In short: Windermere Prep Lakers high school football (Windermere, FL), 2026 season: 2-6. Last game: L 7-33 vs Geneva on October 22, 2026. Next: at Lake Highland Prep, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 2-6 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 7-33 vs GENEVA |
| NEXT GAME | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 21.7 · Rush Off 9.3 · Pass Def 12.3 · Rush Def 16.3 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WINDERMERE PREP | 21.7 (-74) | 9.3 (-119) | 12.3 (+64) | 16.3 (+77) |
Next: at Lake Highland Prep, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Windermere Prep at Lake Highland Prep.
The number to watch when Windermere Prep meets Lake Highland Prep is Windermere Prep's scoring defense. Windermere Prep allowed 16.5 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #178 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Lakers have allowed 31.2 points per game, an 89% rise, #412 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Windermere Prep's last 4 opponents have averaged 21.5 points per game, a #322 offense in section on the season, against 14.2 points per game, #450 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (21.5 points per game), Windermere Prep allowed 45% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #438 in section, well above the first 4 (#536), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Lake Highland Prep's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Highlanders have averaged 21.8 points per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #310 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (21.1 points per game on the season, which would rank #250). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #430 in section, a lower level of competition. Lake Highland Prep offers Windermere Prep a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Windermere Prep is 2-2 this season when it holds opponents under 18, and 0-4 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle could decide Windermere Prep's next game, against Lake Highland Prep, and the recent returns favor Lake Highland Prep. Windermere Prep forced 1.7 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #218 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Lakers have forced 0.8 takeaways per game, a 55% drop, #382 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Windermere Prep's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.2 per game, a #220 offense in section on the season, against 2.1 per game, #469 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.2 per game), Windermere Prep forced 38% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #438 in section, well above the first 4 (#536), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Lake Highland Prep's ball security has struggled in recent weeks. The Highlanders have committed 2.0 giveaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #436 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better defenses in section (1.9 per game on the season, which would rank #111). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #430 in section, a lower level of competition. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
Windermere Prep's ground game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Windermere Prep averaged 3.6 yards per carry (456 yards on 128 rushes) on the season, #474 in section, but that number is boosted by a 158-yard game on 28 rushes against Faith Christian on 9/11. In all other games, Windermere Prep is at 3.0 yards per carry (298 yards on 100 rushes), a figure that would rank #494 in section. Faith Christian's run defense sits near the middle of the pack (6.1 yards per carry, #302 of 560). Lake Highland Prep's run defense (7.3 yards per carry, #456 of 560) gives Windermere Prep a real chance to look like the season line again.
The biggest worry in Windermere Prep's season has been the direction of its offense. The Lakers averaged 10.6 points per game over their first 5 games (2-3), #479 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), Windermere Prep has averaged 3.3 points per game, a 69% drop, #536 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Windermere Prep's last 3 opponents have averaged 15.5 points per game, a #127 scoring defense in section on the season, against 27.4 points per game, #376 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (15.5 points per game), Windermere Prep scored 78% less than those defenses usually allow. Windermere Prep was held to 14 points or fewer 3 times in those games, including 0 against Foundation Academy on 10/2. On the season, the Lakers rank #524 in section in scoring. Lake Highland Prep's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #349 in section (26.0 points per game).
Windermere Prep's run defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. Windermere Prep allowed 5.9 yards per carry (587 yards on 99 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #325 in section during those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Lakers have allowed 6.9 yards per carry (587 yards on 85 rushes), a 16% rise, #364 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Windermere Prep's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.0 yards per carry, a #362 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.6 yards per carry, #406 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.0 yards per carry), Windermere Prep allowed 37% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #438 in section, well above the first 4 (#536), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Windermere Prep ranks #338 in section in run defense. Lake Highland Prep's ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #257 in section (5.9 yards per carry).
• Club Windermere Prep has lost 5 straight, and a loss would make it 6 in a row -- something they have not done in the 4 seasons on record.
• Club Windermere Prep has gone 7 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 4, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 1-6 over that stretch, a school-record 7 straight in the 4 seasons on record.
• Club Windermere Prep has gone 5 straight games allowing 8.0+ yards per attempt (September 18, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 0-5 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 4 seasons on record.
• Club Windermere Prep has gone 5 straight games allowing 6.0+ yards per play (September 18, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 0-5 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 4 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: WINDERMERE PREP OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/22/2026 GAME @ GENEVA MISSING
DATA WARNING: WINDERMERE PREP OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 08/28/2026 GAME VS. TAYLOR MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2023 | 1-7 | 116 | 265 | 14.5 |
| 2024 | 2-7 | 94 | 322 | 10.4 |
| 2025 | 8-3 | 287 | 222 | 26.1 |
| 2026 | 2-6 | 63 | 191 | 7.9 |
| 2023-26 | 13-23 | 15.6 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | TAYLOR | vs | W | 1-0 | |
| 09/04 | CORNERSTONE CHARTER ACADEMY | at | L | 3-34 | |
| 09/11 | FAITH CHRISTIAN | vs | W | 19-15 | |
| 09/18 | BMLC | at | L | 16-17 | |
| 09/25 | TRINITY PREP | vs | L | 14-48 | |
| 10/02 | FOUNDATION ACADEMY | at | L | 0-37 | |
| 10/16 | ALL SAINTS' ACADEMY | vs | L | 3-7 | |
| 10/22 | GENEVA | at | L | 7-33 | |
| 10/30 | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP | at | PROJ | 9-35 | 9.8% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 2-6 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 2-6 so far | 2-7 (90%) | 2.1-6.9 |
| League | 1-2 so far | 1-2 (100%) | 1.0-2.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 7.9 | 23.9 | 159.5 | 315.9 | 33.3 | 37.7 |
| HOME | 4 | 9.2 | 17.5 | 157.3 | 240.3 | 35.7 | 33.3 |
| ROAD | 4 | 6.5 | 30.2 | 161.7 | 372.5 | 31.0 | 41.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 6/8 game(s), Home 3/4 game(s), Road 3/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | vs. Taylor | W 1-0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 9/4 | @ CCA | L 3-34 | 102 | 40 | 142 | 222 | 242 | 464 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 9/11 | vs. Faith Christian | W 19-15 | 31 | 158 | 189 | 61 | 113 | 174 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | -1 |
| 9/18 | @ BMLC | L 16-17 | 164 | 48 | 212 | 82 | 232 | 314 | 0 | -- | -- | 2 | -1 |
| 9/25 | vs. Trinity Prep | L 14-48 | 124 | 91 | 215 | 106 | 277 | 383 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -2 |
| 10/2 | @ Foundation Academy | L 0-37 | 58 | 73 | 131 | 220 | 217 | 437 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/16 | vs. All Saints' Academy | L 3-7 | 22 | 46 | 68 | 130 | 34 | 164 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/22 | @ Geneva | L 7-33 | -- | -- | -- | 216 | 59 | 275 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| AVERAGES | 83.5 | 76.0 | 159.5 | 148.1 | 167.7 | 315.9 | 0.0 | -- | -- | 1.1 | -6 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 6/8, defense 7/8, sacks/INT 0/8, sacks allowed 1/8, turnovers 7/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 21.7/100 (-74 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 9.3/100 (-119 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 12.3/100 (+64 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 16.3/100 (+77 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP | 3-4 | 17.3 |
LAST YEAR
WP finished 2025 at 8-3. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 27-26 over TRINITY PREP (TRINITY PREP finished 45% that season). Toughest loss: 41-47 to DUVAL CHARTER (6-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | TRINITY PREP | W | 1-0 | 27 | 26 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-06 | MARCO ISLAND ACADEMY | W | 2-0 | 31 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | FAITH CHRISTIAN | W | 3-0 | 22 | 8 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | BMLC | L | 3-1 | 10 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | CENTRAL FLORIDA CHRISTIAN ACADEMY | L | 3-2 | 21 | 46 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-02 | GENEVA | W | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | BRONSON | W | 5-2 | 34 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | DUVAL CHARTER | L | 5-3 | 41 | 47 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | FAITH CHRISTIAN | W | 6-3 | 41 | 8 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-08 | MARCO ISLAND ACADEMY | W | 7-3 | 28 | 26 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | BMLC | W | 8-3 | 25 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 8-3 | 8-3 | 287 | 222 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• WP commits 3+ giveaways (.333), but most recently lost to Trinity Prep when doing so
• WP holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.333), but most recently lost to Geneva when doing so
• WP holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.333), but most recently lost to Geneva when doing so
• WP forces 2+ takeaways (.333), but most recently lost to All Saints' Academy when doing so
• WP's offense has averaged 3.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 15.9 points scored per game. (-79%)
• WP's offense has averaged 40.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 83.5 pass yards per game. (-52%)
• WP's defense has conceded 8.0+ YPA in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/22/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• WP's defense has conceded 6.0+ YPP in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/22/2026), going 0-5 over that stretch.
• WP's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (-42%)
• WP's defense has conceded 7.0+ YPP in 4 straight games (09/25/2026-10/22/2026), going 0-4 over that stretch.
• WP's defense has averaged 103.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 167.7 rush yards per game. (-38%)
• WP's offense has averaged 99.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 159.5 total yards per game. (-38%)
• WP's offense has averaged 5.1 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 7.9 YPA. (-35%)
• WP's offense has averaged 1.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 2.0 giveaways per game. (-33%)
• WP is 10-6 (.625) at home
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 8.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 9.8 | L2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.2 | L4 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 16.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 7.8 | L3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.2 | L4 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-5 | .167 | 9.8 | L4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 3.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-4 | .200 | 11.2 | L4 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-2 | .333 | 16.3 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 3-9 | .250 | 4.2 |
| Scores 10-19 | 2-3 | .400 | 15.4 |
| Scores 20-29 | 4-3 | .571 | 24.3 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 1-1 | .500 | 41.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 8.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 9.8 | L2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.2 | L4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 16.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 7.8 | L3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.2 | L4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-5 | .167 | 9.8 | L4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 3.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-4 | .200 | 11.2 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-2 | .333 | 16.3 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-4 | .200 | 2.8 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-2 | .333 | 16.3 |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-6 | .000 | 29.3 | L6 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-3 | .000 | 34.7 | L3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-3 | .250 | 21.8 | L3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-4 | .200 | 30.2 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-2 | .000 | 20.0 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-4 | .000 | 34.0 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.3 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 34.0 | L4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.3 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-6 | .000 | 29.3 | L6 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 31.8 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 16.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-4 | .200 | 24.2 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-2 | .000 | 35.0 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 13.0 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 6-1 | .857 | 4.1 |
| Allows 10-19 | 3-2 | .600 | 14.8 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-1 | .750 | 23.2 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-6 | .000 | 35.8 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-6 | .000 | 54.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-6 | .000 | 29.3 | L6 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-3 | .000 | 34.7 | L3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-3 | .250 | 21.8 | L3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-4 | .200 | 30.2 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-2 | .000 | 20.0 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-4 | .000 | 34.0 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.3 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 34.0 | L4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.3 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-6 | .000 | 29.3 | L6 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 31.8 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 16.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-4 | .200 | 24.2 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-2 | .000 | 35.0 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 13.0 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-1 | .500 | 3.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 16.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-3 | .000 | 34.7 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 48.0 |
WINDERMERE PREP
• WINDERMERE PREP has held the opponent under 100 rushing in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/22/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• WINDERMERE PREP has lost 5 straight (9/18/26–10/22/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• WINDERMERE PREP has been held under 14 in 3 straight games (10/2/26–10/22/26). It has not been held under 14 in 4 straight since 11/3/23–9/6/24 (2024). It has reached 4 straight 2 times in the last 4 years.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 8.0 | L2 |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 9.8 | L2 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.2 | L4 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W1 |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 7.2 | L5 |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 16.0 | L1 |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 7.8 | L3 |
| WP | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.2 | L4 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 9.8 | L4 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 3.0 | L1 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 11.2 | L4 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 16.3 | L2 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 12 | 3-9 | .250 | 4.2 | L4 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 15.4 | L2 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 24.3 | W2 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 32.5 | W2 |
| WP | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 41.0 | W1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 29.3 | L6 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 34.7 | L3 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 21.8 | L3 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 30.2 | L3 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 20.0 | L2 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 34.0 | L4 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.3 | L2 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 34.0 | L4 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 18.3 | L2 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 29.3 | L6 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 31.8 | L5 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 16.0 | L1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 24.2 | L3 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 35.0 | L2 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 13.0 | L2 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 4.1 | L1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 14.8 | L1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 23.2 | W1 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 35.8 | L6 |
| WP | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 54.0 | L6 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-5 |
| DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-5 |
| DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-4 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-5 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-5 |
| WP | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-4 |
WP OFFENSE
WP's offense has averaged 3.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 15.9 points scored per game. (-79%)
WP's offense has averaged 40.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 83.5 pass yards per game. (-52%)
WP's offense has averaged 99.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 159.5 total yards per game. (-38%)
WP's offense has averaged 5.1 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 7.9 YPA. (-35%)
WP's offense has averaged 1.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 2.0 giveaways per game. (-33%)
WP's offense has averaged 3.7 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 4.8 YPP. (-23%)
WP's offense has averaged 59.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 76.0 rush yards per game. (-22%)
WP DEFENSE
WP's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (-42%)
WP's defense has averaged 103.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 167.7 rush yards per game. (-38%)
WP's defense has averaged 188.7 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 148.1 pass yards per game. (+27%)
WP's defense has averaged 4.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.1 YPC. (-22%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| WP | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 188.7 | 7 | 148.1 | +27.4% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 40.0 | 6 | 83.5 | -52.1% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 3.3 | 28 | 15.9 | -79.0% | |
| WP | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 103.3 | 7 | 167.7 | -38.4% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 59.5 | 6 | 76.0 | -21.7% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 99.5 | 6 | 159.5 | -37.6% | |
| WP | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 7 | 1.1 | -41.7% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.3 | 7 | 2.0 | -33.3% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 5.1 | 6 | 7.9 | -34.8% | |
| WP | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 4.8 | 7 | 6.1 | -21.8% | |
| WP | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 3.7 | 6 | 4.8 | -22.6% |
From the games on file through Oct 22.
