In short: Scarborough Spartans high school football (Houston, TX), 2026 season: 2-6. Last game: L 0-77 vs Yates on October 22, 2026. Next: vs Worthing, October 31, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 2-6 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 0-77 vs YATES |
| NEXT GAME | WORTHING (10/31/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 53.0 · Rush Off 24.4 |
| ENROLLMENT | 750 STUDENTS (2022-23) · PUBLIC SECONDARY |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCARBOROUGH | 53.0 (-8) | 24.4 (-69) | -- | -- |
Next: vs Worthing, Sat 31 Oct. Matchup report: Worthing at Scarborough.
The number to watch when Scarborough meets Worthing is Scarborough's scoring. Scarborough averaged 31.2 points per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #537 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Spartans have averaged 4.7 points per game, an 85% drop, #1164 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Scarborough's last 3 opponents have averaged 20.8 points per game, a #276 scoring defense in section on the season, against 38.7 points per game, #993 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (20.8 points per game), Scarborough scored 78% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #956 in section, well above the first 5 (#1166), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Scarborough was held to 14 points or fewer 3 times in those games, including 0 against Kashmere on 10/15. Conversely, Worthing's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Colts have allowed 18.0 points per game over their last 3 games (1-2), #293 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in section (18.0 points per game on the season, which would rank #1009). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #1042 in section, a lower level of competition. Unless Scarborough's offense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Worthing. Scarborough is 2-1 this season when it scores 29 or more, and 0-5 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle could decide Scarborough's next game, against Worthing, and the recent returns favor Scarborough. Scarborough committed 1.8 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #870 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (1-3), the Spartans have committed 0.5 giveaways per game, a 71% drop, #155 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.2 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.2 per game), Scarborough turned it over 58% less than those defenses usually force. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #1063 in section. Meanwhile, Worthing's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Colts have forced 0.5 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #926 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in section (1.8 per game on the season, which would rank #996). Against those norms, Worthing forced 73% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #1039 in section, a lower level of competition. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Scarborough.
Scarborough's ground game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Scarborough averaged 6.8 yards per carry (878 yards on 130 rushes) on the season, #341 in section, but that number is boosted by a 323-yard game on 17 rushes against HMST on 9/4. In all other games, Scarborough is at 4.9 yards per carry (555 yards on 113 rushes), a figure that would rank #761 in section. Context matters here: HMST's run defense ranks among the weakest in section (10.4 yards per carry, #1183 of 1232), so that game says more about the opponent than about the unit itself. Against Worthing, Scarborough draws a middle-of-the-pack run defense (7.1 yards per carry, #911), so expect something closer to the 4.9 version.
The biggest worry in Scarborough's season has been the direction of its defense. The Spartans allowed 36.6 points per game over their first 5 games (2-3), #926 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), Scarborough has allowed 62.7 points per game, a 71% rise, #1206 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Scarborough's last 3 opponents have averaged 36.7 points per game, a #341 offense in section on the season, against 14.6 points per game, #1101 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (36.7 points per game), Scarborough allowed 71% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #956 in section, well above the first 5 (#1166), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Spartans rank #1151 in section in scoring defense. Worthing's offense, #1098 of 1235 (14.6 points per game), could be the get-right matchup Scarborough needs.
• Club Scarborough has lost 3 straight, and a loss would make it 4 in a row -- something they have not done in the 1 seasons on record.
Scarborough has played one of the softest schedules in the pool so far (#1212 of 1236), and what is left is a softer-than-average slate (#907 of 1145): the hard part is still ahead.
From the games on file through Sep 11.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 11 game; last updated Sep 17; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 1 | MICHEAL ALBA | 3 | 13/29 | 44.8% | 353 | 12.2 | 7 | 4 | 199.1 |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 6 | DARIL HICKS | 3 | 26 | 253 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 1 | MICHEAL ALBA | 3 | 15 | 188 | 12.5 | 1 |
| 23 | JALIL PATTERSON | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 |
| 10 | TIMOTHY CURTIS | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 |
| 20 | CARL HUNTER | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 44 | 461 | 10.5 | 3 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 3 | DAVID CAMPBELL | 3 | 10 | 201 | 20.1 | 5 |
| 8 | CORNELLIUS WHITE | 3 | 8 | 84 | 10.5 | 0 |
| 23 | JALIL PATTERSON | 3 | 3 | 56 | 18.7 | 0 |
| 7 | OSCAR DUARTE | 2 | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | 0 |
| 6 | DARIL HICKS | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 26 | 375 | 14.4 | 5 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 1 | MICHEAL ALBA | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | DARIL HICKS | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 52 | HCTOR COBAR | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | CORNELLIUS WHITE | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55 | DERRICK BASS | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | DAVID CAMPBELL | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 66 | JESIAH MARQUEZ | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | JALIL PATTERSON | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50 | JAMES RUBIO | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | OSCAR DUARTE | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | TIMOTHY CURTIS | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 69 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2026 | 2-6 | 170 | 371 | 21.2 |
| 2026 | 2-6 | 21.2 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YATES | 5-0 | 7-1 | 31 / 375 | 1 (7.0-0.0) | 327-14 | 10/30 vs KASHMERE |
| 2 | WHEATLEY | 4-1 | 5-3 | 59 / 748 | 2 (6.0-1.0) | 124-87 | 10/29 vs FURR |
| 3 | NORTH FOREST | 3-2 | 5-3 | 70 / 948 | 3 (4.6-2.4) | 132-112 | 10/31 vs WASHINGTON |
| 4 | WASHINGTON | 3-2 | 4-4 | 75 / 1037 | 5 (3.4-3.6) | 204-87 | 10/31 vs NORTH FOREST |
| 5 | KASHMERE | 2-3 | 2-6 | 92 / 1209 | 6 (2.1-4.9) | 164-152 | 10/30 vs YATES |
| 6 | WORTHING | 2-3 | 2-6 | 77 / 1045 | 4 (3.8-3.2) | 90-120 | 10/31 vs SCARBOROUGH |
| 7 | SCARBOROUGH | 1-4 | 2-6 | 93 / 1219 | 7 (1.1-5.9) | 70-245 | 10/31 vs WORTHING |
| 8 | FURR | 0-5 | 0-8 | 94 / 1230 | 8 (0.1-6.9) | 6-300 | 10/29 vs WHEATLEY |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/27 | WARREN | vs | L | 8-33 | |
| 09/04 | HMST | vs | W | 63-28 | |
| 09/11 | HEMPSTEAD | vs | L | 29-65 | |
| 09/25 | NORTH FOREST | vs | L | 6-57 | |
| 10/03 | FURR | at | W | 50-0 | |
| 10/09 | WASHINGTON | vs | L | 14-55 | |
| 10/15 | KASHMERE | vs | L | 0-56 | |
| 10/22 | YATES | at | L | 0-77 | |
| 10/31 | WORTHING | vs | PROJ | 20-37 | 19.8% |
| 11/06 | WHEATLEY | at | PROJ | 5-52 | 1.1% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 2-6 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 2-6 so far | 2-8 (72%) | 2.3-7.7 |
| League | 1-4 so far | 1-6 (72%) | 1.3-5.7 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 21.2 | 46.4 | 216.9 | -- | 24.8 | -- |
| HOME | 6 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 209.2 | -- | 23.0 | -- |
| ROAD | 2 | 25.0 | 38.5 | 240.0 | -- | 30.0 | -- |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/27 | vs. Warren | L 8-33 | 17 | 71 | 88 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| 9/4 | vs. HMST | W 63-28 | 115 | 323 | 438 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 |
| 9/11 | vs. Hempstead | L 29-65 | 221 | 67 | 288 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| 9/25 | vs. North Forest | L 6-57 | 23 | 43 | 66 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| 10/3 | @ Furr | W 50-0 | 170 | 199 | 369 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/9 | vs. Washington | L 14-55 | 100 | 100 | 200 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/15 | vs. Kashmere | L 0-56 | 141 | 34 | 175 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -1 |
| 10/22 | @ Yates | L 0-77 | 70 | 41 | 111 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| AVERAGES | 107.1 | 109.8 | 216.9 | -- | -- | -- | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -3 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 0/8, sacks/INT 3/8, sacks allowed 1/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 53.0/100 (-8 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 24.4/100 (-69 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-31 | vs | WORTHING | 2-6 | 14.6 |
| 2026-11-06 | at | WHEATLEY | 5-3 | 28.0 |
• SCA rushes for 100+ yards (.667), but most recently lost to Washington when doing so
• SCA averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.500), but most recently lost to Washington when doing so
• SCA forces 1+ takeaways (.500), but most recently lost to Kashmere when doing so
• SCA commits zero giveaways (.500), but most recently lost to Yates when doing so
• SCA's offense has averaged 4.7 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 21.2 points scored per game. (-78%)
• SCA's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.8 takeaways per game. (-56%)
• SCA's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 5 straight games (09/25/2026-10/22/2026), going 1-4 over that stretch.
• SCA's offense has averaged 3.5 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.6 YPC. (-47%)
• SCA's offense has averaged 58.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 109.8 rush yards per game. (-47%)
• SCA's offense has averaged 0.6 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (-47%)
• SCA's offense has exceeded 8.0 YPA in 4 straight games (10/03/2026-10/22/2026), going 1-3 over that stretch.
• SCA's defense has averaged 62.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 46.4 points allowed per game. (+35%)
• SCA rushes for 69.0+ yards (SCA's own median) (.500)
• SCA throws for 107.5+ yards (SCA's own median) (.500)
• SCA averages 5.0+ yards per carry (SCA's own median) (.500)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
SCA -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 1 of 1 scored; vs 139 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 2-6 | .250 | 46.4 | L3 | 0.500 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 26.0 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-1 | .000 | 29.0 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-5 | .286 | 20.1 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-1 | .667 | 42.3 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-5 | .000 | 8.6 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 56.5 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-6 | .000 | 9.5 | L6 | |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 39.0 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.5 | L4 | |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 31.2 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 4.7 | L3 | |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 31.2 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 4.7 | L3 | |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-4 | .000 | 10.8 | L4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 31.8 | L2 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 12.3 | L3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.5 | L2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.5 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 29.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 56.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 35.2 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-4 | .000 | 57.5 | L4 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W2 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 33.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-5 | .000 | 62.0 |
SCARBOROUGH
• SCARBOROUGH has been held under 14 in 2 straight games (10/15/26–10/22/26). It has never reached 3 straight in the games on file, back to 2026.
• SCARBOROUGH has been held under 100 rushing in 2 straight games (10/15/26–10/22/26). It has never reached 3 straight in the games on file, back to 2026.
• SCARBOROUGH has lost 3 straight (10/9/26–10/22/26). It has never reached 4 straight in the games on file, back to 2026.
• SCARBOROUGH has allowed 30+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/22/26). It has never reached 4 straight in the games on file, back to 2026.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 26.0 | L3 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 | L1 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 29.0 | L1 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 20.1 | L3 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 42.3 | L1 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 8.6 | L5 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 56.5 | W2 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 9.5 | L6 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 39.0 | L1 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.5 | L4 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 31.2 | L2 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 4.7 | L3 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 31.2 | L2 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 4.7 | L3 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 10.8 | L4 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 31.8 | L2 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 12.3 | L3 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.5 | L2 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.5 | L4 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 29.0 | L1 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 56.5 | W2 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 35.2 | L1 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 57.5 | L4 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W2 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W1 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 33.0 | L1 |
| SCA | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 62.0 | L5 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-4 |
| OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 10/03/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-3 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-3 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-4 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 10/03/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-3 |
| SCA | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-3 |
SCA OFFENSE
SCA's offense has averaged 4.7 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 21.2 points scored per game. (-78%)
SCA's offense has averaged 3.5 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.6 YPC. (-47%)
SCA's offense has averaged 58.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 109.8 rush yards per game. (-47%)
SCA's offense has averaged 0.6 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (-47%)
SCA's offense has averaged 162.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 216.9 total yards per game. (-25%)
SCA's offense has averaged 6.6 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 8.5 YPP. (-22%)
SCA DEFENSE
SCA's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.8 takeaways per game. (-56%)
SCA's defense has averaged 62.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 46.4 points allowed per game. (+35%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| SCA | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 62.7 | 8 | 46.4 | +35.1% | |
| SCA | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 4.7 | 8 | 21.2 | -78.0% | |
| SCA | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 58.3 | 8 | 109.8 | -46.8% | |
| SCA | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 162.0 | 8 | 216.9 | -25.3% | |
| SCA | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.3 | 8 | 0.8 | -55.6% | |
| SCA | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.1 | -46.7% | |
| SCA | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 3.5 | 8 | 6.6 | -47.3% | |
| SCA | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 6.6 | 8 | 8.5 | -21.6% |
