over its last 3 games (51.0 a game, October 16, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- its 3rd-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 173, from October 17, 2025 through October 31, 2025.

• Player Kadin Johnson has gone 6 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.

• Series This week's meeting is the 3rd time in 6 all-time meetings in which one of the two teams enters unbeaten — in 2025, Cactus entered 1-0 (Cactus won 28-27) and in 2026, Cactus entered 1-0 (Millennium won 42-14).

• Player Donta Sutton has gone 15 straight games without catching a touchdown pass. The last time he caught a touchdown pass was November 22, 2024 against Kellis (W, 21-6) — 1 TD catch.

• Player Kadin Johnson has 261 receiving yards over his last 3 games (87.0 a game, November 7, 2025 through September 11, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• Player Sione Moala Jr has gone 13 straight games without recording two or more tackles for loss. The last time he had two tackles for loss was September 5, 2025 against Millennium (W, 28-27) — 2 tackles for loss.

• Series Cactus leads the all-time series with Millennium 4-1, across 5 meetings dating to 2022.

• Player Kasaun Rouzan-franklin has never had a game recording 100+ receiving yards for Millennium, over a 15-game career on record. His career high is 94, set November 7, 2025 against Yuma Catholic (L, 28-35).

• Player Jeremiah Angulo has gone 6 straight games without running for a touchdown. The last time he ran for a touchdown was October 24, 2025 against West Point (W, 48-0) — 1 rushing TD.

• Player Donta Sutton has gone 6 straight games without intercepting a pass. The last time he intercepted a pass was October 10, 2025 against Yuma Catholic (L, 7-30) — 1 interception.

MIL (2)

Commitments per 247Sports, limited to players on each team's current roster.

• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 8.0 YPA in 10 straight games (08/28/2026-10/30/2026), going 9-1 over that stretch.

• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 6.0 YPP in 10 straight games (08/28/2026-10/30/2026), going 9-1 over that stretch.

• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 7.0 YPP in 10 straight games (08/28/2026-10/30/2026), going 9-1 over that stretch.

• MIL's defense has limited opponents to under 200 pass yds in 8 straight games (09/11/2026-10/30/2026), going 7-1 over that stretch.

• MIL's offense has averaged 2.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.5 giveaways per game. (+78%)

• CAC's defense has averaged 3.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 11.9 points allowed per game. (-75%)

• CAC's defense has averaged 25.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 98.8 rush yards per game. (-75%)

• CAC's offense has averaged 0.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 1.3 giveaways per game. (-69%)

• CAC's offense has averaged 7.4 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 4.6 YPC. (+63%)

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

CAC: 1 of 10 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .900 across those game(s).

MIL: 1 of 10 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .800 across those game(s).

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- CAC ---

--- MIL ---

The next meeting brings together Cactus (8-2 this season) and Millennium (9-1). The SP Strength Index has Cactus at #30 and Millennium at #21 of 276 in the AZ section. Cactus leads the recent series 4-1 over the last 5 meetings. In the most recent meeting, on September 4, 2026, Millennium pulled away 42-14.

Unbeaten in its last 7 entering play, Cactus' pass defense has been the team's calling card (held its opponents under 200 passing yards in 9 of its last 10, 8-2 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Cobras handling Sunrise Mountain 30-3. In the process of winning 6 of its last 7 entering play, Millennium's pass rush has been the team's calling card (recorded 3+ sacks in 3 of its last 5, 4-1 in that stretch). Last time out, though, the Tigers fell to Desert Edge 30-23.

The matchup within the matchup pairs Cactus' pass protection with Millennium's pass rush. Cactus has an uncomfortable assignment when the two meet. Cactus' pass protection has been a real vulnerability over the Cobras' last 5 games, dating back to last season. The offensive line has conceded at least 1 sack in 4 of the 5 games while averaging 4.4 sacks allowed per game (including a high of 7 in that span vs. Millennium). That is 63% above the Cobras' baseline of 2.7 per game over the 24 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Cobras have gone 2-3 in that stretch. Across the line, Millennium's pass rush has been playing at a high level over the Tigers' last 5 games, dating back to last season. The defense has recorded 3+ sacks in 3 of the 5 games while averaging 3.0 sacks per game (including a high of 7 in that span vs. Cactus). That is 131% above the Tigers' baseline of 1.3 per game over the 20 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Tigers have gone 4-1 in that stretch.

STRENGTH VS. STRENGTH — Cactus' rush defense has been playing at a high level over the Cobras' last 5 games. The defense has held its opponents under 100 rushing yards in 3 of the 5 games while averaging 66.6 rushing yards allowed per game (including a low of 14 in that span vs. Apollo). That is 47% below the Cobras' baseline of 126.1 yards per game over the 12 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Cobras have gone 5-0 in that stretch. They'll face a stiff test when the two meet. Millennium's rushing offense has been playing at a high level over the Tigers' last 7 games. The ground game has eclipsed 200 rushing yards in 5 of the 7 games while averaging 249.1 rushing yards per game (including a high of 355 in that span vs. Kellis). That is 42% above the Tigers' baseline of 175.2 yards per game over the 5 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Tigers have gone 6-1 in that stretch.

WEAKNESS VS. STRENGTH — Cactus has an uncomfortable assignment when the two meet. Cactus' passing attack has been a real vulnerability over the Cobras' last 5 games. The offense has failed to reach 200 passing yards in 4 of the 5 games while averaging 160.6 passing yards per game (including a low of 107 in that span vs. Willow Canyon). That is 23% below the Cobras' baseline of 208.2 yards per game over the 13 games prior — a clear drop; the Cobras have gone 5-0 in that stretch. Across the line, Millennium's pass defense has been playing at a high level over the Tigers' last 7 games. The defense has held its opponents under 200 passing yards in 7 straight games, averaging 117.4 passing yards allowed per game (including a low of 21 in that span vs. Apollo). That is 40% below the Tigers' baseline of 195.2 yards per game over the 5 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Tigers have gone 6-1 in that stretch.

ONE-SIDED — Cactus' pass defense has been playing at a high level over the Cobras' last 10 games, dating back to last season. The defense has held its opponents under 200 passing yards in 9 of the 10 games while averaging 108.5 passing yards allowed per game (including a low of 43 in that span vs. Apollo). That is 44% below the Cobras' baseline of 194.6 yards per game over the 7 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Cobras have gone 8-2 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Millennium. Millennium has averaged 159.4 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.

ONE-SIDED — Cactus has turned the ball over only 2 times in the Cobras' last 5 games, never committing more than one giveaway in a game — the Cobras have gone 5-0 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Millennium. Millennium has averaged 1.6 per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.

CACTUS

• CACTUS has held the opponent under 14 in 5 straight games (10/2/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• CACTUS has won by 20+ in 3 straight games (10/16/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• CACTUS has won 7 straight (9/18/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 8 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• CACTUS has scored 30+ in 3 straight games (10/16/26–10/30/26). It has not scored 30+ in 4 straight since 9/27/24–10/25/24 (2024).

MILLENNIUM

• MILLENNIUM has been held under 100 passing in 2 straight games (10/23/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• MILLENNIUM has committed 2+ turnovers in 2 straight games (10/23/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

Each pair of rows above is tinted by the gap between the two teams' win% in that scenario, judged for the HOME team (the bottom row):

GRAY = negligible gap (.000-.050)

PURPLE = solid gap (.051-.150)

GREEN = big gap (.151+), favoring the home team

RED = big gap (.151+), against the home team

CAC OFFENSE vs MIL DEFENSE

MIL OFFENSE vs CAC DEFENSE

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- GAME PROJECTION -- FULL DETAIL (report pages 1-2)

Library-native projection: computed directly from the game library (slate_projection.SlateEngine), not the Excel workbook engine. This section does not yet include: an outside Strength Index cross-check (computer/CCCAA rankings -- workbook-only).

Note 2 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.

Note 3 -- OPPONENT STRENGTH (best-effort) -- why this is often empty

Only meaningful for a game against an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team on this workbook -- with just a couple of teams tracked, that's rare (mainly a direct matchup between them, if this run covers both); every other opponent has no win% on file here at all, so most of a team's schedule simply has no strength data to show.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- MATCHUP CONFLICTS — TAB-SEPARATED (13 columns)

Data Export 2 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)