In short: Sultana Sultans high school football (Hesperia, CA), 2026 season: 1-8 in the Mojave River League. Last game: L 14-30 vs Hesperia on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Apple Valley, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The battle on the ground could decide Sultana's next game, against Apple Valley, and the recent returns favor Apple Valley. Sultana allowed 5.0 yards per carry (443 yards on 88 rushes) over its first 3 games (1-2), #171 in CIF-SS in that timeframe. In the 6 games since that hot start (0-6), the Sultans have allowed 8.9 yards per carry (1,523 yards on 171 rushes), a 77% rise, #367 in CIF-SS in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sultana's last 6 opponents have averaged 6.2 yards per carry, a #139 rushing attack in CIF-SS on the season, against 5.7 yards per carry, #173 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.2 yards per carry), Sultana allowed 44% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #127 in CIF-SS, well above the first 3 (#221), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Apple Valley's ground game has been one of CIF-SS's better units in recent weeks. The Sun Devils have averaged 6.5 yards per carry (1,118 yards on 172 rushes) over their last 6 games (5-1), #118 in CIF-SS during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of run defenses in CIF-SS (5.1 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #135). Against those norms, Apple Valley ran for 27% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #94 in CIF-SS, a strong slate. Unless Sultana's run defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Apple Valley.
The number to watch when Sultana meets Apple Valley is Sultana's scoring defense. Sultana allowed 31.5 points per game over its first 6 games (1-5), #321 in CIF-SS through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Sultans have allowed 49.0 points per game, a 56% rise, #393 in CIF-SS through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sultana's last 3 opponents have averaged 30.4 points per game, a #124 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 21.9 points per game, #255 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.4 points per game), Sultana allowed 61% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #69 in CIF-SS, well above the first 6 (#212), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Apple Valley's offense has been one of CIF-SS's better units in recent weeks. The Sun Devils have averaged 35.7 points per game over their last 3 games (3-0), #84 in CIF-SS over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in CIF-SS (22.7 points per game on the season, which would rank #190). Against those norms, Apple Valley scored 57% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #91 in CIF-SS, a strong slate. Unless Sultana's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Apple Valley. Sultana is 1-3 this season when it holds opponents under 31, and 0-5 when it doesn't.
NOTES
Sultana's ground game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Sultana averaged 3.1 yards per carry (684 yards on 220 rushes) on the season, #360 in CIF-SS, but that number is boosted by a 225-yard game on 39 rushes against Adelanto on 9/4. In all other games, Sultana is at 2.5 yards per carry (459 yards on 181 rushes), a figure that would rank #369 in CIF-SS. Context matters here: Adelanto's run defense ranks among the weakest in CIF-SS (7.2 yards per carry, #323 of 404), so that game says more about the opponent than about the unit itself. Against Apple Valley, Sultana draws one of the better run defenses (4.8 yards per carry, #100), so expect something closer to the 2.5 version.
The biggest worry in Sultana's season has been the direction of its offense. The Sultans averaged 20.3 points per game over their first 3 games (1-2), #245 in CIF-SS within that period. In the 6 games since that hot start (0-6), Sultana has averaged 10.2 points per game, a 50% drop, #374 in CIF-SS across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sultana's last 6 opponents have averaged 21.7 points per game, a #173 scoring defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 26.9 points per game, #260 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (21.7 points per game), Sultana scored 53% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #127 in CIF-SS, well above the first 3 (#221), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Sultana was held to 14 points or fewer 5 times in those games, including 0 against Barstow on 9/11. On the season, the Sultans rank #350 in CIF-SS in scoring. Apple Valley's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #120 in CIF-SS (18.6 points per game). Sultana is 1-1 this season when it scores 19 or more, and 0-7 when it doesn't.
Sultana's defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. Sultana allowed 7.1 yards per play (1,625 yards on 229 snaps) over its first 5 games (1-4), #243 in CIF-SS during those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), the Sultans have allowed 9.9 yards per play (1,674 yards on 169 snaps), a 40% rise, #354 in CIF-SS during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sultana's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.4 yards per play, a #119 offense in CIF-SS on the season, against 6.0 yards per play, #248 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.4 yards per play), Sultana allowed 33% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #91 in CIF-SS, well above the first 5 (#220), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Sultana ranks #327 in CIF-SS in yards per play allowed. Apple Valley's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #147 in CIF-SS (7.1 yards per play).
Something changed for Sultana's ball security after the first 5 games of the season. The Sultans committed 2.4 giveaways per game over their first 5 games (1-4), #366 in CIF-SS during that stretch. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), Sultana has committed 3.2 giveaways per game, a 35% rise, #394 in CIF-SS over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sultana's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.9 per game, a #62 defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 1.6 per game, #129 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.9 per game), Sultana turned it over 67% more than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #91 in CIF-SS, well above the first 5 (#220), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Sultans rank #397 in CIF-SS in giveaways. Apple Valley's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #177 in CIF-SS (1.4 per game).
One of Sultana's shakiest areas lately has been its offense. Sultana averaged 5.1 yards per play (1,285 yards on 254 snaps) over its first 5 games (1-4), #317 in CIF-SS over that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), the Sultans have averaged 3.8 yards per play (796 yards on 212 snaps), a 26% drop, #338 in CIF-SS over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Sultana's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.1 yards per play, a #141 defense in CIF-SS on the season, against 7.0 yards per play, #247 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.1 yards per play), Sultana gained 38% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #91 in CIF-SS, well above the first 5 (#220), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Sultana ranks #347 in CIF-SS in yards per play. Apple Valley's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #215 in CIF-SS (6.7 yards per play).
TIDBITS (11 found)
• Club Sultana has lost 6 straight, and a loss would make it 7 in a row. The last time they lost 7 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 9.
• Club Sultana has gone 14 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (October 3, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 1-13 over that stretch, a school-record 14 straight in the 22 seasons on record.
• Club Sultana has gone 6 straight games being held under 150 rushing yards (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-6 over that stretch, matching the program record of 6 straight on record.
• Club Sultana has gone 6 straight games allowing 6.0+ yards per play (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-6 over that stretch, matching the program record of 6 straight on record.
• Club Sultana is 14-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (14 such games).
• Club Sultana has allowed 147 points over its last 3 games (49.0 a game, October 8, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 3-game stretch since the 148 from October 24, 2024 through August 22, 2025.
• Club Sultana has gone 6 straight games being held under 8.0 yards per attempt (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 0-6 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2026 (12 games).
• Player Austin Mullinax has gone 3 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 4 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, during the 2025 season.
• Player Daniel Moreno has never had a game recording 100+ receiving yards for Sultana, over a 13-game career on record. His career high is 97, set October 23, 2026 against Hesperia (L, 14-30).
• Player Josiah Pele has gone 6 straight games without making 10 or more tackles. The last time he made 10 tackles was September 4, 2026 against Adelanto (W, 37-6) — 10 tackles.
• Player Carter Shea has gone 5 straight games without making 10 or more tackles. The last time he made 10 tackles was September 11, 2026 against Barstow (L, 0-40) — 11 tackles.
MILESTONE WATCH
Sultana
Travis Felix-Hernandez needs 3 tackles for 50 (averaging 5.9 a game)
Austin Mullinax needs 103 passing yards for 1,500 (averaging 155.2 a game)
Carter Shea needs 8 tackles for 75 (averaging 8.4 a game)
Josiah Pele needs 8 tackles for 75 (averaging 7.4 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Oct 26; roster and numbers checked Sep 3.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file. SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 30.3/100 (-55 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 24.0/100 (-70 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 22.1/100 (+38 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 28.5/100 (+42 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
SUL finished 2025 at 1-9. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 1-0 over VICTOR VALLEY (VICTOR VALLEY finished 50% that season). Toughest loss: 28-33 to HESPERIA (5-point margin).
SUL — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
1-12
.077
3.2
Scores 10-19
2-9
.182
14.4
Scores 20-29
0-4
.000
22.8
Scores 30-39
1-0
1.000
37.0
Scores 40+
--
--
--
SUL — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
1-0
1.000
37.0
W1
YPA < 8.0
0-8
.000
10.6
L8
Pass Yds 200+
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
Pass Yds < 200
1-6
.143
14.4
L4
Rush Yds 100+
1-2
.333
22.7
L1
Rush Yds < 100
0-6
.000
9.0
L6
Rush Yds 150+
1-0
1.000
37.0
W1
Rush Yds < 150
0-8
.000
10.6
L8
YPC 5.0+
1-1
.500
25.5
L1
YPC < 5.0
0-7
.000
10.1
L7
YPP 6.0+
1-1
.500
25.5
L1
YPP < 6.0
0-7
.000
10.1
L7
YPP 7.0+
1-0
1.000
37.0
W1
YPP < 7.0
0-8
.000
10.6
L8
Turnovers 1+
1-7
.125
12.6
L5
Turnovers < 1
0-1
.000
21.0
L1
Turnovers 2+
1-6
.143
12.0
L5
Turnovers > 2
0-5
.000
6.6
L5
SUL — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-3
.000
2.3
Scores 10-19
0-4
.000
14.2
Scores 20-29
0-1
.000
21.0
Scores 30-39
1-0
1.000
37.0
Scores 40+
--
--
--
SUL — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
1-16
.059
39.1
L9
YPA < 8.0
1-9
.100
29.2
L3
2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
1-6
.143
38.0
L4
Pass Yds < 200
1-19
.050
34.5
L5
2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
1-24
.040
36.6
L14
Rush Yds < 100
1-1
.500
20.5
W1
2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
1-19
.050
36.9
L11
Rush Yds < 150
1-6
.143
31.1
L1
2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
1-20
.048
37.5
L12
YPC < 5.0
1-5
.167
28.2
W1
2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
1-19
.050
39.2
L13
YPP < 6.0
1-6
.143
24.6
W1
2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
1-16
.059
39.9
L10
YPP < 7.0
1-9
.100
27.7
L2
2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
3-21
.125
34.2
L6
Turnovers < 1
1-4
.200
29.4
L2
Turnovers 2+
2-8
.200
30.7
L6
Turnovers > 2
2-1
.667
12.7
L1
SUL — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
4-0
1.000
4.5
Allows 10-19
0-2
.000
16.5
Allows 20-29
0-4
.000
26.5
Allows 30-39
0-10
.000
32.3
Allows 40+
0-9
.000
54.2
SUL — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
0-5
.000
46.4
L5
YPA < 8.0
1-3
.250
26.0
L3
Pass Yds 200+
0-2
.000
49.5
L2
Pass Yds < 200
1-6
.143
33.9
L5
Rush Yds 100+
0-8
.000
41.2
L8
Rush Yds < 100
1-0
1.000
6.0
W1
Rush Yds 150+
0-7
.000
40.3
L7
Rush Yds < 150
1-1
.500
27.0
L1
YPC 5.0+
0-7
.000
42.9
L7
YPC < 5.0
1-1
.500
18.0
W1
YPP 6.0+
0-8
.000
41.2
L8
YPP < 6.0
1-0
1.000
6.0
W1
YPP 7.0+
0-5
.000
45.0
L5
YPP < 7.0
1-3
.250
27.8
L2
Turnovers 1+
1-7
.125
35.1
L6
Turnovers < 1
0-1
.000
55.0
L1
Turnovers 2+
0-3
.000
36.3
L3
Turnovers > 2
--
--
--
--
SUL — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
1-0
1.000
6.0
Allows 10-19
--
--
--
Allows 20-29
0-1
.000
27.0
Allows 30-39
0-3
.000
30.3
Allows 40+
0-4
.000
53.0
ON THE BRINK
SULTANA
• SULTANA has committed 2+ turnovers in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not committed 2+ turnovers in 5 straight since 8/28/25–10/24/25 (2025).
• SULTANA has allowed 30+ in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not allowed 30+ in 5 straight since 10/9/25–8/27/26 (2026).
• SULTANA has allowed a 100-yard rusher in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 5 straight since 10/17/24–9/12/25 (2025).
• SULTANA has allowed 400+ total yards in 2 straight games (10/15/26–10/23/26). It has not allowed 400+ total yards in 3 straight since 10/9/25–8/21/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 5 straight (2026) in that span.
SUL's defense has averaged 49.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 33.4 points allowed per game. (+47%)
SUL's defense has averaged 10.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 27-game average is 8.6 YPP. (+22%)
SUL's defense has averaged 185.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 27-game average is 152.1 pass yards per game. (+22%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where SULTANA sits among 399 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 38.9, Defense Grade 26.2.
YARDS / PLAY: SULTANA VS THE SECTION
SULTANA ranks #305 of 356 section teams in yards per play (4.96) -- a weakness worth a look.
SULTANA: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -0.1 in 2022 to -5.2 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
