In short: Moreau Catholic Mariners high school football (Hayward, CA), 2026 season: 4-4. Last game: L 7-25 vs San Leandro on October 23, 2026. Next: at Berkeley, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Moreau Catholic meets Berkeley is Moreau Catholic's scoring defense. Moreau Catholic allowed 40.3 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #104 in Section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (2-3), the Mariners have allowed 29.4 points per game, a 27% drop, #75 in Section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Moreau Catholic's last 5 opponents have averaged 27.0 points per game, a #47 offense in Section on the season, against 29.5 points per game, #39 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (27.0 points per game), Moreau Catholic allowed 9% more than those offenses usually score. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Meanwhile, Berkeley's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Yellowjackets have averaged 20.8 points per game over their last 5 games (2-3), #71 in Section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in Section (25.6 points per game on the season, which would rank #66). Against those norms, Berkeley scored 19% less than those defenses usually allow. Berkeley offers Moreau Catholic a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Moreau Catholic is 2-0 this season when it holds opponents under 22, and 2-4 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest worry in Moreau Catholic's season has been the direction of its offense. Moreau Catholic averaged 27.2 points per game over its first 5 games (4-1), #43 in Section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Mariners have averaged 20.0 points per game, a 26% drop, #70 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 23.7 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.0 points per game), Moreau Catholic scored 17% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #28 in Section, well above the first 5 (#47), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Moreau Catholic ranks #55 in Section in scoring. Berkeley's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #79 in Section (29.6 points per game). Moreau Catholic is 3-0 this season when it scores 30 or more, and 1-4 when it doesn't.
TIDBITS (10 found)
• Club Moreau Catholic has lost 3 straight, and a loss would make it 4 in a row. The last time they lost 4 or more in a row was 2022, a run of 4.
• Club Moreau Catholic has gone 13 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (October 3, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 7-6 over that stretch, a school-record 13 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Moreau Catholic is 15-0 all time when holding the opponent under 6.0 yards per play in the games on file (15 such games).
• Club Moreau Catholic is 12-1 all time when allowing 10-19 points. Moreau Catholic's last loss when allowing 10-19 points was November 11, 2022 against Scphs (L, 10-14).
• Club Moreau Catholic has allowed 111 points over its last 3 games (37.0 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 129, from August 26, 2023 through September 8, 2023.
• Player Zion Dysart has 344 rushing yards over his last 3 games (114.7 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 25, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Zion Dysart has 5 rushing touchdowns over his last 3 games (1.7 a game, September 4, 2026 through September 25, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Kimoni Brown has gone 2 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Kimoni Brown has never had a game throwing for 200+ yards for Moreau Catholic, over a 12-game career on record. His career high is 174, set September 25, 2026 against Piedmont (W, 31-17).
• Player Chris Wilson has gone 6 straight games without making 10 or more tackles. The last time he made 10 tackles was October 3, 2025 against James Logan (L, 19-24) — 17 tackles.
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 25 game; last updated Oct 23; roster and numbers checked Sep 6.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 5/8, defense 6/8, sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 6/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 57.7/100 (+2 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 51.9/100 (-6 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 19.3/100 (+44 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 45.1/100 (+6 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
MC finished 2025 at 4-6. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 35-24 over BALBOA (BALBOA finished 92% that season). Toughest loss: 20-21 to SALESIAN COLLEGE PREPARATORY (1-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
MC HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• MC holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.999), and has won 11 straight when doing so
• MC holds its opponents under 200 passing yards (.696), but most recently lost to James Logan when doing so
• MC holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.812), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• MC averages 6.0+ yards per play (.762), but most recently lost to James Logan when doing so
• MC's defense has averaged 17.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 8.1 YPA. (+117%)
• MC's offense has averaged 320.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 155.7 pass yards per game. (+106%)
• MC's offense has averaged 0.2 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 33-game average is 1.1 giveaways per game. (-81%)
• MC's offense has averaged 35.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 146.7 rush yards per game. (-76%)
• MC's defense has averaged 11.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 6.7 YPP. (+72%)
• MC's offense has averaged 1.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 5.6 YPC. (-66%)
• MC's defense has averaged 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 33-game average is 1.8 takeaways per game. (-55%)
• MC's defense has averaged 37.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 24.9 points allowed per game. (+48%)
• MC's offense has averaged 13.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 30-game average is 9.6 YPA. (+46%)
• MC holds its opponents under 7.2 yards per attempt (MC's own median) (.857)
• MC's defense has averaged 8.7 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 6.0 YPC. (+44%)
MC's defense has averaged 17.6 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 8.1 YPA. (+117%)
MC's defense has averaged 11.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 6.7 YPP. (+72%)
MC's defense has averaged 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 33-game average is 1.8 takeaways per game. (-55%)
MC's defense has averaged 37.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 33-game average is 24.9 points allowed per game. (+48%)
MC's defense has averaged 8.7 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 6.0 YPC. (+44%)
MC's defense has averaged 196.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 28-game average is 138.5 pass yards per game. (+42%)
MC's defense has averaged 388.5 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 310.0 total yards per game. (+25%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where MOREAU CATHOLIC sits among 109 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 52.9, Defense Grade 59.1.
YARDS / PLAY ALLOWED: MOREAU CATHOLIC VS THE SECTION
MOREAU CATHOLIC ranks #65 of 68 section teams in yards per play allowed (10.13) -- a weakness worth a look.
MOREAU CATHOLIC: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 5.8 in 2022 to 4.3 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
