In short: Shadow Mountain Matadors high school football (Phoenix, AZ), 2026 season: 3-8. Last game: W 42-13 vs Odyssey Institute on October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 2-8 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 23-61 vs SHOW LOW |
| NEXT GAME | -- |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 34.4 · Rush Off 27.6 · Pass Def 37.9 · Rush Def 14.4 |
| LEAGUE | 3A WEST |
| ENROLLMENT | 1,148 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHADOW MOUNTAIN | 34.4 (-46) | 27.6 (-62) | 37.9 (+13) | 14.4 (+84) |
The biggest shift in Shadow Mountain's season has come in its offense. Shadow Mountain averaged 17.9 points per game over its first 8 games (1-7), #172 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Matadors have averaged 32.7 points per game, an 83% rise, #83 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Shadow Mountain's last 3 opponents have averaged 35.3 points per game, a #205 scoring defense in section on the season, against 23.5 points per game, #123 for the first 8. Measured against those opponents' norms (35.3 points per game), Shadow Mountain scored 7% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, Shadow Mountain ranks #156 in section in scoring.
Shadow Mountain's ground game from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Matadors averaged 5.7 yards per carry (753 yards on 133 rushes) over their first 5 games (1-4), #121 in section during that time. In the 6 games since that hot start (2-4), Shadow Mountain has averaged 3.2 yards per carry (287 yards on 91 rushes), a 44% drop, #207 in section through those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Shadow Mountain's last 6 opponents have averaged 6.1 yards per carry, a #124 run defense in section on the season, against 7.2 yards per carry, #173 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.1 yards per carry), Shadow Mountain ran for 48% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. On the season, the Matadors rank #177 in section in rushing.
Something changed for Shadow Mountain's defense after its first 4 games. Shadow Mountain forced 2.2 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #46 in section through that stretch. In the 7 games since that hot start (2-5), the Matadors have forced 1.3 takeaways per game, a 41% drop, #142 in section over that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.3 per game on the season. On the season, Shadow Mountain ranks #98 in section in takeaways.
The Matadors committed 2.5 giveaways per game over their first 4 games (1-3), #203 in section within that period. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 7 games since that slow start (2-5), Shadow Mountain has committed 1.5 giveaways per game, a 40% drop, #122 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.5 per game on the season. On the season, the Matadors rank #180 in section in giveaways.
One of Shadow Mountain's shakiest areas lately has been its offense. Shadow Mountain averaged 6.1 yards per play (1,191 yards on 194 snaps) over its first 5 games (1-4), #137 in section during those games. In the 6 games since that hot start (2-4), the Matadors have averaged 4.3 yards per play (743 yards on 172 snaps), a 30% drop, #202 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Shadow Mountain's last 6 opponents have averaged 6.8 yards per play, a #123 defense in section on the season, against 7.8 yards per play, #172 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.8 yards per play), Shadow Mountain gained 36% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. On the season, Shadow Mountain ranks #178 in section in yards per play.
• Club Shadow Mountain is 12-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (12 such games).
• Club Shadow Mountain has allowed 125 points over its last 3 games (41.7 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 135, from August 30, 2024 through September 20, 2024.
• Player Coltyn Casas has 5 sacks over his last 5 games (1.0 a game, August 21, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Jaiden Hill has never had a game recording 100+ receiving yards for Shadow Mountain, over a 24-game career on record. His career high is 71, set September 27, 2024 against Madison Highland Prep (W, 53-3).
• Player Jaiden Hill has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Shadow Mountain, over a 24-game career on record. His career high is 9, set September 18, 2026 against Kingman (L, 28-29).
• Player Coltyn Casas has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Shadow Mountain, over a 18-game career on record. His career high is 7, set August 21, 2026 against Ala - Mesa North (L, 14-26).
DATA WARNING: SHADOW MOUNTAIN OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/16/2026 GAME @ ALA - VISTANCIA MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 25; roster and numbers checked Oct 6.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 5 | MICHAEL COLLINS | 4 | 13/38 | 34.2% | 206 | 5.4 | 2 | 4 | 76.1 |
| 21 | TREVOR FERRO | 5 | 7/11 | 63.6% | 98 | 8.9 | 0 | 1 | 120.3 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 20/49 | 40.8% | 304 | 6.2 | 2 | 5 | 86.0 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 21 | TREVOR FERRO | 5 | 64 | 398 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 5 | MICHAEL COLLINS | 4 | 21 | 78 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 2 | JUSTIN SMITH II | 3 | 14 | 60 | 4.3 | 0 |
| 8 | COLTYN CASAS | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 100 | 538 | 5.4 | 5 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 3 | JAIDEN HILL | 5 | 8 | 115 | 14.4 | 2 |
| 21 | TREVOR FERRO | 5 | 4 | 91 | 22.8 | 1 |
| 22 | AYDEN ANTYPAS | 1 | 2 | 74 | 37.0 | 0 |
| 5 | MICHAEL COLLINS | 4 | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 17 | 291 | 17.1 | 3 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 8 | COLTYN CASAS | 5 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 99 | DALTON JONES | 4 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | ISAAC MONTFOORT | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | KEVIEL HERNANDEZ | 4 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 54 | ANGELO TUKA | 4 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 44 | PRESTON BOVEE-MALONE | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | AYANDE DELLANO | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | JAIDEN HILL | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 29 | AIDEN RYAN | 4 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 33 | CALVIN SLIVINSKI | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | JORDAN TUCKER | 5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 50 | TRISTAN CLENDENIN | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | MAX SPILGER | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | NOAH STRICKLAND | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 60 | SILAS INDERRIEDAN | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 56 | CJ LATHAM | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 72 | EVAN DAVIS | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | MICHAEL COLLINS | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 75 | KINGSLEY CLYDESDALE | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ISAAC BARETT | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | AYDEN ANTYPAS | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | JUSTIN SMITH II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | TREVOR FERRO | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | ELIJAH AGUILAR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 53 | FELIX PEREZ-VARGAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 293 | 46 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 8 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 5-5 | 235 | 258 | 23.5 |
| 2023 | 4-6 | 373 | 228 | 37.3 |
| 2024 | 4-6 | 244 | 252 | 24.4 |
| 2025 | 5-6 | 187 | 240 | 17.0 |
| 2026 | 2-8 | 199 | 345 | 19.9 |
| 2022-26 | 20-31 | 24.3 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | ALA - MESA NORTH | at | L | 14-26 | |
| 08/28 | NORTH CANYON | vs | L | 30-38 | |
| 09/04 | RIVER VALLEY | vs | L | 21-52 | |
| 09/10 | SAN TAN FOOTHILLS | at | W | 27-20 | |
| 09/18 | KINGMAN | at | L | 28-29 | |
| 09/25 | SIERRA LINDA | at | L | 7-14 | |
| 10/02 | DYSART | vs | L | 0-41 | |
| 10/09 | FLORENCE | at | L | 16-54 | |
| 10/16 | ALA - VISTANCIA | at | W | 33-10 | |
| 10/23 | SHOW LOW | vs | L | 23-61 | |
| 10/30 | ODYSSEY INSTITUTE | vs | PROJ | 28-20 | 66.0% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 2-8 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 2-8 so far | 3-8 (66%) | 2.7-8.3 |
| League | 0-3 so far | 0-3 (100%) | 0.0-3.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 10 | 19.9 | 34.5 | 214.9 | 433.8 | 40.7 | 46.8 |
| HOME | 4 | 18.5 | 48.0 | 193.0 | 494.0 | 40.2 | 47.5 |
| ROAD | 6 | 20.8 | 25.5 | 232.4 | 373.5 | 41.0 | 46.0 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 9/10 game(s), Home 4/4 game(s), Road 5/6 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | @ ALA - Mesa North | L 14-26 | 98 | 61 | 159 | 203 | 114 | 317 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| 8/28 | vs. North Canyon | L 30-38 | 81 | 131 | 212 | 164 | 230 | 394 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| 9/4 | vs. River Valley | L 21-52 | 55 | 143 | 198 | 86 | 457 | 543 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
| 9/10 | @ San Tan Foothills | W 27-20 | 70 | 203 | 273 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 | 2 | 4 | +4 |
| 9/18 | @ Kingman | L 28-29 | 134 | 215 | 349 | 47 | 360 | 407 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| 9/25 | @ Sierra Linda | L 7-14 | 27 | 122 | 149 | 232 | 67 | 299 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/2 | vs. Dysart | L 0-41 | 84 | 47 | 131 | 92 | 474 | 566 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -3 |
| 10/9 | @ Florence | L 16-54 | 176 | 56 | 232 | 160 | 311 | 471 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -5 |
| 10/16 | @ ALA - Vistancia | W 33-10 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +3 |
| 10/23 | vs. Show Low | L 23-61 | 169 | 62 | 231 | 149 | 324 | 473 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| AVERAGES | 99.3 | 115.6 | 214.9 | 141.6 | 292.1 | 433.8 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | -2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 9/10, defense 8/10, sacks/INT 5/10, sacks allowed 4/10 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 34.4/100 (-46 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 27.6/100 (-62 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 37.9/100 (+13 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 14.4/100 (+84 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | vs | ODYSSEY INSTITUTE | 1-8 | 8.0 |
LAST YEAR
SM finished 2025 at 5-6. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 3-0 over NORTH CANYON (NORTH CANYON finished 50% that season). Toughest loss: 13-14 to SIERRA LINDA (1-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-22 | ALA - MESA NORTH | L | 0-1 | 13 | 26 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-28 | NORTH CANYON | W | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | RIVER VALLEY | L | 1-2 | 14 | 40 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | SAN TAN FOOTHILLS | W | 2-2 | 24 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | KINGMAN | W | 3-2 | 22 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | SIERRA LINDA | L | 3-3 | 13 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | DYSART | L | 3-4 | 14 | 40 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | FLORENCE | L | 3-5 | 12 | 30 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-16 | WICKENBURG | W | 4-5 | 41 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | SHOW LOW | L | 4-6 | 3 | 43 | 164 | 375 |
| 2025-10-31 | ODYSSEY INSTITUTE | W | 5-6 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 80 |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 5-6 | 5-6 | 187 | 240 | 445 (2) | 455 (2) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• SM rushes for 150+ yards (.667), but most recently lost to Kingman when doing so
• SM holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.333), but most recently lost to Sierra Linda when doing so
• SM commits zero giveaways (.400), but most recently lost to Show Low when doing so
• SM holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.250), but most recently lost to Dysart when doing so
• SM's defense has averaged 22.8 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 12.9 YPA. (+77%)
• SM's offense has averaged 172.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 101.6 pass yards per game. (+70%)
• SM's defense has averaged 41.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 27.0 points allowed per game. (+54%)
• SM's offense has averaged 59.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 111.9 rush yards per game. (-47%)
• SM's offense has averaged 1.3 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 13-game average is 2.4 giveaways per game. (-46%)
• SM's offense has averaged 2.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 12-game average is 3.9 YPC. (-27%)
• SM's defense has averaged 317.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 258.1 rush yards per game. (+23%)
• SM's offense has averaged 15.8 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 31-game average is 20.3 points scored per game. (-22%)
• SM's offense has averaged 5.2 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 12-game average is 6.5 YPA. (-21%)
• SM averages 6.9+ yards per attempt (SM's own median) (.333)
• SM averages 5.0+ yards per play (SM's own median) (.333)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
SM -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 19 scored; vs 502 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 5-9 | .357 | 23.5 | L2 | 0.806 |
| 2 | DEF | Turnovers 1+ | 3-8 | .273 | 30.9 | L1 | 0.701 |
| 3 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 2-8 | .200 | 14.6 | L4 | 0.506 |
| 4 | OFF | Pass Yds < 200 | 4-19 | .174 | 16.5 | L5 | 0.447 |
| 5 | OFF | Turnovers 3+ | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 | 0.426 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- SM ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| SM rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 4-9 | .308 | 21.2 | L2 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| SM | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-9 | .308 | 21.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 25.0 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.0 | L4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 40.5 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-19 | .174 | 16.5 | L5 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 5-9 | .357 | 23.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-10 | .091 | 11.9 | L4 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-2 | .667 | 36.3 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-17 | .105 | 12.7 | L7 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 26.5 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-7 | .125 | 12.2 | L5 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 28.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-8 | .111 | 13.2 | L6 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 29.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-8 | .200 | 14.6 | L4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-3 | .400 | 23.6 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-5 | .167 | 3.3 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-11 | .000 | 13.2 |
| Scores 20-29 | 4-3 | .571 | 24.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | 3-1 | .750 | 34.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 52.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 24.0 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 15.7 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-8 | .111 | 18.4 | L5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-4 | .200 | 22.6 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-4 | .000 | 13.2 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-1 | .500 | 27.5 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-7 | .000 | 15.9 | L7 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 26.5 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 12.0 | L5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 28.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.5 | L6 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 29.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-6 | .143 | 15.4 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-5 | .000 | 16.2 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-3 | .400 | 23.6 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-5 | .000 | 16.2 | L5 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-5 | .000 | 16.2 | L5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.5 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 15.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-3 | .250 | 24.8 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.5 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 42.9 | L7 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 28.5 | L3 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-3 | .000 | 30.0 | L3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-7 | .125 | 40.5 | L6 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-9 | .000 | 43.8 | L9 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-1 | .500 | 10.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-8 | .000 | 46.0 | L8 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | L2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-9 | .000 | 43.8 | L9 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 10.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-10 | .000 | 40.8 | L10 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-9 | .000 | 43.8 | L9 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 10.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-8 | .273 | 30.9 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-2 | .000 | 52.0 | L2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-4 | .333 | 29.5 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-2 | .333 | 12.7 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-5 | .375 | 24.2 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-3 | .000 | 34.3 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-10 | .000 | 48.1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 41.4 | L5 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 36.0 | L3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 20.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-6 | .000 | 45.8 | L6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-7 | .000 | 43.0 | L7 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-6 | .000 | 45.8 | L6 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 20.0 | L2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 43.0 | L7 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-8 | .000 | 39.4 | L8 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 43.0 | L7 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-7 | .222 | 32.3 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 54.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | W1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 12.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 25.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 38.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-4 | .000 | 52.0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 25.0 | L3 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.0 | L4 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 40.5 | W2 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 23 | 4-19 | .174 | 16.5 | L5 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 14 | 5-9 | .357 | 23.5 | L2 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 11 | 1-10 | .091 | 11.9 | L4 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 36.3 | L1 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 19 | 2-17 | .105 | 12.7 | L7 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 26.5 | L1 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 12.2 | L5 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 28.3 | L1 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 13.2 | L6 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 29.0 | L2 |
| SM | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 10 | 2-8 | .200 | 14.6 | L4 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 23.6 | L1 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.9 | L5 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 3.3 | L3 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 11 | 0-11 | .000 | 13.2 | L11 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 24.7 | L2 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 34.0 | W1 |
| SM | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 52.0 | W3 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 42.9 | L7 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 28.5 | L3 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 30.0 | L3 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 40.5 | L6 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 0-9 | .000 | 43.8 | L9 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 10.0 | L1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 46.0 | L8 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 15.3 | L2 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 | 0-9 | .000 | 43.8 | L9 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 10.0 | L1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 10 | 0-10 | .000 | 40.8 | L10 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9 | 0-9 | .000 | 43.8 | L9 |
| SM | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 10.0 | L1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 11 | 3-8 | .273 | 30.9 | L1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 52.0 | L2 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 29.5 | W1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W2 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 | W7 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 12.7 | W1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 8 | 3-5 | .375 | 24.2 | L1 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 34.3 | L3 |
| SM | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 10 | 0-10 | .000 | 48.1 | L10 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
SM OFFENSE
SM's offense has averaged 172.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 101.6 pass yards per game. (+70%)
SM's offense has averaged 59.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 25-game average is 111.9 rush yards per game. (-47%)
SM's offense has averaged 1.3 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 13-game average is 2.4 giveaways per game. (-46%)
SM's offense has averaged 2.8 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 12-game average is 3.9 YPC. (-27%)
SM's offense has averaged 15.8 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 31-game average is 20.3 points scored per game. (-22%)
SM's offense has averaged 5.2 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 12-game average is 6.5 YPA. (-21%)
SM DEFENSE
SM's defense has averaged 22.8 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 12.9 YPA. (+77%)
SM's defense has averaged 41.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 31-game average is 27.0 points allowed per game. (+54%)
SM's defense has averaged 317.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 258.1 rush yards per game. (+23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| SM | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 172.5 | 25 | 101.6 | +69.7% | |
| SM | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 41.7 | 31 | 27.0 | +54.3% | |
| SM | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 15.8 | 31 | 20.3 | -22.3% | |
| SM | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 317.5 | 11 | 258.1 | +23.0% | |
| SM | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 59.0 | 25 | 111.9 | -47.3% | |
| SM | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 7 | 1.3 | 13 | 2.4 | -46.1% | |
| SM | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 22.8 | 11 | 12.9 | +76.6% | |
| SM | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 5 | 5.2 | 12 | 6.5 | -20.9% | |
| SM | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 2.8 | 12 | 3.9 | -27.4% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -8.9 in 2022 to -11.1 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
