In short: Trinity Hillers high school football (Washington, PA), 2026 season: 4-5. Last game: L 24-25 vs West Allegheny on October 23, 2026. Next: at Bethel Park, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 4-5 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 24-25 vs WEST ALLEGHENY |
| NEXT GAME | BETHEL PARK (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 69.3 · Rush Off 72.3 · Pass Def 75.9 · Rush Def 40.4 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRINITY | 69.3 (+28) | 72.3 (+42) | 75.9 (-42) | 40.4 (+16) |
Next: at Bethel Park, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Trinity at Bethel Park.
The battle on the ground could decide Trinity's next game, against Bethel Park, and the recent returns favor Bethel Park. Trinity averaged 6.6 yards per carry (1,003 yards on 151 rushes) over its first 5 games (3-2), #105 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), the Hillers have averaged 4.1 yards per carry (393 yards on 97 rushes), a 39% drop, #300 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity's last 4 opponents have averaged 4.3 yards per carry, a #120 run defense in section on the season, against 5.3 yards per carry, #255 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (4.3 yards per carry), Trinity ran for 6% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents have been strong teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank #42 in section. Meanwhile, Bethel Park's run defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Black Hawks have allowed 6.0 yards per carry (596 yards on 100 rushes) over their last 4 games (1-3), #308 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker rushing attacks in section (4.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #306). Against those norms, Bethel Park allowed 33% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #42 in section, a strong slate. Bethel Park offers Trinity a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The biggest worry in Trinity's season has been the direction of its offense. Trinity averaged 27.7 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #201 in section through those games. In the 6 games since that hot start (2-4), the Hillers have averaged 15.5 points per game, a 44% drop, #414 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 19.3 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (18.7 points per game), Trinity scored 17% less than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents have been strong teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank #70 in section. Trinity was held to 14 points or fewer 4 times in those games, including 0 against South Fayette on 9/18. On the season, Trinity ranks #356 in section in scoring. Bethel Park's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #321 in section (24.6 points per game). Trinity is 3-0 this season when it scores 25 or more, and 1-5 when it doesn't.
Trinity's offense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Hillers averaged 7.9 yards per play (1,656 yards on 209 snaps) over their first 5 games (3-2), #70 in section over that stretch. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), Trinity has averaged 5.7 yards per play (899 yards on 159 snaps), a 29% drop, #244 in section within that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.7 yards per play, a #207 defense in section on the season, against 6.3 yards per play, #290 for the first 5. Overall, those opponents have been strong teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank #42 in section. On the season, the Hillers rank #147 in section in yards per play. Bethel Park's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #322 in section (6.5 yards per play).
Trinity allowed 26.7 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #355 in section across those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 6 games since that slow start (2-4), the Hillers have allowed 20.7 points per game, a 22% drop, #239 in section during those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Trinity's last 6 opponents have averaged 25.9 points per game, a #217 offense in section on the season, against 28.4 points per game, #167 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.9 points per game), Trinity held those offenses 20% below what they usually score. Only ScorePirate PA section #7 Upper St. Clair broke through in that span, putting up 35 on 10/16. On the season, Trinity ranks #280 in section in scoring defense. Bethel Park's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #409 in section (16.6 points per game). Trinity is 2-0 this season when it holds opponents under 17, and 2-5 when it doesn't.
• Club Trinity has lost 2 straight, and a loss would make it 3 in a row. The last time they lost 3 or more in a row was 2022, a run of 3.
DATA WARNING: TRINITY OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. WEST ALLEGHENY* MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 25.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| O. SAMOGALA | 3 | 17/26 | 65.4% | 311 | 12.0 | 3 | 1 | 196.2 | |
| B. LAYHUE | 3 | 10/15 | 66.7% | 132 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 149.3 | |
| J. SCHREYER | 2 | 2/4 | 50.0% | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 79.4 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 29/45 | 64.4% | 457 | 10.2 | 4 | 2 | 170.2 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| O. GARDNER | 4 | 59 | 363 | 6.2 | 3 | |
| D. GLASS | 4 | 26 | 187 | 7.2 | 1 | |
| O. SAMOGALA | 3 | 26 | 149 | 5.7 | 3 | |
| T. WELSH | 4 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 0 | |
| C. GERBA | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 1 | |
| B. LAYHUE | 3 | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | |
| J. SCHREYER | 2 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 123 | 792 | 6.4 | 8 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| C. KOSTELNIK | 3 | 7 | 187 | 26.7 | 2 | |
| B. BERDAR | 4 | 7 | 130 | 18.6 | 1 | |
| O. GARDNER | 4 | 4 | 41 | 10.2 | 0 | |
| T. BARR | 4 | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 0 | |
| J. JOHNSON | 4 | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | |
| C. RIZOR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 1 | |
| C. HILLEBRAND | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | |
| P. WHITLOCK | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | |
| N. VITALE | 1 | -- | -2 | -- | 0 | |
| A. CHANDLER | 3 | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 30 | 470 | 15.7 | 4 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| T. BARR | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| O. GARDNER | 4 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. KOSTELNIK | 3 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| D. GLASS | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |
| J. JOHNSON | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| A. CHANDLER | 3 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. WELSH | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| E. YANCEC | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| M. WILLIAMS | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. HILLEBRAND | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| I. HOLUB | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| E. WILLIAMS | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. GERBA | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| W. RYAN | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. RIZOR | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M. MAZURKIEWICZ | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B. BERDAR | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L. KAUER | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| O. SAMOGALA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| P. WHITLOCK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| B. KOWCHECK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| J. LLOYD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. MOX | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 224 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 6 | 35 | 6.0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 21 | 63 | 10.5 |
| 2026 | 4-5 | 176 | 204 | 19.6 |
| 2022-26 | 4-8 | 16.9 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | RINGGOLD | vs | W | 34-12 | |
| 09/04 | CANON-MCMILLAN | at | W | 29-24 | |
| 09/11 | HEMPFIELD AREA | at | L | 20-44 | |
| 09/18 | SOUTH FAYETTE | vs | L | 0-21 | |
| 09/25 | MARS | at | W | 27-21 | |
| 10/02 | THOMAS JEFFERSON | vs | L | 14-19 | |
| 10/09 | PETERS TOWNSHIP | at | W | 14-3 | |
| 10/16 | UPPER ST. CLAIR | vs | L | 14-35 | |
| 10/23 | WEST ALLEGHENY | vs | L | 24-25 | |
| 10/30 | BETHEL PARK | at | PROJ | 23-24 | 48.9% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 4-5 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 4-5 so far | 4-6 (51%) | 4.5-5.5 |
| League | 1-3 so far | 1-3 (100%) | 1.0-3.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 9 | 19.6 | 22.7 | 319.4 | 307.8 | 46.0 | 50.0 |
| HOME | 5 | 17.2 | 22.4 | 301.5 | 302.3 | 48.5 | 47.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 22.5 | 23.0 | 337.2 | 313.3 | 43.5 | 52.3 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 8/9 game(s), Home 4/5 game(s), Road 4/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | vs. Ringgold | W 34-12 | 126 | 236 | 362 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 7 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/4 | @ Canon-McMillan | W 29-24 | 158 | 263 | 421 | 238 | 99 | 337 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| 9/11 | @ Hempfield Area | L 20-44 | 135 | 184 | 319 | 208 | 117 | 325 | -- | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
| 9/18 | vs. South Fayette | L 0-21 | 38 | 109 | 147 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/25 | @ Mars | W 27-21 | 196 | 211 | 407 | 153 | 125 | 278 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| 10/2 | vs. Thomas Jefferson | L 14-19 | 217 | 91 | 308 | 28 | 263 | 291 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/9 | @ Peters Township | W 14-3 | 19 | 183 | 202 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/16 | vs. Upper St. Clair | L 14-35 | 270 | 119 | 389 | 48 | 348 | 396 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/23 | vs. West Allegheny | L 24-25 | -- | -- | -- | 89 | 131 | 220 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -3 |
| AVERAGES | 144.9 | 174.5 | 319.4 | 127.3 | 180.5 | 307.8 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | +3 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 8/9, defense 6/9, sacks/INT 4/9, sacks allowed 1/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 69.3/100 (+28 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 72.3/100 (+42 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 75.9/100 (-42 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 40.4/100 (+16 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | BETHEL PARK | 3-5 | 16.6 |
LAST YEAR
TRI finished 2023 at 0-2. Missed playoffs. Toughest loss: 14-28 to MCKEESPORT (14-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2023-09-22 | MCKEESPORT | L | 0-1 | 7 | 35 | N/A | 310 |
| 2023-11-10 | MCKEESPORT | L | 0-2 | 14 | 28 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 2 GMS | 0-2 | 0-2 | 21 | 63 | N/A | 310 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• TRI rushes for 150+ yards (.800), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• TRI holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.667), but most recently lost to West Allegheny when doing so
• TRI averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.750)
• TRI averages 7.0+ yards per play (.750), but most recently lost to Upper St. Clair when doing so
• TRI is 4-1 (.800) when it wins the turnover battle
• TRI's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+50%)
• TRI's defense has averaged 68.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 127.3 pass yards per game. (-46%)
• TRI wins even while allowing its opponents 121.0+ passing yards (TRI's own median) (.667)
• TRI holds its opponents under 128.0 rushing yards (TRI's own median) (.667)
• TRI holds its opponents under 5.2 yards per carry (TRI's own median) (.667)
• TRI holds its opponents under 6.3 yards per play (TRI's own median) (.667)
• TRI's offense has averaged 6.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 9.6 YPA. (-35%)
• TRI's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.0 takeaways per game. (-33%)
• TRI's defense has averaged 239.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 180.5 rush yards per game. (+33%)
• TRI is 3-1 (.750) on the road
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
TRI -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 3 of 3 scored; vs 1599 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 4-4 | .500 | 19.0 | L1 | 0.689 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 4-4 | .500 | 19.0 | L1 | 0.635 |
| 3 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 4-5 | .444 | 22.7 | L2 | 0.365 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- TRI ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| TRI rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 4-2 | .667 | 20.7 | W2 |
| TRI averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 3-1 | .750 | 27.5 | W1 |
| TRI averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 3-1 | .750 | 27.5 | W1 |
| TRI averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 2-2 | .500 | 22.5 | L1 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| TRI | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 20.7 |
| TRI | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.5 |
| TRI | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.5 |
| TRI | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-2 | .600 | 23.6 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 11.3 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 14.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 20.7 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-3 | .571 | 19.7 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-1 | .800 | 24.8 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-3 | .000 | 9.3 | L3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 27.5 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 10.5 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-2 | .600 | 24.8 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 9.3 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 26.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 12.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 18.0 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-2 | .600 | 20.8 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-2 | .500 | 25.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 44.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 24.8 | L3 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-1 | .500 | 34.0 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-3 | .250 | 25.0 | L3 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-4 | .200 | 28.8 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 27.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-2 | .500 | 28.5 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 32.7 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 23.3 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 30.5 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 23.0 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 39.5 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.2 | L2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-3 | .571 | 20.6 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-2 | .000 | 30.0 | L2 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.5 | W2 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.8 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 44.0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.6 | L2 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 11.3 | W1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 14.0 | L2 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 20.7 | W2 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 19.7 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 24.8 | W2 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 9.3 | L3 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 27.5 | W1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 10.5 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 24.8 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 9.3 | W1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 12.0 | W1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 18.0 | L3 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 20.8 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 25.0 | L1 |
| TRI | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 44.0 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 24.8 | L3 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 34.0 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 25.0 | L3 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 28.8 | L3 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 27.0 | L2 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 28.5 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 32.7 | L3 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 23.3 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 30.5 | L3 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 23.0 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 39.5 | L2 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.2 | L2 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 20.6 | W1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 30.0 | L2 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.5 | W2 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 | W1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.5 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.8 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| TRI | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 44.0 | L1 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
TRI OFFENSE
TRI's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+50%)
TRI's offense has averaged 6.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 9.6 YPA. (-35%)
TRI's offense has averaged 175.5 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 144.9 pass yards per game. (+21%)
TRI DEFENSE
TRI's defense has averaged 68.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 127.3 pass yards per game. (-46%)
TRI's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.0 takeaways per game. (-33%)
TRI's defense has averaged 239.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 180.5 rush yards per game. (+33%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| TRI | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 68.5 | 6 | 127.3 | -46.2% | |
| TRI | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 175.5 | 8 | 144.9 | +21.1% | |
| TRI | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 239.5 | 6 | 180.5 | +32.7% | |
| TRI | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 9 | 1.0 | -33.3% | |
| TRI | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.0 | 9 | 0.7 | +50.0% | |
| TRI | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 6.2 | 8 | 9.6 | -35.4% |
