In short: Harrison Hoyas high school football (Kennesaw, GA), 2026 season: 6-3. Last game: W 38-8 vs Pebblebrook on October 23, 2026. Next: at Mceachern, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 6-3 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 38-8 vs PEBBLEBROOK |
| NEXT GAME | MCEACHERN (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 75.7 · Rush Off 70.8 · Pass Def 42.7 · Rush Def 71.2 |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,170 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARRISON | 75.7 (+45) | 70.8 (+39) | 42.7 (+7) | 71.2 (-46) |
Next: at Mceachern, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Harrison at Mceachern.
The turnover battle could decide Harrison's next game, against Mceachern, and the recent returns favor Harrison. Harrison forced 0.2 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #422 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), the Hoyas have forced 1.8 takeaways per game, a 620% rise, #50 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Harrison's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.1 per game, a #224 offense in section on the season, against 0.8 per game, #129 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.1 per game), Harrison forced 70% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #211 in section, well below the first 4 (#134), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, Mceachern's ball security has struggled in recent weeks. The Indians have committed 1.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games (4-1), #310 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better defenses in section (1.4 per game on the season, which would rank #153). On paper, that is a matchup that favors Harrison.
The number to watch when Harrison meets Mceachern is Harrison's scoring defense. Harrison allowed 12.8 points per game over its first 5 games (4-1), #55 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Hoyas have allowed 23.8 points per game, an 86% rise, #218 in section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 24.6 points per game on the season. Conversely, Mceachern's offense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Indians have averaged 36.0 points per game over their last 4 games (4-0), #105 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the weaker scoring defenses in section (29.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #324). Against those norms, Mceachern scored 22% more than those defenses usually allow. Unless Harrison's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Mceachern. Harrison is 6-1 this season when it holds opponents under 30, and 0-2 when it doesn't.
The biggest worry in Harrison's season has been the direction of its ball security. Harrison committed 0.4 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (4-1), #28 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), the Hoyas have committed 1.2 giveaways per game, a 212% rise, #277 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Harrison's last 4 opponents have averaged 1.4 per game, a #153 defense in section on the season, against 0.9 per game, #283 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.4 per game), Harrison turned it over 8% less than those defenses usually force. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, Harrison ranks #119 in section in giveaways. It won't get any easier against Mceachern, whose defense ranks #106 in section (1.5 per game).
Harrison's run defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Hoyas allowed 4.2 yards per carry (455 yards on 109 rushes) over their first 5 games (4-1), #67 in section during those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), Harrison has allowed 6.2 yards per carry (506 yards on 81 rushes), a 50% rise, #276 in section during that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 5.4 yards per carry on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.5 yards per carry), Harrison allowed 13% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. On the season, the Hoyas rank #147 in section in run defense. Mceachern's ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #241 in section (5.4 yards per carry).
Something changed for Harrison's offense after its first 3 games. Harrison averaged 25.7 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #197 in section during that stretch. In the 6 games since that slow start (4-2), the Hoyas have averaged 37.5 points per game, a 46% rise, #78 in section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Harrison's last 6 opponents have averaged 32.0 points per game, a #365 scoring defense in section on the season, against 22.3 points per game, #184 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (32.0 points per game), Harrison scored 17% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #230 in section, well below the first 3 (#79), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Harrison ranks #102 in section in scoring. That form gets a real test against Mceachern, whose defense ranks #66 in section (14.2 points per game).
Harrison's passing game has thrown the ball less effectively as the season has worn on. The Hoyas averaged 8.6 yards per pass attempt (1,180 yards on 138 attempts) over their first 5 games (4-1), #157 in section over that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (2-2), Harrison has averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt (900 yards on 143 attempts), a 26% drop, #293 in section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Harrison's last 4 opponents have averaged 8.0 yards per attempt, a #241 pass defense in section on the season, against 8.8 yards per attempt, #317 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.0 yards per attempt), Harrison threw for 21% less per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. On the season, the Hoyas rank #241 in section in passing. It won't get any easier against Mceachern, whose pass defense ranks #116 in section (6.7 yards per attempt).
One of Harrison's most reliable areas lately has been its ground game. Harrison averaged 7.2 yards per carry (669 yards on 93 rushes) over its first 4 games (3-1), #91 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (3-2), the Hoyas have averaged 9.0 yards per carry (936 yards on 104 rushes), a 25% rise, #36 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Harrison's last 5 opponents have averaged 5.4 yards per carry, a #180 run defense in section on the season, against 6.0 yards per carry, #271 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.4 yards per carry), Harrison ran for 67% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #211 in section, well below the first 4 (#134), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Harrison ranks #41 in section in rushing. That form gets a real test against Mceachern, whose run defense ranks #78 in section (4.5 yards per carry).
• Club Harrison has won 2 straight, and a win would make it 3 in a row. The last time they won 3 or more in a row was 2026, a run of 3.
• Club The last time Harrison went a game being held under 5.0 yards per carry was September 20, 2024 against Campbell (W, 34-18). Since then Harrison has gone 27 straight games averaging 5.0+ yards per carry, a school-record 27 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Harrison has gone 6 straight games averaging 6.0+ yards per play (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-2 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Harrison has gone 5 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-2 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Harrison has gone 5 straight games forcing 1+ turnover (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-2 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Harrison is 12-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (12 such games).
• Player A. Watson has 380 rushing yards over his last 3 games (126.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player A. Watson has 746 passing yards over his last 3 games (248.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player J. Martinez-reynolds has 3 sacks over his last 3 games (1.0 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player O. Johnson Iii has gone 3 straight games making 10 or more tackles, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 4 straight games making 10 or more tackles, during the 2026 season.
• Player D. Huggins has 271 receiving yards over his last 3 games (90.3 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch since the 283 he had from August 21, 2026 through September 4, 2026.
• Player D. Huggins has 3 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.0 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch since the 3 he had from August 21, 2026 through September 4, 2026.
From the games on file through Oct 16.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 16 game; last updated Oct 23.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| A. WATSON | 8 | 139/239 | 58.2% | 1,840 | 7.7 | 15 | 3 | 141.0 | |
| D. GARNER | 2 | 6/10 | 60.0% | 43 | 4.3 | 1 | 0 | 129.1 | |
| L. TOWNE | 1 | 4/5 | 80.0% | 43 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 178.2 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 8 | 149/254 | 58.7% | 1,926 | 7.6 | 17 | 4 | 141.3 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| A. WATSON | 8 | 63 | 688 | 10.9 | 8 | |
| A. CONATE | 8 | 57 | 373 | 6.5 | 3 | |
| D. HUGGINS | 8 | 9 | 100 | 11.1 | 0 | |
| H. BERNADIN | 5 | 15 | 95 | 6.3 | 1 | |
| P. PERKINS | 8 | 15 | 87 | 5.8 | 0 | |
| O. JOHNSON III | 8 | 6 | 38 | 6.3 | 2 | |
| K. WHITE | 2 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | |
| D. GARNER | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | |
| C. JENKINS | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | |
| J. HERNDERSON | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | |
| L. SMITH | 1 | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 8 | 173 | 1,416 | 8.2 | 14 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| D. HUGGINS | 8 | 50 | 689 | 13.8 | 8 | |
| P. PERKINS | 8 | 25 | 354 | 14.2 | 2 | |
| A. CONATE | 8 | 15 | 202 | 13.5 | 1 | |
| J. HUGGINS | 5 | 9 | 156 | 17.3 | 0 | |
| D. RODGERS | 4 | 12 | 129 | 10.8 | 2 | |
| G. JARRARD | 7 | 16 | 102 | 6.4 | 1 | |
| M. SYKEN | 3 | 5 | 32 | 6.4 | 0 | |
| C. KRAUSHAAR | 2 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 1 | |
| C. WHRITENOUR | 5 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 8 | 137 | 1,718 | 12.5 | 15 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| O. JOHNSON III | 8 | 93 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| J. MARTINEZ-REYNOLDS | 8 | 60 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | |
| W. LOCK | 7 | 34 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| C. KELLER | 7 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| O. ITNYRE | 8 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| D. DIEUDONNE | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| K. GEORGE | 8 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| W. HAJJAR | 7 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| E. OGUNWUYI | 7 | 20 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| E. TILLMON | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| B. SLAY | 6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| W. NEWTON | 7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| A. FULFORD | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| N. RATLIFF | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| G. KIRBY | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. WILLIAMSON | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| C. BOLLS | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. CATO | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| P. PERKINS | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. SANDERS | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| C. WHRITENOUR | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. MARTIN | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. CARLAND | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| C. JENKINS | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| G. JARRARD | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T. ROWAN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. BROWN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| S. PRASER | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 8 | 481 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 10 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 251 | 310 | 20.9 |
| 2023 | 7-4 | 253 | 201 | 23.0 |
| 2024 | 9-2 | 389 | 207 | 35.4 |
| 2025 | 10-2 | 476 | 275 | 39.7 |
| 2026 | 6-3 | 302 | 159 | 33.6 |
| 2022-26 | 36-19 | 30.4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | ALLATOONA | vs | W | 42-7 | |
| 08/28 | EAST PAULDING | vs | L | 23-27 | |
| 09/04 | NORTH PAULDING | at | W | 12-9 | |
| 09/11 | WHEELER | at | W | 44-14 | |
| 09/18 | KENNESAW MOUNTAIN | vs | W | 48-7 | |
| 10/02 | NORTH ATLANTA | at | L | 34-38 | |
| 10/09 | HILLGROVE | vs | L | 26-35 | |
| 10/16 | CAMPBELL | at | W | 35-14 | |
| 10/23 | PEBBLEBROOK | vs | W | 38-8 | |
| 10/30 | MCEACHERN | at | PROJ | 22-30 | 35.0% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 6-3 | 1 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 6-3 so far | 6-4 (65%) | 6.4-3.6 |
| League | 3-2 so far | 3-2 (100%) | 3.0-2.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 9 | 33.6 | 17.7 | 409.4 | 338.6 | 53.1 | 53.4 |
| HOME | 5 | 35.4 | 16.8 | 429.8 | 349.3 | 52.8 | 50.7 |
| ROAD | 4 | 31.2 | 18.8 | 384.0 | 330.5 | 53.5 | 55.5 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | vs. Allatoona | W 42-7 | 297 | 172 | 469 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8/28 | vs. East Paulding | L 23-27 | 180 | 223 | 403 | 117 | 257 | 374 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/4 | @ North Paulding | W 12-9 | 82 | 186 | 268 | 223 | 14 | 237 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| 9/11 | @ Wheeler | W 44-14 | 340 | 88 | 428 | 231 | 139 | 370 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/18 | vs. Kennesaw Mountain | W 48-7 | 281 | 255 | 536 | 183 | 45 | 228 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 |
| 10/2 | @ North Atlanta | L 34-38 | 207 | 208 | 415 | 221 | 160 | 381 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 10/9 | vs. Hillgrove | L 26-35 | 242 | 156 | 398 | 191 | 255 | 446 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 10/16 | @ Campbell | W 35-14 | 297 | 128 | 425 | 243 | 91 | 334 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
| 10/23 | vs. Pebblebrook | W 38-8 | 154 | 189 | 343 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +2 |
| AVERAGES | 231.1 | 178.3 | 409.4 | 201.3 | 137.3 | 338.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | +3 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 7/9, sacks/INT 8/9, sacks allowed 7/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 75.7/100 (+45 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 70.8/100 (+39 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 42.7/100 (+7 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 71.2/100 (-46 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | MCEACHERN | 6-2 | 29.1 |
LAST YEAR
HAR finished 2025 at 10-2. Made the playoffs (2 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 49-21 over WHEELER (WHEELER finished 100% that season). Toughest loss: 21-48 to MCEACHERN (27-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-15 | KENNESAW MOUNTAIN | W | 1-0 | 49 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-22 | WHEELER | W | 2-0 | 49 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-29 | NORTH PAULDING | W | 3-0 | 25 | 23 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | PEBBLEBROOK | W | 4-0 | 49 | 14 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-19 | CAMPBELL | W | 5-0 | 45 | 20 | 430 | 323 |
| 2025-10-03 | MCEACHERN | L | 5-1 | 21 | 48 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | SOUTH COBB | W | 6-1 | 49 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | OSBORNE | W | 7-1 | 56 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | HILLGROVE | W | 8-1 | 30 | 23 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | PAULDING COUNTY | W | 9-1 | 52 | 12 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | MARIETTA | W | 10-1 | 45 | 35 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-21 | CARROLLTON | L | 10-2 | 6 | 51 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 12 GMS | 10-2 | 10-2 | 476 | 275 | 430 (1) | 323 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• HAR holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.999), and has won 6 straight when doing so
• HAR holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• HAR commits fewer than 2 giveaways (.875), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• HAR averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 4 straight when doing so
• HAR's offense has averaged 1.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 11-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+92%)
• HAR's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 9 straight games (08/21/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-3 over that stretch.
• HAR's offense has exceeded 6.0 YPP in 6 straight games (09/11/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-2 over that stretch.
• HAR's defense has averaged 1.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 11-game average is 1.2 takeaways per game. (+52%)
• HAR's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 3-2 over that stretch.
• HAR's defense has forced 1+ turnover in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 3-2 over that stretch.
• HAR's defense has averaged 6.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 4.5 YPC. (+40%)
• HAR holds its opponents under 137.0 rushing yards (HAR's own median) (.999)
• HAR holds its opponents under 4.8 yards per carry (HAR's own median) (.999)
• HAR's defense has averaged 173.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 131.8 rush yards per game. (+31%)
• HAR is 5-0 (.999) when it wins the turnover battle
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
HAR -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 8 scored; vs 1009 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 7-2 | .778 | 38.4 | W2 | 0.669 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 7-1 | .875 | 34.1 | W4 | 0.664 |
| 3 | DEF | YPP < 7 | 6-2 | .750 | 18.4 | W1 | 0.635 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 8-2 | .800 | 34.7 | W2 | 0.575 |
| 5 | OFF | YPC 5+ | 7-3 | .700 | 34.7 | W2 | 0.316 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- HAR ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| HAR averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 5-3 | .625 | 33.5 | W1 |
| HAR rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt | 3-3 | .500 | 29.7 | W1 |
| HAR averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 4-2 | .667 | 38.8 | W1 |
| HAR holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 12.4 | W5 |
| HAR averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 5-0 | .999 | 38.6 | W5 |
| HAR rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 | W2 |
| HAR averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 4-0 | .999 | 42.0 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| HAR | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-3 | .625 | 33.5 |
| HAR | Rush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.0 | 3-3 | .500 | 29.7 |
| HAR | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 4-2 | .667 | 38.8 |
| HAR | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 5-0 | .999 | 12.4 |
| HAR | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | .999 | 38.6 |
| HAR | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 |
| HAR | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 4-0 | .999 | 42.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-3 | .571 | 30.4 | W2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 5-2 | .714 | 37.6 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 | W2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 7-3 | .700 | 33.7 | W2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 44.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 5-3 | .625 | 33.5 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 37.7 | W3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 7-3 | .700 | 34.7 | W2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 7-2 | .778 | 38.4 | W2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 17.5 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 41.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 29.3 | W2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 38.2 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.6 | W4 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 36.0 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 34.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 3-4 | .429 | 24.3 |
| Scores 30-39 | 8-1 | .889 | 34.4 |
| Scores 40+ | 13-1 | .929 | 47.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 44.7 | W3 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-3 | .500 | 28.0 | W2 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-2 | .667 | 38.2 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-1 | .667 | 24.3 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 5-3 | .625 | 32.2 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 44.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-3 | .571 | 31.9 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 39.5 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 6-3 | .667 | 33.6 | W2 |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-2 | .714 | 38.1 | W2 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 17.5 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 40.0 | L1 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 28.4 | W2 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-2 | .333 | 36.0 | L2 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 5-1 | .833 | 32.3 | W4 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 36.0 | L2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 34.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 24.5 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-1 | .667 | 35.7 |
| Scores 40+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 44.7 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 22.3 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 19.2 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-1 | .800 | 18.6 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.2 | L1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W4 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-3 | .000 | 33.3 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W6 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 30.0 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 12.4 | W5 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-2 | .600 | 25.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 14.2 | W3 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 6-2 | .750 | 18.4 | W1 | 23 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-2 | .714 | 18.7 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-1 | .750 | 16.5 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-1 | .750 | 18.2 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 | W2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 5.6 |
| Allows 10-19 | 10-0 | 1.000 | 14.8 |
| Allows 20-29 | 5-2 | .714 | 23.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 2-2 | .500 | 35.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-3 | .000 | 48.3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 24.5 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.0 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 3-1 | .750 | 18.8 | W1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-2 | .333 | 23.0 | L1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-3 | .250 | 28.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 10.0 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-3 | .000 | 33.3 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 33.3 | L3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W4 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 1-2 | .333 | 29.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 14.2 | W3 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 4-2 | .667 | 18.2 | W1 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-2 | .667 | 18.5 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 16.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 17.7 | W1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 7.8 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 27.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-2 | .000 | 36.5 |
| Allows 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
HARRISON
• HARRISON has won by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• HARRISON has scored 30+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not scored 30+ in 3 straight since 9/11/26–10/2/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 3 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 5 straight (2025) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W4 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 30.4 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 37.6 | W1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 10 | 7-3 | .700 | 33.7 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 44.0 | W1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 33.5 | W1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 37.7 | W3 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 10 | 7-3 | .700 | 34.7 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | W1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 38.4 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 17.5 | W1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 41.0 | L1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 29.3 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 38.2 | L2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.6 | W4 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 36.0 | L2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 34.0 | L1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W1 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 7 | 3-4 | .429 | 24.3 | L3 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 34.4 | W2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 14 | 13-1 | .929 | 47.8 | W11 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.3 | L1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 19.2 | W1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 18.6 | W1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.2 | L1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | L2 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 12.0 | W4 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 33.3 | L3 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W6 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 30.0 | L3 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 12.4 | W5 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 25.0 | L2 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 14.2 | W3 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 18.4 | W1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 18.7 | W2 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 16.5 | W1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 18.2 | W1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 13.5 | W2 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 5.6 | W8 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 10 | 10-0 | 1.000 | 14.8 | W10 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 23.0 | L1 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 35.5 | L2 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 48.3 | L3 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-3 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-2 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-2 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-3 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| HAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| HAR | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-2 |
HAR OFFENSE
HAR's offense has averaged 1.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 11-game average is 0.7 giveaways per game. (+92%)
HAR DEFENSE
HAR's defense has averaged 1.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 11-game average is 1.2 takeaways per game. (+52%)
HAR's defense has averaged 6.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 4.5 YPC. (+40%)
HAR's defense has averaged 173.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 131.8 rush yards per game. (+31%)
HAR's defense has averaged 10.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.5 YPA. (+20%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| HAR | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 173.0 | 9 | 131.8 | +31.3% | |
| HAR | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.2 | +52.3% | |
| HAR | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 1.4 | 11 | 0.7 | +92.5% | |
| HAR | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 10.2 | 9 | 8.5 | +20.5% | |
| HAR | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 6.3 | 9 | 4.5 | +39.7% |
