In short: Morton Ranch Mavericks high school football (Katy, TX), 2026 season: 2-6. Last game: L 26-40 vs Mayde Creek on October 22, 2026. Next: at Tompkins, October 29, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 2-6 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 26-40 vs MAYDE CREEK |
| NEXT GAME | TOMPKINS (10/29/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 15.6 · Rush Off 51.2 · Pass Def 54.2 · Rush Def 11.1 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORTON RANCH | 15.6 (-89) | 51.2 (-8) | 54.2 (-9) | 11.1 (+98) |
Next: at Tompkins, Thu 29 Oct. Matchup report: Morton Ranch at Tompkins.
The number to watch when Morton Ranch meets Tompkins is Morton Ranch's scoring defense. Morton Ranch allowed 30.8 points per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #727 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Mavericks have allowed 49.0 points per game, a 59% rise, #1080 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Morton Ranch's last 3 opponents have averaged 33.2 points per game, a #451 offense in section on the season, against 20.6 points per game, #916 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (33.2 points per game), Morton Ranch allowed 48% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #421 in section, well above the first 5 (#783), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Tompkins' offense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Falcons have averaged 52.3 points per game over their last 3 games (3-0), #113 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (32.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #795). Against those norms, Tompkins scored 62% more than those defenses usually allow. Unless Morton Ranch's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Tompkins. Morton Ranch is 2-1 this season when it holds opponents under 35, and 0-5 when it doesn't.
The battle on the ground could decide Morton Ranch's next game, against Tompkins, and the recent returns favor Tompkins. Morton Ranch allowed 5.6 yards per carry (655 yards on 117 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #528 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Mavericks have allowed 7.6 yards per carry (1,255 yards on 165 rushes), a 36% rise, #910 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Morton Ranch's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.1 yards per carry, a #462 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.2 yards per carry, #887 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.1 yards per carry), Morton Ranch allowed 24% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #471 in section, well above the first 4 (#823), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Tompkins' ground game has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Falcons have averaged 8.0 yards per carry (1,084 yards on 136 rushes) over their last 4 games (4-0), #184 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of run defenses in section (6.1 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #647). Against those norms, Tompkins ran for 31% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Unless Morton Ranch's run defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Tompkins.
The biggest worry in Morton Ranch's season has been the direction of its offense. Morton Ranch averaged 6.7 yards per play (1,217 yards on 182 snaps) over its first 4 games (2-2), #524 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Mavericks have averaged 4.8 yards per play (845 yards on 177 snaps), a 29% drop, #831 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Morton Ranch's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.0 yards per play, a #326 defense in section on the season, against 7.9 yards per play, #919 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.0 yards per play), Morton Ranch gained 21% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #471 in section, well above the first 4 (#823), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Morton Ranch ranks #774 in section in yards per play. Tompkins' defense sits in the middle of the pack, #425 in section (6.3 yards per play).
Morton Ranch's offense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Mavericks averaged 23.0 points per game over their first 4 games (2-2), #830 in section during those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), Morton Ranch has averaged 16.8 points per game, a 27% drop, #971 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Morton Ranch's last 4 opponents have averaged 25.5 points per game, a #488 scoring defense in section on the season, against 35.6 points per game, #900 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.5 points per game), Morton Ranch scored 34% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #471 in section, well above the first 4 (#823), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Mavericks rank #942 in section in scoring. Tompkins' defense sits in the middle of the pack, #468 in section (25.1 points per game). Morton Ranch is 1-1 this season when it scores 26 or more, and 1-5 when it doesn't.
Something changed for Morton Ranch's defense after its first 4 games. Morton Ranch allowed 6.2 yards per play (1,155 yards on 185 snaps) over its first 4 games (2-2), #461 in section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), the Mavericks have allowed 7.7 yards per play (1,506 yards on 195 snaps), a 24% rise, #776 in section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Morton Ranch's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.5 yards per play, a #598 offense in section on the season, against 5.3 yards per play, #868 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.5 yards per play), Morton Ranch allowed 18% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #471 in section, well above the first 4 (#823), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Morton Ranch ranks #683 in section in yards per play allowed. Tompkins' offense sits in the middle of the pack, #322 in section (7.7 yards per play).
Morton Ranch's ground game has run the ball less effectively as the season has worn on. The Mavericks averaged 5.9 yards per carry (796 yards on 134 rushes) over their first 4 games (2-2), #495 in section over that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (0-4), Morton Ranch has averaged 4.7 yards per carry (634 yards on 134 rushes), a 20% drop, #700 in section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Morton Ranch's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.3 yards per carry, a #400 run defense in section on the season, against 6.4 yards per carry, #748 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.3 yards per carry), Morton Ranch ran for 11% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #471 in section, well above the first 4 (#823), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Mavericks rank #658 in section in rushing. Tompkins' run defense sits in the middle of the pack, #569 in section (5.8 yards per carry).
• Club Morton Ranch has lost 4 straight, and a loss would make it 5 in a row. The last time they lost 5 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 5.
• Club The last time Morton Ranch went a game allowing 200+ passing yards was October 31, 2024 against Cinco Ranch (L, 42-55). Since then Morton Ranch has gone 19 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards, a school-record 19 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Morton Ranch has gone 7 straight games allowing 100+ rushing yards (September 4, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 1-6 over that stretch, a school-record 7 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Morton Ranch has gone 6 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 11, 2026 through October 22, 2026), going 1-5 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Morton Ranch has allowed 147 points over its last 3 games (49.0 a game, October 8, 2026 through October 22, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 167, from September 25, 2025 through October 9, 2025.
• Player Chase Williams has 3 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.0 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 17, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Cameron Brown has gone 2 straight games running for a touchdown, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 3 straight games running for a touchdown, during the 2026 season.
From the games on file through Sep 17.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 17 game; last updated Sep 29; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 20 | EMILIO GOMEZ | 2 | 20/29 | 69.0% | 258 | 8.9 | 5 | 1 | 193.7 |
| 10 | THADDEUS WILLIAMS | 2 | 12/19 | 63.2% | 163 | 8.6 | 1 | 2 | 131.5 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 32/48 | 66.7% | 421 | 8.8 | 6 | 3 | 169.1 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 7 | CAMERON BROWN | 4 | 62 | 410 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 22 | JEREMY CAROLINA | 4 | 53 | 278 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 20 | EMILIO GOMEZ | 2 | 15 | 105 | 7.0 | 0 |
| 5 | CHASE WILLIAMS | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 3 | TAYLAN ELI | 4 | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 134 | 796 | 5.9 | 6 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 5 | CHASE WILLIAMS | 4 | 14 | 247 | 17.6 | 3 |
| 1 | CRAIGE O'DANIELS | 3 | 9 | 114 | 12.7 | 1 |
| 3 | TAYLAN ELI | 4 | 12 | 109 | 9.1 | 1 |
| 7 | CAMERON BROWN | 4 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 28 | JAMES CHARLES | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 37 | 493 | 13.3 | 6 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 15 | HENRY REED | 2 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 7-4 | 407 | 371 | 37.0 |
| 2023 | 2-8 | 265 | 316 | 26.5 |
| 2024 | 0-10 | 164 | 350 | 16.4 |
| 2025 | 3-7 | 187 | 415 | 18.7 |
| 2026 | 2-6 | 159 | 301 | 19.9 |
| 2022-26 | 14-35 | 24.1 |
| # | Team | Dist | Ovr | Rank | Proj. | Dist. pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KATY | 6-0 | 8-0 | 13 / 25 | 1 (8.0-0.0) | 311-54 | 10/30 vs KATY TAYLOR |
| 2 | TOMPKINS | 5-1 | 5-3 | 85 / 273 | 2 (6.8-1.2) | 251-124 | 10/29 vs MORTON RANCH |
| 3 | JORDAN | 4-2 | 5-2 | 92 / 294 | 3 (5.9-2.1) | 189-150 | 10/29 vs SEVEN LAKES |
| 4 | KATY TAYLOR | 4-3 | 6-3 | 148 / 585 | 4 (4.0-4.0) | 187-179 | 10/30 vs KATY |
| 5 | PAETOW | 3-3 | 3-5 | 162 / 630 | 6 (3.9-4.1) | 153-173 | 10/30 vs MAYDE CREEK |
| 6 | CINCO RANCH | 3-4 | 3-5 | 165 / 641 | 5 (3.9-4.1) | 167-204 | 11/05 vs SEVEN LAKES |
| 7 | MAYDE CREEK | 2-4 | 3-5 | 203 / 834 | 7 (2.3-5.7) | 140-206 | 10/30 vs PAETOW |
| 8 | MORTON RANCH | 1-5 | 2-6 | 217 / 923 | 8 (1.1-6.9) | 117-252 | 10/29 vs TOMPKINS |
| 9 | SEVEN LAKES | 0-6 | 0-8 | 234 / 1039 | 9 (0.1-7.9) | 78-251 | 10/29 vs JORDAN |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/29 | CYPRESS CREEK | vs | W | 22-0 | |
| 09/04 | CONROE | at | L | 20-49 | |
| 09/11 | CINCO RANCH | at | L | 7-49 | |
| 09/17 | SEVEN LAKES | vs | W | 43-28 | |
| 10/01 | PAETOW | at | L | 16-28 | |
| 10/08 | KATY | vs | L | 6-69 | |
| 10/16 | KATY TAYLOR | at | L | 19-38 | |
| 10/22 | MAYDE CREEK | vs | L | 26-40 | |
| 10/29 | TOMPKINS | at | PROJ | 6-53 | 1.1% |
| 11/06 | JORDAN | vs | PROJ | 7-50 | 1.6% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 2-6 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 2-6 so far | 2-8 (83%) | 2.2-7.8 |
| League | 1-4 so far | 1-4 (100%) | 1.0-4.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 19.9 | 37.6 | 257.8 | 332.6 | 44.9 | 47.5 |
| HOME | 3 | 23.7 | 32.3 | 301.0 | 278.7 | 44.3 | 47.0 |
| ROAD | 4 | 15.5 | 41.0 | 215.2 | 350.2 | 44.2 | 46.8 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/29 | vs. Cypress Creek | W 22-0 | 0 | 252 | 252 | 49 | 32 | 81 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +3 |
| 9/4 | @ Conroe | L 20-49 | 147 | 182 | 329 | 119 | 229 | 348 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
| 9/11 | @ Cinco Ranch | L 7-49 | 66 | 99 | 165 | 166 | 242 | 408 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| 9/17 | vs. Seven Lakes | W 43-28 | 208 | 263 | 471 | 166 | 152 | 318 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 10/1 | @ Paetow | L 16-28 | 0 | 134 | 134 | -3 | 340 | 337 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | +1 |
| 10/8 | vs. Katy | L 6-69 | 37 | 143 | 180 | 106 | 331 | 437 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/16 | @ Katy Taylor | L 19-38 | 85 | 148 | 233 | 88 | 220 | 308 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 10/22 | MAYDE CREEK | L 26-40 | 89 | 209 | 298 | 60 | 364 | 424 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| AVERAGES | 79.0 | 178.8 | 257.8 | 93.9 | 238.8 | 332.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | -4 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 4/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 15.6/100 (-89 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 51.2/100 (-8 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 54.2/100 (-9 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 11.1/100 (+98 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (adjusted for the opponents faced).
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-29 | at | TOMPKINS | 5-3 | 34.9 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | JORDAN | 5-2 | 32.9 |
LAST YEAR
MR finished 2025 at 3-7. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 10-9 over SEVEN LAKES (SEVEN LAKES finished 30% that season). Toughest loss: 27-29 to NIMITZ (2-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-30 | NIMITZ | L | 0-1 | 27 | 29 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | MAGNOLIA WEST | W | 1-1 | 44 | 37 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | KATY | L | 1-2 | 0 | 57 | 91 | 483 |
| 2025-09-18 | KATY TAYLOR | W | 2-2 | 24 | 17 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-25 | JORDAN | L | 2-3 | 13 | 56 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | PAETOW | L | 2-4 | 37 | 60 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-09 | TOMPKINS | L | 2-5 | 2 | 51 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | MAYDE CREEK | L | 2-6 | 16 | 47 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | CINCO RANCH | L | 2-7 | 14 | 52 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | SEVEN LAKES | W | 3-7 | 10 | 9 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 10 GMS | 3-7 | 3-7 | 187 | 415 | 91 (1) | 483 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• MR averages 6.0+ yards per play (.667), but most recently lost to Mayde Creek when doing so
• MR holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.667), but most recently lost to Katy Taylor when doing so
• MR rushes for 150+ yards (.500), but most recently lost to Mayde Creek when doing so
• MR averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.500), but most recently lost to Mayde Creek when doing so
• MR's defense has limited opponents to under 200 pass yds in 8 straight games (08/29/2026-10/22/2026), going 2-6 over that stretch.
• MR's defense has conceded 100+ rush yds in 7 straight games (09/04/2026-10/22/2026), going 1-6 over that stretch.
• MR's defense has conceded 150+ rush yds in 7 straight games (09/04/2026-10/22/2026), going 1-6 over that stretch.
• MR's defense has conceded 5.0+ YPC in 7 straight games (09/04/2026-10/22/2026), going 1-6 over that stretch.
• MR's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.9 takeaways per game. (-62%)
• MR's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 4 straight games (10/01/2026-10/22/2026), going 0-4 over that stretch.
• MR's offense has committed 1+ turnover in 3 straight games (10/08/2026-10/22/2026), going 0-3 over that stretch.
• MR's defense has averaged 49.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 38.1 points allowed per game. (+29%)
• MR's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 1.4 giveaways per game. (-29%)
• MR's defense has averaged 83.4 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 111.5 pass yards per game. (-25%)
• MR's defense has averaged 305.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 246.6 rush yards per game. (+24%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
MR -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 10 scored; vs 1205 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 2-6 | .250 | 24.2 | L4 | 0.770 |
| 2 | DEF | Pass Yds < 200 | 2-7 | .222 | 39.8 | L4 | 0.738 |
| 3 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 2-7 | .222 | 20.1 | L4 | 0.595 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers 1+ | 1-7 | .125 | 20.4 | L3 | 0.362 |
| 5 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 1-8 | .111 | 17.6 | L6 | 0.236 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- MR ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MR rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 1-5 | .167 | 18.2 | L5 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| MR | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 1-5 | .167 | 18.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 29.7 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 9.6 | L5 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.5 | L6 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-6 | .250 | 24.2 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.5 | L2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-6 | .000 | 15.0 | L6 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.5 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-6 | .000 | 15.2 | L6 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 30.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-7 | .000 | 15.7 | L7 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-8 | .111 | 17.6 | L6 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-7 | .125 | 20.4 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 19.0 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-4 | .000 | 8.2 | L4 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-7 | .000 | 5.3 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-9 | .100 | 14.4 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-5 | .286 | 23.3 |
| Scores 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-1 | .667 | 43.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 29.7 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-4 | .000 | 12.0 | L4 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-6 | .143 | 16.6 | L6 | |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-5 | .286 | 21.7 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-4 | .000 | 12.0 | L4 | |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 27.5 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-4 | .000 | 12.2 | L4 | |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 30.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 13.6 | L5 | |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-6 | .143 | 16.6 | L6 | |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-5 | .167 | 20.2 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 19.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 11.0 | L3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 6.5 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 17.5 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-2 | .333 | 22.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 55.8 | L5 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | L3 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-1 | .000 | 55.0 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-7 | .222 | 39.8 | L4 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 49.6 | L7 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-4 | .200 | 33.2 | L4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 45.0 | L2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-1 | .500 | 17.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-6 | .143 | 26.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 37.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-15 | .000 | 51.1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 55.7 | L3 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | L3 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-6 | .250 | 37.6 | L4 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-6 | .143 | 43.0 | L4 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-6 | .143 | 43.0 | L4 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-6 | .143 | 43.0 | L4 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-6 | .143 | 43.0 | L4 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 47.0 | L5 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | L1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-4 | .200 | 33.2 | L4 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 45.0 | L2 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 38.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-4 | .000 | 51.8 |
MORTON RANCH
• MORTON RANCH has allowed 200+ rushing in 4 straight games (10/1/26–10/22/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MORTON RANCH has been held under 100 passing in 4 straight games (10/1/26–10/22/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MORTON RANCH has allowed 30+ in 3 straight games (10/8/26–10/22/26). It has not allowed 30+ in 4 straight since 9/25/25–10/30/25 (2025).
• MORTON RANCH has lost 4 straight (10/1/26–10/22/26). It has not lost 5 straight since 9/25/25–10/30/25 (2025). It has reached 5 straight 3 times in the last 4 years and has lost a high of 12 straight (2025) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 29.7 | L1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 9.6 | L5 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 14.5 | L6 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 24.2 | L4 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.5 | L2 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.8 | L1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 15.0 | L6 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 27.5 | L2 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 15.2 | L6 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 30.3 | L1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 15.7 | L7 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 17.6 | L6 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 20.4 | L3 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 19.0 | L1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 8.2 | L4 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 5.3 | L7 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 10 | 1-9 | .100 | 14.4 | L2 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 23.3 | L2 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 43.0 | W2 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 55.8 | L5 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | L3 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 55.0 | L1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 9 | 2-7 | .222 | 39.8 | L4 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 45.9 | L4 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 49.6 | L7 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | L1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 33.2 | L4 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 45.0 | L2 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.5 | W2 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 17.0 | W1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 26.0 | L1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 37.5 | L1 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 15 | 0-15 | .000 | 51.1 | L15 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 games | 08/29/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-6 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 09/17/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-4 |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 games | 10/01/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-4 |
| OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 games | 10/01/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-4 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/08/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-3 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| MR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 games | 08/29/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 2-6 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| MR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| MR | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 games | 09/04/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-6 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 09/17/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 1-4 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 games | 10/01/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-4 |
| MR | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 games | 10/01/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-4 |
| MR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/08/2026 - 10/22/2026 | 0-3 |
MR OFFENSE
MR's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 1.4 giveaways per game. (-29%)
MR's offense has averaged 22.0 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 28-game average is 18.2 points scored per game. (+21%)
MR DEFENSE
MR's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 0.9 takeaways per game. (-62%)
MR's defense has averaged 49.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 38.1 points allowed per game. (+29%)
MR's defense has averaged 83.4 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 111.5 pass yards per game. (-25%)
MR's defense has averaged 305.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 246.6 rush yards per game. (+24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| MR | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 83.4 | 10 | 111.5 | -25.2% | |
| MR | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 49.0 | 28 | 38.1 | +28.7% | |
| MR | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 22.0 | 28 | 18.2 | +20.8% | |
| MR | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 305.0 | 10 | 246.6 | +23.7% | |
| MR | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.3 | 8 | 0.9 | -61.9% | |
| MR | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 1.0 | 10 | 1.4 | -28.6% |
