In short: TIVY Antlers high school football (Kerrville, TX), 2026 season: 8-0. Last game: W 80-0 vs Northeast Early College on October 23, 2026. Next: at Canyon Lake, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 8-0 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 80-0 vs NORTHEAST EARLY COLLEGE |
| NEXT GAME | CANYON LAKE (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 99.2 · Rush Off 87.2 · Pass Def 22.0 · Rush Def 8.3 |
| ENROLLMENT | 1,374 STUDENTS (2025-26) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIVY | 99.2 (+233) | 87.2 (+100) | 22.0 (+38) | 8.3 (+114) |
Next: at Canyon Lake, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: TIVY at Canyon Lake.
The number to watch when TIVY meets Canyon Lake is TIVY's scoring defense. TIVY allowed 34.6 points per game over its first 5 games (5-0), #874 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (3-0), the Antlers have allowed 23.0 points per game, a 34% drop, #437 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: TIVY's last 3 opponents have averaged 25.3 points per game, a #767 offense in section on the season, against 28.5 points per game, #653 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.3 points per game), TIVY held those offenses 9% below what they usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #1018 in section, well below the first 5 (#609), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Only Taylor broke through in that span, putting up 56 on 10/9. Conversely, Canyon Lake's offense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Hawks have averaged 58.3 points per game over their last 3 games (3-0), #42 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker scoring defenses in section (37.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #954). Against those norms, Canyon Lake scored 56% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #960 in section, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when TIVY's surging defense meets one of section's better units in Canyon Lake's. TIVY is 6-0 this season when it holds opponents under 52, and 2-0 when it doesn't.
The biggest worry in TIVY's season has been the direction of its run defense. TIVY allowed 5.7 yards per carry (596 yards on 104 rushes) over its first 3 games (3-0), #594 in section through those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), the Antlers have allowed 8.3 yards per carry (888 yards on 107 rushes), a 45% rise, #1022 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: TIVY's last 5 opponents have averaged 7.2 yards per carry, a #268 rushing attack in section on the season, against 5.3 yards per carry, #669 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.2 yards per carry), TIVY allowed 16% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. On the season, TIVY ranks #897 in section in run defense. It won't get any easier against Canyon Lake, whose ground game ranks #141 in section (8.0 yards per carry).
TIVY's ground game has come a long way since the season's early weeks. The Antlers averaged 6.5 yards per carry (815 yards on 125 rushes) over their first 4 games (4-0), #351 in section over that stretch. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), TIVY has averaged 9.0 yards per carry (1,406 yards on 157 rushes), a 37% rise, #101 in section within that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: TIVY's last 4 opponents have averaged 8.4 yards per carry, a #1095 run defense in section on the season, against 6.4 yards per carry, #743 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.4 yards per carry), TIVY ran for 6% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #834 in section. On the season, the Antlers rank #155 in section in rushing. Canyon Lake's run defense sits in the middle of the pack, #911 in section (7.1 yards per carry).
TIVY averaged 15.0 yards per pass attempt (1,520 yards on 101 attempts) over its first 4 games (4-0), #14 in section across those games. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. In the 4 games since that hot start (4-0), the Antlers have averaged 10.5 yards per pass attempt (995 yards on 95 attempts), a 30% drop, #209 in section during those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 9.2 yards per attempt on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.8 yards per attempt), TIVY threw for 18% more per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, TIVY ranks #33 in section in passing. Canyon Lake's pass defense, #1013 of 1234 (10.2 yards per attempt), could be the get-right matchup TIVY needs.
Something changed for TIVY's defense after its first 3 games. The Antlers allowed 6.4 yards per play (1,381 yards on 215 snaps) over their first 3 games (3-0), #550 in section during that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), TIVY has allowed 8.3 yards per play (1,592 yards on 192 snaps), a 29% rise, #910 in section during that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: TIVY's last 5 opponents have averaged 7.2 yards per play, a #437 offense in section on the season, against 6.0 yards per play, #714 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.2 yards per play), TIVY allowed 15% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. On the season, the Antlers rank #778 in section in yards per play allowed. It won't get any easier against Canyon Lake, whose offense ranks #39 in section (10.3 yards per play).
TIVY's pass defense has allowed more yards per attempt as the season has worn on. TIVY allowed 7.1 yards per pass attempt (785 yards on 111 attempts) over its first 3 games (3-0), #485 in section over that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (5-0), the Antlers have allowed 8.3 yards per pass attempt (704 yards on 85 attempts), a 17% rise, #616 in section over that timeframe. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 7.0 yards per attempt on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.2 yards per attempt), TIVY allowed 15% more per attempt than those passing attacks usually gain. On the season, TIVY ranks #508 in section in pass defense. It won't get any easier against Canyon Lake, whose passing game ranks #17 in section (14.1 yards per attempt).
• Club Tivy has won 8 straight, and a win would make it 9 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Tivy went a game being held under 100 rushing yards was November 8, 2024 against Boerne (L, 21-49). Since then Tivy has gone 20 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, a school-record 20 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Tivy went a game being held under 6.0 yards per play was November 1, 2024 against Alamo Heights (L, 7-39). Since then Tivy has gone 21 straight games averaging 6.0+ yards per play, a school-record 21 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Tivy went a game forcing no turnovers was November 1, 2024 against Alamo Heights (L, 7-39). Since then Tivy has gone 21 straight games forcing 1+ turnover, a school-record 21 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Tivy is 21-2 all time when scoring 40+ points. Tivy's last loss when scoring 40+ points was November 14, 2025 against Gregory-portland (L, 50-75).
• Club Tivy has scored 208 points over its last 3 games (69.3 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 3-game stretch since the 217 from September 10, 2026 through October 2, 2026.
• Player Aiden Zavala has 579 rushing yards over his last 5 games (115.8 a game, September 4, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Aiden Zavala has 6 rushing touchdowns over his last 3 games (2.0 a game, September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Kenyon Armelin has gone 6 straight games recording 100+ receiving yards, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Kenyon Armelin has gone 6 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Joshua Wheatfall has gone 2 straight games running for a touchdown, the longest such streak of his career.
From the games on file through Oct 23.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Oct 30; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 4 | COHEN STEHLING | 4 | 61/93 | 65.6% | 1,469 | 15.8 | 19 | 1 | 263.5 |
| 9 | JAKE RILEY | 2 | 12/26 | 46.2% | 171 | 6.6 | 3 | 1 | 131.8 |
| 10 | BRODIE DALE | 5 | 5/6 | 83.3% | 99 | 16.5 | 1 | 0 | 276.9 |
| 6 | GAVIN WHELAN | 4 | 3/7 | 42.9% | 53 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 153.6 |
| 9 | HAGEN YOUNG | 3 | 5/8 | 62.5% | 51 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 116.1 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 86/140 | 61.4% | 1,843 | 13.2 | 24 | 2 | 225.7 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 24 | AIDEN ZAVALA | 6 | 84 | 634 | 7.5 | 11 |
| 4 | COHEN STEHLING | 4 | 30 | 285 | 9.5 | 7 |
| 23 | JOSHUA WHEATFALL | 6 | 17 | 224 | 13.2 | 4 |
| 1 | EVAN BATTS | 3 | 3 | 57 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 10 | BRODIE DALE | 5 | 9 | 55 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 45 | ADLER GREENBAUM | 4 | 6 | 32 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 21 | COOPER JAIMES | 5 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 |
| 18 | JADEN LOPEZ | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 |
| 12 | JOSEPH DIAZ | 6 | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 |
| 2 | KENYON ARMELIN | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 |
| 33 | WESLEY MALDONADO | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 9 | JAKE RILEY | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| 5 | KYRIN ARMELIN | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 |
| 9 | HAGEN YOUNG | 3 | 4 | -1 | -0.2 | 0 |
| 8 | ADEN BALDWIN | 4 | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 175 | 1,355 | 7.7 | 26 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 5 | KYRIN ARMELIN | 3 | 38 | 868 | 22.8 | 11 |
| 2 | KENYON ARMELIN | 3 | 19 | 468 | 24.6 | 7 |
| 0 | WESLEY MILLER | 6 | 8 | 140 | 17.5 | 2 |
| 5 | KYRIN ARMELIN | 1 | 5 | 124 | 24.8 | 2 |
| 24 | AIDEN ZAVALA | 6 | 6 | 83 | 13.8 | 1 |
| 8 | ADEN BALDWIN | 4 | 1 | 69 | 69.0 | 0 |
| 14 | CRISTIAN BENAVIDES | 4 | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 |
| 33 | WESLEY MALDONADO | 2 | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 0 |
| 1 | EVAN BATTS | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 87 | REID SONNENBERG | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 1 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 85 | 1,821 | 21.4 | 24 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 15 | AVELINO ARREOLA | 5 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | JOSEPH DIAZ | 6 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | COOPER JAIMES | 5 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 50 | RYAN BALSER | 5 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | BRODIE DALE | 5 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | JOSHUA WHEATFALL | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 45 | ADLER GREENBAUM | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 | SAM BARBER | 5 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | NIKOLAS VIOLA | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 99 | KAIDEN RAGSTON | 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | WILLIAM RUSS | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | JACK VALENTINE | 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | ADEN BALDWIN | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | GAVIN WHELAN | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | JACKSON CLEMONS | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 36 | NICOLAS MARQUEZ | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 63 | CATCHER SHORT | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 62 | BRADY INGRAM | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 87 | REID SONNENBERG | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 44 | JUAN CABALLERO | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | CRISTIAN BENAVIDES | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 78 | WESLEY PARKER | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 | WESLEY MALDONADO | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | JADEN LOPEZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | KYRIN ARMELIN | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 71 | ADRIAN TORK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 70 | ETHAN WELDON | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | EVAN BATTS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | HAGEN YOUNG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | JAKE RILEY | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | WESLEY MILLER | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | KYRIN ARMELIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 6 | 374 | 45 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 7 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 324 | 359 | 29.5 |
| 2023 | 6-4 | 277 | 193 | 27.7 |
| 2024 | 6-5 | 424 | 355 | 38.5 |
| 2025 | 6-5 | 489 | 449 | 44.5 |
| 2026 | 8-0 | 538 | 242 | 67.2 |
| 2022-26 | 31-20 | 40.2 |
1 state final loss
| YEAR | HONOR |
| 1936 | UIL STATE State RUNNER-UP (lost to Amarillo 19-6) |
State championship games and title-game MVPs: UIL Fall Almanac 2025-26. League finishes: no league schedule on file yet, so none is claimed.
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TIVY | 4-0 | 8-0 | 14 / 193 | 1 (5.5-0.5) | 278-135 | 10/30 vs CANYON LAKE |
| 2 | CANYON LAKE | 4-1 | 5-2 | 33 / 393 | 2 (4.3-1.7) | 286-136 | 10/30 vs TIVY |
| 3 | FREDERICKSBURG | 3-1 | 6-2 | 37 / 433 | 3 (4.0-2.0) | 161-94 | 10/30 vs TAYLOR |
| 4 | DAVENPORT | 2-2 | 5-3 | 15 / 202 | 4 (4.0-2.0) | 230-157 | 10/30 vs TRAVIS |
| 5 | TAYLOR | 1-3 | 5-3 | 56 / 681 | 5 (2.1-3.9) | 178-226 | 10/30 vs FREDERICKSBURG |
| 6 | TRAVIS | 1-3 | 2-6 | 89 / 1084 | 6 (1.1-4.9) | 91-161 | 10/30 vs DAVENPORT |
| 7 | NORTHEAST EARLY COLLEGE | 0-5 | 2-7 | 101 / 1186 | 7 (0.0-6.0) | 33-348 | 11/05 vs DAVENPORT |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | DEL RIO | at | W | 54-7 | |
| 09/04 | LEGACY RANCH | vs | W | 59-45 | |
| 09/10 | CHURCHILL | at | W | 77-41 | |
| 09/25 | LBJ AUSTIN | vs | W | 70-14 | |
| 10/02 | DAVENPORT | at | W | 70-66 | |
| 10/09 | TAYLOR | vs | W | 79-56 | |
| 10/16 | TRAVIS | at | W | 49-13 | |
| 10/23 | NORTHEAST EARLY COLLEGE | vs | W | 80-0 | |
| 10/30 | CANYON LAKE | at | PROJ | 40-37 | 56.4% |
| 11/06 | FREDERICKSBURG | vs | PROJ | 38-30 | 65.6% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 8-0 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 8-0 so far | 9-1 (47%) | 9.3-0.7 |
| League | 5-0 so far | 5-0 (100%) | 5.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 67.2 | 30.2 | 592.0 | 495.5 | 59.8 | 67.8 |
| HOME | 4 | 72.0 | 28.8 | 652.2 | 495.7 | 63.0 | 61.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 62.5 | 31.8 | 531.8 | 495.3 | 56.5 | 74.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Del Rio | W 54-7 | 366 | 105 | 471 | 187 | 117 | 304 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| 9/4 | vs. Legacy Ranch | W 59-45 | 328 | 309 | 637 | 213 | 345 | 558 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
| 9/10 | @ Churchill | W 77-41 | 311 | 244 | 555 | 385 | 134 | 519 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2 |
| 9/25 | vs. LBJ Austin | W 70-14 | 515 | 157 | 672 | 130 | 257 | 387 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +2 |
| 10/2 | @ Davenport | W 70-66 | 382 | 377 | 759 | 353 | 310 | 663 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | 0 |
| 10/9 | vs. Taylor | W 79-56 | 290 | 489 | 779 | 221 | 321 | 542 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ Travis | W 49-13 | 160 | 182 | 342 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 |
| 10/23 | vs. Northeast Early College | W 80-0 | 163 | 358 | 521 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
| AVERAGES | 314.4 | 277.6 | 592.0 | 248.2 | 247.3 | 495.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | +9 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 6/8, sacks/INT 6/8, sacks allowed 5/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 99.2/100 (+233 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 87.2/100 (+100 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 22.0/100 (+38 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 8.3/100 (+114 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | CANYON LAKE | 5-2 | 51.6 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | FREDERICKSBURG | 6-2 | 31.1 |
LAST YEAR
TIV finished 2025 at 6-5. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 50-7 over SAM HOUSTON (SAM HOUSTON finished 55% that season). Toughest loss: 56-59 to VICTORIA WEST (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | DEL RIO | W | 1-0 | 41 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | DAVENPORT | L | 1-1 | 13 | 66 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | FREDERICKSBURG | W | 2-1 | 48 | 10 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | SAM HOUSTON | W | 3-1 | 50 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | HARLANDALE | W | 4-1 | 42 | 34 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | VICTORIA WEST | L | 4-2 | 56 | 59 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-09 | VETERANS MEMORIAL | W | 5-2 | 56 | 25 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | MCCOLLUM | W | 6-2 | 63 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | ALAMO HEIGHTS | L | 6-3 | 35 | 77 | 622 | 888 |
| 2025-11-07 | BOERNE | L | 6-4 | 35 | 62 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | GREGORY-PORTLAND | L | 6-5 | 50 | 75 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 6-5 | 6-5 | 489 | 449 | 622 (1) | 888 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• TIV averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.999), and has won 7 straight when doing so
• TIV rushes for 150+ yards (.778), and has won 7 straight when doing so
• TIV forces 3+ takeaways (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• TIV holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.800), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• TIV's offense has exceeded 6.0 YPP in 8 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 8-0 over that stretch.
• TIV's offense has exceeded 7.0 YPP in 8 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 8-0 over that stretch.
• TIV's offense has averaged 343.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 215.9 rush yards per game. (+59%)
• TIV's offense has averaged 69.6 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 30-game average is 48.4 points scored per game. (+44%)
• TIV's offense has averaged 10.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 7.3 YPC. (+40%)
• TIV's offense has committed 1+ turnover in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-0 over that stretch.
• TIV's offense has averaged 204.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 322.3 pass yards per game. (-37%)
• TIV's defense has averaged 23.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 34.9 points allowed per game. (-34%)
• TIV averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards
• TIV holds its opponents under 315.5 rushing yards (TIV's own median) (.999)
• TIV holds its opponents under 8.1 yards per carry (TIV's own median) (.999)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
TIV -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 8 scored; vs 539 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | Turnovers 1+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 30.2 | W8 | 0.900 |
| 2 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 8-1 | .889 | 63.7 | W8 | 0.760 |
| 3 | OFF | YPP 7+ | 8-1 | .889 | 63.7 | W8 | 0.732 |
| 4 | OFF | YPA 8+ | 7-1 | .875 | 61.6 | W7 | 0.681 |
| 5 | OFF | Rush Yds 150+ | 7-2 | .778 | 63.9 | W7 | 0.609 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- TIV ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| TIV averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 7-0 | .999 | 69.1 | W7 |
| TIV averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 6-1 | .857 | 63.4 | W6 |
| TIV averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 7-0 | .999 | 69.1 | W7 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| TIV | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 7-0 | .999 | 69.1 |
| TIV | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 6-1 | .857 | 63.4 |
| TIV | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 7-0 | .999 | 69.1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 7-1 | .875 | 61.6 | W7 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 43.5 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 6-5 | .545 | 52.9 | W6 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-1 | .667 | 45.3 | W2 | 16 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 8-5 | .615 | 53.6 | W8 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 21.0 | L1 | 16 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 7-2 | .778 | 63.9 | W7 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-4 | .200 | 28.6 | W1 | 16 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 69.1 | W7 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 32.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 8-1 | .889 | 63.7 | W8 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 8-1 | .889 | 63.7 | W8 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 67.4 | W5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 67.0 | W3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-3 | .000 | 25.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.8 |
| Scores 40+ | 19-2 | .905 | 58.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 65.4 | W7 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 80.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 68.2 | W6 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 67.2 | W8 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 69.1 | W7 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 54.0 | W1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 69.1 | W7 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 54.0 | W1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 67.2 | W8 |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 7.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 67.2 | W8 |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 67.4 | W5 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 67.0 | W3 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 67.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 61.3 | W2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-1 | .800 | 32.2 | W4 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-1 | .800 | 57.0 | W4 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-1 | .667 | 20.0 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 6-2 | .750 | 43.1 | W6 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-2 | .667 | 49.5 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-2 | .667 | 49.5 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-2 | .714 | 48.3 | W5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-2 | .667 | 49.5 | W4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 30.2 | W8 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 39.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 26.6 | W7 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 24.3 | W3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 13.2 |
| Allows 20-29 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 21.2 |
| Allows 30-39 | 2-1 | .667 | 36.3 |
| Allows 40+ | 4-9 | .308 | 58.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 53.5 | W2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 30.5 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 52.0 | W4 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 38.2 | W6 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 45.2 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 45.2 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 44.4 | W5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 45.2 | W4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 30.2 | W8 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 26.6 | W7 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 24.3 | W3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 52.0 |
TIVY
• TIVY has scored 30+ in 17 straight games (9/12/25–10/23/26). It has not reached 18 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• TIVY has scored 40+ in 9 straight games (11/14/25–10/23/26). It has not reached 10 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• TIVY has won 8 straight (8/28/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 9 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• TIVY has won by 20+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8 | 7-1 | .875 | 61.6 | W7 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 43.5 | W1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 11 | 6-5 | .545 | 52.9 | W6 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 45.3 | W2 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 13 | 8-5 | .615 | 53.6 | W8 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 21.0 | L1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 63.9 | W7 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 28.6 | W1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 69.1 | W7 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 32.0 | W1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 63.7 | W8 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 63.7 | W8 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 67.4 | W5 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 67.0 | W3 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 64.5 | W2 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 25.0 | L3 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.8 | L2 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 21 | 19-2 | .905 | 58.0 | W8 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 61.3 | W2 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 32.2 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 57.0 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 20.0 | W2 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 43.1 | W6 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 49.5 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 49.5 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 48.3 | W5 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 49.5 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 30.2 | W8 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 39.0 | L1 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 26.6 | W7 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 24.3 | W3 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 13.2 | W6 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 21.2 | W4 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 36.3 | W1 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 13 | 4-9 | .308 | 58.4 | W4 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-0 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| TIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-0 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-0 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 7-0 |
| TIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
TIV OFFENSE
TIV's offense has averaged 343.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 215.9 rush yards per game. (+59%)
TIV's offense has averaged 69.6 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 30-game average is 48.4 points scored per game. (+44%)
TIV's offense has averaged 10.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 7.3 YPC. (+40%)
TIV's offense has averaged 204.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 14-game average is 322.3 pass yards per game. (-37%)
TIV's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.2 giveaways per game. (-20%)
TIV DEFENSE
TIV's defense has averaged 23.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 34.9 points allowed per game. (-34%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| TIV | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 204.3 | 14 | 322.3 | -36.6% | |
| TIV | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 23.0 | 30 | 34.9 | -34.0% | |
| TIV | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 69.6 | 30 | 48.4 | +43.9% | |
| TIV | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 343.0 | 14 | 215.9 | +58.9% | |
| TIV | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.0 | 8 | 1.2 | -20.0% | |
| TIV | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 10.3 | 10 | 7.3 | +40.1% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -2.2 in 2022 to 5.8 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
