In short: Mcdonough Warhawks high school football (Mcdonough, GA), 2026 season: 3-5. Last game: L 0-35 vs Hampton on October 16, 2026. Next: at Sandy Creek, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 3-5 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 0-35 vs HAMPTON |
| NEXT GAME | SANDY CREEK (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 48.4 · Rush Off 16.6 · Pass Def 49.9 · Rush Def 74.7 |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCDONOUGH | 48.4 (-18) | 16.6 (-92) | 49.9 (-3) | 74.7 (-54) |
Next: at Sandy Creek, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Mcdonough at Sandy Creek.
The number to watch when Mcdonough meets Sandy Creek is Mcdonough's scoring. Mcdonough averaged 13.7 points per game over its first 3 games (1-2), #365 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (2-3), the Warhawks have averaged 20.6 points per game, a 51% rise, #289 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mcdonough's last 5 opponents have averaged 25.7 points per game, a #253 scoring defense in section on the season, against 31.6 points per game, #357 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.7 points per game), Mcdonough scored 20% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #294 in section. Conversely, Sandy Creek's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Patriots have allowed 2.6 points per game over their last 5 games (5-0), #3 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in section (18.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #328). Against those norms, Sandy Creek held those offenses 86% below what they usually score. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #334 in section, a lower level of competition. Something has to give when Mcdonough's surging offense meets one of section's better units in Sandy Creek's.
The biggest worry in Mcdonough's season has been the direction of its defense. Mcdonough allowed 24.2 points per game over its first 5 games (3-2), #219 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (0-3), the Warhawks have allowed 35.7 points per game, a 47% rise, #360 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Mcdonough's last 3 opponents have averaged 28.4 points per game, a #167 offense in section on the season, against 19.3 points per game, #311 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (28.4 points per game), Mcdonough allowed 26% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #207 in section, well above the first 5 (#334), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Mcdonough ranks #306 in section in scoring defense. It won't get any easier against Sandy Creek, whose offense ranks #48 in section (39.4 points per game).
• Club Mcdonough has lost 3 straight, and a loss would make it 4 in a row. The last time they lost 4 or more in a row was 2023, a run of 14.
• Club Mcdonough has gone 7 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 28, 2026 through October 16, 2026), going 3-4 over that stretch, a school-record 7 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: MCDONOUGH OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/16/2026 GAME @ HAMPTON* MISSING
DATA WARNING: MCDONOUGH OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/02/2026 GAME VS. NORTH CLAYTON* MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
From the games on file through Aug 28.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Aug 28 game; last updated Sep 30.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| T. STRICKLAND | 1 | 10/19 | 52.6% | 196 | 10.3 | 2 | 1 | 163.5 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| T. MANIOR | 1 | 27 | 92 | 3.4 | 1 | |
| K. BARTLETT | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| C. FULLERTON | 1 | 2 | -5 | -2.5 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 1 | 31 | 88 | 2.8 | 1 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| T. THOMAS | 1 | 3 | 157 | 52.3 | 1 | |
| J. REMBERT | 1 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 1 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 1 | 6 | 186 | 31.0 | 2 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| J. TAYLOR | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. MOORE JR. | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. DEMPS | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| G. KING | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. THOMAS | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| D. WEBB JR. | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. WILLIAMS | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. MANIOR | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. JACKSON | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. ALLEN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. BABLE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. STRONG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M. DEWBERRY | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 1 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 4 | 0 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 4-6 | 251 | 200 | 25.1 |
| 2023 | 6-4 | 296 | 234 | 29.6 |
| 2024 | 0-10 | 178 | 393 | 17.8 |
| 2025 | 3-7 | 162 | 230 | 16.2 |
| 2026 | 3-5 | 144 | 228 | 18.0 |
| 2022-26 | 16-32 | 21.5 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | WHITEWATER | vs | L | 8-57 | |
| 08/28 | UNION GROVE | vs | W | 21-7 | |
| 09/04 | MT. ZION | at | L | 12-29 | |
| 09/11 | RIVERDALE | vs | W | 20-18 | |
| 09/18 | LUELLA | at | W | 37-10 | |
| 09/25 | WOODLAND | vs | L | 32-37 | |
| 10/02 | NORTH CLAYTON | vs | L | 14-35 | |
| 10/16 | HAMPTON | at | L | 0-35 | |
| 10/30 | SANDY CREEK | at | PROJ | 1-47 | 1.1% |
| 11/06 | FAYETTE COUNTY | vs | PROJ | 29-20 | 68.0% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 3-5 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 3-5 so far | 4-6 (62%) | 3.6-6.4 |
| League | 2-4 so far | 2-4 (100%) | 2.0-4.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 18.0 | 28.5 | 243.8 | 242.7 | 35.8 | 36.4 |
| HOME | 5 | 19.0 | 30.8 | 243.8 | 290.5 | 33.8 | 43.8 |
| ROAD | 3 | 16.3 | 24.7 | 244.0 | 179.0 | 40.0 | 26.7 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 6/8 game(s), Home 4/5 game(s), Road 2/3 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | vs. Whitewater | L 8-57 | 5 | 103 | 108 | 166 | 242 | 408 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | -1 |
| 8/28 | vs. Union Grove | W 21-7 | 196 | 88 | 284 | 100 | 30 | 130 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| 9/4 | @ Mt. Zion | L 12-29 | 132 | 103 | 235 | 113 | 29 | 142 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 9/11 | vs. Riverdale | W 20-18 | 215 | 104 | 319 | 43 | 64 | 107 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| 9/18 | @ Luella | W 37-10 | 133 | 120 | 253 | 147 | 27 | 174 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| 9/25 | vs. Woodland | L 32-37 | 178 | 86 | 264 | 319 | 198 | 517 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 10/2 | vs. North Clayton | L 14-35 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ Hampton | L 0-35 | -- | -- | -- | 175 | 46 | 221 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| AVERAGES | 143.2 | 100.7 | 243.8 | 151.9 | 90.9 | 242.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | +2 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 6/8, defense 7/8, sacks/INT 1/8, sacks allowed 1/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 48.4/100 (-18 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 16.6/100 (-92 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 49.9/100 (-3 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 74.7/100 (-54 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | SANDY CREEK | 8-0 | 39.4 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | FAYETTE COUNTY | 1-8 | 10.7 |
LAST YEAR
MCD finished 2025 at 3-7. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 28-7 over EAGLE'S LANDING CHRISTIAN ACADEMY (EAGLE'S LANDING CHRISTIAN ACADEMY finished 30% that season). Toughest loss: 24-27 to JONES COUNTY (3-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-15 | NORTH CLAYTON | L | 0-1 | 14 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-22 | EAGLE'S LANDING | L | 0-2 | 17 | 24 | 217 | 77 |
| 2025-08-29 | UNION GROVE | W | 1-2 | 16 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | HAMPTON | L | 1-3 | 14 | 25 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | STOCKBRIDGE | L | 1-4 | 7 | 47 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | EAGLE'S LANDING CHRISTIAN ACADEMY | W | 2-4 | 28 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | JONES COUNTY | L | 2-5 | 24 | 27 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | LOCUST GROVE | L | 2-6 | 16 | 30 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | WOODLAND | W | 3-6 | 23 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-31 | OLA | L | 3-7 | 3 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 10 GMS | 3-7 | 3-7 | 162 | 230 | 217 (1) | 77 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• MCD holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• MCD holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.600), but most recently lost to Hampton when doing so
• MCD holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.600), but most recently lost to Hampton when doing so
• MCD averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.667), but most recently lost to Woodland when doing so
• MCD's offense has averaged 12.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 5.9 YPC. (+107%)
• MCD's defense has averaged 247.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 132.9 pass yards per game. (+86%)
• MCD holds its opponents under 8.8 yards per attempt (MCD's own median) (.999)
• MCD's defense has averaged 369.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 222.0 total yards per game. (+66%)
• MCD's offense has averaged 10.6 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.4 YPP. (+65%)
• MCD holds its opponents under 5.7 yards per play (MCD's own median) (.750)
• MCD throws for 132.5+ yards (MCD's own median) (.750)
• MCD holds its opponents under 3.5 yards per carry (MCD's own median) (.750)
• MCD's offense has averaged 178.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 122.5 pass yards per game. (+45%)
• MCD's offense has averaged 9.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.9 YPA. (+44%)
• MCD's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (-39%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
MCD -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 4 of 4 scored; vs 546 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Rush Yds < 150 | 3-5 | .375 | 20.0 | L1 | 0.900 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 3-6 | .333 | 18.4 | L3 | 0.570 |
| 3 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 2-7 | .222 | 31.8 | L3 | 0.249 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers 1+ | 2-6 | .250 | 15.4 | L2 | 0.200 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- MCD ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MCD holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 3-3 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 |
| MCD rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 1-4 | .200 | 17.4 | W1 |
| MCD holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 |
| MCD holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| MCD | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 3-3 | .500 | 20.5 |
| MCD | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 1-4 | .200 | 17.4 |
| MCD | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 |
| MCD | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 24.3 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 17.4 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-5 | .286 | 20.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-4 | .333 | 17.8 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.5 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-5 | .375 | 20.0 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 20.3 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 19.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 21.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 19.2 | W2 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-4 | .333 | 18.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-6 | .250 | 15.4 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 8.3 | L3 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-6 | .000 | 5.7 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-10 | .091 | 13.8 |
| Scores 20-29 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.2 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-2 | .333 | 34.7 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 24.3 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 19.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-3 | .400 | 22.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-2 | .500 | 19.2 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.5 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-3 | .500 | 21.7 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 21.8 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 21.3 | L1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | W2 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.5 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-4 | .333 | 15.5 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 4.0 | L2 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 4.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 20.5 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 34.5 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 39.5 | L4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.7 | W3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-4 | .429 | 25.7 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-3 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-3 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 28.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-4 | .200 | 30.6 | L2 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-3 | .400 | 28.0 | L1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | 18 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 3-2 | .600 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-4 | .000 | 26.2 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-7 | .000 | 34.7 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-9 | .000 | 45.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 39.5 | L4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.7 | W3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-3 | .500 | 26.0 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.8 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.8 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 17.5 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 17.5 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 17.5 | L1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 28.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-2 | .333 | 29.3 | L2 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-3 | .400 | 28.0 | L1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 29.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.7 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 57.0 |
MCDONOUGH
• MCDONOUGH has lost by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/2/26–10/16/26). It has not lost by 20+ in 3 straight since 8/23/24–10/4/24 (2024).
• MCDONOUGH has allowed 30+ in 3 straight games (9/25/26–10/16/26). It has not allowed 30+ in 4 straight since 10/27/23–10/11/24 (2024).
• MCDONOUGH has lost 3 straight (9/25/26–10/16/26). It has not lost 4 straight since 10/27/23–8/22/25 (2025).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 24.3 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 17.4 | W1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 20.0 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 17.8 | W2 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.5 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 8 | 3-5 | .375 | 20.0 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 20.3 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 19.0 | W1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 21.3 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 19.2 | W2 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 18.0 | W1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 15.4 | L2 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 8.3 | L3 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 8.0 | L1 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 5.7 | L6 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 11 | 1-10 | .091 | 13.8 | L4 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 24.2 | W3 |
| MCD | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 34.7 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 39.5 | L4 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 11.7 | W3 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 37.0 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 25.7 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 47.0 | L2 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 41.0 | L3 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 18.8 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 28.0 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 30.6 | L2 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 28.0 | L1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 14.0 | W2 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 26.2 | L4 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 34.7 | L7 |
| MCD | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 9 | 0-9 | .000 | 45.8 | L9 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
MCD OFFENSE
MCD's offense has averaged 12.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 5.9 YPC. (+107%)
MCD's offense has averaged 10.6 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.4 YPP. (+65%)
MCD's offense has averaged 178.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 122.5 pass yards per game. (+45%)
MCD's offense has averaged 9.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 6.9 YPA. (+44%)
MCD's offense has averaged 0.8 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 1.2 giveaways per game. (-33%)
MCD's offense has averaged 278.7 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 227.2 total yards per game. (+23%)
MCD DEFENSE
MCD's defense has averaged 247.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 132.9 pass yards per game. (+86%)
MCD's defense has averaged 369.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 222.0 total yards per game. (+66%)
MCD's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (-39%)
MCD's defense has averaged 122.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 89.1 rush yards per game. (+37%)
MCD's defense has averaged 3.5 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 5.2 YPC. (-33%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| MCD | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 247.0 | 8 | 132.9 | +85.9% | |
| MCD | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 178.0 | 8 | 122.5 | +45.3% | |
| MCD | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 122.0 | 8 | 89.1 | +36.9% | |
| MCD | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 369.0 | 8 | 222.0 | +66.2% | |
| MCD | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 5 | 278.7 | 8 | 227.2 | +22.6% | |
| MCD | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 10 | 1.1 | -39.4% | |
| MCD | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 0.8 | 10 | 1.2 | -33.3% | |
| MCD | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 9.9 | 8 | 6.9 | +44.2% | |
| MCD | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 5 | 3.5 | 8 | 5.2 | -33.1% | |
| MCD | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 12.3 | 8 | 5.9 | +106.7% | |
| MCD | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 10.6 | 8 | 6.4 | +64.9% |
