Johnson City Eagles football 2026: schedule, results, stats and rankings

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AT A GLANCE

In short: Johnson City Eagles high school football (Johnson City, TX), 2026 season: 5-4. Last game: W 37-22 vs Coleman on October 30, 2026. Next: at Bangs, November 6, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.

ScorePirate Individual Team Report

JOHNSON CITY 5-4

2026 SEASON

AT A GLANCE — AS OF 11/06/2026

RECORD	5-4 this season
LAST GAME	W 37-22 vs COLEMAN
NEXT GAME	BANGS (11/06/2026)
UNIT GRADES	Pass Off 60.3 · Rush Off 76.5 · Pass Def 45.2 · Rush Def 81.8
ENROLLMENT	225 STUDENTS (2025)

NUMBERS TO NOTE

#495

SP Strength Index (of 1252)

5-4

2026 record

+1.2

avg scoring margin, pts/gm

UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)

TEAM	PASS O	RUSH O	PASS D	RUSH D
JOHNSON CITY	60.3 (+7)	76.5 (+56)	45.2 (+4)	81.8 (-72)

HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME LOG

TIMEFRAME

STORYLINES

Next: at Bangs, Fri 6 Nov. Matchup report: Johnson City at Bangs.

The turnover battle could decide Johnson City's next game, against Bangs, and the recent returns favor Bangs. Johnson City committed 0.6 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (3-2), #141 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Eagles have committed 2.2 giveaways per game, a 275% rise, #1043 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 4 opponents have been softer, averaging 1.0 per game, a #843 defense in section on the season, against 1.1 per game, #739 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.0 per game), Johnson City turned it over 130% more than those defenses usually force. Meanwhile, Bangs' defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Dragons have forced 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #777 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better offenses in section (0.7 per game on the season, which would rank #197). Bangs offers Johnson City a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.

The number to watch when Johnson City meets Bangs is Johnson City's scoring. Johnson City averaged 17.3 points per game over its first 3 games (1-2), #973 in section through those games. In the 6 games since that slow start (4-2), the Eagles have averaged 29.3 points per game, a 69% rise, #628 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Johnson City's last 6 opponents have averaged 28.5 points per game, a #630 scoring defense in section on the season, against 16.6 points per game, #138 for the first 3. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #638 in section, well below the first 3 (#407), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Conversely, Bangs' defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Dragons have allowed 20.5 points per game over their last 6 games (3-3), #314 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (29.6 points per game on the season, which would rank #606). Against those norms, Bangs held those offenses 31% below what they usually score. Something has to give when Johnson City's surging offense meets one of section's better units in Bangs'. Johnson City is 4-0 this season when it scores 23 or more, and 1-4 when it doesn't.

NOTES

The biggest worry in Johnson City's season has been the direction of its defense. Johnson City allowed 20.3 points per game over its first 6 games (3-3), #262 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Eagles have allowed 31.7 points per game, a 56% rise, #706 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 32.2 points per game on the season. On the season, Johnson City ranks #408 in section in scoring defense. Bangs' offense sits in the middle of the pack, #517 in section (32.0 points per game). Johnson City is 5-1 this season when it holds opponents under 32, and 0-3 when it doesn't.

Johnson City's ground game has come a long way since the season's early weeks. The Eagles averaged 5.8 yards per carry (501 yards on 87 rushes) over their first 3 games (1-2), #515 in section during those games. In the 6 games since that slow start (4-2), Johnson City has averaged 8.1 yards per carry (1,299 yards on 160 rushes), a 41% rise, #162 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Johnson City's last 6 opponents have averaged 6.6 yards per carry, a #791 run defense in section on the season, against 4.8 yards per carry, #261 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.6 yards per carry), Johnson City ran for 23% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #638 in section, well below the first 3 (#407), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Eagles rank #238 in section in rushing. The trend lines up well against Bangs, whose run defense ranks just #982 of 1234 (7.5 yards per carry).

Johnson City averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt (482 yards on 77 attempts) over its first 4 games (2-2), #730 in section during that stretch. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), the Eagles have averaged 8.4 yards per pass attempt (733 yards on 87 attempts), a 35% rise, #435 in section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Johnson City's last 5 opponents have averaged 9.4 yards per attempt, a #905 pass defense in section on the season, against 7.2 yards per attempt, #405 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.4 yards per attempt), Johnson City threw for 10% less per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, Johnson City ranks #602 in section in passing. Bangs' pass defense sits in the middle of the pack, #804 in section (8.9 yards per attempt).

Something changed for Johnson City's offense after its first 4 games. The Eagles averaged 6.4 yards per play (1,280 yards on 201 snaps) over their first 4 games (2-2), #588 in section over that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), Johnson City has averaged 8.3 yards per play (1,735 yards on 210 snaps), a 30% rise, #259 in section over that span. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Johnson City's last 5 opponents have averaged 7.6 yards per play, a #834 defense in section on the season, against 6.0 yards per play, #313 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.6 yards per play), Johnson City gained 9% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. On the season, the Eagles rank #409 in section in yards per play. The trend lines up well against Bangs, whose defense ranks just #945 of 1234 (8.0 yards per play).

TIDBITS (7 found)

• Club Johnson City has gone 9 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 28, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 5-4 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Johnson City has gone 4 straight games being held under 200 passing yards (October 9, 2026 through October 30, 2026), going 2-2 over that stretch, matching the program record of 4 straight on record.

• Club Johnson City is 13-1 all time when scoring 40+ points. Johnson City's last loss when scoring 40+ points was September 1, 2023 against Thrall (L, 42-56).

• Player C. Spence has gone 8 straight games making 10 or more tackles, the longest such streak of his career.

• Player Preston Craig has 273 receiving yards over his last 3 games (91.0 a game, October 16, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• Player Connor Stevens has 33 tackles over his last 4 games (8.2 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch on record.

• Player Aison Aguirre has 33 tackles over his last 3 games (11.0 a game, October 16, 2026 through October 30, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

MILESTONE WATCH

Johnson City

C. Spence needs 1 tackle for 100 (averaging 11.0 a game)
Logan Moore needs 2 tackles for 50 (averaging 5.3 a game)
Wyatt Lorenzen needs 2 tackles for 50 (averaging 5.3 a game)
Truett Fry needs 27 rushing yards for 500 (averaging 59.1 a game)
Jagger Slawinski needs 5 tackles for 75 (averaging 7.8 a game)
Connor Stevens needs 8 tackles for 75 (averaging 7.4 a game)

JC — STAT LEADERS

OFFENSE

Truett Fry8 GMS

PASSING LEADER

849PASS YDS

C-ATT51-130

COMP%39.2%

YPA6.5

TD7

INT3

QBR107.2

Cody Spence9 GMS

RUSHING LEADER

673RUSH YDS

CAR102

YPC6.6

RUSH TD7

REC6

REC YDS60

YPR10.0

REC TD0

Heston Hohenberger9 GMS

RUSHING LEADER

501RUSH YDS

CAR56

YPC8.9

RUSH TD8

REC1

REC YDS14

YPR14.0

REC TD0

Preston Craig9 GMS

RECEIVING LEADER

576REC YDS

REC25

YPR23.0

REC TD5

Brendan Hicklen9 GMS

RECEIVING LEADER

317REC YDS

REC16

YPR19.8

REC TD1

DEFENSE

Colt Spence9 GMS

TACKLES LEADER

114TCKL

TFL1

SACKS0

INT2

PD12

FF0

Cody Spence9 GMS

TACKLES LEADER

99TCKL

TFL10

SACKS0

INT0

PD0

FF0

Wyatt Denbow9 GMS

TACKLES LEADER

87TCKL

TFL5

SACKS0

INT0

PD1

FF2

Connor Stevens9 GMS

TFL LEADER

5TFL

TCKL67

SACKS2

INT0

PD0

FF0

Logan Moore9 GMS

TFL LEADER

4TFL

TCKL48

SACKS0

INT0

PD0

FF0

Tripp Crownover8 GMS

SACKS LEADER

2SACKS

TCKL35

TFL2

INT0

PD1

FF0

Jagger Slawinski9 GMS

SACKS LEADER

1SACKS

TCKL70

TFL1

INT1

PD7

FF1

Jaxon McKennis9 GMS

INTERCEPTIONS LEADER

2INT

TCKL29

TFL1

SACKS0

PD10

FF0

JC — WHAT CHANGED THIS WEEK

Beat Coleman 37-22 on Oct 30; now 5-4.
Heston Hohenberger went past 500 rushing yards for the season (501).
Preston Craig went past 500 receiving yards for the season (576).
Jordan Mancha went past 50 tackles for the season (50).
Aison Aguirre went past 75 tackles for the season (77).
Season-high 147 receiving yards in a game: Preston Craig against Coleman.

From the games on file through Oct 30.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

Most likely finish 6-4 · realistic range 5-5 to 6-4

Remaining schedule: 439th hardest of 990 in the TX section (average opponent strength 4.4).

Date	Opponent	SP rank	Win chance
11/06	at Bangs	#530 of 1252	50%

Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).

Printable team sheet Program history Open in Stat Booth Widget for your site

JC — PLAYER SEASON STATS — 2026

Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 30 game; last updated Nov 1; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.

Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.

PASSINGMIN ATT
NO	PLAYER	GP	C/ATT	COMP %	YDS	YPA	TD	INT	QBR
13	TRUETT FRY	8	51/130	39.2%	849	6.5	7	3	107.2
1	WYATT LORENZEN	9	17/33	51.5%	343	10.4	2	4	134.6
	C. SPENCE	4	1/1	100.0%	23	23.0	0	0	293.2
6	CODY SPENCE	9	1/1	100.0%	23	23.0	0	0	293.2
	TEAM TOTALS	9	70/165	42.4%	1,238	7.5	9	7	115.0

RUSHINGMIN CAR
NO	PLAYER	GP	CAR	YDS	YPC	TD
6	CODY SPENCE	9	102	673	6.6	7
2	HESTON HOHENBERGER	9	56	501	8.9	8
13	TRUETT FRY	8	57	473	8.3	6
	C. SPENCE	4	50	243	4.9	0
9	TRIPP CROWNOVER	8	10	72	7.2	0
7	JAGGER SLAWINSKI	9	7	30	4.3	1
11	COLT SPENCE	9	7	28	4.0	0
3	PRESTON CRAIG	9	3	15	5.0	0
1	WYATT LORENZEN	9	5	8	1.6	0
	TEAM TOTALS	9	297	2,043	6.9	22

RECEIVINGMIN REC
NO	PLAYER	GP	REC	YDS	YPR	TD
3	PRESTON CRAIG	9	25	576	23.0	5
4	BRENDAN HICKLEN	9	16	317	19.8	1
9	TRIPP CROWNOVER	8	5	82	16.4	1
11	COLT SPENCE	9	5	75	15.0	0
7	JAGGER SLAWINSKI	9	6	64	10.7	2
6	CODY SPENCE	9	6	60	10.0	0
	C. SPENCE	4	5	37	7.4	0
12	HUNTER HERRIN	2	2	17	8.5	0
2	HESTON HOHENBERGER	9	1	14	14.0	0
15	MICHAEL DELIA	2	2	13	6.5	0
	TEAM TOTALS	9	73	1,255	17.2	9

DEFENSEMIN TCKL
NO	PLAYER	GP	TCKL	TFL	SACKS	INT	INT YDS	PD	FF
11	COLT SPENCE	9	114	1	0	2	0	12	0
6	CODY SPENCE	9	99	10	0	0	0	0	0
8	WYATT DENBOW	9	87	5	0	0	0	1	2
24	AISON AGUIRRE	8	77	1	0	0	0	1	1
7	JAGGER SLAWINSKI	9	70	1	1	1	15	7	1
51	CONNOR STEVENS	9	67	5	2	0	0	0	0
25	BRAXTON BIRCK	8	60	3	0	0	0	0	0
17	REESE ODIORNE	9	52	0	0	0	0	9	1
	C. SPENCE	4	51	5	0	1	0	4	0
22	JORDAN MANCHA	9	50	0	0	0	0	0	0
58	LOGAN MOORE	9	48	4	0	0	0	0	0
1	WYATT LORENZEN	9	48	4	0	0	0	0	0
9	TRIPP CROWNOVER	8	35	2	2	0	0	1	0
10	JAXON MCKENNIS	9	29	1	0	2	33	10	0
60	DAVID CONWELL	8	18	2	0	0	0	0	0
57	CARSON METCALF	5	17	1	0	0	0	0	0
52	CHRIS MARTINEZ	4	6	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	BRANT BAGLEY	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	0
75	COLTON DAVIS	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	SANTIAGO CASTILLO	3	5	0	0	0	0	1	0
2	HESTON HOHENBERGER	9	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
62	JAXSON DEBUSK	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	BRENDAN HICKLEN	9	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
18	COLLIN CORPUS	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	JOHNNY SALAZAR	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	TRUETT FRY	8	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	TEAM TOTALS	9	951	45	5	7	48	46	5

PROGRAM SNAPSHOT: JC

PROGRAM RECORD

SEASON	RECORD	PF	PA	PPG
2022	6-4	313	184	31.3
2023	8-3	428	300	38.9
2024	3-7	198	383	19.8
2025	5-6	320	356	29.1
2026	5-4	228	217	25.3
2022-26	27-24			29.2

UIL 2A Division 1 · District 7

2026 district standings · full page · all Texas districts

#	Team	Dist	Ovr	Rank	Proj.	Dist. pts	Next
1	MASON	4-0	9-0	1 / 41	1 (5.0-0.0)	212-8	11/06 vs COLEMAN
2	SAN SABA	3-1	6-3	40 / 549	2 (3.9-1.1)	49-80	11/06 vs BRADY
3	BANGS	2-2	5-4	35 / 530	4 (2.5-2.5)	102-102	11/06 vs JOHNSON CITY
4	JOHNSON CITY	2-2	5-4	33 / 495	3 (2.5-2.5)	92-117	11/06 vs BANGS
5	COLEMAN	1-3	5-4	45 / 588	5 (1.0-4.0)	78-111	11/06 vs MASON
6	BRADY	0-4	0-9	78 / 923	6 (0.1-4.9)	42-157	11/06 vs SAN SABA

Top 4 in the district make the playoffs (line under 4th). Ordered by district record, then overall record and district point margin; UIL tiebreakers (head-to-head) are applied by the district, not here. Rank = SP Strength Index place in the classification / in Texas. Proj. = projected district finish and record, playing out each remaining district game by the two teams' ratings. From the 2026 results on file · UIL 2A Division 1 rankings · player leaders.

JC — 2026 SEASON SCHEDULE

DATE	OPPONENT	SITE	RESULT	SCORE	WIN%
08/28	FALLS CITY	vs	W	14-6
09/04	DEVINE	at	L	17-35
09/11	HARPER	at	L	21-35
09/18	COMFORT	vs	W	35-14
09/25	SCHULENBURG	at	W	49-10
10/09	SAN SABA	vs	L	14-22
10/16	BRADY	vs	W	33-7
10/23	MASON	at	L	8-66
10/30	COLEMAN	vs	W	37-22
11/06	BANGS	at	PROJ	28-28	50.0%
SEASON TO DATE	5-4			1 REMAINING

SEASON OUTLOOK

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)

	RECORD TO DATE	MOST LIKELY FINAL	PROJECTED RECORD
Overall	5-4 so far	5-5 (50%)	5.5-4.5
League	2-2 so far	2-2 (100%)	2.0-2.0

JC — 2026 OVERALL AVERAGES

SPLIT	GP	PPG	OPP PPG	YPG	OPP YPG	PLAYS/G	OPP PLAYS/G
OVERALL	9	25.3	24.1	335.0	307.0	45.7	47.3
HOME	5	26.6	14.2	342.2	249.0	45.4	47.0
ROAD	4	23.8	36.5	326.0	423.0	46.0	48.0

PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.

JC — 2026 TEAM GAME LOG

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	PASS YDS	RUSH YDS	TOTAL YDS	PASS ALW	RUSH ALW	TOTAL ALW	SACKS ALW	SACKS	DEF INT	TO FORCED	TO MAR
8/28	vs. Falls City	W 14-6	131	105	236	--	--	--	--	0	2	2	+1
9/4	@ Devine	L 17-35	130	197	327	154	269	423	0	0	0	0	0
9/11	@ Harper	L 21-35	52	199	251	--	--	--	--	0	0	0	-1
9/18	vs. Comfort	W 35-14	169	297	466	269	-25	244	0	2	2	2	+1
9/25	@ Schulenburg	W 49-10	201	342	543	--	--	--	--	1	0	1	+1
10/9	vs. San Saba	L 14-22	91	106	197	--	--	--	--	1	0	0	-1
10/16	vs. Brady	W 33-7	121	281	402	24	230	254	0	0	1	1	-1
10/23	@ Mason	L 8-66	136	47	183	--	--	--	--	0	0	0	-3
10/30	vs. Coleman	W 37-22	184	226	410	--	--	--	--	1	1	1	-2
AVERAGES			135.0	200.0	335.0	149.0	158.0	307.0	0.0	0.6	0.7	0.8	-5 (season)

Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 3/9, sacks allowed 3/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.

UNIT INDEX

Pass Offense: grade 60.3/100 (+7 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Offense: grade 76.5/100 (+56 yds/gm vs average)

Pass Defense: grade 45.2/100 (+4 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Defense: grade 81.8/100 (-72 yds/gm vs average)

Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.

OPPONENT TRACKER

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

DATE	SITE	OPPONENT	THEIR RECORD	THEIR PPG
2026-11-06	at	BANGS	5-4	32.0

LAST YEAR

JC finished 2025 at 5-6. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 49-26 over HARPER (HARPER finished 44% that season). Toughest loss: 35-49 to COMFORT (14-point margin).

LAST SEASON: JC — 2025 GAME LOG

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	RECORD	PF	PA	TOT YDS	YDS ALLOWED
2025-08-29	GRANGER	L	0-1	34	49	N/A	N/A
2025-09-05	SONORA	W	1-1	22	12	N/A	N/A
2025-09-12	MILES	W	2-1	49	6	N/A	N/A
2025-09-19	COMFORT	L	2-2	35	49	N/A	N/A
2025-09-26	THRALL	W	3-2	41	18	N/A	N/A
2025-10-10	SAN SABA	L	3-3	21	47	N/A	N/A
2025-10-17	HOLLAND	W	4-3	49	28	N/A	N/A
2025-10-23	THORNDALE	L	4-4	0	47	N/A	N/A
2025-10-31	MASON	L	4-5	13	45	N/A	N/A
2025-11-07	HARPER	W	5-5	49	26	N/A	N/A
2025-11-14	CRAWFORD	L	5-6	7	29	N/A	N/A
TOTALS	11 GMS	5-6	5-6	320	356	N/A	N/A

"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.

TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)

JC HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...

• JC forces 1+ takeaways (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so

• JC averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 4 straight when doing so

• JC averages 7.0+ yards per play (.999), and has won 4 straight when doing so

• JC rushes for 150+ yards (.667), and has won 4 straight when doing so

• JC's offense has averaged 2.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.3 giveaways per game. (+100%)

• JC averages 7.7+ yards per attempt (JC's own median) (.999)

• JC is 3-0 (.999) when it wins the turnover battle

• JC's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 4 straight games (10/09/2026-10/30/2026), going 2-2 over that stretch.

• JC's offense has committed 1+ turnover in 4 straight games (10/09/2026-10/30/2026), going 2-2 over that stretch.

• JC is 10-5 (.667) at home

• JC rushes for 199.0+ yards (JC's own median) (.800)

• JC averages 7.5+ yards per carry (JC's own median) (.800)

• JC averages 6.1+ yards per play (JC's own median) (.800)

• JC's offense has committed 2+ turnovers in 3 straight games (10/16/2026-10/30/2026), going 2-1 over that stretch.

• JC throws for 131.0+ yards (JC's own median) (.800)

MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

JC -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 3 of 3 scored; vs 380 cached team(s))

#	SIDE	CONDITION	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK	SCORE
1	OFF	Rush Yds 100+	5-3	.625	27.5	W2	0.770
2	DEF	Turnovers < 3	5-4	.556	24.1	W1	0.543
3	OFF	Pass Yds < 200	4-4	.500	22.4	W1	0.145

WIN %: TWO-CONDITION COMBINATIONS (3 found, min 4 Gms each)

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- JC ---

CONDITION	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
JC rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards	4-3	.571	24.4	W2
JC averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards	4-2	.667	32.0	W4
JC averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards	4-1	.800	35.0	W4

WIN % -- TAB-SEPARATED

Team	Condition	Record	Win%	PPG
JC	Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200	4-3	.571	24.4
JC	YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+	4-2	.667	32.0
JC	YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+	4-1	.800	35.0

JC — OFFENSE — 2024-26 (30 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	4-0	1.000	38.5	W4
YPA < 8.0	1-4	.200	14.8	L4	21 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	1-0	1.000	49.0	W1
Pass Yds < 200	4-4	.500	22.4	W1	21 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	5-3	.625	27.5	W2
Rush Yds < 100	0-1	.000	8.0	L1	21 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	4-2	.667	32.0	W4
Rush Yds < 150	1-2	.333	12.0	L2	21 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	4-3	.571	29.4	W2
YPC < 5.0	1-1	.500	11.0	L1	21 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	4-1	.800	35.0	W4
YPP < 6.0	1-3	.250	13.2	L3	21 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	4-0	1.000	38.5	W4
YPP < 7.0	1-4	.200	14.8	L4	21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	4-3	.571	23.1	W1
Turnovers < 1	1-1	.500	33.0	W1	21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+	2-1	.667	26.0	W1	21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2	1-1	.500	22.5	W1	21 games without this stat on file

JC — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (30 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Scores <10	0-4	.000	5.2
Scores 10-19	1-8	.111	14.6
Scores 20-29	2-3	.400	23.2
Scores 30-39	5-2	.714	34.4
Scores 40+	5-0	1.000	47.4

JC — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	4-0	1.000	38.5	W4
YPA < 8.0	1-4	.200	14.8	L4
Pass Yds 200+	1-0	1.000	49.0	W1
Pass Yds < 200	4-4	.500	22.4	W1
Rush Yds 100+	5-3	.625	27.5	W2
Rush Yds < 100	0-1	.000	8.0	L1
Rush Yds 150+	4-2	.667	32.0	W4
Rush Yds < 150	1-2	.333	12.0	L2
YPC 5.0+	4-3	.571	29.4	W2
YPC < 5.0	1-1	.500	11.0	L1
YPP 6.0+	4-1	.800	35.0	W4
YPP < 6.0	1-3	.250	13.2	L3
YPP 7.0+	4-0	1.000	38.5	W4
YPP < 7.0	1-4	.200	14.8	L4
Turnovers 1+	4-3	.571	23.1	W1
Turnovers < 1	1-1	.500	33.0	W1
Turnovers 2+	2-1	.667	26.0	W1
Turnovers > 2	1-1	.500	22.5	W1

JC — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Scores <10	0-1	.000	8.0
Scores 10-19	1-2	.333	15.0
Scores 20-29	0-1	.000	21.0
Scores 30-39	3-0	1.000	35.0
Scores 40+	1-0	1.000	49.0

JC — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (30 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	1-1	.500	24.5	W1
YPA < 8.0	1-0	1.000	7.0	W1	27 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1
Pass Yds < 200	1-1	.500	21.0	W1	27 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
Rush Yds < 100	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1	27 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
Rush Yds < 150	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1	27 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
YPC < 5.0	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1	27 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	0-1	.000	35.0	L1
YPP < 6.0	2-0	1.000	10.5	W2	27 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	0-1	.000	35.0	L1
YPP < 7.0	2-0	1.000	10.5	W2	27 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	5-0	1.000	11.8	W5
Turnovers < 1	0-4	.000	39.5	L4	21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+	2-0	1.000	10.0	W2	21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2	--	--	--	--	21 games without this stat on file

JC — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (30 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Allows <10	3-0	1.000	6.3
Allows 10-19	6-0	1.000	14.5
Allows 20-29	3-3	.500	24.7
Allows 30-39	1-3	.250	35.8
Allows 40+	0-11	.000	50.8

JC — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	1-1	.500	24.5	W1
YPA < 8.0	1-0	1.000	7.0	W1	6 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1
Pass Yds < 200	1-1	.500	21.0	W1	6 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
Rush Yds < 100	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1	6 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
Rush Yds < 150	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1	6 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
YPC < 5.0	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1	6 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	0-1	.000	35.0	L1
YPP < 6.0	2-0	1.000	10.5	W2	6 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	0-1	.000	35.0	L1
YPP < 7.0	2-0	1.000	10.5	W2	6 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	5-0	1.000	11.8	W5
Turnovers < 1	0-4	.000	39.5	L4
Turnovers 2+	2-0	1.000	10.0	W2
Turnovers > 2	--	--	--	--

JC — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Allows <10	2-0	1.000	6.5
Allows 10-19	2-0	1.000	12.0
Allows 20-29	1-1	.500	22.0
Allows 30-39	0-2	.000	35.0
Allows 40+	0-1	.000	66.0

ON THE BRINK

JOHNSON CITY

• JOHNSON CITY has committed 2+ turnovers in 3 straight games (10/16/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• JOHNSON CITY has had a 100-yard receiver in 2 straight games (10/23/26–10/30/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

TAB-SEPARATED (paste into a spreadsheet)

Team	Side	Split	Games	Record	Win%	PPG	Strk
JC	OFFENSE	YPA 8.0+	4	4-0	1.000	38.5	W4
JC	OFFENSE	YPA < 8.0	5	1-4	.200	14.8	L4
JC	OFFENSE	Pass Yds 200+	1	1-0	1.000	49.0	W1
JC	OFFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	8	4-4	.500	22.4	W1
JC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds 100+	8	5-3	.625	27.5	W2
JC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds < 100	1	0-1	.000	8.0	L1
JC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds 150+	6	4-2	.667	32.0	W4
JC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds < 150	3	1-2	.333	12.0	L2
JC	OFFENSE	YPC 5.0+	7	4-3	.571	29.4	W2
JC	OFFENSE	YPC < 5.0	2	1-1	.500	11.0	L1
JC	OFFENSE	YPP 6.0+	5	4-1	.800	35.0	W4
JC	OFFENSE	YPP < 6.0	4	1-3	.250	13.2	L3
JC	OFFENSE	YPP 7.0+	4	4-0	1.000	38.5	W4
JC	OFFENSE	YPP < 7.0	5	1-4	.200	14.8	L4
JC	OFFENSE	Turnovers 1+	7	4-3	.571	23.1	W1
JC	OFFENSE	Turnovers < 1	2	1-1	.500	33.0	W1
JC	OFFENSE	Turnovers 2+	3	2-1	.667	26.0	W1
JC	OFFENSE	Turnovers > 2	2	1-1	.500	22.5	W1
JC	OFFENSE	Scores <10	4	0-4	.000	5.2	L4
JC	OFFENSE	Scores 10-19	9	1-8	.111	14.6	L2
JC	OFFENSE	Scores 20-29	5	2-3	.400	23.2	L2
JC	OFFENSE	Scores 30-39	7	5-2	.714	34.4	W3
JC	OFFENSE	Scores 40+	5	5-0	1.000	47.4	W5
JC	DEFENSE	YPA 8.0+	2	1-1	.500	24.5	W1
JC	DEFENSE	YPA < 8.0	1	1-0	1.000	7.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Pass Yds 200+	1	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	2	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds 100+	2	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds < 100	1	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds 150+	2	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds < 150	1	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	YPC 5.0+	2	1-1	.500	21.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	YPC < 5.0	1	1-0	1.000	14.0	W1
JC	DEFENSE	YPP 6.0+	1	0-1	.000	35.0	L1
JC	DEFENSE	YPP < 6.0	2	2-0	1.000	10.5	W2
JC	DEFENSE	YPP 7.0+	1	0-1	.000	35.0	L1
JC	DEFENSE	YPP < 7.0	2	2-0	1.000	10.5	W2
JC	DEFENSE	Turnovers 1+	5	5-0	1.000	11.8	W5
JC	DEFENSE	Turnovers < 1	4	0-4	.000	39.5	L4
JC	DEFENSE	Turnovers 2+	2	2-0	1.000	10.0	W2
JC	DEFENSE	Allows <10	3	3-0	1.000	6.3	W3
JC	DEFENSE	Allows 10-19	6	6-0	1.000	14.5	W6
JC	DEFENSE	Allows 20-29	6	3-3	.500	24.7	W1
JC	DEFENSE	Allows 30-39	4	1-3	.250	35.8	L3
JC	DEFENSE	Allows 40+	11	0-11	.000	50.8	L11

STREAKS: JC (combined OFFENSE+DEFENSE)

SIDE	SPLIT	STREAK	DATES	RECORD
OFFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	4 games	10/09/2026 - 10/30/2026	2-2
OFFENSE	Turnovers 1+	4 games	10/09/2026 - 10/30/2026	2-2
OFFENSE	Turnovers 2+	3 games	10/16/2026 - 10/30/2026	2-1

STREAKS — ALL TEAMS

Team	Side	Split	Streak	Dates	Record
JC	OFFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	4 games	10/09/2026 - 10/30/2026	2-2
JC	OFFENSE	Turnovers 1+	4 games	10/09/2026 - 10/30/2026	2-2
JC	OFFENSE	Turnovers 2+	3 games	10/16/2026 - 10/30/2026	2-1

NOTABLE TRENDS (4 of 4 found, team |deviation| >= 20%, matchup |deviation| >= 20%)

JC OFFENSE

JC's offense has averaged 2.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.3 giveaways per game. (+100%)

JC's offense has averaged 9.3 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 7.7 YPA. (+22%)

JC DEFENSE

JC's defense has averaged 0.6 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 0.8 takeaways per game. (-23%)

JC's defense has averaged 24.6 points allowed per game over their last 10 games. Their 30-game average is 31.9 points allowed per game. (-23%)

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

APPENDIX

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK

Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).

Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown

Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.

Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)

Team	Side	Type	Stat	Opponent	Window/Meetings	Value	BaselineGames	BaselineAvg	Deviation
JC	DEFENSE	team	Points		last 10	24.6	30	31.9	-22.8%
JC	DEFENSE	team	Turnovers		last 5	0.6	9	0.8	-22.9%
JC	OFFENSE	team	Turnovers		last 3	2.7	9	1.3	+100.0%
JC	OFFENSE	team	YPA		last 3	9.3	9	7.7	+21.7%

Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED 11/06/2026 05:04