In short: Wesleyan Wolves high school football (Norcross, GA), 2026 season: 5-3. Last game: W 18-14 vs Therrell on October 23, 2026. Next: at Kipp Atlanta Collegiate, October 31, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 5-3 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 18-14 vs THERRELL |
| NEXT GAME | KIPP ATLANTA COLLEGIATE (10/31/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 85.6 · Rush Off 42.9 · Pass Def 62.4 · Rush Def 50.4 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WESLEYAN | 85.6 (+82) | 42.9 (-25) | 62.4 (-21) | 50.4 (-3) |
Next: at Kipp Atlanta Collegiate, Sat 31 Oct. Matchup report: Wesleyan at Kipp Atlanta Collegiate.
The turnover battle could decide Wesleyan's next game, against Kipp Atlanta Collegiate, and the recent returns favor Kipp Atlanta Collegiate. Wesleyan committed 0.5 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #48 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (3-1), the Wolves have committed 1.5 giveaways per game, a 200% rise, #332 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 4 opponents have been softer, averaging 1.0 per game, a #283 defense in section on the season, against 1.3 per game, #168 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.0 per game), Wesleyan turned it over 55% more than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #224 in section, well below the first 4 (#146), which makes the dip harder to excuse. Conversely, Kipp Atlanta Collegiate's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Warriors have forced 1.5 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #89 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (1.2 per game on the season, which would rank #268). Against those norms, Kipp Atlanta Collegiate forced 29% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Unless Wesleyan's ball security rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Kipp Atlanta Collegiate.
The number to watch when Wesleyan meets Kipp Atlanta Collegiate is Wesleyan's scoring. Wesleyan averaged 32.0 points per game over its first 5 games (3-2), #130 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Wolves have averaged 22.3 points per game, a 30% drop, #260 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Wesleyan's last 3 opponents have averaged 17.3 points per game, a #96 scoring defense in section on the season, against 21.6 points per game, #174 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (17.3 points per game), Wesleyan scored 29% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #227 in section, well below the first 5 (#155), which makes the dip harder to excuse. Conversely, Kipp Atlanta Collegiate's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Warriors have allowed 12.7 points per game over their last 3 games (2-1), #85 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (26.6 points per game on the season, which would rank #199). Against those norms, Kipp Atlanta Collegiate held those offenses 52% below what they usually score. Wesleyan's offense has held up better than the raw numbers suggest, which makes this a closer matchup than the recent results imply.
The biggest shift in Wesleyan's season has come in its ground game. Wesleyan averaged 3.9 yards per carry (517 yards on 132 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #366 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that slow start (3-1), the Wolves have averaged 4.8 yards per carry (397 yards on 82 rushes), a 24% rise, #273 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 5.0 yards per carry on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.2 yards per carry), Wesleyan ran for 6% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #224 in section, well below the first 4 (#146), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Wesleyan ranks #364 in section in rushing. That form gets a real test against Kipp Atlanta Collegiate, whose run defense ranks #111 in section (4.8 yards per carry).
The Wolves allowed 30.0 points per game over their first 3 games (2-1), #335 in section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), Wesleyan has allowed 23.8 points per game, a 21% drop, #207 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Wesleyan's last 5 opponents have averaged 24.2 points per game, a #240 offense in section on the season, against 31.0 points per game, #133 for the first 3. Only Holy Innocents Episcopal broke through in that span, putting up 42 on 10/9. On the season, the Wolves rank #261 in section in scoring defense. That form gets a real test against Kipp Atlanta Collegiate, whose offense ranks #65 in section (37.5 points per game). Wesleyan is 5-1 this season when it holds opponents under 38, and 0-2 when it doesn't.
• Club The last time Wesleyan went a game allowing 200+ passing yards was October 26, 2023 against West Hall (W, 49-21). Since then Wesleyan has gone 37 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards, a school-record 37 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Wesleyan has gone 6 straight games being held under 150 rushing yards (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-2 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Wesleyan is 17-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (17 such games).
Wesleyan has played a tougher-than-average schedule in the pool so far (#143 of 466), and what is left is a tougher-than-average slate (#126 of 396).
From the games on file through Sep 11.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 11 game; last updated Sep 29.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| J. HILTON | 2 | 32/44 | 72.7% | 393 | 8.9 | 4 | 1 | 173.2 | |
| G. HOUCHINS IV | 2 | 1/1 | 100.0% | 21 | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 276.4 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 33/45 | 73.3% | 414 | 9.2 | 4 | 1 | 175.5 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| K. BAXLEY | 2 | 41 | 209 | 5.1 | 4 | |
| J. HILTON | 2 | 29 | 69 | 2.4 | 1 | |
| C. ROSS | 2 | 8 | 19 | 2.4 | 0 | |
| G. HOUCHINS IV | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 81 | 301 | 3.7 | 5 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| G. HOUCHINS IV | 2 | 15 | 145 | 9.7 | 3 | |
| B. BAXLEY | 2 | 8 | 105 | 13.1 | 0 | |
| Q. BROWN | 2 | 4 | 96 | 24.0 | 1 | |
| M. MCCOLLUM | 2 | 3 | 38 | 12.7 | 0 | |
| H. BARNETT | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | |
| C. ROSS | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | |
| K. BAXLEY | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 33 | 414 | 12.5 | 4 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| C. OVERDYKE | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| F. GARTLAND | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| H. BARNETT | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| N. AUSBAND | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| K. BAXLEY | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B. SMITH | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Q. BROWN | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| B. BAXLEY | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. BENNISON | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. CHAMBERLAIN | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| W. DUCKETT | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. CURTIS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B. TAPP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. ROSS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| G. HOUCHINS IV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| M. MCCOLLUM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 2 | 82 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 4-7 | 247 | 266 | 22.5 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 384 | 293 | 29.5 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 443 | 253 | 34.1 |
| 2025 | 8-4 | 356 | 235 | 29.7 |
| 2026 | 5-3 | 227 | 209 | 28.4 |
| 2022-26 | 36-21 | 29.1 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | WHITEFIELD ACADEMY | vs | L | 35-42 | |
| 08/28 | ELBERT COUNTY | at | W | 31-17 | |
| 09/11 | NORTH COBB CHRISTIAN | at | W | 35-31 | |
| 09/18 | LOVETT | at | L | 14-21 | |
| 09/25 | GILMER | vs | W | 45-21 | |
| 10/02 | HARALSON COUNTY | vs | W | 42-21 | |
| 10/09 | HOLY INNOCENTS EPISCOPAL | at | L | 7-42 | |
| 10/23 | THERRELL | vs | W | 18-14 | |
| 10/31 | KIPP ATLANTA COLLEGIATE | at | PROJ | 8-42 | 5.1% |
| 11/06 | TEMPLE | vs | PROJ | 29-23 | 61.0% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 5-3 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 5-3 so far | 6-4 (67%) | 5.7-4.3 |
| League | 3-2 so far | 3-2 (100%) | 3.0-2.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 28.4 | 26.1 | 296.9 | 297.8 | 45.0 | 44.5 |
| HOME | 4 | 35.0 | 24.5 | 308.5 | 324.7 | 38.5 | 43.3 |
| ROAD | 4 | 21.8 | 27.8 | 285.2 | 271.0 | 51.5 | 45.7 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | vs. Whitefield Academy | L 35-42 | 294 | 155 | 449 | 131 | 398 | 529 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 8/28 | @ Elbert County | W 31-17 | 189 | 152 | 341 | 170 | 24 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/11 | @ North Cobb Christian | W 35-31 | 225 | 149 | 374 | 171 | 174 | 345 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| 9/18 | @ Lovett | L 14-21 | 195 | 61 | 256 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 9/25 | vs. Gilmer | W 45-21 | 194 | 90 | 284 | 47 | 75 | 122 | -- | -- | -- | 4 | +4 |
| 10/2 | vs. Haralson County | W 42-21 | 192 | 115 | 307 | 137 | 186 | 323 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 10/9 | @ Holy Innocents Episcopal | L 7-42 | 106 | 64 | 170 | 119 | 155 | 274 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/23 | vs. Therrell | W 18-14 | 66 | 128 | 194 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | -1 |
| AVERAGES | 182.6 | 114.2 | 296.9 | 129.2 | 168.7 | 297.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | +4 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 6/8, sacks/INT 2/8, sacks allowed 2/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 85.6/100 (+82 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 42.9/100 (-25 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 62.4/100 (-21 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 50.4/100 (-3 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-31 | at | KIPP ATLANTA COLLEGIATE | 6-2 | 37.5 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | TEMPLE | 3-5 | 22.5 |
LAST YEAR
WES finished 2025 at 8-4. Made the playoffs (2 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 28-21 over LANDMARK CHRISTIAN (LANDMARK CHRISTIAN finished 75% that season). Toughest loss: 21-24 to ACS (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-15 | COMMERCE | W | 1-0 | 45 | 27 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-22 | NORTH HALL | L | 1-1 | 7 | 41 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-29 | ELBERT COUNTY | W | 2-1 | 14 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | BUSINESS ENGINEERING SCIENCE TECH | W | 3-1 | 55 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | ACS | L | 3-2 | 21 | 24 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | MOUNT PISGAH CHRISTIAN | W | 4-2 | 44 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | MOUNT VERNON | W | 5-2 | 25 | 19 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | KING'S RIDGE CHRISTIAN | W | 6-2 | 49 | 7 | 432 | 144 |
| 2025-10-24 | FELLOWSHIP CHRISTIAN | L | 6-3 | 14 | 41 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | LANDMARK CHRISTIAN | W | 7-3 | 28 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | PROVIDENCE CHRISTIAN ACADEMY | W | 8-3 | 48 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-21 | PRINCE AVENUE CHRISTIAN | L | 8-4 | 6 | 41 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 12 GMS | 8-4 | 8-4 | 356 | 235 | 432 (1) | 144 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• WES rushes for 100+ yards (.857), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• WES wins even while allowing its opponents 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• WES holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• WES forces 1+ takeaways (.833), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• WES's offense has averaged 2.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.9 giveaways per game. (+122%)
• WES's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 3-2 over that stretch.
• WES's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.3 takeaways per game. (-49%)
• WES's offense has averaged 121.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 188.0 pass yards per game. (-35%)
• WES's offense has averaged 91.6 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 136.3 rush yards per game. (-33%)
• WES's offense has averaged 223.7 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 324.3 total yards per game. (-31%)
• WES's offense has committed 1+ turnover in 3 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 2-1 over that stretch.
• WES's defense has averaged 122.8 rush yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 8-game average is 174.6 rush yards per game. (-30%)
• WES wins even while allowing its opponents 8.4+ yards per attempt (WES's own median) (.999)
• WES's offense has averaged 22.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 31.1 points scored per game. (-28%)
• WES's defense has averaged 26.6 points allowed per game over their last 12 games. Their 33-game average is 21.1 points allowed per game. (+26%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
WES -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 5 scored; vs 1490 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 6-2 | .750 | 35.8 | W2 | 0.865 |
| 2 | DEF | Pass Yds < 200 | 6-2 | .750 | 24.8 | L1 | 0.630 |
| 3 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 5-3 | .625 | 22.6 | W1 | 0.495 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 6-3 | .667 | 32.6 | L1 | 0.326 |
| 5 | OFF | YPA 8+ | 5-3 | .625 | 32.8 | L1 | 0.116 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- WES ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| WES rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 35.0 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| WES | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-0 | .999 | 35.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 5-3 | .625 | 32.8 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-1 | .667 | 35.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-2 | .714 | 29.4 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 6-1 | .857 | 35.0 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-1 | .750 | 37.5 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-2 | .667 | 26.8 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 35.8 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 26.4 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 41.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 21.0 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 41.2 | W2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 21.0 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-1 | .833 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 35.8 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-1 | .500 | 12.5 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 18.0 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-3 | .000 | 6.7 |
| Scores 10-19 | 2-4 | .333 | 15.2 |
| Scores 20-29 | 4-1 | .800 | 24.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 4-2 | .667 | 34.7 |
| Scores 40+ | 13-0 | 1.000 | 45.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-3 | .500 | 29.7 | L1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-1 | .500 | 35.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 26.2 | W1 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-1 | .800 | 32.2 | W4 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-2 | .667 | 26.8 | W1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 31.7 | W2 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 26.4 | L1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 40.7 | W2 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 21.0 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 40.7 | W2 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 21.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-1 | .800 | 26.6 | W1 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 31.3 | W1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-1 | .500 | 12.5 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 18.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 16.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-1 | .667 | 33.7 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 43.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 30.5 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-2 | .750 | 24.8 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-2 | .667 | 26.7 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W2 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-2 | .600 | 30.6 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W3 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 23.6 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.8 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-1 | .833 | 22.5 | L1 | 25 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-1 | .833 | 18.5 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 30.5 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-1 | .750 | 21.8 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 26.0 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.1 |
| Allows 10-19 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 16.4 |
| Allows 20-29 | 8-3 | .727 | 22.6 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-7 | .000 | 42.6 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 19.7 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 38.3 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 29.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-2 | .500 | 34.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-2 | .500 | 34.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 31.3 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 31.3 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-1 | .800 | 20.8 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 35.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-1 | .750 | 21.8 | W2 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 26.0 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 15.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-1 | .667 | 21.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-2 | .000 | 42.0 |
WESLEYAN
• WESLEYAN has committed 2+ turnovers in 2 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 32.8 | L1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.5 | W2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 35.0 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 29.4 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 35.0 | W4 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 | L1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.5 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 26.8 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 35.8 | W2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 26.4 | L1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 41.2 | W2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 21.0 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 41.2 | W2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 21.0 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 28.0 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 35.8 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 12.5 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 18.0 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 6.7 | L3 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 15.2 | W1 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 24.0 | W2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 34.7 | W2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 13 | 13-0 | 1.000 | 45.2 | W13 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W4 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 30.5 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 24.8 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 26.7 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 19.0 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 30.6 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W3 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 23.6 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 27.8 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.8 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 22.5 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 18.5 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 30.5 | L1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 21.8 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 26.0 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.1 | W9 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 16.4 | W5 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 11 | 8-3 | .727 | 22.6 | W2 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 31.0 | W1 |
| WES | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 42.6 | L7 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-2 |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| WES | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| WES | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-1 |
WES OFFENSE
WES's offense has averaged 2.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.9 giveaways per game. (+122%)
WES's offense has averaged 121.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 188.0 pass yards per game. (-35%)
WES's offense has averaged 91.6 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 136.3 rush yards per game. (-33%)
WES's offense has averaged 223.7 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 324.3 total yards per game. (-31%)
WES's offense has averaged 22.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 31.1 points scored per game. (-28%)
WES's offense has averaged 8.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 10.4 YPA. (-21%)
WES DEFENSE
WES's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.3 takeaways per game. (-49%)
WES's defense has averaged 122.8 rush yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 8-game average is 174.6 rush yards per game. (-30%)
WES's defense has averaged 26.6 points allowed per game over their last 12 games. Their 33-game average is 21.1 points allowed per game. (+26%)
WES's defense has averaged 128.8 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 8-game average is 103.9 pass yards per game. (+24%)
WES's defense has averaged 10.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 8.5 YPA. (+24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| WES | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 7 | 128.8 | 8 | 103.9 | +24.0% | |
| WES | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 121.3 | 10 | 188.0 | -35.5% | |
| WES | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 12 | 26.6 | 33 | 21.1 | +25.9% | |
| WES | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 22.3 | 33 | 31.1 | -28.2% | |
| WES | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 7 | 122.8 | 8 | 174.6 | -29.7% | |
| WES | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 91.6 | 10 | 136.3 | -32.8% | |
| WES | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 223.7 | 10 | 324.3 | -31.0% | |
| WES | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 10 | 1.3 | -48.7% | |
| WES | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 2.0 | 10 | 0.9 | +122.2% | |
| WES | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 10.6 | 8 | 8.5 | +23.7% | |
| WES | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 8.2 | 10 | 10.4 | -21.2% |
