In short: Mcnair Mustangs high school football (Atlanta, GA), 2026 season: 4-4. Last game: W 17-10 vs Cedar Grove on October 22, 2026. Next: vs Carver, October 29, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 4-4 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 17-10 vs CEDAR GROVE |
| NEXT GAME | CARVER (10/29/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 63.6 · Rush Off 13.7 · Pass Def 42.9 · Rush Def 43.0 |
| ENROLLMENT | 776 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCNAIR | 63.6 (+14) | 13.7 (-102) | 42.9 (+6) | 43.0 (+10) |
Next: vs Carver, Thu 29 Oct. Matchup report: Carver at Mcnair.
The number to watch when Mcnair meets Carver is Mcnair's scoring. Mcnair averaged 17.0 points per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #341 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (3-1), the Mustangs have averaged 26.0 points per game, a 53% rise, #224 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Mcnair's last 4 opponents have averaged 27.6 points per game, a #290 scoring defense in section on the season, against 22.6 points per game, #192 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (27.6 points per game), Mcnair scored 6% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #334 in section. Meanwhile, Carver's defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Panthers have allowed 28.2 points per game over their last 4 games (1-3), #289 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (22.7 points per game on the season, which would rank #269). Against those norms, Carver allowed 25% more than those offenses usually score. Carver offers Mcnair a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Mcnair is 2-1 this season when it scores 25 or more, and 2-3 when it doesn't.
The biggest shift in Mcnair's season has come in its defense. Mcnair allowed 33.5 points per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #383 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (3-1), the Mustangs have allowed 16.2 points per game, a 51% drop, #111 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Mcnair's last 4 opponents have averaged 15.5 points per game, a #366 offense in section on the season, against 22.3 points per game, #277 for the first 4. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #334 in section. Only Hapeville Charter broke through in that span, putting up 42 on 10/15. On the season, Mcnair ranks #232 in section in scoring defense. The trend lines up well against Carver, whose offense ranks just #379 of 465 (14.6 points per game). Mcnair is 4-0 this season when it holds opponents under 15, and 0-4 when it doesn't.
• Club The last time Mcnair went a game averaging 7.0+ yards per play was August 25, 2022 against Druid Hills (L, 20-21). Since then Mcnair has gone 48 straight games being held under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 48 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Mcnair went a game rushing for 150+ yards was August 25, 2023 against Druid Hills (L, 18-27). Since then Mcnair has gone 38 straight games being held under 150 rushing yards, a school-record 38 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Mcnair went a game allowing 200+ passing yards was August 25, 2023 against Druid Hills (L, 18-27). Since then Mcnair has gone 38 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards, a school-record 38 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: MCNAIR OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/22/2026 GAME @ CEDAR GROVE* MISSING
DATA WARNING: MCNAIR OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/15/2026 GAME VS. HAPEVILLE CHARTER* MISSING
DATA WARNING: MCNAIR OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/09/2026 GAME @ SOUTH ATLANTA* MISSING
DATA WARNING: MCNAIR OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/01/2026 GAME VS. REDAN* MISSING
DATA WARNING: MCNAIR OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/18/2026 GAME VS. MILLER GROVE* MISSING
DATA WARNING: MCNAIR OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/03/2026 GAME @ TOWERS MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 4-6 | 192 | 267 | 19.2 |
| 2023 | 4-6 | 205 | 264 | 20.5 |
| 2024 | 4-7 | 266 | 241 | 24.2 |
| 2025 | 3-8 | 195 | 388 | 17.7 |
| 2026 | 4-4 | 172 | 199 | 21.5 |
| 2022-26 | 19-31 | 20.6 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | MOUNT VERNON | at | L | 12-47 | |
| 08/28 | ST. PIUS X CATHOLIC | at | L | 13-42 | |
| 09/03 | TOWERS | at | W | 37-10 | |
| 09/18 | MILLER GROVE | vs | L | 6-35 | |
| 10/01 | REDAN | vs | W | 40-0 | |
| 10/09 | SOUTH ATLANTA | at | W | 19-13 | |
| 10/15 | HAPEVILLE CHARTER | vs | L | 28-42 | |
| 10/22 | CEDAR GROVE | at | W | 17-10 | |
| 10/29 | CARVER | vs | PROJ | 20-26 | 39.4% |
| 11/06 | COLUMBIA | at | PROJ | 1-47 | 1.1% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 4-4 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 4-4 so far | 4-6 (51%) | 4.6-5.4 |
| League | 3-2 so far | 3-3 (83%) | 3.2-2.8 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 21.5 | 24.9 | 227.0 | 186.7 | 51.0 | 26.3 |
| HOME | 3 | 24.7 | 25.7 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| ROAD | 5 | 19.6 | 24.4 | 227.0 | 186.7 | 51.0 | 26.3 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 2/8 game(s), Home 0/3 game(s), Road 2/5 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | @ Mount Vernon | L 12-47 | 89 | 117 | 206 | 156 | 149 | 305 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | 0 |
| 8/28 | @ St. Pius X Catholic | L 13-42 | 188 | 60 | 248 | 20 | 205 | 225 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 9/3 | @ Towers | W 37-10 | -- | -- | -- | 15 | 15 | 30 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 9/18 | vs. Miller Grove | L 6-35 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/1 | vs. Redan | W 40-0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/9 | @ South Atlanta | W 19-13 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/15 | vs. Hapeville Charter | L 28-42 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/22 | @ Cedar Grove | W 17-10 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| AVERAGES | 138.5 | 88.5 | 227.0 | 63.7 | 123.0 | 186.7 | -- | -- | -- | 0.7 | -2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 2/8, defense 3/8, sacks/INT 0/8, sacks allowed 0/8, turnovers 3/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 63.6/100 (+14 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 13.7/100 (-102 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 42.9/100 (+6 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 43.0/100 (+10 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-29 | vs | CARVER | 3-5 | 14.6 |
| 2026-11-06 | at | COLUMBIA | 6-2 | 34.8 |
LAST YEAR
MCN finished 2025 at 3-8. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 20-7 over TOWERS (TOWERS finished 36% that season). Toughest loss: 18-21 to JASPER COUNTY (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-15 | TEMPLE | L | 0-1 | 40 | 69 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-22 | KIPP ATLANTA COLLEGIATE | L | 0-2 | 8 | 33 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-29 | MIDTOWN | W | 1-2 | 18 | 17 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | BREMEN | L | 1-3 | 12 | 38 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | PUTNAM COUNTY | L | 1-4 | 6 | 28 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | LAMAR COUNTY | L | 1-5 | 22 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-02 | JASPER COUNTY | L | 1-6 | 18 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | SOCIAL CIRCLE | L | 1-7 | 17 | 56 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-23 | TOWERS | W | 2-7 | 20 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | UTOPIAN ACADEMY FOR THE ARTS | W | 3-7 | 34 | 16 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | WORTH COUNTY | L | 3-8 | 0 | 68 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 3-8 | 3-8 | 195 | 388 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• MCN's defense has averaged 20.0 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 30-game average is 27.6 points allowed per game. (-28%)
• MCN is 4-4 (.500) in games decided by 8 points or fewer
• MCN is 7-12 (.368) on the road
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 12.0 | L1 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-1 | .000 | 12.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 28 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 37.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-5 | .167 | 5.5 |
| Scores 10-19 | 3-10 | .231 | 15.5 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-2 | .500 | 24.2 |
| Scores 30-39 | 3-1 | .750 | 35.2 |
| Scores 40+ | 2-1 | .667 | 53.3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 12.0 | L1 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-1 | .000 | 12.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 6 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 37.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 5 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 2-2 | .500 | 15.2 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 37.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 40.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 42.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 2.6 |
| Allows 10-19 | 6-1 | .857 | 13.9 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-4 | .000 | 23.5 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-6 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-8 | .000 | 51.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 42.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 5 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-3 | .000 | 43.7 |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MCN | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 12.0 | L1 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 12.0 | L1 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 37.0 | W1 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.5 | L2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 5.5 | L4 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 13 | 3-10 | .231 | 15.5 | W2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 24.2 | L1 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 35.2 | W2 |
| MCN | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 53.3 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 33.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 42.0 | L1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 44.5 | L2 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 47.0 | L1 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 2.6 | W5 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 13.9 | W6 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 23.5 | L4 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 35.0 | L6 |
| MCN | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 51.8 | L8 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
MCN DEFENSE
MCN's defense has averaged 20.0 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 30-game average is 27.6 points allowed per game. (-28%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| MCN | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 20.0 | 30 | 27.6 | -27.5% |
From the games on file through Oct 22.
