In short: North Mesquite Stallions high school football (Mesquite, TX), 2026 season: 4-4. Last game: L 14-42 vs Tyler on October 23, 2026. Next: at Mesquite, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 4-4 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 14-42 vs TYLER |
| NEXT GAME | MESQUITE (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 10.3 · Rush Off 93.3 · Pass Def 5.7 · Rush Def 51.4 |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,405 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORTH MESQUITE | 10.3 (-103) | 93.3 (+147) | 5.7 (+98) | 51.4 (-5) |
Next: at Mesquite, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: North Mesquite at Mesquite.
The battle on the ground could decide North Mesquite's next game, against Mesquite, and the recent returns favor North Mesquite. North Mesquite averaged 6.0 yards per carry (794 yards on 133 rushes) over its first 3 games (1-2), #468 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), the Stallions have averaged 14.2 yards per carry (1,175 yards on 83 rushes), a 137% rise, #6 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: North Mesquite's last 5 opponents have averaged 8.2 yards per carry, a #1076 run defense in section on the season, against 6.0 yards per carry, #613 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.2 yards per carry), North Mesquite ran for 72% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #918 in section. Conversely, Mesquite's run defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Skeeters have allowed 4.9 yards per carry (827 yards on 170 rushes) over their last 5 games (3-2), #320 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of rushing attacks in section (5.2 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #698). Against those norms, Mesquite held those rushing attacks 6% below their usual yards per carry. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #936 in section, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when North Mesquite's surging ground game meets one of section's better units in Mesquite's.
The number to watch when North Mesquite meets Mesquite is North Mesquite's scoring defense. North Mesquite allowed 15.8 points per game over its first 5 games (3-2), #132 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Stallions have allowed 33.7 points per game, a 113% rise, #750 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: North Mesquite's last 3 opponents have averaged 29.3 points per game, a #620 offense in section on the season, against 17.8 points per game, #1016 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.3 points per game), North Mesquite allowed 15% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #754 in section, well above the first 5 (#968), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Mesquite's offense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Skeeters have averaged 37.3 points per game over their last 3 games (1-2), #378 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the weaker scoring defenses in section (36.8 points per game on the season, which would rank #931). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #950 in section, a lower level of competition. Unless North Mesquite's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Mesquite. North Mesquite is 4-2 this season when it holds opponents under 32, and 0-2 when it doesn't.
The biggest shift in North Mesquite's season has come in its offense. North Mesquite averaged 23.3 points per game over its first 3 games (1-2), #765 in section within that period. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), the Stallions have averaged 35.8 points per game, a 53% rise, #406 in section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: North Mesquite's last 5 opponents have averaged 37.1 points per game, a #942 scoring defense in section on the season, against 29.8 points per game, #685 for the first 3. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #918 in section. On the season, North Mesquite ranks #544 in section in scoring. Mesquite's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #600 in section (28.0 points per game). North Mesquite is 4-0 this season when it scores 28 or more, and 0-4 when it doesn't.
• Club The last time North Mesquite went a game committing 3+ turnovers was October 13, 2023 against Longview (L, 0-63). Since then North Mesquite has gone 32 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers, a school-record 32 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time North Mesquite went a game throwing for 200+ yards was November 3, 2023 against Mckinney North (L, 23-28). Since then North Mesquite has gone 29 straight games being held under 200 passing yards, a school-record 29 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: NORTH MESQUITE OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. TYLER* MISSING
DATA WARNING: NORTH MESQUITE OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/09/2026 GAME @ CRANDALL* MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Sep 17.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 17 game; last updated Sep 19; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 12 | BRYSTON PALACIOS | 4 | 9/21 | 42.9% | 174 | 8.3 | 2 | 1 | 134.4 |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 2 | IMYOUS SEWELL | 4 | 19 | 334 | 17.6 | 4 |
| 22 | MALCOLM BERRY | 4 | 75 | 333 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 6 | TERRANCE COLLINS | 3 | 26 | 321 | 12.3 | 4 |
| 5 | KAIRON EVANS | 4 | 14 | 100 | 7.1 | 1 |
| 12 | BRYSTON PALACIOS | 4 | 29 | 61 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 17 | ROBERT RODRIGUEZ | 3 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 0 |
| 13 | JACOBI FINLEY | 3 | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 |
| 19 | KAY'DEN WEST | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 |
| 26 | CHAUNCEY PATE | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 173 | 1,215 | 7.0 | 15 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 2 | IMYOUS SEWELL | 4 | 4 | 97 | 24.2 | 1 |
| 17 | ROBERT RODRIGUEZ | 3 | 4 | 49 | 12.2 | 1 |
| 5 | KAIRON EVANS | 4 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 11 | 177 | 16.1 | 2 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 4 | XAVIER PARRISH | 4 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | DEMAURYA CAMPBELL | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | ELIJAH FONTENOT | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | CHRISTOPHER SALAS | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | ELICEO CARDONA | 4 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. JOSEPH ANDERSON | 3 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 11 | AIDEN REDMON | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 33 | ALFRED ADOME | 4 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 | ANTONIO HILL | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | ELI OLIVARES | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | IMYOUS SEWELL | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | ROMAN BODY | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | JACOBI FINLEY | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 60 | ZION SCURLOCK | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | ETHAN GARDNER | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 51 | ANGEL LOPEZ | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | CHRIS VALENCIANA | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | JOSH JOHNSON | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 | WILLIAM HALL | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 90 | MARSELINO GOMEZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | ROBERT RODRIGUEZ | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | ANGEL GARZA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | ELIJAH LINDSEY-ALIU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | OMAR URBINA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 92 | THADDEUS ARMSTRONG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 246 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 2-8 | 220 | 320 | 22.0 |
| 2023 | 1-9 | 123 | 347 | 12.3 |
| 2024 | 3-7 | 275 | 350 | 27.5 |
| 2025 | 5-6 | 367 | 368 | 33.4 |
| 2026 | 4-4 | 249 | 180 | 31.1 |
| 2022-26 | 15-34 | 25.2 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WEST MESQUITE | 4-1 | 6-2 | 37 / 374 | 2 (5.6-1.4) | 226-27 | 10/30 vs CRANDALL |
| 2 | TYLER | 4-1 | 6-2 | 27 / 296 | 1 (5.9-1.1) | 202-81 | 10/29 vs ADAMS |
| 3 | CRANDALL | 4-1 | 4-4 | 54 / 524 | 3 (5.3-1.7) | 240-73 | 10/30 vs WEST MESQUITE |
| 4 | NORTH MESQUITE | 3-2 | 4-4 | 83 / 838 | 5 (3.6-3.4) | 179-108 | 10/30 vs MESQUITE |
| 5 | MESQUITE | 3-2 | 3-5 | 80 / 823 | 4 (3.6-3.4) | 174-99 | 10/30 vs NORTH MESQUITE |
| 6 | WHITE | 2-3 | 2-6 | 110 / 1069 | 6 (2.7-4.3) | 127-201 | 10/29 vs SUNSET |
| 7 | SUNSET | 0-5 | 2-6 | 119 / 1154 | 7 (1.0-6.0) | 6-312 | 10/29 vs WHITE |
| 8 | ADAMS | 0-5 | 1-7 | 123 / 1207 | 8 (0.3-6.7) | 24-277 | 10/29 vs TYLER |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | SAM HOUSTON | at | L | 21-24 | |
| 09/03 | CORSICANA | vs | L | 14-27 | |
| 09/11 | LEBANON TRAIL | vs | W | 35-21 | |
| 09/17 | WHITE | at | W | 50-7 | |
| 09/24 | SUNSET | vs | W | 64-0 | |
| 10/09 | CRANDALL | at | L | 23-59 | |
| 10/16 | ADAMS | at | W | 28-0 | |
| 10/23 | TYLER | vs | L | 14-42 | |
| 10/30 | MESQUITE | at | PROJ | 29-28 | 52.3% |
| 11/06 | WEST MESQUITE | vs | PROJ | 18-39 | 15.0% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 4-4 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 4-4 so far | 5-5 (51%) | 4.7-5.3 |
| League | 3-2 so far | 3-2 (100%) | 3.0-2.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 31.1 | 22.5 | 374.7 | 307.7 | 41.0 | 36.5 |
| HOME | 4 | 31.8 | 22.5 | 364.3 | 339.3 | 45.0 | 41.3 |
| ROAD | 4 | 30.5 | 22.5 | 385.0 | 276.0 | 37.0 | 31.7 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 6/8 game(s), Home 3/4 game(s), Road 3/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | @ Sam Houston | L 21-24 | -- | 299 | 299 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 |
| 9/3 | vs. Corsicana | L 14-27 | 71 | 156 | 227 | 119 | 122 | 241 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9/11 | vs. Lebanon Trail | W 35-21 | 67 | 339 | 406 | 215 | 79 | 294 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/17 | @ White | W 50-7 | 36 | 421 | 457 | 234 | 23 | 257 | -- | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/24 | vs. Sunset | W 64-0 | 97 | 363 | 460 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/9 | @ Crandall | L 23-59 | -- | -- | -- | 186 | 246 | 432 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 10/16 | @ Adams | W 28-0 | 8 | 391 | 399 | 88 | 51 | 139 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 10/23 | vs. Tyler | L 14-42 | -- | -- | -- | 250 | 233 | 483 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -1 |
| AVERAGES | 55.8 | 328.2 | 374.7 | 182.0 | 125.7 | 307.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | +3 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 6/8, defense 6/8, sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 2/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 10.3/100 (-103 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 93.3/100 (+147 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 5.7/100 (+98 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 51.4/100 (-5 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | MESQUITE | 3-5 | 31.4 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | WEST MESQUITE | 6-2 | 39.4 |
LAST YEAR
NM finished 2025 at 5-6. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 51-44 over WHITE (WHITE finished 50% that season). Toughest loss: 43-59 to CREEKVIEW (16-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-29 | SEGUIN | L | 0-1 | 6 | 58 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | MESQUITE | L | 0-2 | 15 | 37 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-11 | ADAMS | W | 1-2 | 55 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | WEST MESQUITE | L | 1-3 | 13 | 48 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-25 | CREEKVIEW | L | 1-4 | 43 | 59 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | NEWMAN SMITH | L | 1-5 | 23 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | SUNSET | W | 2-5 | 50 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-16 | MOLINA | W | 3-5 | 56 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | WHITE | W | 4-5 | 51 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | TURNER | W | 5-5 | 49 | 15 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-13 | LONE STAR | L | 5-6 | 6 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 5-6 | 5-6 | 367 | 368 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• NM holds its opponents under 100 rushing yards (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• NM holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• NM commits zero giveaways (.750), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• NM wins even while allowing its opponents 200+ passing yards (.667), but most recently lost to Tyler when doing so
• NM's offense has averaged 2.0 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 11.2 YPA. (-82%)
• NM's offense has averaged 8.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 40.7 pass yards per game. (-80%)
• NM rushes for 319.0+ yards (NM's own median) (.999)
• NM holds its opponents under 100.5 rushing yards (NM's own median) (.999)
• NM holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per carry (NM's own median) (.999)
• NM holds its opponents under 9.0 yards per play (NM's own median) (.999)
• NM's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.6 giveaways per game. (+60%)
• NM's offense has averaged 15.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 10.7 YPC. (+46%)
• NM's defense has averaged 176.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 125.7 rush yards per game. (+41%)
• NM's offense has averaged 14.9 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 10.6 YPP. (+40%)
• NM's offense has averaged 391.7 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 282.2 rush yards per game. (+39%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
NM -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 2 of 2 scored; vs 137 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 4-4 | .500 | 22.5 | L1 | 0.565 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 4-4 | .500 | 31.1 | L1 | 0.435 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- NM ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| NM rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 4-2 | .667 | 32.8 | W4 |
| NM averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 |
| NM averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 |
| NM averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 3-1 | .750 | 37.0 | W3 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| NM | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-2 | .667 | 32.8 |
| NM | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 |
| NM | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 |
| NM | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 49.7 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 21.0 | W1 | 24 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-3 | .571 | 28.1 | W4 | 22 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 25.2 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.0 | W3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-3 | .000 | 4.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.7 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-5 | .286 | 24.9 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 9-3 | .750 | 49.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 49.7 | W3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 21.0 | W1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-1 | .800 | 38.2 | W4 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-2 | .667 | 35.3 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-2 | .667 | 35.3 | W4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 25.2 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.0 | W3 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 14.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 24.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 57.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-1 | .667 | 23.3 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-2 | .333 | 28.7 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 9.3 | W3 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 50.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 13.8 | W3 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 9.3 | W3 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 18.6 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 29.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 8.0 | W2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 36.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-13 | .071 | 49.9 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-1 | .667 | 23.3 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-2 | .333 | 28.7 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 9.3 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 50.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 13.8 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 9.3 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 18.6 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 29.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 8.0 | W2 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 2.3 |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 24.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | 0-2 | .000 | 50.5 |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 49.7 | W3 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 21.0 | W1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 28.1 | W4 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | W4 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 31.1 | W4 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 39.6 | W4 |
| NM | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 25.2 | L2 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 37.0 | W3 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 4.0 | L3 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 13.7 | L6 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 24.9 | W1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W1 |
| NM | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 12 | 9-3 | .750 | 49.0 | W6 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 23.3 | L1 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 28.7 | W1 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 9.3 | W3 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 50.5 | L2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 13.8 | W3 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 9.3 | W3 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 33.8 | L2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 10.5 | W2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 18.6 | L1 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 29.0 | L1 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 8.0 | W2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 | W9 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 24.0 | W1 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 36.0 | L2 |
| NM | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 14 | 1-13 | .071 | 49.9 | L3 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
NM OFFENSE
NM's offense has averaged 2.0 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 11.2 YPA. (-82%)
NM's offense has averaged 8.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 40.7 pass yards per game. (-80%)
NM's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.6 giveaways per game. (+60%)
NM's offense has averaged 15.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 10.7 YPC. (+46%)
NM's offense has averaged 14.9 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 10.6 YPP. (+40%)
NM's offense has averaged 391.7 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 282.2 rush yards per game. (+39%)
NM's offense has averaged 438.7 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 317.9 total yards per game. (+38%)
NM's offense has averaged 21.7 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 30.7 points scored per game. (-29%)
NM DEFENSE
NM's defense has averaged 176.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 125.7 rush yards per game. (+41%)
NM's defense has averaged 21.6 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 29-game average is 31.0 points allowed per game. (-30%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 8.0 | 7 | 40.7 | -80.4% | |
| NM | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 21.6 | 29 | 31.0 | -30.2% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 21.7 | 29 | 30.7 | -29.5% | |
| NM | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 176.7 | 6 | 125.7 | +40.6% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 391.7 | 8 | 282.2 | +38.8% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 5 | 438.7 | 8 | 317.9 | +38.0% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.0 | 8 | 0.6 | +60.0% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 2.0 | 5 | 11.2 | -82.2% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 15.6 | 6 | 10.7 | +45.9% | |
| NM | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 5 | 14.9 | 6 | 10.6 | +40.5% |
