In short: Goliad Tigers high school football (Goliad, TX), 2026 season: 3-5. Last game: W 48-14 vs West Oso on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Mathis, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Goliad meets Mathis is Goliad's scoring defense. Goliad allowed 16.0 points per game over its first 3 games (2-1), #192 in section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that hot start (1-4), the Tigers have allowed 29.6 points per game, an 85% rise, #649 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 5 opponents have been softer, averaging 29.3 points per game, a #619 offense in section on the season, against 32.2 points per game, #493 for the first 3. Meanwhile, Mathis' offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Pirates have averaged 34.8 points per game over their last 5 games (3-2), #437 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (32.8 points per game on the season, which would rank #808). Against those norms, Mathis scored 6% more than those defenses usually allow. Mathis offers Goliad a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Goliad is 3-2 this season when it holds opponents under 31, and 0-3 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest shift in Goliad's season has come in its offense. Goliad averaged 16.6 points per game over its first 5 games (2-3), #1036 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Tigers have averaged 23.0 points per game, a 39% rise, #786 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Goliad's last 3 opponents have averaged 23.5 points per game, a #387 scoring defense in section on the season, against 17.4 points per game, #164 for the first 5. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #522 in section, well below the first 5 (#315), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Goliad ranks #977 in section in scoring. The trend lines up well against Mathis, whose defense ranks just #1077 of 1235 (42.0 points per game). Goliad is 2-0 this season when it scores 42 or more, and 1-5 when it doesn't.
TIDBITS (4 found)
• Club The last time Goliad went a game rushing for 100+ yards was October 11, 2024 against London (W, 40-14). Since then Goliad has gone 28 straight games being held under 100 rushing yards, a school-record 28 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Goliad went a game allowing 200+ passing yards was November 22, 2024 against Marion (W, 56-28). Since then Goliad has gone 22 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards, a school-record 22 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Goliad is 28-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (28 such games).
• Club Goliad has allowed 113 points over its last 4 games (28.2 a game, September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 4-game stretch on record.
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 25 game; last updated Oct 28; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
Top 4 in the district make the playoffs (line under 4th). Ordered by district record, then overall record and district point margin; UIL tiebreakers (head-to-head) are applied by the district, not here. Rank = SP Strength Index place in the classification / in Texas. Proj. = projected district finish and record, playing out each remaining district game by the two teams' ratings. From the 2026 results on file · UIL 3A Division 1 rankings · player leaders.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 1/8, defense 5/8, sacks/INT 1/8, sacks allowed 5/8, turnovers 5/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 4.4/100 (-128 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 4.9/100 (-145 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 43.2/100 (+6 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 17.6/100 (+73 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
GOL finished 2025 at 10-3. Made the playoffs (3 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 49-28 over CRYSTAL CITY (CRYSTAL CITY finished 83% that season). Toughest loss: 28-37 to EDNA (9-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
GOL HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• GOL holds its opponents under 7.0 yards per play (.500), but most recently lost to Sinton when doing so
• GOL holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.333), but most recently lost to Sinton when doing so
• GOL commits fewer than 2 giveaways (.333), but most recently lost to Sinton when doing so
• GOL forces no takeaways (.333), but most recently lost to Sinton when doing so
• GOL's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
• GOL's defense has averaged 29.6 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 34-game average is 19.5 points allowed per game. (+52%)
• GOL's offense has averaged 16.4 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 34-game average is 33.4 points scored per game. (-51%)
• GOL holds its opponents under 258.0 rushing yards (GOL's own median) (.667)
• GOL holds its opponents under 6.8 yards per carry (GOL's own median) (.667)
• GOL holds its opponents under 6.5 yards per play (GOL's own median) (.667)
• GOL's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 1.7 giveaways per game. (-40%)
• GOL's defense has averaged 99.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 130.7 pass yards per game. (-24%)
• GOL holds its opponents under 8.7 yards per attempt (GOL's own median) (.333)
• GOL wins even while allowing its opponents 124.5+ passing yards (GOL's own median) (.333)
• GOL is 4-1 (.800) in games decided by 8 points or fewer
GOL — OFFENSE — 2024-26 (34 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
0-1
.000
21.0
L1
YPA < 8.0
--
--
--
--
33 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
--
--
--
--
Pass Yds < 200
1-2
.333
20.3
L1
31 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
1-0
1.000
40.0
W1
Rush Yds < 100
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
31 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
1-0
1.000
40.0
W1
Rush Yds < 150
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
31 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
--
--
--
--
YPC < 5.0
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
32 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
--
--
--
--
YPP < 6.0
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
32 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
--
--
--
--
YPP < 7.0
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
32 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
0-4
.000
10.5
L4
Turnovers < 1
1-1
.500
22.5
L1
28 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
0-3
.000
11.7
L3
28 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
0-2
.000
10.5
L2
28 games without this stat on file
GOL — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (34 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-5
.000
4.2
Scores 10-19
0-2
.000
13.5
Scores 20-29
4-4
.500
23.1
Scores 30-39
2-0
1.000
33.0
Scores 40+
17-0
1.000
49.2
GOL — OFFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
--
--
--
--
YPA < 8.0
--
--
--
--
8 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
--
--
--
--
Pass Yds < 200
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
7 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
--
--
--
--
Rush Yds < 100
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
7 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
--
--
--
--
Rush Yds < 150
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
7 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
--
--
--
--
YPC < 5.0
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
7 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
--
--
--
--
YPP < 6.0
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
7 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
--
--
--
--
YPP < 7.0
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
7 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
0-3
.000
7.0
L3
Turnovers < 1
1-1
.500
22.5
L1
3 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
0-2
.000
7.0
L2
3 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
0-1
.000
0.0
L1
3 games without this stat on file
GOL — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
Scores <10
0-3
.000
2.3
Scores 10-19
0-2
.000
13.5
Scores 20-29
1-0
1.000
25.0
Scores 30-39
--
--
--
Scores 40+
2-0
1.000
46.5
GOL — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (34 Gms)
SPLIT
REC
WIN%
PPG
STRK
YPA 8.0+
0-3
.000
37.0
L3
YPA < 8.0
1-2
.333
26.0
L1
28 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+
1-0
1.000
28.0
W1
Pass Yds < 200
0-5
.000
32.2
L5
28 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+
2-5
.286
27.0
L3
Rush Yds < 100
--
--
--
--
27 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+
2-5
.286
27.0
L3
Rush Yds < 150
--
--
--
--
27 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+
1-5
.167
31.5
L4
YPC < 5.0
1-0
1.000
0.0
W1
27 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+
0-5
.000
32.2
L5
YPP < 6.0
2-0
1.000
14.0
W2
27 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+
0-3
.000
36.3
L3
YPP < 7.0
2-2
.500
20.0
L2
27 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+
0-3
.000
32.7
L3
Turnovers < 1
1-2
.333
21.0
L2
28 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+
0-1
.000
28.0
L1
28 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2
--
--
--
--
28 games without this stat on file
GOL — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (34 Gms)
GOL's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
GOL's defense has averaged 29.6 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 34-game average is 19.5 points allowed per game. (+52%)
GOL's defense has averaged 99.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 130.7 pass yards per game. (-24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 9.8 in 2022 to 10.0 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED
10/28/2026 10:19