In short: Pelham Hornets high school football (Pelham, GA), 2026 season: 1-7. Last game: L 16-36 vs Terrell County on October 23, 2026. Next: at Miller County, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 1-7 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 16-36 vs TERRELL COUNTY |
| NEXT GAME | MILLER COUNTY (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 39.4 · Rush Off 13.6 · Pass Def 77.0 · Rush Def 12.0 |
| ENROLLMENT | 395 STUDENTS (2023-24) |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PELHAM | 39.4 (-37) | 13.6 (-102) | 77.0 (-44) | 12.0 (+94) |
Next: at Miller County, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Pelham at Miller County.
The number to watch when Pelham meets Miller County is Pelham's scoring defense. Pelham allowed 13.7 points per game over its first 3 games (1-2), #84 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), the Hornets have allowed 37.8 points per game, a 177% rise, #395 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 5 opponents have been softer, averaging 21.3 points per game, a #289 offense in section on the season, against 27.6 points per game, #183 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (21.3 points per game), Pelham allowed 77% more than those offenses usually score. Meanwhile, Miller County's offense has struggled in recent weeks. The Pirates have averaged 14.4 points per game over their last 5 games (2-3), #364 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better scoring defenses in section (20.2 points per game on the season, which would rank #149). Against those norms, Miller County scored 29% less than those defenses usually allow. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Pelham is 1-2 this season when it holds opponents under 24, and 0-5 when it doesn't.
The battle on the ground could decide Pelham's next game, against Miller County, and the recent returns favor Miller County. Pelham allowed 4.5 yards per carry (461 yards on 103 rushes) over its first 4 games (1-3), #101 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Hornets have allowed 9.3 yards per carry (969 yards on 104 rushes), a 108% rise, #418 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.9 yards per carry on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.9 yards per carry), Pelham allowed 35% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. Meanwhile, Miller County's ground game has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Pirates have averaged 5.0 yards per carry (573 yards on 114 rushes) over their last 4 games (2-2), #254 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of run defenses in section (5.2 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #161). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #298 in section, a lower level of competition. Miller County offers Pelham a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
Pelham's ground game looks better on paper, but one afternoon is doing a lot of the work. Pelham averaged 3.3 yards per carry (632 yards on 189 rushes) on the season, #413 in section, but that number is boosted by a 164-yard game on 26 rushes against Calhoun County on 8/21. In all other games, Pelham is at 2.9 yards per carry (468 yards on 163 rushes), a figure that would rank #425 in section. Context matters here: Calhoun County's run defense ranks among the weakest in section (8.9 yards per carry, #441 of 465), so that game says more about the opponent than about the unit itself. Miller County's run defense (6.8 yards per carry, #349 of 465) gives Pelham a real chance to look like the season line again.
• Club Pelham has lost 6 straight, and a loss would make it 7 in a row. The last time they lost 7 or more in a row was 2024, a run of 10.
• Club The last time Pelham went a game allowing 200+ passing yards was August 26, 2022 against Chattahoochee County (W, 27-26). Since then Pelham has gone 49 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards, a school-record 49 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Pelham went a game holding the opponent under 100 rushing yards was August 26, 2022 against Chattahoochee County (W, 27-26). Since then Pelham has gone 49 straight games allowing 100+ rushing yards, a school-record 49 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Pelham went a game averaging 7.0+ yards per play was October 20, 2023 against Bacon County (W, 43-21). Since then Pelham has gone 32 straight games being held under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 32 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Pelham went a game committing no turnovers was October 20, 2023 against Bacon County (W, 43-21). Since then Pelham has gone 32 straight games committing 1+ turnover, a school-record 32 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: PELHAM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. TERRELL COUNTY* MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Oct 8.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 8 game; last updated Oct 23.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| A. FLURY | 1 | 8/19 | 42.1% | 100 | 5.3 | 0 | 2 | 65.3 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| B. REESE | 1 | 10 | 40 | 4.0 | 0 | |
| C. IRVIN JR. | 1 | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 0 | |
| A. ERVIN | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | |
| A. JONES | 1 | 1 | -9 | -9.0 | 0 | |
| A. FLURY | 1 | 2 | -12 | -6.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 1 | 20 | 31 | 1.6 | 0 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| T. LAMMONS | 1 | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | 0 | |
| K. BRANTLEY | 1 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | |
| A. JONES | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | |
| D. JACKSON | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 1 | 7 | 71 | 10.1 | 0 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 166 | 385 | 16.6 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 297 | 338 | 24.8 |
| 2024 | 3-8 | 232 | 356 | 21.1 |
| 2025 | 1-9 | 91 | 386 | 9.1 |
| 2026 | 1-7 | 101 | 230 | 12.6 |
| 2022-26 | 13-38 | 17.4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | CALHOUN COUNTY | vs | L | 20-22 | |
| 08/28 | BACONTON CHARTER | vs | W | 2-0 | |
| 09/04 | CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTY | at | L | 8-19 | |
| 09/11 | DOOLY COUNTY | at | L | 14-26 | |
| 09/25 | MITCHELL COUNTY | at | L | 13-38 | |
| 10/02 | SEMINOLE COUNTY | vs | L | 28-47 | |
| 10/08 | EARLY COUNTY | at | L | 0-42 | |
| 10/23 | TERRELL COUNTY | vs | L | 16-36 | |
| 10/30 | MILLER COUNTY | at | PROJ | 10-38 | 8.7% |
| 11/06 | RANDOLPH-CLAY | at | PROJ | 0-47 | 1.1% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 1-7 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 1-7 so far | 1-9 (75%) | 1.3-8.7 |
| League | 0-4 so far | 0-4 (100%) | 0.0-4.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 12.6 | 28.8 | 185.6 | 302.5 | 44.6 | 44.7 |
| HOME | 4 | 16.5 | 26.2 | 224.7 | 306.0 | 46.7 | 49.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 8.8 | 31.2 | 156.2 | 299.0 | 43.0 | 39.7 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 7/8 game(s), Home 3/4 game(s), Road 4/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | vs. Calhoun County | L 20-22 | 153 | 164 | 317 | 105 | 248 | 353 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -1 |
| 8/28 | vs. Baconton Charter | W 2-0 | -- | 101 | 101 | 21 | 109 | 130 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | -1 |
| 9/4 | @ Chattahoochee County | L 8-19 | 61 | 95 | 156 | 34 | 104 | 138 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 9/11 | @ Dooly County | L 14-26 | 52 | 106 | 158 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 9/25 | @ Mitchell County | L 13-38 | 137 | 43 | 180 | 52 | 293 | 345 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | -1 |
| 10/2 | vs. Seminole County | L 28-47 | 164 | 92 | 256 | 153 | 282 | 435 | -- | -- | -- | 3 | +1 |
| 10/8 | @ Early County | L 0-42 | 100 | 31 | 131 | 20 | 394 | 414 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| 10/23 | vs. Terrell County | L 16-36 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| AVERAGES | 111.2 | 90.3 | 185.6 | 64.2 | 238.3 | 302.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | -7 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 7/8, defense 6/8, sacks/INT 1/8, sacks allowed 1/8, turnovers 7/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 39.4/100 (-37 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 13.6/100 (-102 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 77.0/100 (-44 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 12.0/100 (+94 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | MILLER COUNTY | 4-5 | 23.1 |
| 2026-11-06 | at | RANDOLPH-CLAY | 8-0 | 36.0 |
LAST YEAR
PEL finished 2025 at 1-9. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 35-14 over TERRELL COUNTY (TERRELL COUNTY finished 0% that season). Toughest loss: 14-31 to SEMINOLE COUNTY (17-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-22 | THOMASVILLE | L | 0-1 | 7 | 50 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-29 | CHILES | L | 0-2 | 7 | 42 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | VALWOOD | L | 0-3 | 22 | 50 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | SEMINOLE COUNTY | L | 0-4 | 14 | 31 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | MONROE | L | 0-5 | 6 | 53 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | RANDOLPH-CLAY | L | 0-6 | 0 | 36 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | MITCHELL COUNTY | L | 0-7 | 0 | 38 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | EARLY COUNTY | L | 0-8 | 0 | 37 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | MILLER COUNTY | L | 0-9 | 0 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | TERRELL COUNTY | W | 1-9 | 35 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 10 GMS | 1-9 | 1-9 | 91 | 386 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• PEL forces 2+ takeaways (.333), but most recently lost to Seminole County when doing so
• PEL holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.333), but most recently lost to Chattahoochee County when doing so
• PEL rushes for 100+ yards (.250), but most recently lost to Dooly County when doing so
• PEL's defense has averaged 10.7 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.9 YPC. (+54%)
• PEL's defense has averaged 10.3 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.9 YPP. (+48%)
• PEL's defense has averaged 338.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 243.6 rush yards per game. (+39%)
• PEL's defense has averaged 424.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 311.4 total yards per game. (+36%)
• PEL's offense has averaged 61.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 94.9 rush yards per game. (-35%)
• PEL's defense has averaged 1.5 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (+33%)
• PEL's offense has averaged 10.4 points scored per game over their last 15 games. Their 29-game average is 14.6 points scored per game. (-29%)
• PEL's defense has averaged 86.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 67.9 pass yards per game. (+27%)
• PEL's offense has averaged 5.3 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 7-game average is 7.0 YPA. (-24%)
• PEL's defense has averaged 41.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 33.5 points allowed per game. (+24%)
• PEL's offense has averaged 2.6 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 3.4 YPC. (-23%)
• PEL holds its opponents under 275.0 rushing yards (PEL's own median) (.333)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
PEL -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 2 of 2 scored; vs 845 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.2 | L5 | 0.565 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers 1+ | 1-7 | .125 | 13.2 | L5 | 0.435 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 21.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.8 | L6 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-7 | .000 | 14.9 | L7 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-3 | .250 | 14.2 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-4 | .000 | 12.2 | L4 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.3 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.3 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.3 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.2 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-7 | .125 | 13.2 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-5 | .167 | 11.8 | L4 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 7.5 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 2-11 | .154 | 4.2 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-4 | .000 | 14.2 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-8 | .111 | 23.8 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-1 | .667 | 33.0 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.8 | L6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.8 | L6 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-2 | .333 | 12.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-4 | .000 | 12.2 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-5 | .167 | 10.8 | L5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 10.8 | L5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-5 | .167 | 10.8 | L5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.1 | L5 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-6 | .143 | 12.1 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-5 | .167 | 11.8 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 7.5 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-2 | .333 | 3.3 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-3 | .000 | 14.3 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 24.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 48.0 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 24.2 | L3 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-6 | .143 | 31.0 | L4 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-6 | .143 | 31.0 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 44.0 | L4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 13.7 | L1 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-4 | .200 | 31.2 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 29.0 | L3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 28.3 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-2 | .500 | 15.2 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-3 | .250 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-8 | .000 | 35.9 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-11 | .000 | 47.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 24.2 | L3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-5 | .167 | 28.0 | L4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-5 | .167 | 28.0 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-4 | .000 | 37.2 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 37.2 | L4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 37.2 | L4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 42.3 | L3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 13.7 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 26.8 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 29.0 | L3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 28.3 | L2 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 19.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 37.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 |
PELHAM
• PELHAM has allowed 30+ in 4 straight games (9/25/26–10/23/26). It has not allowed 30+ in 5 straight since 8/22/25–10/24/25 (2025).
• PELHAM has lost 6 straight (9/4/26–10/23/26). It has not lost 7 straight since 11/16/24–10/24/25 (2025).
• PELHAM has lost by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/8/26–10/23/26). It has not lost by 20+ in 3 straight since 9/19/25–10/24/25 (2025). It has reached 3 straight 3 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 5 straight (2025) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 21.0 | L1 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.8 | L6 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 14.9 | L7 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 14.2 | L1 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 12.2 | L4 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.3 | L5 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.3 | L5 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.3 | L5 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.2 | L5 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.2 | L5 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 11.8 | L4 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 7.5 | L1 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 13 | 2-11 | .154 | 4.2 | L2 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 14.2 | L4 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 23.8 | L3 |
| PEL | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 33.0 | W1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 48.0 | L2 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 24.2 | L3 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 31.0 | L4 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 31.0 | L4 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 9.5 | L1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 44.0 | L4 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 13.7 | L1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 31.2 | L2 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 29.0 | L3 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 28.3 | L2 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.0 | W2 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 15.2 | L1 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 24.0 | L2 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 35.9 | L8 |
| PEL | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 11 | 0-11 | .000 | 47.5 | L11 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
PEL OFFENSE
PEL's offense has averaged 61.5 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 94.9 rush yards per game. (-35%)
PEL's offense has averaged 10.4 points scored per game over their last 15 games. Their 29-game average is 14.6 points scored per game. (-29%)
PEL's offense has averaged 5.3 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 7-game average is 7.0 YPA. (-24%)
PEL's offense has averaged 2.6 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 3.4 YPC. (-23%)
PEL DEFENSE
PEL's defense has averaged 10.7 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.9 YPC. (+54%)
PEL's defense has averaged 10.3 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 6.9 YPP. (+48%)
PEL's defense has averaged 338.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 243.6 rush yards per game. (+39%)
PEL's defense has averaged 424.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 311.4 total yards per game. (+36%)
PEL's defense has averaged 1.5 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (+33%)
PEL's defense has averaged 86.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 67.9 pass yards per game. (+27%)
PEL's defense has averaged 41.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 33.5 points allowed per game. (+24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 86.5 | 7 | 67.9 | +27.5% | |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 41.7 | 29 | 33.5 | +24.3% | |
| PEL | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 15 | 10.4 | 29 | 14.6 | -28.9% | |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 338.0 | 7 | 243.6 | +38.8% | |
| PEL | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 61.5 | 8 | 94.9 | -35.2% | |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 424.5 | 7 | 311.4 | +36.3% | |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.5 | 8 | 1.1 | +33.3% | |
| PEL | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 5 | 5.3 | 7 | 7.0 | -24.5% | |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 10.7 | 7 | 6.9 | +53.7% | |
| PEL | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 5 | 2.6 | 8 | 3.4 | -22.9% | |
| PEL | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 10.3 | 7 | 6.9 | +48.3% |
