In short: Rivera Raiders high school football (Brownsville, TX), 2026 season: 2-6. Last game: L 7-65 vs Corpus Christi Veterans Memorial on October 23, 2026. Next: at Harlingen South, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 2-6 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 7-65 vs CORPUS CHRISTI VETERANS MEMORIAL |
| NEXT GAME | HARLINGEN SOUTH (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 16.6 · Rush Off 58.4 · Pass Def 33.9 · Rush Def 16.0 |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,185 STUDENTS (2023-24) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIVERA | 16.6 (-86) | 58.4 (+8) | 33.9 (+19) | 16.0 (+79) |
Next: at Harlingen South, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Rivera at Harlingen South.
The number to watch when Rivera meets Harlingen South is Rivera's scoring defense. Rivera allowed 30.2 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #694 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Raiders have allowed 63.2 points per game, a 109% rise, #1220 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Rivera's last 4 opponents have averaged 31.8 points per game, a #509 offense in section on the season, against 23.9 points per game, #824 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (31.8 points per game), Rivera allowed 99% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #439 in section, well above the first 4 (#851), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Harlingen South's offense has struggled in recent weeks. The Hawks have averaged 21.2 points per game over their last 4 games (0-4), #858 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (26.6 points per game on the season, which would rank #537). Against those norms, Harlingen South scored 20% less than those defenses usually allow. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Rivera is 2-0 this season when it holds opponents under 24, and 0-6 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle could decide Rivera's next game, against Harlingen South, and the recent returns favor Harlingen South. Rivera forced 2.2 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #125 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Raiders have forced 0.2 takeaways per game, an 89% drop, #1070 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Rivera's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.1 per game, a #562 offense in section on the season, against 1.4 per game, #779 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.1 per game), Rivera forced 78% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #439 in section, well above the first 4 (#851), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Harlingen South's ball security has struggled in recent weeks. The Hawks have committed 1.8 giveaways per game over their last 4 games (0-4), #881 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in section (1.4 per game on the season, which would rank #485). Against those norms, Harlingen South turned it over 25% more than those defenses usually force. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.
The biggest worry in Rivera's season has been the direction of its offense. Rivera averaged 23.5 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #813 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Raiders have averaged 9.2 points per game, a 61% drop, #1130 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Rivera's last 4 opponents have averaged 24.5 points per game, a #433 scoring defense in section on the season, against 28.5 points per game, #623 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.5 points per game), Rivera scored 62% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #439 in section, well above the first 4 (#851), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Rivera was held to 14 points or fewer 3 times in those games, including 0 against Flour Bluff on 10/9. On the season, Rivera ranks #1054 in section in scoring. Harlingen South's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #758 in section (31.4 points per game).
Rivera's run defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Raiders allowed 6.8 yards per carry (633 yards on 93 rushes) over their first 3 games (2-1), #834 in section during those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), Rivera has allowed 9.0 yards per carry (1,066 yards on 118 rushes), a 33% rise, #1075 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Rivera's last 5 opponents have averaged 6.5 yards per carry, a #401 rushing attack in section on the season, against 5.7 yards per carry, #572 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.5 yards per carry), Rivera allowed 40% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #503 in section, well above the first 3 (#888), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Raiders rank #1057 in section in run defense. It won't get any easier against Harlingen South, whose ground game ranks #220 in section (7.4 yards per carry).
Something changed for Rivera's ground game after its first 4 games. Rivera averaged 7.0 yards per carry (757 yards on 108 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #265 in section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Raiders have averaged 6.1 yards per carry (626 yards on 103 rushes), a 13% drop, #455 in section over that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.1 yards per carry on the season. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #439 in section, well above the first 4 (#851), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Rivera ranks #386 in section in rushing. Harlingen South's run defense, #988 of 1234 (7.5 yards per carry), could be the get-right matchup Rivera needs.
• Club Rivera has lost 5 straight, and a loss would make it 6 in a row. The last time they lost 6 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 8.
• Club Rivera has gone 9 straight games being held under 200 passing yards (November 6, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 2-7 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Rivera has gone 8 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (August 27, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 2-6 over that stretch, a school-record 8 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Rivera has gone 6 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-5 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Rivera has allowed 188 points over its last 3 games (62.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Brandon Guerra has gone 2 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
From the games on file through Sep 25.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 25 game; last updated Sep 30; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 15 | GILBERTO CANTU | 5 | 31/50 | 62.0% | 439 | 8.8 | 3 | 2 | 147.6 |
| 1 | IVAN RODRIGUEZ | 5 | 3/10 | 30.0% | 81 | 8.1 | 2 | 2 | 124.0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 34/60 | 56.7% | 520 | 8.7 | 5 | 4 | 143.6 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 0 | BRANDON GUERRA | 5 | 45 | 324 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 42 | JESSE GARCIA | 5 | 49 | 219 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 6 | JUAN GARZA | 5 | 16 | 201 | 12.6 | 3 |
| 1 | IVAN RODRIGUEZ | 5 | 22 | 116 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 15 | GILBERTO CANTU | 5 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 |
| 18 | AUSTIN ALVARADO | 5 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 136 | 899 | 6.6 | 8 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 0 | BRANDON GUERRA | 5 | 6 | 148 | 24.7 | 3 |
| 1 | IVAN RODRIGUEZ | 5 | 10 | 145 | 14.5 | 1 |
| 6 | JUAN GARZA | 5 | 9 | 127 | 14.1 | 1 |
| 10 | JESUS RAMOS | 4 | 3 | 81 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 3 | FRANKIE RAMIREZ | 2 | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 |
| 42 | JESSE GARCIA | 5 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 32 | 511 | 16.0 | 6 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 2 | YAEL PANIAGUA | 5 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | OLIVER DE LA GARZA | 4 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | ANGEL SALINAS | 5 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 40 | LEO GARCIA | 5 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | BRANDON GUERRA | 5 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | RODOLFO OYERVIDEZ | 5 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | JESUS QUINTERO | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | JACOB MARTINEZ | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | AUSTIN ALVARADO | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | JAYDAN MORENO | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | RAYMON BORREGO | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 62 | KEVIN MONTALVO | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | JESUS RAMOS | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 1 | IVAN RODRIGUEZ | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | BRAYDEN RODRIGUEZ | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | ISMAEL OCHOA | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | MOISES MEDINA | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 64 | GAEL PAYAN | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 42 | JESSE GARCIA | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 66 | IRVING SALAZAR | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 81 | RUBEN MATAMBU | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 99 | NOAH AYALA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 5 | 315 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 53 | 7 | 4 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 2-8 | 120 | 297 | 12.0 |
| 2023 | 1-8 | 83 | 315 | 9.2 |
| 2024 | 2-8 | 124 | 345 | 12.4 |
| 2025 | 1-9 | 145 | 371 | 14.5 |
| 2026 | 2-6 | 131 | 374 | 16.4 |
| 2022-26 | 8-39 | 12.8 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CORPUS CHRISTI VETERANS MEMORIAL | 5-0 | 8-1 | 18 / 189 | 1 (6.9-0.1) | 226-42 | 11/05 vs HARLINGEN SOUTH |
| 2 | CARROLL | 4-1 | 5-4 | 45 / 441 | 2 (4.8-1.2) | 198-123 | 10/30 vs WESLACO EAST |
| 3 | WESLACO EAST | 3-1 | 5-3 | 65 / 666 | 3 (3.5-2.5) | 118-89 | 10/30 vs CARROLL |
| 4 | FLOUR BLUFF | 2-2 | 4-4 | 50 / 479 | 4 (3.5-2.5) | 147-132 | 10/30 vs HANNA |
| 5 | HANNA | 1-3 | 2-6 | 70 / 715 | 5 (2.1-3.9) | 64-107 | 10/30 vs FLOUR BLUFF |
| 6 | RIVERA | 0-4 | 2-6 | 109 / 1034 | 7 (0.3-5.7) | 37-253 | 10/30 vs HARLINGEN SOUTH |
| 7 | HARLINGEN SOUTH | 0-4 | 1-7 | 72 / 762 | 6 (0.9-6.1) | 85-129 | 10/30 vs RIVERA |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/27 | LOPEZ | vs | W | 26-20 | |
| 09/04 | VETERANS MEMORIAL | at | L | 20-44 | |
| 09/11 | ST. JOSEPH ACADEMY | vs | W | 35-20 | |
| 09/18 | EDINBURG | at | L | 13-37 | |
| 09/25 | WESLACO EAST | at | L | 10-65 | |
| 10/02 | CARROLL | vs | L | 20-64 | |
| 10/09 | FLOUR BLUFF | at | L | 0-59 | |
| 10/23 | CORPUS CHRISTI VETERANS MEMORIAL | vs | L | 7-65 | |
| 10/30 | HARLINGEN SOUTH | at | PROJ | 16-38 | 14.7% |
| 11/07 | HANNA | vs | PROJ | 18-33 | 23.3% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 2-6 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 2-6 so far | 2-8 (55%) | 2.5-7.5 |
| League | 0-4 so far | 0-4 (100%) | 0.0-4.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 16.4 | 46.8 | 256.4 | 404.3 | 36.9 | 48.6 |
| HOME | 4 | 22.0 | 42.2 | 293.8 | 329.0 | 38.2 | 46.0 |
| ROAD | 4 | 10.8 | 51.2 | 219.0 | 460.8 | 35.5 | 50.5 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/27 | vs. Lopez | W 26-20 | 38 | 300 | 338 | 154 | 118 | 272 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 |
| 9/4 | @ Veterans Memorial | L 20-44 | 107 | 140 | 247 | 83 | 387 | 470 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 9/11 | vs. St. Joseph Academy | W 35-20 | 135 | 206 | 341 | 107 | 128 | 235 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/18 | @ Edinburg | L 13-37 | 104 | 111 | 215 | 241 | 193 | 434 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/25 | @ Weslaco East | L 10-65 | 136 | 142 | 278 | 161 | 284 | 445 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| 10/2 | vs. Carroll | L 20-64 | 51 | 242 | 293 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/9 | @ Flour Bluff | L 0-59 | 5 | 131 | 136 | 149 | 345 | 494 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 10/23 | vs. CCVM | L 7-65 | 92 | 111 | 203 | 236 | 244 | 480 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -1 |
| AVERAGES | 83.5 | 172.9 | 256.4 | 161.6 | 242.7 | 404.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | -2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 7/8, sacks/INT 5/8, sacks allowed 5/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 16.6/100 (-86 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 58.4/100 (+8 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 33.9/100 (+19 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 16.0/100 (+79 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | HARLINGEN SOUTH | 1-7 | 23.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | HANNA | 2-6 | 21.5 |
LAST YEAR
RIV finished 2025 at 1-9. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 45-44 over EDINBURG NORTH (EDINBURG NORTH finished 10% that season). Toughest loss: 13-16 to HARLINGEN SOUTH (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | LA JOYA | L | 0-1 | 28 | 45 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-04 | EDINBURG NORTH | W | 1-1 | 45 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | CORPUS CHRISTI VETERANS MEMORIAL | L | 1-2 | 6 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-18 | HARLINGEN SOUTH | L | 1-3 | 13 | 16 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | DONNA | L | 1-4 | 12 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | PHARR-SAN JUAN-ALAMO MEMORIAL | L | 1-5 | 6 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | WESLACO EAST | L | 1-6 | 0 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | FLOUR BLUFF | L | 1-7 | 0 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | DONNA NORTH | L | 1-8 | 35 | 42 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | PHARR-SAN JUAN-ALAMO NORTH | L | 1-9 | 0 | 66 | 106 | 373 |
| TOTALS | 10 GMS | 1-9 | 1-9 | 145 | 371 | 106 (1) | 373 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• RIV rushes for 150+ yards (.667), but most recently lost to Carroll when doing so
• RIV averages 7.0+ yards per play (.667), but most recently lost to Carroll when doing so
• RIV forces 2+ takeaways (.667)
• RIV holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.500), but most recently lost to Flour Bluff when doing so
• RIV's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 9 straight games (11/06/2025-10/23/2026), going 2-7 over that stretch.
• RIV's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.2 takeaways per game. (-73%)
• RIV's defense has averaged 62.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 38.9 points allowed per game. (+61%)
• RIV's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.7 giveaways per game. (-41%)
• RIV's defense has averaged 11.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.1 YPC. (+39%)
• RIV's offense has averaged 9.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 14.3 points scored per game. (-37%)
• RIV's offense has averaged 49.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 75.4 pass yards per game. (-35%)
• RIV's defense has averaged 196.8 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 148.3 pass yards per game. (+33%)
• RIV holds its opponents under 10.1 yards per attempt (RIV's own median) (.500)
• RIV holds its opponents under 233.0 rushing yards (RIV's own median) (.500)
• RIV holds its opponents under 8.4 yards per carry (RIV's own median) (.500)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
RIV -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 7 scored; vs 324 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 | L5 | 0.774 |
| 2 | OFF | YPC 5+ | 2-6 | .250 | 15.5 | L4 | 0.675 |
| 3 | DEF | YPC 5+ | 2-6 | .250 | 48.4 | L3 | 0.630 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 2-6 | .250 | 14.6 | L5 | 0.596 |
| 5 | OFF | Turnovers 1+ | 2-6 | .250 | 13.9 | L4 | 0.566 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- RIV ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| RIV rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 | L5 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| RIV | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 18.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 11.8 | L3 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-7 | .222 | 14.6 | L5 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-1 | .667 | 27.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.3 | L6 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-6 | .250 | 15.5 | L4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-5 | .286 | 18.7 | L4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 27.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.3 | L6 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-6 | .250 | 13.9 | L4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.0 | L2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-4 | .200 | 12.6 | L3 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-13 | .000 | 3.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-5 | .000 | 12.4 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-4 | .333 | 23.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 43.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 18.0 | L2 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 14.8 | L3 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 | L5 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 | L5 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-1 | .667 | 27.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-5 | .000 | 10.0 | L5 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-5 | .286 | 17.7 | L4 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-5 | .286 | 18.7 | L4 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 27.0 | L1 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 10.0 | L5 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-5 | .286 | 15.9 | L4 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-3 | .250 | 15.8 | L3 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.5 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 11.5 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 55.4 | L5 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 51.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-5 | .286 | 46.0 | L2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-7 | .222 | 47.1 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-7 | .000 | 54.9 | L7 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-6 | .250 | 48.4 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 54.9 | L7 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 54.9 | L7 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 37.2 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 62.7 | L3 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 28.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 32.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-1 | .667 | 14.3 |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-4 | .333 | 20.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-4 | .000 | 35.2 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-14 | .067 | 52.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 52.8 | L4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 33.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 51.0 | L2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-3 | .400 | 41.6 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-5 | .286 | 44.3 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-5 | .000 | 54.0 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 45.5 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 54.0 | L5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 54.0 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 37.2 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 62.7 | L3 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 28.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 32.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-5 | .000 | 59.4 |
RIVERA
• RIVERA has lost by 20+ in 5 straight games (9/18/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• RIVERA has allowed 30+ in 5 straight games (9/18/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• RIVERA has been held under 100 passing in 3 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• RIVERA has allowed 400+ total yards in 2 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). Earlier games have no box score on file, so the run may be longer. It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 18.0 | L2 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 11.8 | L3 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 | 2-7 | .222 | 14.6 | L5 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 16.4 | L5 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.0 | L1 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.3 | L6 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 15.5 | L4 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 18.7 | L4 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 0.0 | L2 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.0 | L1 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 8.3 | L6 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 13.9 | L4 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.0 | L2 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 12.6 | L3 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 13 | 0-13 | .000 | 3.0 | L13 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 12.4 | L5 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 23.7 | L2 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 35.0 | W1 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 43.5 | W2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 55.4 | L5 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | L1 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 51.0 | L2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 46.0 | L2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 2-7 | .222 | 47.1 | L4 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 54.9 | L7 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 48.4 | L3 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 54.9 | L7 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 54.9 | L7 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 37.2 | L2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 62.7 | L3 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 28.0 | W1 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 32.0 | L1 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 14.3 | L1 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 20.0 | W2 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 35.2 | L4 |
| RIV | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 15 | 1-14 | .067 | 52.4 | L9 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 games | 11/06/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 2-7 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/27/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-6 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 games | 11/06/2025 - 10/23/2026 | 2-7 |
| RIV | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/27/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-6 |
RIV OFFENSE
RIV's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.7 giveaways per game. (-41%)
RIV's offense has averaged 9.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 14.3 points scored per game. (-37%)
RIV's offense has averaged 49.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 75.4 pass yards per game. (-35%)
RIV DEFENSE
RIV's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.2 takeaways per game. (-73%)
RIV's defense has averaged 62.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 38.9 points allowed per game. (+61%)
RIV's defense has averaged 11.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.1 YPC. (+39%)
RIV's defense has averaged 196.8 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 148.3 pass yards per game. (+33%)
RIV's defense has averaged 10.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.3 YPP. (+26%)
RIV's defense has averaged 487.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 386.3 total yards per game. (+26%)
RIV's defense has averaged 294.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 238.0 rush yards per game. (+24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 196.8 | 9 | 148.3 | +32.6% | |
| RIV | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 49.3 | 9 | 75.4 | -34.6% | |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 62.7 | 28 | 38.9 | +61.0% | |
| RIV | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 9.0 | 28 | 14.3 | -37.0% | |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 294.5 | 9 | 238.0 | +23.7% | |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 487.0 | 9 | 386.3 | +26.1% | |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.3 | 8 | 1.2 | -73.3% | |
| RIV | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.0 | 10 | 1.7 | -41.2% | |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 11.3 | 9 | 8.1 | +38.6% | |
| RIV | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 10.5 | 9 | 8.3 | +26.1% |
