In short: MT. Whitney Pioneers high school football (Visalia, CA), 2026 season: 4-5. Last game: W 45-42 vs Porterville on October 22, 2026. Next: vs Redwood, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when MT. Whitney meets Redwood is MT. Whitney's scoring. MT. Whitney averaged 14.8 points per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #89 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Pioneers have averaged 24.2 points per game, a 64% rise, #55 in Section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: MT. Whitney's last 4 opponents have averaged 34.3 points per game, a #94 scoring defense in Section on the season, against 25.4 points per game, #60 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (34.3 points per game), MT. Whitney scored 29% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #63 in Section, well below the first 5 (#30), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, Redwood's defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Rangers have allowed 34.8 points per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #91 in Section during that time. Those games came against some of the better offenses in Section (35.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #17). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #16 in Section, a strong slate. On paper, that is a matchup that favors MT. Whitney. MT. Whitney is 2-0 this season when it scores 22 or more, and 2-5 when it doesn't.
The battle on the air could decide MT. Whitney's next game, against Redwood, and the recent returns favor MT. Whitney. MT. Whitney averaged 5.8 yards per pass attempt (558 yards on 96 attempts) over its first 5 games (2-3), #86 in Section through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Pioneers have averaged 7.8 yards per pass attempt (996 yards on 127 attempts), a 35% rise, #60 in Section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: MT. Whitney's last 4 opponents have averaged 9.7 yards per attempt, a #96 pass defense in Section on the season, against 8.2 yards per attempt, #54 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.7 yards per attempt), MT. Whitney threw for 20% less per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #63 in Section, well below the first 5 (#30), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, Redwood's pass defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Rangers have allowed 8.3 yards per pass attempt (1,038 yards on 125 attempts) over their last 4 games (2-2), #54 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the better passing attacks in Section (9.1 yards per attempt on the season, which would rank #31). Against those norms, Redwood held those passing attacks 8% below their usual yards per attempt. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #16 in Section, a strong slate. Redwood offers MT. Whitney a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
NOTES
The biggest worry in MT. Whitney's season has been the direction of its defense. MT. Whitney allowed 20.2 points per game over its first 6 games (3-3), #42 in Section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Pioneers have allowed 29.0 points per game, a 44% rise, #74 in Section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 29.2 points per game on the season. On the season, MT. Whitney ranks #49 in Section in scoring defense. It won't get any easier against Redwood, whose offense ranks #17 in Section (34.6 points per game). MT. Whitney is 3-4 this season when it holds opponents under 35, and 1-1 when it doesn't.
The Pioneers averaged 5.0 yards per play (1,173 yards on 234 snaps) over their first 5 games (2-3), #94 in Section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), MT. Whitney has averaged 6.4 yards per play (1,367 yards on 212 snaps), a 29% rise, #59 in Section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: MT. Whitney's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.8 yards per play, a #79 defense in Section on the season, against 6.3 yards per play, #39 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.8 yards per play), MT. Whitney gained 17% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #63 in Section, well below the first 5 (#30), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Pioneers rank #87 in Section in yards per play. That form gets a real test against Redwood, whose defense ranks #22 in Section (5.6 yards per play).
MT. Whitney's run defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. MT. Whitney allowed 4.8 yards per carry (512 yards on 106 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #35 in Section during that stretch. In the 5 games since that hot start (2-3), the Pioneers have allowed 5.8 yards per carry (721 yards on 124 rushes), a 20% rise, #49 in Section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: MT. Whitney's last 5 opponents have averaged 6.0 yards per carry, a #55 rushing attack in Section on the season, against 5.3 yards per carry, #70 for the first 4. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #56 in Section, well below the first 4 (#30), which makes the dip harder to excuse. On the season, MT. Whitney ranks #40 in Section in run defense. Redwood's ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #57 in Section (5.9 yards per carry).
Something changed for MT. Whitney's ground game after its first 4 games. The Pioneers averaged 4.8 yards per carry (547 yards on 113 rushes) over their first 4 games (2-2), #83 in Section over that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (2-3), MT. Whitney has averaged 4.0 yards per carry (439 yards on 110 rushes), an 18% drop, #97 in Section over that span. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 5 opponents have been softer, averaging 6.0 yards per carry, a #56 run defense in Section on the season, against 5.0 yards per carry, #31 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.0 yards per carry), MT. Whitney ran for 34% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #56 in Section, well below the first 4 (#30), which makes the dip harder to excuse. On the season, the Pioneers rank #94 in Section in rushing. It won't get any easier against Redwood, whose run defense ranks #17 in Section (4.3 yards per carry).
MT. Whitney's defense has given up chunk yardage as the season has progressed. MT. Whitney allowed 6.5 yards per play (1,728 yards on 267 snaps) over its first 5 games (2-3), #52 in Section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Pioneers have allowed 7.5 yards per play (1,195 yards on 160 snaps), a 15% rise, #69 in Section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 7.1 yards per play on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.1 yards per play), MT. Whitney allowed 5% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #63 in Section, well below the first 5 (#30), which makes the dip harder to excuse. On the season, MT. Whitney ranks #54 in Section in yards per play allowed. Redwood's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #38 in Section (7.4 yards per play).
TIDBITS (7 found)
• Club Mt. Whitney has gone 10 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (October 31, 2025 through October 22, 2026), going 4-6 over that stretch, a school-record 10 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Player Levi Young has 691 passing yards over his last 3 games (230.3 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Jake Westmoreland has 38 tackles over his last 3 games (12.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Keegan Oswalt has 35 tackles over his last 4 games (8.8 a game, September 25, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch on record.
• Player Keegan Oswalt has gone 5 straight games forcing a fumble, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Levi Young has gone 4 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Jackson Franks has gone 2 straight games making 10 or more tackles, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 3 straight games making 10 or more tackles, during the 2026 season.
MILESTONE WATCH
MT. Whitney
Jackson Franks needs 1 tackle for 100 (averaging 12.4 a game)
Jake Westmoreland needs 3 tackles for 100 (averaging 12.1 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 16 game; last updated Oct 23; roster and numbers checked Oct 6.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 8/9, sacks/INT 8/9, sacks allowed 7/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 53.4/100 (-7 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 20.8/100 (-79 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 36.4/100 (+15 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 38.3/100 (+20 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
DATE
SITE
OPPONENT
THEIR RECORD
THEIR PPG
2026-10-30
vs
REDWOOD
7-2
34.6
LAST YEAR
MW finished 2025 at 1-9. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 43-20 over EL DIAMANTE (EL DIAMANTE finished 0% that season). Toughest loss: 16-20 to REEDLEY (4-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
MW HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• MW rushes for 100+ yards (.556), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• MW forces 3+ takeaways (.667), but most recently lost to Monache when doing so
MW's defense has averaged 2.4 takeaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 22-game average is 1.4 takeaways per game. (+72%)
MW's defense has averaged 19.9 points allowed per game over their last 7 games. Their 29-game average is 29.6 points allowed per game. (-33%)
MW's defense has averaged 219.7 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 20-game average is 170.2 pass yards per game. (+29%)
MW's defense has averaged 144.5 rush yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 20-game average is 196.5 rush yards per game. (-26%)
MW's defense has averaged 5.0 YPC over their last 7 games. Their 20-game average is 6.5 YPC. (-24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where MT. WHITNEY sits among 114 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 23.4, Defense Grade 30.0.
POINTS / GAME: MT. WHITNEY VS THE SECTION
MT. WHITNEY ranks #90 of 114 section teams in points per game (15.2) -- a weakness worth a look.
MT. WHITNEY: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -4.1 in 2022 to -2.0 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
