In short: Portola Tigers high school football (Portola, CA), 2026 season: 3-6. Last game: L 7-17 vs Biggs on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Quincy, November 6, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Portola meets Quincy is Portola's scoring defense. Portola allowed 12.5 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #6 in Section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (1-4), the Tigers have allowed 31.8 points per game, a 154% rise, #35 in Section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 25.9 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (26.1 points per game), Portola allowed 22% more than those offenses usually score. Meanwhile, Quincy's offense has struggled in recent weeks. The Trojans have averaged 12.4 points per game over their last 5 games (0-5), #30 in Section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in Section (20.6 points per game on the season, which would rank #19). Against those norms, Quincy scored 40% less than those defenses usually allow. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Portola is 3-1 this season when it holds opponents under 17, and 0-5 when it doesn't.
The battle on the ground could decide Portola's next game, against Quincy, and the recent returns favor Quincy. Portola allowed 4.3 yards per carry (500 yards on 117 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #10 in Section through those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (1-4), the Tigers have allowed 8.4 yards per carry (1,197 yards on 142 rushes), a 97% rise, #37 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.8 yards per carry on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.7 yards per carry), Portola allowed 25% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. Conversely, Quincy's ground game has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Trojans have averaged 8.0 yards per carry (668 yards on 84 rushes) over their last 5 games (0-5), #8 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of run defenses in Section (5.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #15). Against those norms, Quincy ran for 45% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Unless Portola's run defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Quincy.
NOTES
The biggest worry in Portola's season has been the direction of its defense. Portola allowed 5.3 yards per play (872 yards on 165 snaps) over its first 4 games (2-2), #12 in Section within that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (1-4), the Tigers have allowed 8.7 yards per play (1,476 yards on 169 snaps), a 65% rise, #36 in Section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 7.3 yards per play on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.1 yards per play), Portola allowed 24% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. On the season, Portola ranks #26 in Section in yards per play allowed. It won't get any easier against Quincy, whose offense ranks #10 in Section (7.8 yards per play).
Portola's offense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Tigers averaged 17.8 points per game over their first 5 games (2-3), #28 in Section during those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), Portola has averaged 10.5 points per game, a 41% drop, #32 in Section during that period. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 4 opponents have been softer, averaging 20.7 points per game, a #19 scoring defense in Section on the season, against 18.6 points per game, #11 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (20.7 points per game), Portola scored 49% less than those defenses usually allow. Portola was held to 14 points or fewer 4 times in those games, including 7 against ScorePirate CIF Northern Section #14 Los Molinos on 10/16. On the season, the Tigers rank #33 in Section in scoring. Quincy's defense, #35 of 41 (30.9 points per game), could be the get-right matchup Portola needs.
Something changed for Portola's ground game after the first 5 games of the season. Portola averaged 5.7 yards per carry (1,085 yards on 189 rushes) over its first 5 games (2-3), #24 in Section during that stretch. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), the Tigers have averaged 3.5 yards per carry (428 yards on 123 rushes), a 39% drop, #35 in Section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Portola's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.2 yards per carry, a #11 run defense in Section on the season, against 6.3 yards per carry, #26 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.2 yards per carry), Portola ran for 34% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. On the season, Portola ranks #30 in Section in rushing. Quincy's run defense, #40 of 41 (9.0 yards per carry), could be the get-right matchup Portola needs.
The Tigers committed 2.2 giveaways per game over their first 4 games (2-2), #33 in Section over that timeframe. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 5 games since that slow start (1-4), Portola has committed 1.4 giveaways per game, a 38% drop, #19 in Section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Portola's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.7 per game, a #15 defense in Section on the season, against 1.5 per game, #21 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.7 per game), Portola turned it over 18% less than those defenses usually force. On the season, the Tigers rank #30 in Section in giveaways. Quincy's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #12 in Section (1.9 per game).
One of Portola's shakiest areas lately has been its offense. Portola averaged 6.1 yards per play (1,442 yards on 238 snaps) over its first 5 games (2-3), #24 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), the Tigers have averaged 4.2 yards per play (669 yards on 160 snaps), a 31% drop, #36 in Section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Portola's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.0 yards per play, a #14 defense in Section on the season, against 6.8 yards per play, #21 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.0 yards per play), Portola gained 30% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. On the season, Portola ranks #33 in Section in yards per play. Quincy's defense, #38 of 41 (8.6 yards per play), could be the get-right matchup Portola needs.
TIDBITS (8 found)
• Club Portola has lost 2 straight, and a loss would make it 3 in a row. The last time they lost 3 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 3.
• Club The last time Portola went a game averaging 7.0+ yards per play was November 1, 2024 against Redding Christian (L, 28-32). Since then Portola has gone 21 straight games being held under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 21 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Portola has gone 5 straight games being held under 5.0 yards per carry (September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-4 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Portola has gone 5 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-4 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Player Colton Barney has 3 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.0 a game, September 18, 2026 through October 2, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Colton Barney has 4 sacks over his last 4 games (1.1 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 2, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch on record.
• Player Joe Leal has never had a game throwing for 200+ yards for Portola, over a 17-game career on record. His career high is 162, set September 25, 2026 against Williams (L, 28-38).
• Player Jesus Silva has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Portola, over a 21-game career on record. His career high is 9, set November 8, 2024 against Quincy (W, 14-7).
SCHEDULE STRENGTH
Portola has played a middle-of-the-road schedule in the pool so far (#23 of 41), and what is left is one of the softest slates (#33 of 37): the hard part is behind it.
Schedule so far · 1 = hardest
#23 of 41
avg opponent rating -4.2 over 9 games · 6 vs top-25 CIF Northern Section
Schedule ahead · 1 = hardest
#33 of 37
avg opponent rating -16.3 over 1 games · 0 vs top-25
Pershing… L 13-20CASR L 7-12@Fall Riv… W 20-6@Modoc W 21-12@Williams L 28-38@Maxwell L 14-36Hamilton W 14-12Los Moli… L 7-56@Biggs L 7-17Quincy
Each bar is one opponent, placed by where its rating ranks in this pool (tall and red = top 10; short and green = bottom half). Hatched bars are games still to play; the dashed line is today.
MILESTONE WATCH
Portola
Gustavo Sigala needs 15 rushing yards for 500 (averaging 53.9 a game)
Colton Barney needs 0 sacks for 5 (averaging 0.9 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 23 game; last updated Nov 3; roster and numbers checked Sep 10.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 8/9, sacks allowed 8/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 21.4/100 (-74 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 52.1/100 (-6 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 54.2/100 (-9 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 30.9/100 (+36 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
DATE
SITE
OPPONENT
THEIR RECORD
THEIR PPG
2026-11-06
vs
QUINCY
2-7
17.0
LAST YEAR
POR finished 2025 at 3-8. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 27-25 over MODOC (MODOC finished 36% that season). Toughest loss: 21-24 to FALL RIVER (3-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
POR HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• POR holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.667), and has won 2 straight when doing so
• POR holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.400), and has won 2 straight when doing so
POR — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (30 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-10
.000
5.6
Scores 10-19
4-5
.444
13.8
Scores 20-29
4-6
.400
23.2
Scores 30-39
0-1
.000
32.0
Scores 40+
--
--
--
POR — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
2-1
.667
20.7
W1
YPA < 8.0
1-5
.167
11.5
L3
Pass Yds 200+
--
--
--
--
Pass Yds < 200
3-6
.333
14.6
L2
Rush Yds 100+
3-4
.429
16.7
W1
Rush Yds < 100
0-2
.000
7.0
L2
Rush Yds 150+
3-2
.600
19.2
W1
Rush Yds < 150
0-4
.000
8.8
L4
YPC 5.0+
2-1
.667
18.0
W2
YPC < 5.0
1-5
.167
12.8
L2
YPP 6.0+
2-1
.667
23.0
L1
YPP < 6.0
1-5
.167
10.3
L2
YPP 7.0+
--
--
--
--
YPP < 7.0
3-6
.333
14.6
L2
Turnovers 1+
3-5
.375
14.6
L2
Turnovers < 1
0-1
.000
14.0
L1
Turnovers 2+
2-2
.500
15.2
L1
Turnovers > 2
1-1
.500
13.5
L1
POR — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-3
.000
7.0
Scores 10-19
1-2
.333
13.7
Scores 20-29
2-1
.667
23.0
Scores 30-39
--
--
--
Scores 40+
--
--
--
POR — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (30 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
1-9
.100
34.6
L3
YPA < 8.0
1-6
.143
32.3
L1
13 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
0-5
.000
42.2
L5
Pass Yds < 200
2-10
.167
30.1
L4
13 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
0-15
.000
36.9
L15
Rush Yds < 100
2-0
1.000
9.0
W2
13 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
0-12
.000
36.6
L12
Rush Yds < 150
2-3
.400
26.6
W2
13 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
0-12
.000
39.8
L12
YPC < 5.0
2-3
.400
18.8
L1
13 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
0-14
.000
38.1
L14
YPP < 6.0
2-1
.667
12.7
W2
13 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
0-9
.000
44.1
L9
YPP < 7.0
2-6
.250
21.9
L1
13 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
1-8
.111
32.3
L3
Turnovers < 1
2-5
.286
29.1
W1
14 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
1-3
.250
22.2
L1
14 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
1-0
1.000
12.0
W1
14 games without this stat on file
POR — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (30 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
3-0
1.000
6.7
Allows 10-19
4-2
.667
13.3
Allows 20-29
1-3
.250
24.0
Allows 30-39
0-8
.000
34.1
Allows 40+
0-9
.000
47.3
POR — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
1-4
.200
28.2
L3
YPA < 8.0
1-2
.333
18.7
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
--
--
--
--
Pass Yds < 200
2-6
.250
24.6
L4
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
0-6
.000
29.8
L6
Rush Yds < 100
2-0
1.000
9.0
W2
1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
0-6
.000
29.8
L6
Rush Yds < 150
2-0
1.000
9.0
W2
1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
0-5
.000
32.4
L5
YPC < 5.0
2-1
.667
11.7
L1
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
0-5
.000
31.8
L5
YPP < 6.0
2-1
.667
12.7
W2
1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
0-3
.000
43.3
L3
YPP < 7.0
2-3
.400
13.4
L1
1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
1-4
.200
28.6
L3
Turnovers < 1
2-2
.500
16.5
W1
Turnovers 2+
1-1
.500
14.5
L1
Turnovers > 2
1-0
1.000
12.0
W1
POR — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Allows <10
1-0
1.000
6.0
Allows 10-19
2-2
.500
13.2
Allows 20-29
0-1
.000
20.0
Allows 30-39
0-2
.000
37.0
Allows 40+
0-1
.000
56.0
ON THE BRINK
PORTOLA
• PORTOLA has been held under 100 rushing in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• PORTOLA has been held under 100 passing in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• PORTOLA has been held under 14 in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not been held under 14 in 3 straight since 10/17/25–9/4/26 (2026).
POR's defense has averaged 15.8 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 9.6 YPA. (+66%)
POR's defense has averaged 69.8 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 17-game average is 135.5 pass yards per game. (-49%)
POR's defense has averaged 322.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 222.6 rush yards per game. (+45%)
POR's defense has averaged 8.1 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 6.5 YPC. (+23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where PORTOLA (PORTOLA) sits among 41 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 45.9, Defense Grade 32.5.
PASS YARDS / GAME: PORTOLA (PORTOLA) VS THE SECTION
PORTOLA (PORTOLA) ranks #39 of 40 section teams in passing yards per game (9.0) -- a weakness worth a look.
PORTOLA (PORTOLA): SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 5.8 in 2022 to -5.3 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
